Links to similar discussions on other positions:
A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. This article specifically targets deep sleeper value (which can be found very late in a fantasy draft). In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look deeper than the Top 150 and identify players that should significantly outperform their late draft position. These players should be your targets after the 12th round of your draft.
Here are the players who received the most votes:
And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why.
Player Receiving 6 Votes
Drew Davenport: A final line of 72/786/4 doesn't sound super exciting on the surface, but Gage earned these numbers with Julio Jones in town still pulling down 68 targets in nine games. At this point, it is pretty clear what Gage is as a player, but the volume he could see after Jones left could push him to the top of WR3 territory. The addition of Kyle Pitts can cut both ways for Gage, as the rookie tight end will command some targets, but having a threat like Pitts on the field should be seen as a net positive for Gage's fantasy chances. Matching and exceeding last year's 110 targets is certainly in play. That's great value for a receiver going outside the Top 150 players in a draft.
Victoria Geary: As many have mentioned, you won't find another late-round gem with as sure of a role and target share as Gage. Matt Ryan threw for 626 attempts last season, the most out of any quarterback in the league. Atlanta's defense isn't slowing anyone down this year, so Ryan and crew will need to produce again to win games. Tight end Kyle Pitts will take some of the targets Julio Jones left behind, but Gage has established a good rapport with Ryan, evidenced by his 100+ target season in 2020. He is a player that has top-30 potential up for grabs in the final rounds of your fantasy draft.
Jeff Haseley: It's not easy to find players who have already exceeded 100 targets in a season outside of the top 150. Russell Gage is one of them. Atlanta is down to Calvin Ridley and Gage as their primary wide receivers in an offense that has been in the top 5 in pass attempts each of the last three years. Arthur Smith may employ more of a run-oriented attack, but Matt Ryan isn't just going to stop passing the ball. Gage stands to benefit as the #2 wide receiver and should again reach 100+ targets.
Ryan Hester: If we do this exercise again later in the preseason, Gage probably won’t qualify as a Deep Sleeper, but for now, he’s a screaming value at his price. Gage was heavily utilized last season and steps into a bigger role in the absence of Julio Jones. Kyle Pitts will also step in and absorb some of those vacated Jones targets, but Gage and Matt Ryan already have chemistry. And Gage will see more high-value perimeter targets.
Chad Parsons: Gage saw a robust 110 targets last season, with Julio Jones missing a cross-section of game action (68 total targets). With Jones gone and the notable addition Kyle Pitts, it is tough to see Gage's volume declining this year. Look for Gage, even if he continues his low touchdown production and is mainly an aggregator in the WR3/4 zone of PPR formats.
Jason Wood: Russell Gage steps into an optimal situation with Julio Jones traded. While many will look at the addition of Kyle Pitts as a deterrent, even the best tight ends in NFL history usually struggle as rookies. Gage has Matt Ryan's trust and will have an unbridled snap share for the first time in his career. No one on the depth chart poses a threat to his starting job on the outside opposite Calvin Ridley.
Player Receiving 4 Votes
Sigmund Bloom: Ignore the offseason drumbeat at your own risk. One beat writer described Moore as the best player on either side of the ball, and he should quickly become Zach Wilson's favorite target. The Jets defense is still a work in progress and should keep the offense in pass-happy mode, which will only add gasoline to the fire Moore is creating. He should be the first and maybe only Jets wide receiver targeted in typical drafts.
James Brimacombe: The Jets have a whole new offense, and it looks to be led by Elijah Moore at the wide receiver position as the buzz continues on the second-round pick all offseason. Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson will be looking for a go-to target in the offense, and from Day 1, it looks like there is a decent shot that it can be Moore.
Pat Fitzmaurice: As my FBG brethren Sigmund Bloom and Cecil Lammey have long professed, when there's a steady drumbeat of positive buzz about a player, pay attention. The drumbeat around Moore is starting to sound like a Keith Moon solo. It's becoming clear that the rookie from Ole Miss will displace Jamison Crowder as the Jets' primary slot man and become an essential part of the offense. My only fear is that Moore's ADP will jump accordingly when we hear the drums early in training camp.
Jason Wood: Had the Jets parted ways with Jamison Crowder, Moore's draft ADP would be many rounds higher. But Crowder's decision to take a pay cut muddies the 2021 outlook for Moore, even if his long-term outlook is bright. Yet, Crowder is hardly an iron man, and Moore has the skill set to do more on the field than Crowder could in his prime; and he's not in his prime anymore.
Players Receiving 3 Votes
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