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Jason Wood on Aug 8: One of the few workhorses in the NFL, and returns to the same situation that made him elite in 2021, save for an upgrade at quarterback. The easy choice as the first overall pick in most leagues.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Jonathan Taylor is exactly who you want from your elite running back. Youth, durability, touchdowns, rushing yardage, receptions and receiving yardage. As safe as you can get at running back. Perfect in any format, PPR, Best Ball and Dynasty.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Taylor still has untapped receiving upside and Matt Ryan's addition is poised to increase the efficiency of the offense to move the chains, sustain drives, and provide Taylor with red zone opportunities. While not on Christian McCaffrey's level to lap the position in fantasy scoring, Taylor is in the next tier of running backs.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: 23 years old. Led the league in yards from scrimmage (2,171) and scored 20 touchdowns last season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: McCaffrey's injury history and the Panthers' dismal offensive outlook should be enough to keep McCaffrey off first-round draft boards. But when he plays, he's capable of more than almost anyone else in the league. I love the risk/reward of him as a second-round pick, but someone in your league probably takes him in the first.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Christian McCaffrey cannot continue to be one of the high draft picks in all formats in fantasy leagues. In the last two years he has finished just over a handful of games fit and healthy. The last time he played in and completed four games in a row was in 2019. Running Back is one position where time moves on quickly. The Panthers wanted to trade him, but other teams baulked at his injuries and price tag. At his best, sure he deserves to be considered as the first running back off the board. In 2022, you risk losing your draft at a higher chance than winning it if he is on your roster.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Injuries have marred McCaffrey for two seasons, but his per-game dominance when healthy is still a fantasy trump card. A player is injury prone until they are not. If McCaffrey is healthy, he has starting-two-players-in-your-lineup upside.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Still in the best Running Back in football conversation and locked into elite volume when healthy.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Ekeler has no holes in his game, even his durability has improved after a few seasons of spotty availability.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Career highs, by a long way, in rushing attempts, rushing yardage and most importantly touchdowns for Austin Ekeler . Any doubts about his ability to be the lead back were clearly dispelled. The Chargers add another later round running back in Isaiah Spiller, but he poses no threat. A safe proposition in all formats, although in dynasty he is already 27. His light use should prolong him safely with good health
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Chargers added Isaiah Spiller in the NFL Draft, but that is more of a statement about the rest of the Chargers running backs than discounting Austin Ekeler's upside. There are easy decisions in fantasy football and targeting the starting running back with big receiving upside for the Chargers offense is one of the easy buttons.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Still only 27 years old and locked in as the dual-threat starting Running Back on one of the best offenses in football. Tied to Justin Herbert who led the Chargers offense to a fourth overall ranking in overall DVOA last year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Kupp just delivered the best fantasy season in NFL history. While regression is almost assured, he could fall back a lot and still be this year's No. 1 receiver. He's an easy first-rounder in every league.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Cooper Kupp almost broke the Calvin Johnson receiving yards record and the Michael Thomas reception record. Add in 16 touchdowns and his lead in fantasy points over the second ranked receiver, Davante Adams, was almost embarrassing. It stands to reason that a historical season like Kupps 2021 year will be impossible to match or even get close to. Allen Robinson comes over and maybe even Odell Beckham comes back. Kupp could drop by a huge number of fantasy points and still be the number one fantasy receiver. A safe investment in all formats.
Ben Cummins on Aug 5: Matthew Stafford's elbow issues are enough to move Justin Jefferson ahead of Cooper Kupp to account for that .001% outcome where just like Andrew Luck years ago, Stafford ends up missing the entire season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: While touchdown regression is a strong likelihood after 16 scores a year ago, Kupp is the WR1 for an offense paired with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay. Also, Robert Woods exits and Allen Robinson, off a career-worst season, enters as a potential replacement.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Jefferson followed up an exceptional rookie season with an All-Pro caliber 2021 with 108 receptions, 1,630 yards, and 10 touchdowns. He's one of a handful of receivers worth a first-round pick.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: After a dynamic rookie season, Justin Jefferson followed up with an even better second season. With a new coaching group, there always has to be a slight hesitation in an established or rising star. Surprisingly Jefferson still has further improvement in bis game and is a safe option at the top of almost all formats.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jefferson elevated his lofty rookie season game to new heights in 2021, averaging nearly 100 yards per game and logging 10 touchdowns. There is touchdown upside still in play for Jefferson to hit a WR1 overall finish as Adam Thielen devolves into being a quality option, but a clearly secondary one, in the Vikings passing game.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: New Vikings head coach, Kevin O'Connell, was the offensive coordinator for the Rams the past two seasons. Justin Jefferson recently stated he's going to be used all over the field in the Cooper Kupp role this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Henry finally succumbed to a meaningful injury last year, and that may signal the end of his 350+ touch annual workload. But the Titans didn't add anyone credible to spell him for more than a few series. Buy the bounceback.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: With the departure of A.J. Brown and Ryan Tannehill under pressure, expect the Titans to continue working Derrick Henry into the dirt. Missing eight games last year was the first setback in his career recently and given hi advancing age and toll the position takes, those in Dynasty leagues may seek to reap maximum benefit. For redraft and best ball leagues he will be the anchor of your lineup.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Tennessee did not aggressively address the position in the NFL Draft and A.J. Brown is gone in a draft day trade. The Titans offense will run through Henry again in 2022. The biggest question is when the wheels like fall off of the power back at his escalating age and workload.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Still only 28 years old and went absolutely insane prior to injury last season. Henry led the league in opportunities per game (29.9) and rushed for 937 yards and 10 touchdowns in only eight games.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Chase had the second-best rookie season in league history (Randy Moss in 1998), and could easily string together a series of No. 1 overall seasons starting in 2022.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: After a phenomenal rookie season, how does JaMarr Chase follow that up in 2022? Opposing defenses will have studied him and will have a plan of attack, but Justin Jefferson proved that a high bar can be cleared and excelled upon in year 2. Safe in all formats with a high draft pick.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Chase's big-play-infused rookie season is regression-worthy with his touchdown rate and yards-per-reception. That said, Chase is attached to Joe Burrow and expect the offense to funnel through Chase and Tee Higgins again. Both with a high floor.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: JaMarr Chase and Joe Burrow immediately picked up where they left off at LSU last season. Chase turned 81 receptions into 1,455 yards and 13 touchdowns. A threat to score every time he touches the ball, Chase is one of the most dynamic playmakers in the NFL.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Harris wasn't particularly efficient on a per-touch basis, but that doesn't matter to fantasy managers if he's going to get 20+ touches per game. Monitor training camp as Harris allegedly put on significant weight this offseason. But if he rounds into shape, draft in the first round with confidence.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Najee Harris had a fantastic rookie season with 300 rushing attempts, 10 touchdown and even 74 receptions. The departure of Ben Roethlisberger means he should be even more potent and key to the Steelers success. Greater mobility at quarterback can only help further. Safe near the top in all formats.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Harris is one of the few foundation back profiles and the Steelers offense cannot be much worse through the air than the 2021 version with an eyeing-retirement Ben Roethlisberger. Harris' floor is within the top-15 of the position with top-five a strong possibility.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Only 24 years old and the Steelers, now led by a combination of Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett, will ride Harris as the engine of the offense. Harris ranked second in the entire league in opportunities per game (24.1) a season ago.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Adams leaves the comfortable confines of Green Bay and reunites with his college quarterback, Derek Carr. It would be absurd to expect the same numbers in Las Vegas, but Adams is too talented not to be a No. 1 fantasy option again.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Now into his ninth year, Davante Adams is a guy you rank high, but worry about how he adapts to Derek Carr and the Raiders. Carr is a good quarterback, but he isnâ€™t Aaron Rodgers. He also will hit 30 this year making his dynasty stock start to drop. He probably makes a better best ball prospect than redraft prospect this year, but his timing with Carr needs to be watched carefully in training camp. His huge paycheck may be difficult to recoup for fantasy managers and expectations should be managed.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Adams' trade to the Raiders affects the upside of Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller more pushing down Adams' range of outcomes in 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Davante Adams' situation was downgraded moving from Green Bay to the Raiders but Adams did play college football with Derek Carr and Josh McDaniels is sure to feature him. Playing in a loaded conference and division, the Raiders will be throwing a ton this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Cook has never played more than 14 games and is coming off a 13-game campaign that saw his touchdown tally drop from double digits to just six scores. He needs the touchdown tally to rebound to justify his mid-first round ADP.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Dalvin Cook had a down year and missed his usual few games in 2021. The biggest concern was the significant drop in touchdowns. A new coaching staff is a concern, especially as his salary cap number rises and getting cheap at the position is relatively easy. At his best he is an elite fantasy back. I would still rate him highly, but maybe drop him back in dynasty leagues for future worth,
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: One of the few elite two-way running backs in the NFL, tied to a quality quarterback and two wide receivers to boot. Cook is one of the easy Round 1 picks for 2022
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Last year's consensus second pick overall in fantasy received the expected elite volume. Cook ranked third in opportunities per game (23.6). Expect new Head Coach, Kevin O'Connell, to increase Cook's usage and upside in the receiving game this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Father Time is undefeated, but Tyreek Hill's trade to Miami all but guarantees Kelce will sit atop the tight end rankings for at least another season.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Travis Kelce is defying age and continues his unparalleled level of production at the tight end positiom. Six consecutive 1000 yard seasons and with the departure of Tyreek Hill, the sure fire number one target in an explosive offense. Surely at some stage his age catches up to him, so in dynasty leagues you have to decide whether to ride him until the end or trade him for younger options.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Tyreek Hill is gone, leaving Kelce as the most bankable producer on the Chiefs offense. The biggest quibble with Kelce is a potential age fall-off after a slip to 92-1125-9 in 2021. However, Kelce is one of the safest usage projections of the tight end position where finishing outside of TE3/4 is tough to project.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Without Tyreek Hill, the targets at wide receiver in Kansas City will likely be spread around more than in years past. The main constant? Travis Kelce will once again be fed from arguably the best quarterback in the game.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: After leading the league in catches and yards in 2020, Diggs came back to Earth in 2021 but was still masterful (103 receptions, 1,225 yards, 10 touchdowns). As long as Josh Allen is healthy, Diggs will be heavily targeted and productive.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The move to Buffalo has definitely worked out for Stefon Diggs. High expectations means little downside. Diggs is probably about as reliable as you can get, but 8-10;touchdiwns for a receiver are difficult to project with confidence. In dynasty it would be tempted to sell a late 20 something receiver, but he is still deserving of a high ranking.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Diggs has 230 receptions over his two seasons with Buffalo. Few receivers have as high of a floor as Diggs, paired with Josh Allen, and no notable additions to the passing game.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Stefon Diggs' 2021 performance wasn't as incredible as his outstanding 2020 campaign but his usage was similar as he saw 166 targets in 16 games in 2020 and 164 targets in 17 games in 2021. Diggs remains a dynamic playmaker paired with the consensus QB1 in fantasy.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Bengals' improbable run to the Super Bowl came thanks to the Burrow/Chase/Higgins passing breakthrough, but Joe Mixon's value didn't take a hit in the process; it improved. Expect another dynamic RB1 season in 2022.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: With the Cincinnati Bengals having their best season in generations, Joe Mixon welcomed the improvement in the passing game by having a career year. Double digit touchdowns, career highs in receiving and rushing yardage all suggest he may be in for another peak season in 2022. The Bengals offense is young and still improving. One of the safer elite running backs out there.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Joe Mixon enjoys a depth chart without a strong RB2 presence and leading a high-powered Bengals offense. Mixon hit a career-high in fantasy production in 2021, fueled by 16 total touchdowns. Still, the lone missing piece from an elite finish is improving on his 42 receptions from a year ago.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Mixon ranked sixth in opportunities per game (21.3) last year and is locked into the starting Running Back role in an offense led by Joe Burrow. Mixon will only be 26 years old this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: We're giving Swift a lot of credit considering he's been unable to stay on the field in either of his first two seasons. 1,069 yards and 7 touchdowns last year hardly justify his current ADP, so if you draft him realize it's because you think he can significantly build off what we've already seen.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Dâ€™Andre Swift looks the part of an NFL running back, but he has missed far too much time in both his first two seasons and when he plays he averages only 10 rushing attempts a game. Sure he does excellent work out of the backfield, but at his draft price you would like a little more.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The biggest pause with Swift is if he will be used like a feature back or a complimentary one. If optimized like an Alvin Kamara or Christian McCaffrey type in the passing game, then 150 rushes are enough to get him into the strong RB1 conversation.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Swift is the 23-year-old version of Alvin Kamara. Swift caught 62 passes in only 13 games last season and the Lions' offense is trending up.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: With Amari Cooper in Cleveland, CeeDee Lamb is finally ready to ascend into the No. 1 spot on a Cowboys offense that ranked No. 1 last year. Don't be surprised if Lamb becomes a top-3 fantasy option.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The departure of Amari Cooper and ACL injury to Michael Gallup make CeeDee Lamb the clear number one receiver in Dallas. Now in his third year he still has not ranked as a number one receiver. The potential and expected ranking though have him with few receivers ranked higher.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Lamb will be a popular elite breakout candidate for strong WR1 numbers. However, Michael Gallup was a serious hindrance to Lamb before his injury and projects to return in 2022. Lamb has a high floor, but the elite ceiling is still a bit of a projection based on results to date.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: CeeDee Lamb looks primed for a third-year leap paired with a healthier Dak Prescott entering 2022. Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson are gone and Michael Gallup is recovering from a torn ACL. It's Lamb's time.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Have we already seen Alvin Kamara's best? With the departures of Sean Payton and Drew Brees, it's time to start thinking of Kamara as a quality RB2 and not your fantasy cornerstone.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Alvin Kamara had his most disappointing fantasy season last year. His receptions dropped from the usual 80s to under 50. His rushing touchdowns were a career low, as was his yards per carry. On the bright side he had a career high in carries and shouldnt have to shoulder the burden of the offense with a much improved receiving corp. He is at the stage of his career where dynasty managers should consider their options, but he has demonstrated enough in his career to be given the benefit of the doubt for 2022. A suspension is possible, but until announced and confirmed he ranks here
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Kamara has an off-the-field cloud of legal issues over him, but those project as more 2023 reasons for concern than 2022. Kamara leads a Saints backfield who led the NFL in designed run plays per game last season and did not notably add to the depth chart. Mark Ingram is a solid backup but will not siphon notable work from Kamara, one of the elite receivers at the position in the NFL. Kamara's 67 targets over 13 games in 2021 marked a notable downturn without Drew Brees under center.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Kamara is only 27 years old and will remain the focal point of the Saints' offense in 2022. Kamara ranked fourth in opportunities per game (22.9) in 2021.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Andrews was always touchdown-dependent, but last year he became Lamar Jackson's most reliable option in any down and distance. With Hollywood Brown traded away, Andrews' place among the elite is assured.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Mark Andrews smashed through the 1000 yard season barrier with a whopping 1361 yards and finally usurped Travis Kelce as the number one fantasy tight end. The departure of Marquise Brown needs to be filled to allow Andrews to excel and the Ravens will have a stronger running game after their backfield was decimated in 2021. Andrews presents a safe floor in all leagues and despite lacking 2021 upside he should be one of the first tight ends taken everywhere.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Andrews, like Travis Kelce, saw his team's WR1 from last season exit the passing game. Marquise Brown's departure leaves Andrews uncontested (as if he was strongly contested previously) to potentially lead the position in targets in 2022. Andrews has elevated into an elite producer and is firmly in the position's prime production age window as well.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Marquise Brown is gone and Mark Andrews will only be 27 years old for the entirety of the 2022 season. Andrews dominated last season, catching 107 of 153 targets for 1,361 yards and 9 touchdowns. However, it must be noted a lot of his dominant performances down the stretch came without Lamar Jackson in the lineup.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Is Samuel's discontent going to make him a risky bet? Keep in mind he was a fantasy stud in the first half of the season as a pure receiver, and then had identical fantasy value in the second half as a hybrid running back. Any way he's used, he remains a top option.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: What the true story regarding Deebo Samuels offseason trade request and now contract negotiations really is remains to be seen. Based on his 2021 output, he will be one of the most valuable wide receivers in fantasy leagues. Like the evolution of the running back to become better pass catchers, wide receivers who are consistent threats running the ball just become dual threat fantasy point scoring machines.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Samuel, unhappy with the team during the offseason, is unlikely to be moved with the NFL Draft long in the rear-view mirror to return a current selection for the dynamic playmaker. Samuel was a big-play maven as a receiver, but his work as a rusher is the cherry on top for fantasy with 365 yards and eight scores on the ground alone.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Deebo Samuel's 2022 campaign is almost assuredly going to be a disappointment when compared to 2021. Samuel's trade request remains out there as he reportedly doesn't want to be used as much as a running back, which is where his cheat code performances truly came from last season. Still, Samuel is one of the best players in the NFL. I can't rank him any lower than this.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Jones can do it all, but the Packers had success splitting snaps between Jones and Dillon last year. Given Jones' contract and the Packers need to replace Davante Adams, expect Jones to remain a must-start fantasy asset in 2022, but understand his ceiling is capped as a low-end RB1.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Aaron Jones had his worst season in quite some time, getting nowhere near 1000 rushing yards and with A.J. Dillon recording more carries than his teammate, Jones may only have value if his role as a receiver out of the backfield increases. The departure of Davante Adams opens this door and coming off his best season in this role, more can be expected this year. He maybe only is a bottom end RB1 these days, but skilled pass catching backs can remain a force as fantasy options giving him still some dynasty value
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jones found himself in a firm committee with rising AJ Dillon in 2021. Jones relied more on the receiving game to be a vibrant fantasy option with 52-391-6 through the air. The six touchdowns mark a regression-worthy scoring rate as an area to monitor for 2022. The good news is if Dillon misses time, Jones projects as an elite RB1 play.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Aaron Jones is in a timeshare with A.J. Dillon but Jones is the 1a playing with the back-to-back MVP, Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay ranked second in offensive DVOA last season and Jones will be relied upon more in 2022 on the ground and through the air now that Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are no longer on the team.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Everyone is counting on a Barkley bounceback. I'm not so sure we should expect a return to elite status after back-to-back disappointing seasons.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The year was 2019 and Saquon Barkley finishes the last three weeks with 63 carries for 393 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Add in 11 receptions for 146 yards and a touchdown and Barkley had fantasy managers excited for his future. Now, he averages 3.46 yards a carry over the last two years and has to be looking to escape for a fresh start on a much better team. We have to get through 2022 first though and it is with very little confidence. There is always hope, but we need more than that with our second to third-round selections.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Barkley is one of the highest variance plays at the position for 2022. Barkley has elite RB1 upside but has not shown it (or health) in recent seasons. A healthy Barkley is a lock top-12 producer considering his big-play ability and receiving game floor.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Barkley had a disastrous 2021 season returning from major injury, getting hurt again, and playing on a putrid offense. But still only 25 years old, Barkley is worth buying the dip on with Brain Daboll likely to improve the Giants' offense noticeably.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: With Godwin recovering quickly from a torn ACL and Julio Jones and Russell Gage joining the fray, Evans could see less volume than normal -- but he's so efficient he remains an early round pick in all formats.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Mike Evans is the best receiver from the excellent rookie crop from 2014. He has Tom Brady throwing him the ball and Chris Godwin will be coming off an ACL. Evans has 13 and 14 touchdowns with Brady and has started his career with an unparalleled eight consecutive 1000 yard seasons to start a career. Safe as you can get,
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Death, taxes, and 1,000-yard seasons for Mike Evans have been the guarantees since Evans entered the NFL in 2014. Evans has logged 27 touchdowns over the past two seasons and Chris Godwin likely to miss the start of the season puts even more security in Evans seeing quality targets from Tom Brady.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Rob Gronkowski is retired (for now), Chris Godwin is recovering from a torn ACL, and Antonio Brown is long gone. Tom Brady is going to pepper Mike Evans with targets early and often, especially in the red zone. Evans is a threat to score 15+ touchdowns this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Fournette was nothing short of spectacular last season, and the Buccaneers are bringing the gang back for one more Super Bowl push.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers let Ronald Jones go in the off-season. The last two third-round draft picks in Keâ€™Shawn Vaughn and Rachaad White are backups only. Itâ€™s an excellent situation for Leonard Fournette to turn patchy moments of excellence into a season of elite production. Ever since the run to the Superbowl win in the 2020 season, Fournette has been a fantasy monster. With elite production as a receiver as well, Double-digit touchdowns are his baseline for 2022, elevating him into one of the better fantasy options.. His reasonable three year contract extension extends life into his dynasty career and I would consider double digit touchdowns his baseline for 2022, elevating him into one of the better fantasy options.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Few running backs project as double-digit touchdown and 50 or more reception upside while on a strong offense. Leonard Fournette checks each of those boxes with top-five overall upside at the position.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Tom Brady loves throwing to his Running Backs on all downs and that play style helped Fournette rack up 69 receptions in only 14 games last season. Fournette is only 27 years old and projects as Tampa Bay's workhorse once again in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hill getting traded to Miami is a shocker, and we need to accept that we've seen Hill's best already. The only question is how close he can come to matching his Kansas City days. Chances are he'll be less productive than his ADP implies.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Weâ€™re not in Kansas anymore. With Tyreek Hill moving to Miami, fantasy managers are expecting similar production. That seems impossible with Patrick Mahomes II replaced by Tua Tagovailoa, one of the greatest offensive minds in Andy Reid replaced by a rookie head coach, and a team that had a rhythm for scoring points at will replaced with a team that will need to learn how to gel as a unit. Hill is still a dynamic force and will make those around him better. The only problem is that Hill himself will disappoint.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Will Tua Tagovailoa being a position or negative for Tyreek Hill? Hill has strong competition for targets among the wide receiver corps in Miami (Jaylen Waddle) compared to Kansas City, plus loses Patrick Mahomes. WR10-20 production for Hill is more likely than the top-10 this season.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Tyreek Hill's situation was downgraded going from the Chiefs to the Dolphins but that is baked into his reduced ADP cost. Hill remains one of the most dynamic players in the game and will receive numerous yards after the catch opportunities from the accurate Tua Tagovailoa.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Higgins built off his excellent rookie season with another stellar season, but Ja'Marr Chase's emergence puts a ceiling on Higgins.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The arrival of JaMarr Chase definitely limited the upside of Tee Higgins. Higgins is a legitimate number one receiver, but his opportunities to dominate will be limited. His current ADP is at his absolute ceiling, making value almost impossible. He is still a strong dynasty prospect at only age 23.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Higgins and JaMarr Chase can both co-exist and be top-12 fantasy options within the same dynamic Cincinnati passing game. Higgins is on a strong career arc path.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Targets per game last year: Tee Higgins 7.86 and JaMarr Chase 7.53. Higgins is a fantastic player tied to Joe Burrow and one of the most exciting passing offenses in the NFL.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Chubb averages 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns per season, yet always seems to be cast as a consolation prize on draft day. Assuming Deshaun Watson plays a majority of the season, the Browns offense should be explosive and Chubb will have even more opportunities to score.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Nick Chubb is not getting the fantasy stats his talent deserves. He is a rare talent at the position and just needs touchdowns or more work as a receiver to be a fantasy stud. His yards per carry for running backs with over 500 career carries is third all time behind Bo Jackson and Jamaal Charles. Yes he is ahead of Jim Brown. He seems to miss a couple of games every year, but at some stage he is going to be a fantasy monster. Invest now.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Deshaun Watson is poised to aid the entire Browns offense, including the already-efficient Nick Chubb on the ground. Kareem Hunt is a thorn in the passing game upside for Chubb, but with a strong depth chart, it would not be a surprise to see Hunt moved before the season. Chubb is outside the top-10 due to his lack of receiving alone, needing a Derrick Henry-like rushing stat line to break into the top-half of RB1 territory.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Chubb will play almost the entirety of the 2022 season at only 26 years of age. Despite not catching many passes, Chubb still ranked 12th in opportunities per game (18.7) last season. Chubb is the engine of the Browns' offense and he'll receive a boost if/when Deshaun Watson suits up this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Allen should age gracefully thanks to Justin Herbert's elite productivity.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: After a troubling start to his career, Keenan Allen has put in a great five year stretch of five consecutive seasons as a top 20 fantasy receiver. Now aged 30, one has to wonder if Allen can continue to be the main target for rising star Justin Herbert. Probably a time to sell in dynasty.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Allen projects as the top option for an elite quarterback in Justin Herbert. Historically, this is a strong equation for fantasy upside. WR3 and tight end are still question marks for upside in this passing game, stabilizing the floor and ceiling for Allen.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Just because I have Mike Williams ranked higher than Keenan Allen doesn't mean I'm not bullish on Allen as well. Justin Herbert is the real deal and Allen projects as his top option once again after catching 106 passes on 157 targets for 1,138 yards and 6 touchdowns last season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Conner only averaged 3.7 yards per carry and barely eclipsed 1,100 yards from scrimmage. But he scored 18 touchdowns making him a fantasy star. While he'll remain the Cardinals' No. 1 tailback, he's likely to see major touchdown regression, which puts him at risk if drafted as an RB1.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: James Conner may actually be value this year. With a six game suspension to DeAndre Hopkins, the running game should be used heavily to open up the other receivers. With Chase Edmonds and his 116 carries and 40;plus receptions gone to Miami and no real depth options, Conner could see much more work. As a dynasty prospect though thr countdown fo the end is on
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Conner pushed aside Chase Edmonds as 2021 progressed and the Arizona backfield has question marks at RB2+ with Eno Benjamin and Keaontay Ingram as the current residents. Conner is a sneaky bet to crash the elite tier of the position for a non-elite cost.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Conner is only 27 years old and scored 18 total touchdowns last season. Chase Edmonds is gone and the combination of Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury will continue to heavily utilize the Running Back in the Cardinals' offense.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The NFL's new $ 25-million-per-year alpha receiver is going to break a lot of fantasy hearts this year if his ADP doesn't normalize. The Eagles aren't going to have the passing volume to support Brown as a top-8 option. Caveat Emptor.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: On the bright side A.J Brown has proven he is an elite talent in his three years in Tennessee. On the down side the Titans ddnâ€™t want to pay him market rates at the position and shipped him to the Eagles. He may not produce to the level he could have with Tennessee, but he should still see plenty of receptions and is a proven touchdown machine.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Brown's move to Philadelphia is a potential upside limitation considering the Eagles' run-centric offense and Jalen Hurts yet to take a significant step forward as a passer. Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert offer strong competition for targets. Also, Brown has generally been overrated by the fantasy-dynasty community compared to his production for the last 12-18 months.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: A.J. Brown is an elite talent and that's exactly what we want to bet on but Jalen Hurts will need to take a step forward as a passer after putting up mediocre passing numbers last season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Melvin Gordon re-signing is a bummer, for sure, because he was highly effective last year in the offense. But with a new coaching staff comes new loyalties, and Javonte should still be in line to emerge as the team's No. 1 while Gordon takes a step back to a high-floor No. 2.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Much will be made of the re-signing of Melvin Gordon as a negative when evaluating Javonte Williams this year. That would be a mistake. Gordon is a 29 year old running back with plenty of wear on his tires. Williams is a future elite back with an experienced quarterback who has great receiving options. Williams is a hard man to bring down and with a full offseason, should make good on a fantastic rookie season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: With Melvin Gordon back in Denver, Williams is set to simmer for his strong predictable upside outside of a Gordon injury. Williams might be the 1A as opposed to a full split or 1B role a year ago in the tandem. Williams is a higher RB1 any week Gordon is out.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Javonte Williams is 22 years old and ready to explode on the scene in his second NFL season paired with Russell Wilson. Williams will resume his timeshare with Melvin Gordon but that didn't stop him from ranking 20th in the league in opportunities per game (15.1) as a rookie. Expect Williams' workload to grow in a better offense this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Pitts had a remarkable rookie season that exceeded my expectations. Breaking 1,000 yards at the tight end position as a rookie portends greatness, and as long as Arthur Smith can find competency at quarterback, the sky is the limit.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: 110 targets, 68 catches and over 1000 receiving yards is an amazing rookie season. The only thing disappointing was the one touchdown for Kyle Pitts. You would have to assume that will be a career anomaly and his ranking will improve significantly with further development. As a dynasty option at the position he is secure as elite as they get
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Pitts' rookie year stat line was historic for a rookie tight end. The lone blemish is a single touchdown on his log, where any reasonable touchdown rate would have fueled a top-half TE1 season out of Pitts. Expect Pitts to crash the TE4/5 threshold this season with a few more touchdowns and being a centerpiece passing game element for the likely-to-trail-plenty Falcons.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: In his rookie season at only 20 and 21 years of age, Kyle Pitts caught 68 of 110 targets for 1,026 yards and one touchdown. His volume and efficiency should easily increase his touchdown count in 2022. Pitts is a special player.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Elliott has fallen out of favor, with most of the industry ranking him outside the Top 20. Yet, he's coming off another RB1 season. While his per-touch value is on a four-year decline, the Cowboys still need to rely on him as a high volume contributor.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Ezekiel Elliott finished as the 6th-ranked fantasy back in 2021. This was considered disappointing. One of the few big-name backs to play all 17 games, Elliott played through niggling injuries and had five games with ten or fewer carries. Tony Pollard is likely to play more receiver routes. With improvement in the offensive line expected, a fully fit Elliott could, for once in his career, be viewed as undervalued. . For Dynasty leagues he could fall rapidly in value, but as I suspect he has two prime years left I would hold fast.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Elliott is the starting back, unquestioningly so despite Tony Pollard being a quality secondary option, on one of the strong NFL offenses. That alone is reason for optimism and upside with a vice grip on goal line opportunities and his long-standing profile of quality production.
Bob Henry on Jul 20: It's hard to count out Ezekiel Elliott when we hear that he's fully healthy and we know the investment the Cowboys have in him. He may be just fine and have another couple of RB1 year of production in him, but the eyes don't lie. Tony Pollard has more bounce, explosion and he's more efficient receiver to boot. I'd much rather take swing on Pollard later in the draft and grab a couple other RBs as starters than bank on Elliott returning value at his draft position.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Ezekiel Elliott will only be 27 years old this season yet is moderately ranked due in part to his disappointing production and injuries over the past few years. Unlike other Running Backs ranked this high though, Elliott has a legitimate competition in his own backfield with the super talented Tony Pollard. This is where I feel comfortable buying into the Cowboys' offense with Elliott yet I have my eye on Pollard in every draft as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Matt Ryan's arrival bodes well for Pittman's breakout. He has the talent, and now only needs to stay healthy and build a rapport with Ryan over the summer to be a fantasy star.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Michael Pittman was an elite receiver for significant parts of the 2021 season. With better quarterback play expected out of Matt Ryan, his ascent to be amongst the best should continue. Still improving and has all the skills to dominate. Underrated.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Pittman has an ideal opportunity to build upon his promising 2021 breakout season. The Colts added Matt Ryan as a stabilizing element at quarterback, plus there were no notable additions to the passing game with pressure on Parris Campbell and Mo Alie-Cox to elevate their play as ancillary weapons.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Michael Pittman caught 88 passes for 1,082 yards and 6 touchdowns last season and now receives an upgrade at quarterback from Carson Wentz to Matt Ryan.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: D.J. Moore is among the most overrated fantasy assets year in, year out. He doesn't score touchdowns and while TD production is volatile, the Panthers' quarterback situation makes betting on positive regression difficult.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: D.J. Moore has been remarkably consistent, especially consider the lacklustre quarterback play. 1150 yards and four touchdowns in each of the last three years is a great floor. If he lifts that touchdown number he is a clear WR1. A great dynasty prospect.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Robby Anderson took a step back in 2021 and Terrace Marshall did not contribute as a rookie. Moore posting even an average touchdown rate would challenge for top-12, or higher, production this season. Baker Mayfield's trade acquisition by Carolina in July boosts Moore's upside as an upgrade under center from Sam Darnold as the projected starter.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: D.J. Moore's receiving yards in each of the past three seasons: 1,175 in 2019, 1,193 in 2020, and 1,157 in 2021. He now receives a quarterback upgrade in Baker Mayfield.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Allen has been the No. 1 fantasy quarterback in back-to-back seasons, so he understandably will be the first signal-caller off the board in most leagues. But Brian Daboll's departure and the added risk of his running the ball 100+ times makes him a high risk/high reward option.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Josh Allen has been the number one fantasy quarterback for two straight years. Three in.a row is highly likely. Even his rushing numbers increased. With over 35 passing touchdowns as well, he does it all.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Allen led the quarterback position in fantasy points last season with all of his notable weapons returning. Allen trailed only Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson in rushing yardage as well. Patrick Mahomes losing Tyreek Hill is a worthy tiebreaker between Allen and Mahomes.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Josh Allen's dual threat elite skillset has him firmly at QB1. Additions of Jamison Crowder and James Cook could even bolster the passing attack.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Is it as simple as targeting Waddle because he's coming off the board after Tyreek Hill? While Hill is far more proven, Waddle has a fantastic rookie season and will have less defensive attention and more space to create in the open field this year. Buy aggressively.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: There have only been 13 1000 yard seasons by a rookie wide receiver in the last 20 years. There has only been one previous instance of 100 catches by a rookie, Anquan Boldin almost 20:years ago. Jaylen Waddle broke that rookie catch record. This magnificent season was eclipsed by Jamarr Chase and his year, but Waddle deserves recognition. With Tyreek Hill arriving, maybe the catches drop, but he will be open and do more with the ball.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Waddle is off to a strong career track after a productive Year 1. However, the limitations of Tua Tagovailoa plus the addition of Tyreek Hill siphon unrealized upside from Waddle in 2022. Waddle has more downside than many of the receivers drafted and ranked around him.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Jaylen Waddle was the WR14 in fantasy points per game in PPR scoring last season yet will see less volume now that Tyreek Hill has been brought in.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The debates about Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool seem laughable after last season. Johnson's fantasy value hinges on whether Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett can manage the offense.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Diontae Johnson was magnificent for most of the 2021 season to make JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington expendable. In a crucial contract year, Johnson should still be dominant despite the retirement of Ben Roethlisberger. Johnson is still capable of improvement as well.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Diontae Johnson ranked as WR9 in fantasy points per game in PPR last season yet there is uncertainty with his quarterback change from Ben Roethlisberger to a combination of Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett. George Pickens is also talented and was drafted.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Waller was a disappointment last year and now target vacuum Davante Adams comes to town. Waller still slots as the No. 2 option in a high-volume passing attack, but the days of thinking Waller had Kelce upside are behind us. He's a tier below, but still one of the better options on draft day, particularly in TE-premium scoring systems.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Darren Waller had a relatively disappointing season after two breakout years preceding it. He has the potential to do it again. There is a little concern as he turns 30 and Davante Adams arrives to be the lead receiver. Waller does have the potential to return to the form that saw him rank as a top two tight end, but his downside is steep and in dynasty leagues he carries risks.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Waller missed games in 2021 for the first time in his elite production string, plus posted a meager two touchdowns. This offseason has Davante Adams added to the Raiders passing game, plus Hunter Renfrow coming off a breakout season. Waller has elite talent, but reaching an elite fantasy ceiling will be tougher than 2020 and 2021 with Waller's competition for targets at an all-time high.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Derek Carr threw for almost 5,000 yards last season and new head coach, Josh McDaniels, is an upgrade for the offense. Darren Waller continues to be a special talent.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Jets have a lot of questions, and Hall's success hinges on Wilson making a massive improvement under center. But if the Jets do show offensive growth, Hall will likely be the new engine.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Breece Hall presents as the number one rookie running back and lands in a situation where he should immediately press for high fantasy production. Only problem is its with the Jets. The pieces are there for team to be better, but will Zach Wilson be up to the challenge? How good a season Hall has is dependant on that. His future as a dynasty option suffers unless the Jets become a decent team.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hall was the first running back off the board in the NFL Draft as expected. The Jets offer a tempered outlook for Hall initially with Michael Carter a nice RB2 and offensive upside questions with Zach Wilson posting a poor first season. Hall is more of an RB2/3 projection than RB1 in his first season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: The Jets put an emphasis on getting Zach Wilson offensive help this offseason and I expect that to continue in season by making Hall the focal point of the offense. A strong prospect with a dual-threat skillset, Hall should hit the ground running right away and have a solid rookie year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: After four seasons of disappointing performance, Mike Williams finally strung together a productive full season. His 11th-ranked finish is likely a career-high because it came on nine touchdowns, but Justin Herbert is one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL which gives all the Chargers receivers a compelling floor.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Mike Williams is maybe best in Bestball leagues where his inconsistency can be covered. On a week to week basis, as an example in five of six weeks last year he had games of 1 catch for 11 yards, 2-27, 2-19, 2-58 and 4-33. Of course the monster games happen as well, which makes where to draft him tricky.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: I prefer Mike Williams to Keenan Allen this season paired with Justin Herbert's cannon for an arm. Williams is the clear-cut alpha outside wide receiver on the Chargers and is a few years younger than Allen.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Brandin Cooks is undervalued every season. Who else can put up top-25 fantasy numbers year in, year out despite different teams, quarterbacks, and offensive playbooks?
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Every year Brandon Cooks gets passed over by drafters in all formats. Why? Sure he may not have ten touchdowns in a season or 100 catches in his stellar career, but he is good for 80 catches, 1000 yards and six touchdowns. Others will draft that boom receiver that surely will break out this year. Just sit back and get a high-end WR2 at a draft price that will be significantly lower. Making a profit still matters.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Brandin Cooks saw 134 targets last season, which was 74 more than any other Texan. He once again projects as the clear-cut WR1 for Davis Mills.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Allen Robinson went from one of the NFC's most dysfunctional organizations to the reigning Super Bowl champions. Health is always a worry, but if he can stay on the field, Robinson will be a high-volume asset in one of the NFL's top offenses. The arrow is pointing way up.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Three good seasons in eight is hardly the reliability you want from a starting fantasy wide receiver. Now on his third team, Robinson will clearly be second in targets behind Cooper Kupp. Is that enough to justify his asking price? Probably not. In his ninth season as a dynasty option he is also a hard sell.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Robinson is one of the bounce-back candidates for 2022. Matthew Stafford is easily Robinson's best quarterback of his career, Robert Woods is gone to Tennessee, and Van Jefferson has yet to show more than sporadic flashes in an ancillary receiver role. Robinson, even with an elite Cooper Kupp producing on the same depth chart, has top-12 upside.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Allen Robinson will be featured in Sean McVay's elite offense and will play with by far the best quarterback in Matthew Stafford he's ever had. I'm taking a stand that last season was a fluke.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Armed with $71-million in new money on a 3-year extension, we can safely assume McLaurin will be a happy camper and the alpha target. While Carson Wentz isn't the long-term answer, he's a better quarterback than anyone McLaurin caught passes from in 2021.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Terry McLaurin looks every but the part of an elite wide receiver. He has been drafted high the last two years and will do so again. The only problem is that he ranks as a bottom end WR2 due to a low touchdown count and not as many receptions as his compatriots. Does that change with the arrival of Carson Wentz or will he underperform again? As a dynasty prospect that day will come one day where he ranks as a WR1. Will it be 2022?
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Terry McLaurin has totaled 3,090 receiving yards in his first three seasons in the NFL. He's very talented yet is paired with Carson Wentz and will face more target competition this season from first-round pick, Jahan Dotson, and a healthier Curtis Samuel.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Early reports indicate Russell Wilson and Courtland Sutton have chemistry. If Sutton stays healthy, he could far surpass his prior four seasons.
Ben Cummins on Aug 5: The loss of Tim Patrick is extremely significant for Courtland Sutton. Sutton is now locked in as the alpha outside WR on the Broncos. Sutton's game and size mesh perfectly with Russell Wilson's strengths as an aggressive downfield accurate passer. Draft Sutton if you love touchdowns.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Sutton has career-best upside in 2022 with the addition of Russell Wilson by Denver. Sutton has yet to crash the top-20 in aPPG for his career. Overall volume for the passing attach and if Sutton can be the clear WR1 over Jerry Jeudy, are the critical questions for Sutton's ceiling.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Etienne is one of the better values on draft boards currently, but he'll shoot up rankings with a healthy preseason. He's going to be the centerpiece of Doug Pederson's offense, yet people are treating him like an unproven committee back. Enjoy that arbitrage window for the short time it stays open.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: A first-round pick for the Jaguars last year, Travis Etienne missed his entire rookie season. Not only is he unproven Etienne has a new coaching staff and competition from James Robinson. You normally do not like your inexperienced or rookie backs to attract a fourth-round draft price. Even the prize rookie from this yearâ€™s draft in Breece Hall has a lower ADP. Etienne also is likely to be touchdown and rushing attempt deprived on a struggling Jacksonville offense. The upside is there, but compared to the risk a wiser choice needs to be made with a pick this early.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Etienne is coming off an injury before his 2021 rookie season even got started, but so is James Robinson. Etienne has Round 1 pedigree and the Urban Meyer stink is gone from the hoping-to-rebound Jaguars. Etienne has the profile of a breakout candidate especially if James Robinson has a diminished role or is slow on his recovery.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: With Urban Meyer in the rear-view mirror, I expect Trevor Lawrence to make a significant improvement in his second season. The availability of his college teammate, Travis Etienne, should be a big reason why. Etienne was a very good prospect and profiles as a great receiving back.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Kittle hasn't played a full season for three years, and most likely will be playing with a new quarterback in Trey Lance. Yet, he's coming off a career-high 6 touchdown season and looked like himself for most of 2021. At a position starved for impact contributors, Kittle is still worth the price.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: George Kittle is the guy that makes the San Francisco offense tick. His versatility allows the running and passing game to flourish. As a receiver he is dangerous and likely ti be one of the few tight ends to approach or crack 1000 yards. His touchdown numbers are consistent, but with a few more he approaches Travis Kelce numbers. Still great as a dynasty option and maybe even ahead of Kelce here
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Missed games have been commonplace for Kittle the past three seasons, 13 total, and a high touchdown season has eluded the 49ers' tight end (career-high six in 2021). Kittle has regularly been the bridesmaid instead of the bride when discussing the TE1/2 overall, instead falling into the next subset.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: George Kittle is an elite playmaker and I'm buying the bull case that Trey Lance, a more aggressive passer than Jimmy Garoppolo, will increase Kittle's upside in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Cam Akers is forcing us to redefine what a torn Achilles means for future performance. His ADP suggests most think he'll be back to a full-time workhorse, and maybe he will. But I'm still reluctant to pay for pre-Achilles value.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Cam Akers had a miraculous recovery from a torn achilles to see significant stats in the playoffs. 67 carries and a handful of receptions. He looked ok, but maybe not at his best. At this stage I would see how he is in training camp and assume he will be the lead back for the Rams. If all is good in training camp, take with confidence.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Akers was a feel-good story to even play in 2021 after a summer Achilles injury. Akers did not look good, however, and Darrell Henderson is another quality option on the depth chart. The Rams have not thrown to running backs enough to see two-way production of note. At least Akers has double-digit touchdown upside in a best case.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Akers was remarkably able to return at the end of last season, which likely helped him gain momentum heading into 2022. Akers will step in as the starting Running Back for the Super Bowl champion Rams, who ranked eighth in offensive DVOA during the regular season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Bears' offense doesn't appear well-positioned for success in 2022, so avoiding David Montgomery may be the smart play. BUt I've always valued his skill set more than most, and will happily target him as an RB2.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: David Montgomery is a running back who gets a high workload, is productive but not elite, His consistency is great if heâ€™s your RB2. Dynasty league managers need to be aware of his contract status and next stage of his career. It is unlikely to be better than it is now.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Montgomery is one of the underrated three-down running backs for 2022. The key question is if Justin Fields will supply enough in the passing game to maintain a lighter box for Montgomery. Khalil Herbert is a solid RB2 but no threat to Montgomery's workload even after a promising rookie season.
Bob Henry on Jul 20: Montgomery is heading into the final year of his contract, has legitimate competition for touches in second-year RB Khalil Herbert, and a new play caller who has preferred a committee approach on each of his previous teams. Montgomery is solid in all phases of the game, but the offensive line is among the worst in the league and game scripts could make it tough for Montgomery to maintain the touch volume he's seen in his first three years. If Herbert's share increases at all, Montgomery won't be worth his current ADP.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: The Bears have a new Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator so there is some ambiguity here but David Montgomery projects to be a workhorse once again with Khalil Herbert as his main competition for backfield touches. Montgomery ranked seventh in the league in opportunities per game (21.1) last year and should benefit from playing with the mobile Justin Fields a;; season in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Marquise Brown leaves a run-heavy, vanilla passing offense in Baltimore to an Arizona offense that is wide open and pass-happy. With D. Hopkins suspended and C. Kirk in Jacksonville, Brown should immediately become Kyler Murray's top target.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: A close examination of the 2021 season of Marquise Brown shows us that his worst 11 games totalled 58 catches for 483 yards and one touchdown. The other five games had 33 catches for 525 yards and five touchdowns. Now in Arizona and with DeAndre Hopkins missing for a significant chunk of the season, Brown will be expected to perform as a WR1. Further improvement is possible and he is capable of WR1 stats. His downside is concerning, so treat with caution.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Marquise Brown's vertical skillset pairs well with Kyler Murrayâ€™s strength as a downfield passer and heâ€™ll benefit from DeAndre Hopkinsâ€™ suspension.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mahomes has now finished outside the Top 3 for three years consecutively, but he's never finished worse than QB6. While some will worry about Tyreek Hill's departure, I suspect the Chiefs offense won't skip a beat particularly as the play-calling emphasizes a more balanced approach now.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The loss of Tyreek Hill will be significant, but there are many options for Patrick Mahomes to still be one of the best options in fantasy football. The Chiefs will need to be cognisant of the next generation of stars to keep Patrick Mahomes at his best. He is one of the safest elite quarterbacks with the upside to be the best.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Patrick Mahomes losing Tyreek Hill is a worthy tiebreaker between Josh Allen and Mahomes for the top quarterback spot.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: The absence of Tyreek Hill won't affect Patrick Mahomes much. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore, Mecole Hardman, and possibly even Justyn Ross will be a more than competent enough combination to allow Mahomes to continue dominating the league alongside Travis Kelce.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Amari Cooper will be the new alpha receiver in Cleveland, but his redraft value hinges on how much of the season Deshaun Watson plays.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Amari Cooper moves his enigmatic career to Cleveland. At times he plays like an elite receiver. At others, 2 catches for 8 yards. In Cleveland there will be no CeeDee Lamb or Michael Gallup to take his targets. Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham are gone. Be it Jacoby Brissett or Deshaun Watson, Cooper will dominate targets and should break 1000 yards. His explosive games make great for bestball leagues and as a dynasty option he has plenty of life left.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Cooper exits a fertile Cowboys offense, but enters a Browns offense where a lid-lifting addition of Deshaun Watson offers upside for Cooper at, or above, his Dallas time. Cooper has a vice grip on the WR1 role with WR2 questions in Dovonan Peoples-Jones, Anthony Schwartz, and David Bell the most likely options.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Amari Cooper projects as the clear-cut WR1 in Cleveland. If Deshaun Watson is not suspended for the entire season, Cooper's upside over the second half of the year will be tremendous when it matters most in best ball.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Dobbins' season-ending injury last year provides us with a small window to draft Dobbins at value. As training camp gets underway and the world is reminded of his explosiveness, his ADP will move up to where it should be, as a fringe RB1, high-end RB2.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: J.K. Dobbins was poised for a breakout year in 2021 before tearing an ACL. He averaged 6 yards a carry on 134 rushing attempts and nine touchdowns. His upside is ridiculously high. While Lamar Jackson is scaring defenses, Dobbins will just rack up yardage and fantasy points. Monitor reports out of training camp for progress on his knee,
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The health and recovery status of J.K. Dobbins and/or Gus Edwards is in the crosshairs with Baltimore's signing of Mike Davis this offseason. Dobbins is a strong talent, but Baltimore already had tempered receiving upside for the backfield and now Dobbins might be a slow start to the season or in a committee.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: I'm high on J.K. Dobbins this year if healthy but his recovery from a major knee injury is reportedly going slower than expected. We will have to monitor this situation all summer.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Until the Seahawks fix the quarterback void, Metcalf is an easy avoid at his ADP.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: It seems more and more likely that Seattle really is running with Geno Smith or Drew Lock as their quarterback. DK Metcalf should still produce. He is bigger, faster and more powerful than his opponent and while its not ideal, Lock and Smith should be good enough to get Metcalf the ball. He may be better in bestball than redraft and as a dynasty option. I would not lose faith.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The potential stink of the Seattle quarterback room without Russell Wilson is pulling down the fantasy stock of Metcalf. Seattle did not add to their passing game outside Noah Fant via trade, making Metcalf a potential value.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: DK Metcalf is a physical beast but his quarterback situation is extremely shaky. With Baker Mayfield now in Carolina, it appears the Seahawks are prepared to enter the season with Geno Smith and Drew Lock.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Herbert built off a stellar rookie year and ascended into the truly elite, finishing as QB3. With all his key teammates returning, and coaching continuity, expect more of the same.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Justin Herbert has quickly established himself as one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL. He also successfully navigated the tricky situation of a new regime in his second season. As a dynasty prospect there are few better. There is talent that will be made better by Herbert. A safe option in all formats
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Herbert is still on the upward trajectory and yet posted more than 5,000 passing yards and added more than 300 on the ground last season. Mike Williams returns and Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler are stalwart elements. Gerald Everett provides potential upside from the tight end position from a matchup perspective Jared Cook hit-or-miss offered a year ago.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Justin Herbert's elite skillset is paired with solid weapons and an aggressive coach that will attempt more two-point conversions than most.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Jackson only played 12 games last year and is embroiled in an unsettled contract situation. On a per-game basis, Jackson remains a must-start quarterback in every league format. But the durability and lack of progression as a passer are cause for concern.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: At his best Lamar Jackson is one of the scariest fantasy quarterbacks to be up against. Last year showed us that he is not there as a passer and loses Marquise Brown to boot. You draft him hoping he returns to 2019 form, but need to have a strong backup should the wheels fall off. A weird contract dispute clouds his fantasy worth as a dynasty prospect.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Lamar Jackson has more complication to his dynasty ranking than one specifically for 2022. Jackson offers the most rushing upside in the NFL for the position and 'win a fantasy team's matchup' potential any game. Losing Marquise Brown puts pressure on Rashod Bateman to pick up the slack, but Mark Andrews is Jackson's go-to option either way.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Rashod Bateman will arrive in 2022 and Mark Andrews has already done so. Lamar Jackson's rushing upside is a cheat code.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Godwin didn't go on PUP to start camp, a promising sign he'll be back on the field quickly
Ben Cummins on Jul 27: Chris Godwin did not start training camp on the Physically Unable to Perform list. That's significant news. Godwin is now likely to miss, at most, the first month of the season. I have moved him up the rankings.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: In a year when every receiver is breaking the bank, Smith-Schuster signed another prove-it deal in Kansas City. It's a bold and smart choice given Tyreek Hill's departure. Expect the Chiefs to spread the ball around more, but if there's one receiver who could shatter that plan and become a star, it's JuJu.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: JuJu Smith-Schustet could be in for his best season since 2018 with the move to Kansas City. The departure of Tyreek Hill leaves a huge hole at wide receiver, one that Smith-Schuster cannot fill on his own. He could be an excellent buy low, especially in dynasty formats as although he wore out his welcome in Pittsburgh, he has the ability of an elite receiver and is still only 25 years of age.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: JuJu Smith-Schuster is still only 25 years old and caught 97 passes in his last healthy season in 2020. His quarterback is now Patrick Mahomes.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Gibson has handled a much larger workload than I thought possible in two seasons, but Washington appears set to reduce his touches in order to keep him healthy and optimal for the stretch run.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The drop in the fantasy status revolves around an average year given the touches and the addition of a late third round running back in Brian Robinson. Assigning a major role to the 98th pick in the 2022 draft should be treated with caution. Trey Sermon was the 88th pick last year and got a boom rap. Gibson is still learning the position and can increase his production with improvement. Underrated.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Gibson's two deficiencies have been fumbling and durability. Washington added Day 2 Brian Robinson in the draft, who had zero career fumbles at Alabama and is a power runner. Gibson was already squeezed by J.D. McKissic on the receiving end and now Robinson adds a layer of downside for goal line and early-down work.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Sadly I'm lower on Antonio Gibson than many others. I love Gibson's talent but I'm not a big fan of his situation in Washington playing with Carson Wentz and his competition for touches. J.D. McKissic returns as the pass-catching back and not only was Brian Robinson drafted in the third round, but Ron Rivera is already talking about utilizing both Gibson and Robinson on early downs.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Russell Wilson will ignite the Broncos offense and everyone on the roster has fantasy value depending on the cost. Early reports point to Courtland Sutton being the better fit with Wilson's preferences, but Jeudy can show off in the preseason and calm the skeptics. He's certainly talented enough.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Once again Jerry Jeudy is being drafted on potential rather than actual production. If his zero touchdown season with an average of 46 yards a game is any guide, he shouldnâ€™t sniff a fantasy roster until much later. A troubling offseason isnâ€™t helping matters. Add in a new coach, a new quarterback and Jeudy being drafted as a borderline WR2 is one of the easiest decisions to pass on in the fifth or sixth round.
Ben Cummins on Aug 5: The loss of Tim Patrick is big for Jerry Jeudy because it locks Jeudy into two wide receiver sets. Russell Wilson will unlock Jeudy's talent and playing time is no longer an issue. Draft Jeudy aggressively.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Josh Jacobs is following the Cadillac Williams career trajectory to a tee. He's been run into the ground by Jon Gruden and it'll likely mean a stiff falloff to irrelevance. Josh McDaniels has always fielded top-tier rushing offenses, but it's almost always come from a three or four-person committee. If you're expecting Jacobs to be a workhorse, you're setting up for disappointment.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: After looking like an ascendant talent, the career of Josh Jacobs has taken a backward step. His numbers have decreased in each season. Adding to concerns about his future with the Raiders are the addition of Kenyan Drake last year and Zamir White this season. His numbers have to take a hit, especially with his fifth year option declined. As a dynasty prospect he is risky. His future depends on this season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Plenty among the fantasy community will wring their hands with the Raiders not picking up Jacobs' fifth-year option for 2023 and drafting Zamir White. However, White was a Day 3 selection and the franchise tag is marginally more than the fifth-year option for Jacobs next offseason, plus provides the Raiders flexibility. Jacobs will lead a Raiders offense now boosted by Davante Adams. Jacobs is one of the back in the NFL with 10+ touchdowns and 50+ receptions within his sights.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: New Head Coach, Josh McDaniels, should upgrade the entire offense as should the addition of superstar Davante Adams. After Jon Gruden was fired, Jacobs' upside as a pass-catcher was unlocked. Jacobs ranked 13th in the entire league in opportunities per game (18.1) in 2021. The problem is, early reports have the Raiders' backfield being a full-on committee.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: If Aaron Jones misses significant time, A.J. Dillon becomes a fantasy stud. In the meantime, he'll be a viable RB3/flex option even in suboptimal game scripts.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: With the departure of Davante Adams and the presence of two very good running backs in Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon, Green Bay may run the ball more. Dillon saw his carries increase to almost 200 and he even managed significant work as a receiver. Jones is far from washed up though so Dillon may not get the most if his ability just yet. He has top 12 running back ability, he just needs the chance.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: At worst, Dillon is a flex play with RB1 upside on a weekly basis. Any game Aaron Jones misses Dillon vaults to a must-start.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: I'm bullish on both Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon this year. Green Bay ranked second in overall offensive DVOA and eighth in run DVOA last season and both Jones and Dillon will be relied upon more in 2022 on the ground and through the air now that Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are no longer on the team. Dillon is talented and he was used more as a pass-catcher last season than most would've thought. Dillon caught 34 passes on his way to posting over 1,100 total yards.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Murray only played 14 games last year, but his play remains consistent on a per-game basis. He's a very good fantasy quarterback, but he hasn't shown enough growth to be considered elite. With D. Hopkins suspended and C. Kirk gone, it's unclear whether the offense is capable of more.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Freshly signed to a new contract, Kyler Murray faces a crucial year as he tries to establish himself as an elite NFL quarterback. There were warning signs last year that he isnâ€™t there yet and with DeAndre Hopkins absent for a significant time, I would hope for the upside, but plan for the downside. In dynasty he is more risky as he needs to prove he can play to an elite level regularly.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Murray is one of the tougher to rank quarterbacks. Dynamic as a runner, Murray has largely been an average NFL passer to-date and loses Christian Kirk, saw minimal impact from Rondale Moore last season, and DeAndre Hopkins has devolved into a chain-mover as he ventures into his 30s. Murray needs to challenge for the NFL lead in quarterback rushing to challenge the top-six of the position.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Kyler Murray missed a few games while dealing with injuries last season but is just a year removed from rushing for 819 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2020. His rushing upside is elite.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Thielen missed a month, but still caught 10 touchdowns. With the new coaches installing a pass-happy offense, he's a sure bet to outperform his ADP as long as he's healthy during training camp.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: New Vikings head coach, Kevin O'Connell, will almost certainly make Minnesota a more pass-happy team this season, which will benefit Adam Thielen.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Bears didn't do much to improve one of the league's worst offenses, and Justin Fields may be hamstrung by the front office's decisions. But if there's a path toward Fields breaking through, it involves Mooney playing like an unstoppable alpha receiver.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Darnell Mooney saw 140 targets last season, which was 47 more than any other Bear. Allen Robinson is now gone and no one of his caliber was brought in to replace him. Mooney has bankable volume on his side and is also talented enough to break off big plays. That's an awesome combination.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Jason Wood on Aug 8: St. Brown belayed his draft stock (4th rounder) to become the Lions only reliable receiver in 2021. His role should be secure entering Year 2, but don't get overexcited about his prospects given his pedigree, unimpressive per-catch average (10.1), and unsustainable catch rate (75%).
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Based on the last six weeks of the 2021 season, Amon-Ra St. Brown would be a great addition to your fantasy roster. This is why you should look forward and not back when you evaluate the 2022 season. St. Brown could easily fall to fifth in the pecking order for targets in Detroit behind free agent acquisition D.J. Chark Jr, first-round rookie Jameson Williams, Dâ€™Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson. St. Brown ultimately will need some luck to get anywhere near his draft, meanwhile, the other wide receivers mentioned are being drafted six to seven rounds later and have higher upsides.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 77 passes for 1,042 yards and 6 touchdowns as a true sophomore at USC back in 2019 and then dominated down the stretch during his rookie year in the NFL. St. Brown projects as Jared Goff's WR1 and operates in the areas of the field Goff loves to throw to.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Schultz lacks the athleticism of his TE1 peers, but no one can argue with his role or productivity. Dallas franchised him because he's become a vital piece of the league's No. 1 scoring offense.
Andy Hicks on Aug 8: Dalton Schultz has excelled since stepping in unexpectedly to the lead role in Dallas. He presents no value in 2022 and probably has more downside than you would like from your starting fantasy tight end. He plays like just another guy. Not a dominant elite receiving tight end. The fact Dallas couldnâ€™t reach a long-term deal with Schultz adds doubt to his viability in the future. I expect him to fall to bottom-end starting numbers at best.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Dalton Schultz was the TE5 in fantasy points per game last season, Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson are gone, and Michael Gallup tore his ACL in January. Schultz is closer to the top tier of tight ends than many realize.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Shipping Marquise Brown to Arizona dramatically alters the calculus for Bateman. He should be Lamar Jackson's new alpha receiver, and even in a run-heavy offense he could provide enough fantasy value to warrant an every-week roster slot.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Marquise Brown caught 91 of 146 targets for 1,008 yards and 6 touchdowns last season. He's no longer on the Ravens. Rashod Bateman was an elite prospect entering the NFL last year and projects to take a huge step forward as Lamar Jackson's WR1 in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Thomas is still not 100% healthy. That's baffling. How can anyone reliably draft him under that pretense? If he is a fixture at practice and the preseason, then we can start to let our minds wander into a return to glory.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: The upside case with Michael Thomas is clear but I won't rank him any higher until he practices with the team. Two-year ankle injuries are very concerning.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: We've all become so fixated on the Jaguars' overpaying of Christian Kirk, that we've lost sight of the reality he's stepping into the unquestioned No. 1 role in Doug Pederson's offense. If you're a Trevor Lawrence believer (I'm not), you have to love Kirk at his depressed ADP. You can't have it both ways.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Christian Kirk caught 77 passes on 103 targets for 982 yards and 5 touchdowns last season and now is primed to be Trevor Lawrence's WR1. Lawrence is going to take a big step forward in year two and the Jaguars will constantly have to pass.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Excitement for Trey Sermon gave way to Elijah Mitchell after a stellar preseason, and he ended up the most productive part of Kyle Shanahan's reliable committee. Expect more of the same, if he can stay healthy.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mitchell's knee surgery in the offseason plus the drafting of another Day 2 running back in Tyrion Davis-Price makes one of the most fantasy frustrating running back depth charts in the running again for 2022. Mitchell is the penciled-in starter for Week 1, but that pencil is light with the eraser handy.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Elijah Mitchell is the starting Running Back for a Kyle Shanahan-coached offense that ranked fifth in overall offensive DVOA, fifth in pass DVOA, and fifth in run DVOA a season ago. Mitchell ranked eighth in the league in opportunities per game (20.6) and should now benefit from playing with Trey Lance for all of 2022 if San Francisco does indeed move on from Jimmy Garoppolo as is expected. Tyrion Davis-Price is certainly a worry since Shanahan does not have a history of being loyal to any specific tailback. Still, I'm happy to draft Mitchell around the 5th/6th round since that 49er backfield ambiguity is already baked into his price.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Eagles fully committed to the run as the season progressed, and it turned their fortunes around. But then they traded for A.J. Brown and paid him $25 million per season. Will the coaches unleash Hurts and the passing attack this year? I'm not betting on it, but Hurts rushing prowess gives him a top-10 floor, if healthy.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Jalen Hurts had to love the Eagles trading for A.J. Brown in an effort to lift his passing numbers. As a rushing quarterback 10 rushing touchdiowns makes him very fantasy relevant. Until he lifts those passing numbers, there has to be concern about his long term viability,
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: A.J. Brown's addition is significant for Hurts, who has relied on his rushing prowess for quality fantasy finishes to-date. 10 rushing touchdowns is tough to repeat from a regression standpoint, but surpassing his 16 passing touchdowns from a year ago should be enough to compensate for Hurts.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Jalen Hurts has the perfect profile for a fantasy quarterback. Awesome weapons around him and rushing upside that squarely puts him in the overall QB1 mix.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: If Desmond Ridder surprises everyone, wins the job, and plays well, London could be the best rookie of the crop. But that's a lot of ifs. Most likely, London flashes but suffers the inconsistencies of playing for a team without a good quarterback.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Atlanta doesnâ€™t really have a running game or a quarterback, but it does have two high draft picks to catch the ball. It would be three if Calvin Ridley was available. Kyle Pitts already demonstrated high usage in his rookie season and Drake London should do the same in 2022. There really is little else on offer for the Falcons outside Pitts and London so expect London to grab a huge share of targets, as poor as the offense could be. As a dynasty prospect he is elite....once he gets a quarterback. And a running game. And a good offense
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Drake London was one of my favorite wide receiver prospects in the draft. London is a monster on the outside but also understands how to operate and win in the slot. He's also shiftier than you would think for his size. London projects as the clear-cut WR1 alongside TE/WR Kyle Pitts for the Falcons.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Gabriel Davis scored an improbable 7 touchdowns on 35 receptions as a rookie, and nearly matched the feat in Year 2 (6 touchdowns on 35 catches). But unless Davis' snaps, targets, and receptions skyrocket in Year 3, he's in danger of regressing to little more than a deep roster option and emergency bye week fill-in.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Sometimes you wonder what you are missing. With Gabriel Davis, his fantasy ranking is now that of a WR3, despite dropping in production from a solid rookie season. Maybe factoring in third-year improvement is fair, but with a clear elite target in Stefon Diggs, it is hard to see Davis going far beyond his expected ADP. Chances are he disappoints, especially with a sixth-round draft price. Higher upsides with similar downsides are available much later.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Gabriel Davis played the majority of last season behind Emmanuel Sanders. Davis earned more playing time late in the season and produced when given the opportunity, especially in the playoffs when he erupted for 4 touchdowns. Sanders is gone and Davis now projects as Josh Allen's clear-cut WR2.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Another season, another year when Tom Brady can be had rounds cheaper than he should. Yes, he's 45 years old. Yes, he retired for thirty seconds this offseason. Who cares? He threw for 5,300 yards and 43 touchdowns last year, and all the key pieces return for another run at the Super Bowl.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: At age 44 Tom Brady posted career highs in passing yardage and his second highest ever passing touchdown numbers. After a short term retirement we go through all this again. There has been no noticeable decline in his ability or thought process. It has to end one day, but when? Roll with confidence
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Brady will eventually become an NFL announcer by his record-setting broadcasting contract signed in the offseason. In the meantime, Brady returns to Tampa Bay after leading the NFL in completions, attempts, yards, and passing touchdowns in 2021. Chris Godwin is a question mark on his season start returning from injury and Rob Gronkowski potentially returning are the lone question marks for Brady.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Tom Brady's 2021 season was remarkable. Brady ranked first in pass touchdowns per game, fifth in EPA per play, and eighth in completion percentage over expected on his way to an overall QB2 finish in fantasy points per game. He's still got it.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hockenson only played 12 games last year, which is the second time in three seasons he's missed a big chunk of the season. Until he proves more durable, it's hard to invest a high pick in him despite transcendent talent and All-Pro upside.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The performance of T.J. Hockenson in 2021 was disappointing considering his ADP and lack of a decent receiver in Detroit. Now with multiple options in the offense, will that help or hinder the fantasy prospects of Hockenson in 2022? He is too talented not to give another shot to, but given his ADP there is little margin for error. Dynasty managers can afford a little more patience.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm lower on T.J. Hockenson because the Lions' passing offense only ranked 28th in DVOA last season and there is a lot of target competition with Amon-Ra St. Brown, D'Andre Swift, D.J. Chark, and Jameson Williams.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: 10 games played. 646 total yards. 6 touchdowns. Those numbers aren't going to justify his draft ADP, and now Ronald Jones is on the roster ready to compete for snaps.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Itâ€™s not like the Chiefs have given up on former first-round pick, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, but he hasnâ€™t exactly given the team confidence in his ability to take the lead role. He has missed a third of his games to date and he had a massive drop in big carry games, from five in 2020 to only one last year. As a receiver, he had four games with at least four catches in 2020. Last year there were none. The presence of former high draft pick, Ronald Jones and Jerick McKinnon coming back do not bode well for Edwards-Helaire outplaying his ADP.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Edwards-Helaire had troubling separating from Darrel Williams for feature back usage at times last season. Williams is gone, but Ronald Jones a notable signing and Isaih Pacecho on offers strong athleticism from Day 3 in this year's draft. Edwards-Helaire is one of the shakier starters in the NFL outside of a strong opening stretch of the season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: I want to be more bullish on Clyde Edwards-Helaire due to the offense he plays in but I can't fully get there. Edwards-Helaire has disappointed so far throughout his NFL career and there remains competition within the backfield. Ronald Jones was brought in, Derrick Gore is projected to return, and there is a possibility Jerick McKinnon could be brought back as well. In fact, I expect McKinnon to return later in the summer.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Burrow's pass attempts (520) were much lower than expected, but the recipe worked for the Bengals all the way to a Super Bowl appearance. The only fly in the ointment was a porous offensive line, but the front office spent a fortune on fixing that in free agency. Burrow's lack of rushing keeps him from having No. 1 overall ceiling, but he's firmly in the top-10 conversation.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Joe Burrow had a great fantasy season with 4611 passing yards, with 34 passing touchdowns and 2 on the ground. That was only good enough to rank eighth in a sign of how high expectations are for quarterbacks in fantasy football. Can he improve on those numbers? Probably not by a lot, which makes him a nice bottom end QB1 with little prospect of more.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Burrow does not add much as a runner to his fantasy tally and had a perfect storm of long touchdowns from JaMarr Chase in 2021 to fuel Burrow's top-10 finish. Burrow will have a tough task rising to the elite producers of the position.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: There was a changing of the guard late last season. When the Bengals shifted their offense to pass-first, Joe Burrow posted some huge games and led Cincinnati to the Super Bowl. Burrow is elite and so are his weapons.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Goedert is good, but not great. He does most things well, but with A.J. Brown added to the mix along with 2021 Heisman Trophy winner Devonta Smith progressing, Goedert's ceiling is capped. The Eagles won't have the passing volume to support multiple receiving options on a weekly basis.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Dallas Goedert puts up great numbers consistently. The only problem is that his touchdown numbers do not approach the level you want from an elite fantasy tight end. With the arrival of A.J. Brown and further development of Devonta Smith, Goedert should be able to operate underneath and continue his bottom end TE1 numbers. More if the touchdowns come.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I believe in Dallas Goedert's talent. Goedert put up 830 receiving yards on only 76 targets last season. The full-time starter in 2022 without Zach Ertz on the team, Goedert is primed for a career year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Tony Pollard didn't show much growth last year despite many calling for a more equal footing with Ezekiel Elliott. If Elliott is healthy, Pollard is overvalued.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Pollard is in the small subset of must-start running backs if the starter is out. Ezekiel Elliott has provided zero such games for Pollard to-date despite playing dinged up on numerous occasions. Pollard has flex appeal at times even with a healthy Elliott.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Tony Pollard is worth taking in this range thanks to his talent and the offense he plays in. The Cowboys ranked sixth in offensive DVOA in 2021. Ezekiel Elliott has also suffered multiple injuries and disappointed some over the past few seasons. Pollard's upside is astronomical should the right pieces fall into place this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: DeVonta Smith was miscast as the Eagles' No. 1 receiver given his size, but A.J. Brown's arrival pushes Smith into a perfect No. 2 role. He has the explosiveness, aggression, and route precision to make mincemeat of opposing No. 2 cornerbacks. Don't be surprised if Smith's year-end fantasy value isn't much different than Brown's, particularly in PPR formats.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: DeVonta Smith is a big play waiting to happen and it will be fun to watch him dominate one on one coverage with A.J. Brown drawing attention on the other side.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Renfrow is being grossly overvalued by some analysts. Not only is Davante Adams aboard and sure to command a massive target share, Renfrow scored nine touchdowns last year on 103 receptions -- a rate he's unlikely to ever match again. Fewer targets and touchdown regression leave him as a middling WR3/WR4 in 12-team leagues.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Hunter Renfrow caught 103 passes on 128 targets for 1,038 yards and 9 touchdowns last season. Davante Adams has been brought in and Darren Waller is healthy but the connection Derek Carr has with Renfrow isn't going away. Renfrow is one of the best route runners in the league, especially in the red zone.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Patterson is more of a receiver, but the Falcons did next to nothing to bolster the running back roster, leaving the veteran with another viable fantasy season ahead.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: At age 30 Cordarrelle Patterson had a fluke season. A repeat is unlikely, although the Falcons may think a fifth round rookie will help. Highly unlikely. Patterson has always had talent that hasnâ€™t been utilized correctly, so maybe one more season can be squeezed out, but 31 year old hybrid running backs are a rare breed.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Atlanta added Damien Williams and Tyler Allgeier to the running back depth chart this offseason but subtracted Mike Davis. Patterson is their most dynamic running back option and plays all over the offense, scoring multiple ways.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Cordarrelle Patterson will be needed once again this season after posting 1,166 total yards and 11 total touchdowns in 2021. Atlanta has Kyle Pitts and Drake London and not much else after Patterson. Yet I'm lower than many others due to the significant downgrade at Quarterback from Matt Ryan to a combination of Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: To hear some analysts, you would think the Cowboys offense was awful last year. Yet, they were No. 1 in points (530) and yards (6,919). Prescott put up monstrous numbers again (69% completion rate, 6.2% TD rate, 7.5 yards per attempt), and should be fine as long as Michael Gallup, Jalen Tolbert, and James Washington can approximate Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson's roles.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Dak Prescott earned every cent of his new contract with a 37 passing touchdown season. With only one rushing touchdown, we have to wonder if his days as a rushing quarterback are over or if he starts getting confidence in his kegs again. Ranking him higher, I suspect he will improve on the rushing numbers. Even his downside will be well within the parameters of good fantasy quarterback.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Prescott was a mid-QB1 in 2021 despite not having his rushing upside back from his injury, posting a mere 146 yards and a single touchdown on the ground. Double those numbers and Prescott challenges for QB3 a year ago. Prescott loses Amari Cooper, but Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz notably return and (ideally) CeeDee Lamb takes a step forward.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Fantasy points per game finishes at QB the past three years for Dak Prescott: 3rd in 2019, 1st in 2020, 6th in 2021. Prescott is proven and healthier than he was last season. He's already talking about running more in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Sanders is far and away the most talented tailback on the Eagles roster, but his durability clearly soured him in the coaches' eyes. If anyone is going to become a reliable fantasy star, it's Sanders. But the baseline expectation should be as a middling committee contributor.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Sanders has yet to see a foundation back workload through three seasons and his receiving work saw a pronounced cut in 2021 with the addition of Kenny Gainwell to the depth chart. Sanders is the starter on paper, but one of the lower upside NFL starting options.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Miles Sanders did not score a touchdown last season. Meanwhile, Boston Scott, Kenneth Gainwell, and Jordan Howard combined for 16 total touchdowns. Sanders saw 171 total opportunities and compiled 912 total yards. No touchdowns last year was a fluke and Sanders is due for positive touchdown regression playing in an exciting offense that should be improved with the addition of A.J. Brown.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Wilson wasn't a top-10 fantasy quarterback last year, breaking an eight-year streak. But as we've seen from Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford, veteran quarterbacks can light it up immediately in new surroundings. The Broncos' supporting cast is capable of powerhouse productivity, and Wilson will be re-energized as he pushes for another title.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: After 10 years in Seattle, the last with a seeming desire to move on, Russell Wilson got his wish by being traded to Denver. His career with the Seahawks is hall-of-fame worthy, but that means nothing for his Broncos career. One of his fantasy strengths was in noticeable decline last year with his lowest ever rushing numbers. At his age, you would not expect much from this crucial area for fantasy success. That leaves him as almost a pure passer, almost anachronistic in today's NFL. With Denver likely to lean on Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon III, Wilson will have time to learn a new offense and develop rapport with a good group of receivers. Wilson could push QB1 numbers, but I would be careful expecting this automatically.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Wilson's pass targets going from Seattle to Denver and the 'let Russ cook' mantra might still be in the living room rather than the required kitchen for 2022 to unleash his volume. Wilson is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, but fantasy-wise there is a disconnect if Denver sticks with a two-back (and run-centric) attack this season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Russell Wilson is healthy and with an organization that projects to throw more than Seattle did. Wilson's weapons are exciting and they should allow us to see another vintage Wilson season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Until the Seahawks solve their quarterback situation, both Lockett and DK Metcalf are grossly overvalued.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Without Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett's floor/ceiling combination is much less appealing than it has been over the past few years. That's why he ranks lower for me.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hunt has only played 8 games in two of the last three seasons, which masks how effective he can be in the Browns system when healthy.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hunt is a running back to watch with no guaranteed money and a quality depth chart (D'Ernest Johnson, Jerome Ford) behind him. Hunt's elite upside if Nick Chubb misses time is in some doubt with Johnson's strong showing as a spot starter last year. Hunt being moved by Week 1 would not be a surprise.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Kareem Hunt played in only eight games last season due to injury so it's easy to forget how talented he is but Hunt will only be 27 years old this season. He certainly has more left in the tank and will benefit from playing in an offense that heavily utilizes Running Backs paired with Deshaun Watson if/when Watson is able to play.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Aiyuk started the season in Kyle Shanahan's dog house, and slowly dug himself out. But the end result was the same -- a fantasy finish outside the Top 30. Don't expect much more unless the team moves Deebo Samuel.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Brandon Aiyuk is talented and no longer in Kyle Shanahan's doghouse as far as we know. Trey Lance projects as a more aggressive passer and that should unlock Aiyuk's upside, meaning we should see more spike weeks from Aiyuk in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Harris emerged as the best back in New England, but the Patriots aren't going to give anyone an every week, workhorse role as long as Bill Belichick is running the show.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Patriots are back to playing the hits with their running back collecting. Pierre Strong and Kevin Harris were both notable Day 3 selections with their quality profiles, added to Rhamondre Stevenson, James White, and Damien Harris. It is tough to trust the most expensive Patriots running back and that is Damien Harris for 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: The Patriots are one of the best rushing offenses in football and Mac Jones has the potential to elevate the entire offense should he make a Joe Burrow-Esque leap in year two. Harris is the 1a of the committee with Rhamondre Stevenson and is a good bet to find the end zone double-digit times once again after scoring 14 times in 2021.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: There were glimpses last year as Moore struggled to build consistency with a revolving door of quarterbacks and overall offensive malaise. Until the Jets decide Zach Wilson isn't the answer, you have to draft Moore at his baseline value, not his upside potential.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Elijah Moore is a very talented player and showed signs of that as his rookie season went on. The problem is a lot of his production came when quarterbacks other than Zach Wilson were throwing him the ball. I'm comfortable drafting for Moore's bull case scenario at this ranking.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Woods is coming off a season-ending injury but finds himself as the presumptive No. 1 in Tennessee now that A.J. Brown is gone.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Reports regarding Robert Woods' week 1 availability are positive and with a thin receiving corps now that A.J. Brown has been traded, Woods is sure to be relied upon when healthy no matter how Treylon Burks progresses in his rookie season. Woods is a solid value pick as the quality of targets from Ryan Tannehill should be beneficial.
Andy Hicks on Aug 10: By process of elimination from the 2021 roster, it is being assumed that Allen Lazard steps into the lead receiver role in Green Bay. Amari Rodgers, Romeo Doubs, Sammy Watkins and Christian Watson all will share the spoils with Lazard in Green Bay, making a Davante Adams type lead receiver difficult in 2022. Maybe one emerges, but the undrafted Lazard is not the player with the most upside on this roster. Use your picks wisely.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Betting on Lazard to break out hasn't panned out in prior seasons, but with Davante Adams gone and the Packers standing pat at the position, someone has to emerge, right?
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: I'm in on Allen Lazard as Aaron Rodgers' WR1. Lazard doesn't profile as a player that will put up a ton of receiving yards but his touchdown upside is through the roof after scoring 8 times on only 40 catches and 60 targets last year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hopkins is suspended for six games, and that could be just the beginning of a disappointing season given the addition of Marquise Brown and a full year of Zach Ertz.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: DeAndre Hopkins is suspended for the first 6 games of the season for violating the league's performance-enhancing drug policy. We don't know how Hopkins will look when he returns but this is the spot I'm willing to gamble on his upside, especially with the understanding that the end of the season is weighted way more heavily than the beginning of the season in best ball.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: When the Bills give Singletary a starter's workload, he thrives. But the coaches seem reluctant to use him that way and are constantly searching for a complementary back.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Singletary is coming off his best NFL season and more touchdowns (8) than his previous two seasons combined (5). Singletary projects as the lead back for Buffalo to start the season, but taking James Cook in Round 2 is an ominous sign for any job security of strong touches for Singletary.
Bob Henry on Jul 20: Singletary took over the backfield in the second half of last season. The Bills added James Cook in the draft, who will certainly carve out a role in the passing game and potentially even as a runner. However, it's far more likely to come at Zack Moss's expense. Singletary's ADP is much closer to hi floor than it factors in his high-end RB2 upside with 10 TDs and 1100 yards well within his expected range of outcomes.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Led by superstar Josh Allen, the Bills' offense is one we want as many pieces as possible from. Devin Singletary was a workhorse down the stretch and in the playoffs and despite the addition of second-round pick James Cook, Singletary should remain a big piece of the most exciting offenses in football. And the fear of Cook stealing work is already baked into Singletary's ADP.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Burks is raw, and miscast as A.J. Brown's replacement. Treat the rookie as a "show me" player. Draft him for whatever you see as a baseline outcome, and don't count on upside.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: I'm lower on Treylon Burks because I fear he was drafted by an organization that is going to give him a shorter leash than many others would've. He offers upside and is still my bet to be the WR1 in Tennessee by season's end when it matters most but he needs to get on the practice field and gain some positive momentum.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Walker landed on a team committed to a power running game, but right now Seattle has no answer at quarterback and several veteran tailbacks vying for snaps.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Walker secured No.41 overall pedigree out of the draft and a Seattle depth chart ripe with uncertainty. Chris Carson has a murky outlook with his neck and Rashaad Penny has sparsely strung together a healthy stretch in his NFL career. Walker's range of outcomes ventures from strong injury-away option to clear-cut starter with a lack of health around him.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Pete Carroll has no history of making starting decisions based on draft capital so Kenneth Walker will have to earn his playing time, which he's certainly capable of doing. Without Russell Wilson though, I'm just generally not interested in this offense.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Could last season have gone any better? After toiling for years in Detroit and being labeled as a compiler who "couldn't win the big one," Stafford puts up elite fantasy numbers and leads the Rams to a Super Bowl title. Expect more of the same this year, as Allen Robinson is a more than adequate replacement for Robert Woods.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Matthew Stafford joining the Rams went perfectly as they hoped it would when the trade was execute. What to do for an encore? It is hard to see a decline. Then again it is hard to see improvement. Stafford seems locked into the mid range of QB1s and as a dynasty prospect should see three more years at a solid level of play.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Stafford was second in the NFL in passing touchdowns and gained Allen Robinson this offseason. However, a touchdown regression from Cooper Kupp is likely and the WR3, tight end, and running back spots are not highlights for fantasy upside. Stafford's perfect storm mid-QB1 finish last year projects lower in 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Matthew Stafford was QB11 in fantasy points per game last season. I have him ranked right around there. He should be solid once again this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: After three and a half forgettable seasons, Penny finally got a shot at the starting role and rattled off four 100-yard games in the final five, along with six touchdowns. But with Russell Wilson gone and rookie Kenneth Walker added to the RB room, we may have seen the best Penny has to offer.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Penny showed his elite upside with (finally) a healthy stretch to close the 2021 fantasy season, carrying teams to titles. Penny's return to Seattle is clouded by the drafting of Kenneth Walker and the possibility of Chris Carson returning from a career-threatening neck injury. The perfect storm for Penny is an impact player, but he has sparsely been healthy for long in the NFL as a high-variance play.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Rashaad Penny was a beast down the stretch in 2021, finally putting together a dominant string of games during his fourth NFL year. Yet without Russell Wilson, the Seahawks' offense is going to be bottom of the league, Kenneth Walker was drafted in the second round, and Penny hasn't played in more than 10 games since his rookie season back in 2018. I slightly prefer Penny to Walker since Pete Carroll has no history of making starting decisions based on draft capital, but I have both ranked very close to each other. There should be plenty of volume to go around in this backfield but I'm generally not interested in this offense at all.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Toney has too many red flags to draft as anything other than an end-of-roster lottery ticket.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: I'm buying an upgrade regarding the coaching change going from Joe Judge and Jason Garrett to Brian Daboll. This will likely help Saquon Barkley the most on the Giants but Kadarius Toney, as long as he keeps his head on straight, shouldn't be too far behind Barkley. Toney is talented, has the ability to earn targets, and his game meshes well with where Daniel Jones likes to throw the ball.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Claypool regressed in Year 2, and it's hard to decipher how much of it was his lack of route discipline and Ben Roethlisberger's inability to throw downfield. Until we know whether Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett can sling it vertically with confidence, Claypool should be viewed as a high-upside fantasy backup.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The reception and yardage numbers for Chase Claypool were almost identical from his rookie season to year two. The big problem was that the receiving touchdowns dropped from nine to two. Others perhaps saw things differently, but in every game, Ben Roethlisberger and Claypool missed huge plays by small margins. These were connecting in his rookie year. While his maturity issues are genuine, his talent on the field is that of an elite receiver. This year will see whether a new quarterback has better timing. Claypool gets open. At his current draft price, I want to take the upside.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Chase Claypool had a very similar stat line last season compared to his rookie year with the exception of a huge discrepancy in touchdowns. Claypool scored nine times as a rookie and just twice last season. Claypool has the size and speed combo that should lean more toward the nine-touchdown season and when Kenny Pickett inevitably starts, he could help unlock Claypool's upside once again.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Melvin Gordon tested free agency and then re-signed with Denver. Expect another 1a/1b season alongside Javonte Williams.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Gordon returning to Denver limits his weekly appeal beyond a flex play but also puts him in play for strong upside any week Javonte Williams is out.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Melvin Gordon is nearing the age cliff but will only be 29 years old for the entirety of the 2021 season. Russell Wilson significantly increases the upside of the offense and Gordon averaged 15.1 opportunities per game last season, the same amount as Javonte Williams. Williams projects to take over as the 1a in this backfield but the increased efficiency of the offense as a whole should negate Gordon's slight reduction in chances.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Gage couldn't muster consistent fantasy value with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley out of the picture in Atlanta, so expecting him to do much in Tampa Bay as a role player in multi-WR sets is a risky proposition.
Ben Cummins on Jul 27: Chris Godwin did not start training camp on the Physically Unable to Perform list and Julio Jones was signed. I'm projecting Russell Gage to receive more targets than Jones, even if Jones is able to stay healthy, but these developments are certainly not good news for Gage. I have moved him down my rankings.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Michael Thomas' health. Jarvis Landry's assimilation. A new head coach. Jameis Winston's healthy and consistency. That's a lot of unknowns we need to be answered before confidently projecting rookie Olave. His long-term value is sky high, but don't overpay for 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Chris Olave was a solid prospect and was drafted 11th overall. I'm lower on Olave because I don't see the true upside case for him in his rookie season playing alongside Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry, and Alvin Kamara. If Michael Thomas has a setback with his ankle though, Olave will surely be moved up.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Rodgers has delivered efficient, elite production over many coaching, system, and personnel iterations. While Davante Adams' departure hurts, it would be silly to discount Rodgers much lower than the end of the QB1 tier.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The loss of Davante Adams is huge. Add in that he will be approaching 40 by the seasons end and his time as a fantasy star should be ending. It is unsure if any of the current receivers can lift production for Rodgers to reach elite levels again. If he has any value in dynasty, take it now before its too late,
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Rodgers losing Davante Adams is a gut punch to his weaponry in 2022. Marquez Valdes-Scandling is another under-the-radar loss. Christian Watson is a developmental rookie, Amari Rodgers has shown little, and Robert Tonyan looked like a shell of his former breakout self in 2021. Outside of Allen Lazard rising to a top-20 receiver, there is plenty of reason for pessimism for Rodgers being a top-10 quarterback this season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Aaron Rodgers is the back-to-back MVP and was eighth in fantasy points per game at QB last season but he's ranked lower because of the losses of Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Stevenson only played 12 games but amassed 729 yards and five touchdowns. Like most Patriots backs, he looks capable of fantasy stardom in those rare game scripts when he gets a full workload. But will he earn more than a smattering of snaps?
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Stevenson showed well as a 2021 rookie, but the Patriots splashed the depth chart with Pierre Strong and Kevin Harris, both notable profiles now with Day 3 pedigree. Stevenson's clarity as an injury-away option to Damien Harris is no longer there.
Bob Henry on Jul 21: The addition of two running backs in the draft and the potential return of James White are suppressing Stevenson's value. Damien Harris is proven lead runner and goal line asset, but Stevenson is capable of splitting carries with Harris and carving out a role in passing situations. James White return is not a given. Pierre Strong may prove to be the best over time, but if Stevenson earns even half of those targets, he'll go from a flex to a RB2 with upside.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: The Patriots are one of the best rushing offenses in football and Mac Jones has the potential to elevate the entire offense should he make a Joe Burrow-Esque leap in year two. Rhamondre Stevenson was an exciting rookie last season, finishing with 729 total yards and 5 touchdowns. He offers solid standalone value as well as extreme upside should Damien Harris go down.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Expectations for Cook vary from forgettable rookie backup to the Bills' new lead slot receiver. Neither is likely to prove true. He'll be a complementary piece and have a few eye-popping games, but will be maddeningly irrelevant in others.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Cook secured Round 2 pedigree, but a murky depth chart in Buffalo with Devin Singletary coming off his best season to-date and Round 3 Zack Moss also still looming. Cook is a better bet later in the season rather than early.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: I have James Cook ranked lower than others because I'm skeptical of how much rushing volume he'll receive. Cook isn't a big back and his best rushing season was last year as a senior where Cook ran 113 times for 728 yards in 15 games. It's clear the Bills wanted a pass-catching back after trying and failing to sign J.D. McKissic in Free Agency and I'm worried they'll pigeonhole him into that role. Best ball helps that scenario though so I remain interested.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Corey Davis is on the decline, and Wilson and Elijah Moore could be a dynamic 1-2 tandem for years to come. But it all starts with Zach Wilson and he's not the guy. At least I don't think he is.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Garrett Wilson was an awesome prospect and was drafted 10th overall. He projects to start right away and has a chance to be the WR1 on the Jets in year one. I like taking a shot on Wilson's upside here despite the concerns Zach Wilson could be legitimately bad.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel wants to run the ball as effectively in Miami as they have in San Francisco, and Chase Edmonds was brought aboard in free agency to be the 1a of a multi-back committee.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Miami has a crowded backfield with Chase Edmonds joined by Sony Michel and Raheem Mostert in free agency, with Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed already there. The new coaching staff made it a priority to upgrade the moribund offense. The key to this was adding Tyreek Hill in a blockbuster trade. Hill creates opportunities for all others. If we follow the money at running back, Edmonds has the biggest paycheck and should be given the first opportunity to start. At his current draft price, grabbing Edmonds is high-reward, low-risk.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Edmonds was in line for the 1A role in Miami until Sony Michel was added to the depth chart, now one of the more ambiguous pecking orders in the NFL with Edmonds, Michel, and Raheem Mostert populating the three top spots.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Miami has an ambiguous backfield, making it tough to figure out how things are going to play out between Chase Edmonds, Sony Michel, Raheem Mostert, and Myles Gaskin. Edmonds is the best bet and his draft cost is affordable enough for me that I'm willing to take some chances on him. Edmonds is a talented dual-threat Running Back who has caught 96 total passes over the past two seasons. That pass-catching profile should pair well with Tua Tagovailoa's accurate arm.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Most of us are assuming Lance will be the Week 1 starter, but the 49ers still have Garoppolo, so we need to let training camp give us guidance on how to value Lance in redrafts.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: I would be more comfortable with Trey Lance if the 49ers traded Jimmy Garoppolo. There is no doubt he has the upside to be an elite fantasy quarterback, but for a team with Superbowl ambitions, an inexperienced quarterback with barely 100 real game passes in the last two years is on a short leash while Garoppolo is still a 49er. Is his arm able to take a full workload? Is he too reckless with his running? Relying on Lance to carry our fantasy team requires us to have another dependable option.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Lance's range of outcomes in 2022 includes an elite fantasy breakout into the top-10 of the position, but also Jimmy Garoppolo staying in San Francisco and starting most (or all) of the season. Lance is fine drafted as a fantasy team's QB2, but being all-in on Lance starting and succeeding is a risky team-building strategy.
Ben Cummins on Jun 17: I couldn't be more excited for Lance to start for the 49ers this season. Lance has mouthwatering rushing upside yet is being drafted way behind other dual-threat quarterbacks. Lance ran for 1,325 yards and 18 touchdowns in only 19 collegiate games. San Francisco drafted Lance in part because of his maturity and leadership skills and 49ersâ€™ camp has been raving about those this offseason. Paired with Kyle Shanahan and an offense including Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk that ranked fifth in overall offensive DVOA last season, Lance is going to destroy his current ADP.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Dawson Knox is a complementary piece of the Bills puzzle, not someone who presents matchup nightmares for opposing defensive coordinators. But as long as the Bills continue to sling the ball around at a breakneck pace, Knox will have low-end starter value.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: This is all about touchdown upside. Dawson Knox caught 9 touchdowns last season, which isn't surprising since he plays with Josh Allen and in one of the best offenses in football.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Ertz looked like his old self after a few weeks in Arizona, and the Cardinals decided to keep him around for a few more seasons. Arizona spreads the ball around, but with Christian Kirk gone and Deandre Hopkins suspended for half the season, Ertz could have a strong start to the season.
Andy Hicks on Aug 8: When you draft a tight end expected to be your starter, you are looking for possible top-six production. Upside. With Zach Ertz, his current ranking is his ceiling. The Cardinals will throw and run the ball across the depth chart. Maxx Williams returns after looking like a breakout season was on the cards. Arizona drafted Trey McBride in round two as a receiving specialist. Maybe Ertz has a good game or two. He is most likely to disappoint your expectations.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Zach Ertz was heavily targeted after being traded to the Cardinals last season, Arizona committed to him by signing him to a new contract this offseason, and DeAndre Hopkins is suspended for the first six games of the year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Fading Golladay last year was an easy call, but the hate has gone way too far and now he's an enticing value pick. If Brian Daboll can turn the offense into a league-average unit, Golladay could smash his ADP.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Kenny Golladay was an extreme disappointment last season but so was every other Giant. Golladay still led the team in targets and now receives a significant coaching upgrade with Brian Daboll calling the shots.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Cousins has been a top-12 quarterback in six of the last seven seasons, including a QB9 finish last year. No one seems to want him, but he always delivers in fantasy for a discounted draft cost.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Kirk Cousins has finished as a starting fantasy quarterback in six of his last seven seasons, yet here he is again with his ADP outside the top 12. A new coaching group is always a concern, but consensus seems to be the offense will improve. If that is the case, Cousins is a great choice as a backup to a risky young rushing quarterback.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Cousins has posted 30 or more passing touchdowns in three of the past four seasons as one of the underrated fantasy quarterbacks. Justin Jefferson being a bright star has aided Cousins through Adam Thielen taking a step back over the past season or two. Irv Smith returns from injury, missing from the passing game in 2021.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Justin Jefferson recently stated the Vikings' offense is going to be more pass-heavy this season under new head coach, Kevin O'Connell. Cousins was already QB12 in fantasy points per game last season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Carr will be the darling expert pick this year with Josh McDaniels taking over and Davante Adams acquired. While Carr is capable of a QB1 season, don't overvalue the offseason changes particularly because Carr offers nothing as a runner. Carr has never cracked the Top 10 in eight seasons; history doesn't offer many comparable QBs who break out in their ninth year as a starter.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Derek Carr has consistently rated near the middle of fantasy and NFL quarterbacks. With the arrival of Davante Adams, that should change. In his eight-year career, he only finished as a QB1 once. Last year and it was as the 12th ranked quarterback. Carr hasnâ€™t always had the best of coaching groups around him. Josh McDaniels isnâ€™t a sure-fire guy to change that, but he should bring an improved Offense. Carr is unlikely to break into the top six, but bottom-end QB1 easily outplays his draft slot.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Carr challenged for the top-10 in fantasy scoring among quarterbacks despite not having an outside wide receiver presence and Darren Waller missing time. Fast-forward to 2022 and Carr has Waller healthy and Davante Adams added to the passing game. Carr is a sleeper despite his lack of rushing upside.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Derek Carr was QB14 in fantasy points per game last season and now has Josh McDaniels as head coach and Davante Adams as his WR1.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Boyd has finished outside the Top 30 in back-to-back seasons, and with Chase and Higgins entrenched, Boyd's career is on the decline. He's not without value, though, particularly if either young star gets hurt.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: We know what we're getting with Tyler Boyd. A reliable veteran that will give us multiple usable weeks playing with Joe Burrow in one of the best passing offenses in the league. Boyd also offers extreme upside should something to happen to JaMarr Chase or Tee Higgins.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Savvy fantasy managers will acquire pieces of elite offenses up and down their drafts. Valdes-Scantling fits that bill and could be Patrick Mahomes' new favorite deep target. It's risky, but the price is right.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Marquez Valdes-Scantling is making way more money than JuJu Smith-Schuster, Skyy Moore, and Mecole Hardman combined. Paired with Patrick Mahomes, Valdes-Scantling's speed will be on full display. We love those spike weeks in best ball and Valdes-Scantling is sure to deliver.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Injuries are a massive concern, but Smith has flashed in limited playing time. The Vikings remain committed to him based on their lack of alternative moves in free agency or the draft. If Smith is healthy and productive in the preseason, he's worth targeting as a breakout. But he has to stay on the practice field, or he's ignorable.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Smith was one of my favorite targets last season prior to his meniscus tear and Iâ€™m even more bullish this season. All news regarding Smithâ€™s return has been extremely positive and he seems to be all but guaranteed to be ready for the start of the season. The last time we saw Smith, he was sharing Tight End duties in Minnesota with Kyle Rudolph. Rudolph is long gone as is Tyler Conklin, who took over for Smith last season after the injury. Smith is one of the most athletic Tight Ends in football and now projects as a near full-time player in Kevin Oâ€™Connellâ€™s likelier more pass-heavy attack now that Mike Zimmer has left the organization.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Chiefs are throwing a lot of darts at the wall in hopes of finding Tyreek Hill's replacement. It's always tempting to go for the rookie, but too many veterans were added to expect Moore to make his mark early in the season.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Skyy Moore was selected in the second round by the Chiefs after catching 51 passes for 802 yards and 3 touchdowns as a true freshman and 95 passes for 1,292 yards and 10 touchdowns as a junior last season. Moore is talented, produced in college, and offers inside/outside versatility that will earn him early playing time paired with Patrick Mahomes.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Based on talent and career progression, Freiermuth deserves to rank higher. But until we have clarity on whether Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett are up to the challenge of guiding a high-efficiency passing offense, we have to treat Freiermuth more as a high-ceiling TE2.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Pat Freiermuth had a great rookie season. The hard work starts now to follow up on that with Ben Roethlisberger gone and the wide receiver room loaded. Touchdown numbers elevated his fantasy ranking. He has risk heading into 2022, so another option is necessary. As a dynasty prospect he has consistent starting fantasy tight end in his future, but elite top three? Probably not.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm lower on Pat Freiermuth because his seven touchdown receptions last season will be tough to replicate playing with Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hunter Henry's early career injuries cast a shadow over him, and provide a compelling discount on draft day. The Patriots threw huge money at Henry and Jonnu Smith last offseason, but 2021 proved it was Henry who deserved the paycheck. In an offense without bonafide playmakers, Henry remains a viable TE1 in most league formats.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Much was expected from the two tight ends acquired in free agency by the New England Patriots. Jonnu Smith had the bigger wallet and produced disappointing numbers. Hunter Henry ended up leading the league in touchdowns, tied with three others. There is room for improvement in Mac Jones and the Patriot offense, with more receptions and yardage highly likely. Henry isnâ€™t going to threaten the leading tight ends, but should outperform his draft slot.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Hunter Henry caught 9 touchdown passes last season and should continue to be a red-zone presence for Mac Jones, who I expect will take a step forward in his second year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Gesicki set career marks for targets, receptions, and yards last season but the touchdown luck (2) offset his growth. Assuming positive touchdown regression, Gesicki could sneak into the top-10 conversation. However, adding Tyreek Hill to the mix makes Gesicki a low-priority target in most game scripts.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Mike Gesicki has posted good numbers for the last three years in Miami. The only variable is touchdowns. Will the arrival of Tyreek Hill help or hinder the cause of Gesicki? Will an improved running game force Gesicki to do more blocking. At his current price, he is worth the risk of better touchdown numbers and improving on his ADP.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm lower on Mike Gesicki because I don't understand what positives he brings to the table in 2022. Tyreek Hill, Cedrick Wilson, Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert, and Sony Michel were all added in the offseason. Gesicki will face more target competition this year and plays with a conservative quarterback.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Can Gallup recover from the torn ACL and step into a starting role? The Cowboys believe so, and given Dallas is the reigning No. 1 offense in the league, Gallup should see a heavy target share upon his healthy return.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Michael Gallup tore his ACL in January. It's smart to be cautious with him as reports are not positive regarding being ready for the beginning of the season. That's why I have him ranked lower. Still, the upside case is there once Gallup is able to get back up to speed since he projects as Dak Prescott's clear WR2.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Bears' inept offense hid impressive underlying growth for Kmet last season. If the new coaching staff can unlock Fields' passing prowess, Kmet could be this year's emergent star.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm a believer in Cole Kmet's talent and he could easily end up being Justin Fields' number two option in the passing game this season behind only Darnell Mooney. Jimmy Graham is gone, meaning Kmet should cross the 100 target threshold after seeing 93 targets last year. He didn't score a single touchdown last year so there is sure to be positive touchdown regression in his favor as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Carter had 964 yards and 4 touchdowns as a rookie on an otherwise ineffective Jets offense. Unfortunately, the Jets added Breece Hall which relegates Carter to the minority portion of a committee, at best.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Carter pulled a Tre Mason as the Jets drafted Breece Hall as the RB1 off the board. Carter also saw Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson play a decent amount last year amidst Carter's moments of prominence. Carter ultimately projects as an injury-away option in 2022 with Breece Hall being the starter in short order, even if Carter sees the most touches in Week 1.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Michael Carter ranked 27th in the league in opportunities per game (14.6) last season and performed admirably with his chances. The selection of Breece Hall certainly will significantly cut into his workload but Carter will remain in the rotation in an offense that projects to heavily utilize their running backs.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Hines doesn't get the volume to factor into every-week fantasy lineups, but there will be a handful of games when he breaks a big play, particularly as a receiver.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hines is the J.D. McKissic of the Colts depth chart - a PPR hindrance to others on the depth chart more than a standalone fantasy starter.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: I'm bullish on Nyheim Hines. Marlon Mack is gone and Matt Ryan is an upgrade over Carson Wentz, especially for Hines since Ryan targets his Running Backs more than Wentz does. Get your exposure to Hines in best ball since you won't have to predict when those big receiving games are coming.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Parker lacks durability, and could be the kind of veteran Bill Belichick releases shortly after acquiring to make a point. But for now we'll assume he works his way into the No. 1 spot on the Patriots depth chart.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: DeVante Parker has struggled to stay healthy throughout his 7-year career but when he has been able to play, his talent has flashed. Parker has 800+ yards and 7+ touchdown upside playing with Mac Jones, who will take a step forward in his second year. I like drafting Parker here betting on the upside case.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Cam Akers' Achilles injury opened the door for Darrell Henderson until Sony Michel was acquired. Henderson had a career year with 864 yards and 8 touchdowns, but Akers is healthy and ready to resume the top role.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Rams has an upside-capping lack of usage for running backs in the passing game, but Henderson is a sneaky bet considering Cam Akers did not look good with his early return from an Achilles injury last summer. Henderson has limited competition from lower on the depth chart and Akers is a massive question mark entering 2022 health-wise.
Bob Henry on Jul 20: If you are on the fence with Cam Akers, then you simply can't let Henderson fall past you at ADP. He demonstrated an ability to produce last year and if Akers isn't able to recapture his juice after tearing his Achilles, then Henderson will easily return value at ADP. Henderson can be added as a RB4 in many cases where his bust factor is low risk and you have a viable piece in one of the league's most prolific offenses at the very least.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Darrell Henderson should not be forgotten about. Henderson was utilized as a pass-catcher in the Super Bowl even with Cam Akers active and produced when healthy last season. Kyren Williams is competition worth monitoring but for now, Henderson appears to be the clear-cut RB2 on the Rams. That role proved to be a game changer last year once Sony Michel took over.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Dotson has the all-around game to become Terry McLaurin's running mate, but the Commanders appear set to give Curtis Samuel one more shot at earning his contract.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jahan Dotson compiled 2,066 receiving yards and 22 total touchdowns over his final two seasons at Penn State and then was drafted 16th overall by a Commanders' franchise starving for offensive weapons.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jameson Williams was an exciting prospect and was drafted 12th overall despite recovering from a torn ACL. I'm lower on Williams because reports are he'll likely start the season on the PUP list and Jared Goff's skillset doesn't mesh well with Williams' downfield game.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The industry is far too down on Moore; not every player breaks out as a rookie. Moore's ability to gain yards after the catch fit perfectly with Marquise Brown's outside dominance.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Rondale Moore projects to take a step forward in his second season after catching 54 of his 64 targets last season but he'll still struggle to produce consistently playing with Marquise Brown, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Green, Zach Ertz, etc.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Higbee had another solid season, and his role as a complementary piece should be intact for another few seasons. But he's far enough along in his career to know the chances of a TE1-breakout campaign are unlikely.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Itâ€™s hard to get the memory of his late season 2019 performance out of your mind sometimes when evaluating Tyler Higbee. He has been slightly disappointing over the last two seasons and ranks just outside the top 12 in each year. He offers a very safe floor, with the possibility of higher.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Tyler Higbee plays in one of the best passing offenses in football and has scored 5 touchdowns in each of the past two seasons. He's seen 89 and 85 targets in two of the past three seasons. There's a chance Higbee sets new career highs in targets in touchdowns in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Okwuegbunam is the latest in a long line of middling tight ends the fantasy analyst community tries to talk themselves into loving.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The departure of Noah Fant and the arrival of Russell Wilson opens up a huge opportunity at the tight end position in Denver. Although Denver used a reasonably high pick on a rookie at the position in Greg Dulcich, this is a position where little should be expected of a player just coming out of college. Albert Okwuegbunam will be in his third year and has flashed elite athletic potential. Add in opportunity and although there is a risk, especially with the new coaching staff, the current price is worth the upside.
Ben Cummins on Aug 5: The loss of Tim Patrick is significant for Albert Okwuegbunam because Patrick was going to be a staple in the red zone. Okwuegbunam will now step into a larger red zone and end zone role, which is his biggest strength. Draft Okwuegbunam if you like touchdowns.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mattison set career-highs in touches (166), yards (719), and touchdowns (4) last year but his efficiency plummeted and no longer looked like a fantasy star in those few games each season when Dalvin Cook sits.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mattison has been one of the most clarified and highest upside injury-away running backs in the NFL since his drafting in 2019. That continues in 2022 behind Dalvin Cook. Any game Cook misses, Mattison is an auto-start player.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: The Vikings only ranked 17th in pass rate over expected and 22nd in early down pass frequency last year. New Head Coach, Kevin O'Connell, projects to increase those numbers, which should increase the offense's overall efficiency. Alexander Mattison is the clear-cut replacement for Dalvin Cook and Cook has not been the best picture of health over his career. The upside is worth chasing here.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Landry found his way to New Orleans, but questions abound from the coaching staff to the quarterback room to the projected roles among a deep, but flawed set of receivers.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: With Michael Thomas barely visible over the last two years and rookie Chris Olave likely to need time, Jarvis Landry presents as good value as a possession receiver. Outperforming his ADP should be easily achievable
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: I'm lower on Jarvis Landry after he switched teams this off-season. He'll turn 30 years old during the season and currently projects to be battling for targets with Michael Thomas, Chris Olave, and Alvin Kamara.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Rex Burkhead and Marlon Mack aren't daunting roadblocks, but they're roadblocks nonetheless. Pierce doesn't have the draft pedigree to assume he'll be a star if he wins the job. But his ADP could skyrocket if he turns heads early in camp. Caveat emptor.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Pierce slipped to Day 3 in the draft and Houston has Marlon Mack and Rex Burkhead as sturdy veterans on the depth chart. Pierce was a relative non-producer in college and assuming he will outright win the starting job is a stretch.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: I have no idea to make of this backfield and need more information before drafting either Marlon Mack or Dameon Pierce.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Lawrence's rookie season wasn't bad, it was abysmal. Few rookies in NFL history have had that kind of season and amounted to more than a league-average starter for their careers. But the Urban Meyer effect cannot be discounted, and many will be tempted to give Lawrence a do-over. Caveat emptor, but don't completely rule out a comeback for the ages.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: No.1 overall quarterback selections are relatively immune to Year 1 decreasing their uptick probabilities for Year 2 and beyond. Subtract Urban Meyer and add Christian Kirk alone and Lawrence is a good bet to crack the top-20 quarterbacks, if not the top-15 with his rushing potential.
Bob Henry on Jul 20: It's hard to envision a more difficult landscape for a rookie quarterback than what Lawrence endured last year with Urban Meyer. Let's not forget the pedigree. Lawrence's size, athleticism, arm and accuracy made him one of the top prospects at his position since Andrew Luck. The Jaguars offense can only get better with Christian Kirk's addition, Travis Ettiene's return, and Doug Pederson installed as the head coach. Expect a big leap forward in confidence, efficiency and production in year 2. Lawrence's range of outcomes goes from mid-QB2 up to a mid-QB1. He's a buy at ADP and an excellent QB2 target in superflex.
Ben Cummins on Jun 17: Stuck in the crosshairs of Urban Meyer and playing with one of the worst supporting casts in the game, Lawrence struggled as a rookie. I'm not overreacting considering Lawrence was one of the best quarterback prospects to enter the league in a long-time and despite no extreme headliner, Jacksonville did improve Lawrence's weapons this offseason by adding Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram. And Lawrence's college teammate, Travis Etienne, will provide juice out of the backfield as he appears set to make his NFL debut in week 1. Jacksonville projects to stink again, meaning Lawrence will likely throw a ton, he plays in the favorable AFC South, and he offers some rushing upside (334 yards and 2 touchdowns in 2021) as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: James Robinson provided a story for the ages, but last year's injury, a new coaching staff, and the return of Travis Etienne as the No. 1 option likely mean Robinson's days as a fantasy star came and went in the blink of an eye.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Travis Etienne is being drafted higher than he would have been in his rookie year. After an ACL, new coaching staff and competition, he is a huge risk. James Robinson isnâ€™t a picnic either coming off an achilles injury and having to prove himself for the third time to a new coaching staff. Take the value with Robinson who has at least proven himself for two consecutive years.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jacksonville, like Baltimore, has health as the major watch list item for the respective backfields. Robinson and Travis Etienne are both returning from season-ending injury. If both are healthy, expect Robinson to lose out to the Round 1 pedigree of Etienne. Robinson has top-12 upside on a likely-better-than-2021 Jacksonville offense if Etienne is still on the mend.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: James Robinson tore his Achilles in late December last season. I'm not bullish on him returning from that injury and performing well this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Noah Fant's fates lie entirely in what Seattle does at the quarterback position. If it's Geno Smith, Drew Lock, or Baker Mayfield, Fant should be avoided in all but the deepest leagues.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: The Seahawks are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and their organization is committed to running the football no matter the score. I'm lower on Noah Fant for these reasons.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Browns made Njoku one of the league's highest-paid tight ends, which speaks to his opportunity. But a litany of injuries and subpar season totals leave me disinterested at the asking price.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Njoku is an upside-centric TE2 for fantasy team-building with streaming, or better, potential. Deshaun Watson's suspension of six games aids Njoku later in the season as well as shedding Austin Hooper from the depth chart in free agency this offseason.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm a believer in David Njoku's talent, Austin Hooper is no longer on the Browns, and Cleveland committed to Njoku with a new contract in the offseason. The only question here is who will be throwing Njoku the ball.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: White secured Day 2 pedigree and has a Matt Forte-light profile as a prospect. Ke'Shawn Vaughn has shown little through two seasons and the RB2 job in Tampa Bay is wide open behind Leonard Fournette. The trust of Tom Brady with pass protection assignments will be key for White and Vaughn.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Rachaad White reminded me a bit of prime Le'Veon Bell while watching his college highlights. White is a patient runner and a smooth pass-catcher. Should something happen to Leonard Fournette, White's value would skyrocket. I'm targeting him everywhere this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: While the Dolphins were allegedly machinating for everyone from Tom Brady to Deshaun Watson, the chips fell in favor of building around Tagovailoa. The team has given the young quarterback a loaded receiving corps, so no more excuses. It's put up or shut up in 2022.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: This is the no excuses season for Tagovailoa. Miami has Jaylen Waddle entering Year 2, Mike Gesicki returns, and Tyreek Hill is a splash trade acquisition. Tagovailoa adds minimal on the ground and his 27 passing touchdowns over 23 games to-date will need a massive uptick to approach the top-12 of the position.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Tua Tagovailoa is an accurate quarterback but his skillset is not super enticing for fantasy. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle will help.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Evan Engram never panned out in New York, but the Jaguars still believe the best is yet to come. Don't count on it.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Evan Engram is not the only player to suffer from offensive issues on the New York Giants. Now with Jacksonville, he should be a key focus for Trevor Lawrence and the passing game under Doug Pedersen. Engram had one of the best seasons for a rookie tight end. The talent is there. If we combine that with the ability of Pedersen to use the tight end position, Engram is in a great situation to not only exceed his ADP but become a fantasy starter
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Trevor Lawrence is about to make a sophomore leap and Evan Engram will help him as his starting tight end. Engram is athletic and cheap enough to bet on his talent.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Meyers has two touchdowns in three seasons but is coming off an 83-catch, 867-yard campaign. With uncertainty surrounding the New England offense, including the play-caller, Meyers is little more than a WR4/WR5 in PPR formats.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jakobi Meyers caught 83 of 126 targets for 866 yards but only scored 2 touchdowns last season. Mac Jones will take a step forward in year two and if that correlates with a touchdown increase for Meyers, he'll smash his ADP.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: McKissic agreed to leave Washington to join the Bills but reconsidered and re-signed with the Commanders instead. Pencil him in for a heavy receiving role and an insignificant rushing output.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: McKissic shifted from Buffalo back to Washington in free agency. McKissic is more of a PPR thorn in the side of Antonio Gibson (and Brian Robinson) than a standalone strong PPR play. McKissic's role largely stays the same whether Gibson is healthy or Robinson is the early-down option.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: J.D. McKissic's pass-catching role projects to be locked in once again for 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The coaches quickly gave up on Gainwell in favor of several veterans on the practice squad. He'll need a stunning preseason to re-gain momentum and fantasy relevance.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Gainwell is more of a thorn in the PPR side of Miles Sanders (and Boston Scott) than a standalone fantasy viable running back.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Kenneth Gainwell caught 33 passes on 50 targets and scored 6 total touchdowns as a rookie last season. Gainwell projects to once again be right back in the running back rotation in an exciting Eagles' rushing offense.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Five seasons into his career, and Jamaal Williams is consistently counted on for approximately 700 yards and 3-to-4 touchdowns. That's not enough to move the fantasy needle.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Williams is one of the underrated primary backup running backs, capable of carrying the load if needed. Williams is unstartable as long as D'Andre Swift is healthy.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: The Lions have a strong offensive line and improved pass catchers. Jamaal Williams should remain involved with DAndre Swift. Should Swift go down, Williams would have stand-alone value.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: On paper, the Bears have a terrible receiving corps and subpar offensive line. Is the new front office committed to building around the young signal caller? I'm not sure, and you shouldn't be, either. Draft Fields as a high-ceiling QB2, not as your starter.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: For young quarterbacks to succeed, they need excellent coaching, strong targets, and development of their skills. Chicago decided to change head coaches and let Allan Robinson go. Justin Fields had a troublesome rookie season with only seven touchdowns and ten interceptions. His pass completion percentage was lower than that of Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and Drew Lock. At the receiver, the Bears replaced Robinson with the fifth-string receiver from Kansas City and a rookie that was surprisingly selected several rounds ahead of expectations in Velus Jones Jr. Justin Fields does have elite rushing potential, but learning a second offense in two years is usually not the recipe for young quarterbacks to thrive.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Bears squandered the offseason opportunities to build around Fields like the Jets did with Zach Wilson. Fields has strong rushing upside, but he may challenge for the lowest passing total among starting quarterbacks again in 2022 with Darnell Mooney, Cole Kmet and little else in the passing game.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Justin Fields ran for 420 yards and 2 touchdowns last season in only 12 games. I'm not high on this Bears offense but this is about as low as I can rank a quarterback with the dual-threat upside that Fields presents.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Given Austin Ekeler's consensus ADP (top-3 overall), Spiller has to be drafted in every league particularly if he cements the No. 2 role with a strong training camp.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Spiller slipped to Day 3 of the draft but landed behind Austin Ekeler with an open opportunity to win the RB2 job to start his rookie season. Spiller has quality injury-away upside if he wins the role.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: The Chargers have been looking for a competent #2 running back behind Austin Ekeler ever since Melvin Gordon left. Isaiah Spiller projects to be given every chance to be that guy this season in one of the best offenses in football. Should something happen to Ekeler, Spiller's value would skyrocket.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Anderson toyed with retirement briefly but is back in the fold. He has no chemistry with Sam Darnold, so all eyes are on the Panthers' quest for a new starter. If they get one, even Baker Mayfield, Anderson is worth a late-round flier.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Anderson fell off a cliff in 2021 from his typical productive self. Now the clear WR2 to D.J. Moore in Carolina, Anderson has to worry about losing targets to Terrace Marshall as the WR3 more than challenging for the lead role in the passing game.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Robbie Anderson projects as a starting outside wide receiver in both two and three-receiver sets. Iâ€™m happy to bet on his talent at his depreciated ADP, especially since the volume can safely be projected and Baker Mayfield provides an upgrade at quarterback.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Tonyan's 2021 was lost to injury, but with Davante Adams gone, Tonyan could re-emerge as a high-TD producer.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Reports regarding Robert Tonyanâ€™s ACL recovery are positive, he caught 11 touchdowns in 2020, heâ€™s paired with the back-to-back MVP, and the Packers will need him without Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Christian Watson is a physical freak with one of the most impressive size/speed combinations at the position. He projects as the Marquez Valdes-Scantling replacement. Still, Watson is extremely raw and there is no guarantee he will earn consistent playing time as a rookie.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Davis' first year in New York was a disaster, as he missed half the season and couldn't make plays consistently otherwise. The Jets are continuing to add talent, and Davis is on the downside of his career.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The Jets have a long track record of failing to draft wide receivers that become regular starters. Elijah Moore had a nice rookie season, but is undersized and will not be a true number one. This year's high draft pick, Garrett Wilson, could be that man, but I will believe it when I see it. Until presented with information otherwise, give me Corey Davis over either of the Jet's high draft picks in the last two seasons who have much higher ADPs. Davis over the first six games last season had 24 catches for 349 yards and four touchdowns. Then he got injured. If we play with numbers his 2021 season would have been high-end fantasy production. At his current price, give me Davis.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: I'm lower on Corey Davis because Zach Wilson could legitimately be bad and Davis now has target competition from both Elijah Moore and Garrett Wilson. Davis will likely finish higher in the end-of-season rankings than my ranking but I'm interested in many other receivers at the end of drafts that can provide a similar floor and that offer higher ceilings.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Despite the additions of Christian Kirk and Zay Jones this offseason, Marvin Jones still projects as a starting outside wide receiver in both two and three-receiver sets. Trevor Lawrence should take a step forward in his sophomore season, especially with Urban Meyer long gone. And the Jaguars will have to throw a ton in a loaded AFC conference.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Herbert was effective in David Montgomery's stead last year and should be viewed as one of the more compelling handcuffs at the position.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Herbert projects as a David Montgomery injury-away option in Chicago. Darrynton Evans is a wildcard addition to the depth chart but has struggled to stay healthy and Tennessee swiftly moved on from the former Round 3 pick.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Khalil Herbert produced when given the opportunity last season and projects as David Montgomery's direct backup.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Texans were a pleasant surprise in 2021, but they weren't productive enough to stand pat in free agency, yet they did. If Collins can emerge as a second-year breakout, the GM's decision to run it back could prove savvy.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Nico Collins compiled 1,361 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns over his sophomore and junior seasons at Michigan and flashed as a rookie late last season playing with Davis Mills. Outside of Brandin Cooks, Collins projects as Mills' go-to WR with John Metchie recovering from a torn ACL and likely beginning his rookie season on the PUP list.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Ronald Jones has a limited skill set, but the Chiefs prioritized him in the offseason. There's no reason he can't put up better numbers than Damien Williams did as a starter, particularly if Edwards-Helaire struggles early.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Ronald Jones II is a young back with four years of experience in the NFL. After breaking out in 2020, he was overtaken by Leonard Fournette in Tampa Bay. Kansas City is the perfect team to get the best out of Jones. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been disappointing to date and the Chiefs backfield projects as a share situation. Given the injury issues for Edwards-Helaire, Jones will have his moments. Darrel Williams ranked as a bottom-end RB2 in 2021. Jones is a much better back. Highly underrated this year
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: In a best case, Jones challenges Clyde Edwards-Helaire and eventually wins the lead role in Kansas City. Neither has shown particular acumen in pass protection with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady in recent seasons, hence seeing Leonard Fournette and Darrel Williams dominate in those situations.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Ronald Jones is a good rusher and he now joins Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. Clyde Edwards-Helaire might just not be good. If that is the case, Jones has a significant opportunity in front of him this season.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Chiefs made wholesale changes to the receiving corps this offseason, which suggests Andy Reid no longer sees Hardman as capable of maturing into an every-down starter.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Mecole Hardman is a "better in best ball" pick that offers spike week potential playing in the Chiefs' offense with Patrick Mahomes. Hardman posted career highs last season in targets (83), catches (59), and receiving yards (693) and he should improve upon all three now that Tyreek Hill is no longer on the team.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Jefferson's opportunity to finally become a major factor in Los Angeles was gone before it started, as the Rams acquired Allen Robinson to pair with Cooper Kupp.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: The Rams continue to hint at a reunion with Odell Beckham. Even if Beckham only plays the final month of the season, that would hurt Van Jefferson's outlook since the playoff portion of these best ball tournaments at the end of the season is where all the money is won. Plus. Tutu Atwell could eat into Jefferson's downfield role. I'm lower on Jefferson than most.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Can Chark stay healthy and carve out an important role in Detroit? Bet against it, unless it's a deep league and the price is shockingly low.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Coming into his fifth season, D.J. Chark Jr still has to prove his worth. Expected to be the focus of boom rookie Trevor Lawrence in Jacksonville, an early-season injury to Chark ruined a chance at a monster contract that his peers were signing in the offseason. Chark signed a one-year, play and prove it deal on a Lions offense that struggled without a focus. Jameson Williams was drafted, Amon-Ra St.Brown was a surprising rookie last season and T.J. Hockenson and DeAndre Swift are other potent options. Chark has worked diligently with Jared Goff in the offseason. At his current draft price, Chark should present significant value. If his fitness holds up, he will be a steal.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: D.J. Chark will benefit from Jameson Williams likely starting the season on the PUP list and missing at least 4 games. And Chark should still play in three-wide receiver sets even after Williams makes his debut.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Raheem Mostert is already 30 years old and is three seasons removed from his one relevant campaign. With Chase Edmonds and Sony Michel added to the roster, as well, Mostert is probably more like an on-field coach-in-waiting than a regular contributor.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mostert was a non-factor in 2021 after a Week 1 injury and is on the wrong side of the age curve. The good news is an unsettled Miami depth chart gives Mostert a puncher's chance at clarified starts in 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Raheem Mostert was brought over by new head coach, Mike McDaniel, the former offensive coordinator in San Francisco. Mostert projects to operate as a change of pace option that should be in the mix all season when healthy.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The front office seemed to reluctantly re-sign Winston after higher-end alternatives fell through, which isn't a resounding endorsement. He'll continue being a streaky player who's hard to trust in weekly lineups.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: ameis Winston was kept on a tight playcalling schedule last year before his injury. His performance was admirable. With Sean Payton gone and the Saints likely to take a backward step, expect the team to rely on Winstonâ€™s magnificent arm to get the ball to a much improved receiving group. If he truly has limited the propensity for unnecessary turnovers, Winston will push for borderline starter status. Of course, there is a riskb here, but the upside is well worth the low asking price
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Winston had a career year through seven games in 2021 before injury. Sean Payton exits, but Michael Thomas is slated to return from injury and Jarvis Landry and Chris Olave are notable additions to the passing game. Winston is simmering with upside to crash the top-12 if Thomas is healthy and Landry and Olave provide anything of note this season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Jameis Winston was QB16 in fantasy points per game last season prior to tearing his ACL so there is an argument I'm too low here. But Alvin Kamara is likely to be suspended for a few games and Michael Thomas has still not practiced. I will reevaluate this ranking once we receive clarity on the Saints' two superstars.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Can Brian Daboll and his staff unlock Daniel Jones' potential? Don't count on it, particularly because Daboll has several unsuccessful stints as a play-caller on his resume before he had the privilege of coordinating an offense with Josh Allen.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jones has devolved in two seasons since a promising rookie year in 2019. Jones has rushing upside, but 21 passing touchdowns over his past 25 games requires a massive uptick to be worth the downside risk even as a fantasy team's QB2 considering the solid veterans available instead.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Daniel Jones has rushing upside and a significant upgrade from Joe Judge and Jason Garrett to Brian Daboll. He was already QB18 in fantasy points per game last season so there's certainly an argument to be made I'm even too low on him.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Jones is the clear No. 4 receiver in Tampa Bay, so look at his signing more as a boost for Tom Brady than for him.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jones' late-July signing with Tampa Bay keeps him on the fantasy perimeter and possibility starting lineup radars for 2022. The passing game is packed for targets in Tampa Bay and Jones' best case for consistent usage is early in the season if Chris Godwin is still in recovery mode.
Ben Cummins on Jul 27: Julio Jones signing with Tampa Bay to play with Tom Brady bumps him up the rankings. But I'm projecting Jones to end up fourth in targets behind Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Russell Gage. I won't be aggressively targeting him now that his ADP is sure to skyrocket.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Everett will catch what's thrown to him but lacks the dynamism to do more after the catch or break big plays downfield. He'll have a role in Los Angeles, but his target share won't support a role in most fantasy leagues.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Gerald Everett looks ready to set new career highs across the board as the starting tight end for one of the best passing offenses in football.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Ingram is 32 years old, and it's hard to imagine a fantasy-relevant role even if Alvin Kamara is limited to start the season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Ingram is still in the catbird seat as an injury-away back to Alvin Kamara. Ingram is largely being overlooked within the backup running back landscape.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Alvin Kamara reportedly will likely be suspended to begin the season due to a bar fight. That would lock Mark Ingram in as the starting running back in New Orleans to start off 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Last year we all overdrafted Mike Davis because he was the only credible option as the Falcons' starter. That ended poorly, and veteran receiver Cordarrelle Patterson shocked the world by morphing into a lead back. Patterson returns to that role, and Allgeier isn't talented enough to displace him.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Algeier has starter potential for the Falcons with Mike Davis gone, Cordarrelle Patterson rumored to have more of a wide receiver role this season, and Damien Williams on the wrong side of the age curve. The perfect storm of Allgeier being this year's Elijah Mitchell as an early-season starter from Day 3 exists even if requiring a leap of faith.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Tyler Allgeier was selected in the fifth round to likely bring some early-down power to the running back room. Allgeier ran for 2,731 yards over his past two seasons at BYU.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Not only does Pittsburgh have an excellent record of drafting wide receivers, they often come out and have fantastic rookie seasons. Their most recent successes include Chase Claypool and his nine-touchdown rookie season and JuJu Smith-Schuster who ranked 17th in his debut year. Even Diontae Johnson almost finished as a fantasy starter, despite being raw. George Pickens has first-round grade talent but fell to 52 due to character concerns. This is a situation where you trust that the location fixes issues, coaches well and produces immediate results.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: George Pickens profiles as a true alpha outside #1 WR and was drafted in the second round by the franchise with the best track record of drafting receivers over the past few decades. Pickens should play plenty as a rookie and is an exciting late round pick.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are entrenched with big contracts, so Palmer is locked into a WR3 role barring injuries. Keep in mind, Palmer is a more talented and well-rounded receiver than Williams, so if he gets the opportunity, he may never hand the job back.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Josh Palmer is the most valuable wide receiver handcuff in football. Keenan Allen missed one game last season and, in that contest, Palmer played on 87% of the offensive snaps catching five of seven targets for 66 yards and a touchdown. And early reports this offseason already have Palmer as the favorite for the WR3 job in one of the best and most aggressive offenses in football.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Edwards and J.K. Dobbins both missed 2021, and both should be back to form a powerhouse committee in 2022.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Edwards' healthy is the primary watchword heading into the season. J.K. Dobbins is also working back from a season-ending injury. Edwards, if the healthier option, could be the Week 1 starter. On the downside, Edwards could be slower back to health than Dobbins to siphon any clarified opportunity. Plus, Baltimore has eluded to concerns with Mike Davis signed.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Reports state J.K. Dobbins' recovery from a major knee injury is reportedly going slower than expected. Meanwhile, Gus Edwards appears on track for week 1.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Few quarterbacks have been as erratic as Ryan. In 14 seasons, Ryan has as a top-3 quarterback twice, and outside the Top 10 six times. He's coming off a QB17 finish in Atlanta, but the team was bereft of talent and stuck in neutral. Now he's a Colt and should return to top-10 to 14 value if he stays healthy.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: There have been far too many Philip Rivers comparisons with the arrival of Matt Ryan to Indianapolis. Ryan is a couple of years younger than the former Charger, still throws a beautiful ball and will have a much better offense than what he got in Atlanta last year. Ryan has life left. With a young and improving receiver group and the likely number one running back in the NFL, Ryan is a steal in fantasy drafts. His draft price is his floor. It is worth noticing that seven of his 12 career rushing touchdowns are in the last four years. No risk here. At 37, he has maybe 2-3 years left so is still a viable dynasty option
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Ryan inherits one of the best rushing attacks and offensive lines in the NFL with his trade to the Colts. Ryan's top-10 upside is sapped at this point in his career, but can be a sturdy QB2 for fantasy terms and a Superflex value.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Matt Ryan was only QB28 in fantasy points per game last season but he now joins a solid infrastructure in Indianapolis that should help increase his upside a bit.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Zach Wilson's rookie season wasn't as bad as Trevor Lawrence's, but it wasn't good, either. When the likes of Josh Johnson are putting up better numbers in the system, we need to tread carefully.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Wilson was arguably the weakest showing of the notable 2021 rookie quarterbacks. There are no excuses in 2022 with the team adding to Corey Davis and Elijah Moore with Garrett Wilson in the top-10 of the draft, splashing the backfield with Breece Hall, and bolstering the anemic tight end depth chart with C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin. Wilson, still, will have to improve on his woeful 55% completion rate and more interceptions than touchdowns in a massive fashion.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: There is plenty of hype around the Jets and their young, exciting skill player group. I have to see it with Zach Wilson before I believe it though because Wilson was truly bad last season. The jury is still out on whether Wilson will make it in the league or not.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: New Vikings head coach, Kevin O'Connell, will almost certainly make Minnesota a more pass-happy team this season, which will benefit K.J. Osborn. Osborn already impressed last season catching 50 of 82 targets for 655 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: We'll know soon enough whether Watson will be disciplined in 2022 and for how many games. Assuming he misses between 6-8 games, he's worth drafting at the bottom end of QB1s, but make sure to prioritize a second quarterback quickly to carry you for the first month or two.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The long drawn out saga of Deshaun Watson seems to have finally been resolved. A six week suspension derails his 2022 season, but not as much as was expected. Having missed the 2021 season as well, rust is expected and it may not be until the 2023 season before he becomes a decent fantasy quarterback in. Much better as a dynasty prospect than redraft and best ball.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The announcement of a six-game suspension for Watson boosts his fantasy value, as well as the supporting cast, in Cleveland. Watson has shown elite production and ceiling before missing 2021 and now the early part of 2022. Watson is the perfect secondary pairing with a quarterback having a bye beyond the first six weeks and a high-upside QB2 for fantasy rosters.
Ben Cummins on Aug 1: Deshaun Watson is currently suspended for only 6 games. I have moved him up my rankings.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mac Jones only threw 22 touchdowns in 17 games and offers next to nothing as a rusher. With the Patriots not having an offensive coordinator on staff, and only Devante Parker being added to the receiving room, Jones' doesn't have a top-10 ceiling even if things fall perfectly.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Jones had a promising rookie season and now sees DeVante Parker and rookie Tyquan Thornton added as lid-lifting wide receivers to a passing game full of short and intermediate options. Jones will likely not have the volume or rushing upside to challenge for the top-10 but represents a solid floor and top-15 upside for appeal in premium formats.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: My most passionate football opinion is Mac Jones is going to be good for a very long time. That doesn't necessarily mean it will always equate to fantasy success since his skill set is as a pocket passer. Still, I'm high on Jones because I'm projecting a year two leap in passing production as Bill Belichick puts more of the offense in Jones' hands.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: WanDale Robinson caught 103 passes for 1,334 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns last season as a junior in the SEC and was prioritized by the Giants and new head coach Brian Daboll as he was drafted in the second round. Robinson should see plenty of playing time as a rookie, especially since Sterling Shepard suffered a torn Achilles in December.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Julio Jones and A.J. Brown weren't the dynamic duo some expected, and now both are gone. A recovering Robert Woods and rookie Traylon Burks will have trouble matching Brown and company's production, at least in 2022. Tannehill is on the downtrend but his rushing upside keeps him in the low-end QB1 tier until further notice.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Ryan Tannehill finished the 2021 season as a borderline QB1. Now, he is not even considered a decent backup. There is no threat to his role as a starter, barring the Titans being out of playoff contention. He has seven rushing touchdowns in each of the last two years and will provide reliable output in the passing game. Sure he may not have the upside of a younger quarterback, but he will be one of the safer options later in drafts to back up one of your elite options
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Tannehill lost his top receiver in A.J. Brown, a gut punch to his passing upside in 2022. Tannehill is also a regression candidate coming off his seven rushing scores on just 55 attempts last year. Tannehill will struggle to finish in the top-20 quarterbacks.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Ryan Tannehill has run for seven touchdowns in each of the past two seasons. He's a serious rushing threat around the goal line. That rushing production should help mitigate the loss of A.J. Brown some.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jalen Tolbert racked up 2,559 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns over his past two college seasons. He now gets to play with Dak Prescott and looks to have playing time all but guaranteed unless he completely flops in training camp with Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson gone and Michael Gallup recovering from a torn ACL in January.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Robinson enters a Washington depth chart where Antonio Gibson has struggled to stay healthy and avoid fumbles. Robinson had zero fumbles in college and has a lead-back profile. J.D. McKissic hurts the PPR upside of either, but Robinson is, at worst, an injury-away option.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: After Brian Robinson was selected in the third round, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. It appears Robinson was drafted to play on early downs right away.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Drake's role in Las Vegas paled in comparison to his usage in Arizona, and with a new coaching staff aboard that's not likely to change given Drake's age and injury history.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Drake lost clarity as an injury-away back in 2021 when Peyton Barber had moments of clarity. The Raiders added Zamir White to the depth chart, further clouding Drake's chances for streaming starts in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: In a league that puts inordinate value on starting quarterbacks, it speaks volumes Wentz has been traded away twice in two seasons. The Commanders have intriguing skill players, so view Wentz as a QB2 with upside in advantageous matchups.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Wentz is tough to trust with his quizzical mistakes and turnovers at times but did enjoy a bounce-back 2021 season on paper for the Colts. Now with Washington, Wentz has quality weapons all around for a top-20 season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Two organizations have given up on Carson Wentz over the past two seasons and he now joins a Washington Commanders offense that doesn't excite.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Crowder steps into a Bills offense with an MVP-caliber quarterback and pass-happy system. Could this be a late-career fantasy boon? Probably not.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jamison Crowder is only 29 years old and projects as Cole Beasley's replacement as the starting slot WR for Josh Allen. Isaiah McKenzie does linger though, making this a possible time share.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: 19 touchdowns in 14 games and a QB24 ranking tell the story. The Lions aren't going to morph into a high-volume passing attack with Goff under center, but contractually they probably aren't willing to give up on him yet.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Goff is an underrated veteran quarterback. D.J. Chark and (health-pending) Jameson Williams offers boosts to the wide receiver corps. Goff also did not log a rushing touchdown in 2021 for the first time in his six-year career to push down his fantasy finish. Goff is a sturdy QB2 for fantasy with modest upside.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Jared Goff was already QB23 in fantasy points per game last season and now should receive a bump once Jameson Williams is able to take the field.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Middling numbers in two seasons in Cleveland, but has a massive target share opportunity in Tennesse if he can quickly build rapport with Ryan Tannehill.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: The Titans like to utilize the tight end position, especially around the goal line after play-action fakes. Austin Hooper brings touchdown upside to the table and will be needed due to the lack of playmakers in the receiving corps.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Michel was added to the new Dolphins committee, but it's hard to envision him as anything more than the No. 2 or No. 3 option.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The Dolphins appear to have a crowded backfield. Chase Edmonds has the money and the explosiveness. Raheem Mostert is now 30 and often injured. Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed are carryovers from the previous regime. That leaves Sony Michel as the likely workhorse back. Over the last six regular-season games with the Rams, Michel logged over 500 rushing yards and three touchdowns. At his current draft price, Michel offers bottom-end RB2 possibilities.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Michel joins a Miami depth where any of Michel, Chase Edmonds, or Raheem Mostert could be the Week 1 starter or start multiple games this season.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Sony Michel was solid for the Rams last season and is worth a late-round flyer in best ball since the Dolphins running game should be successful yet there are question marks how it will ultimately shake out between Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert, and Michel.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Williams is still looking for work, but showed well in Kansas City and was the preferred option over Clyde Edwards-Helaire at times. Monitor Williams to crash a depth chart by Week 1.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: The Cardinals' starting running back is one of the most desirable positions in all of fantasy football tied to Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury. Darrel Williams is now in position should a few dominos fall after signing with Arizona. But reports that Eno Benjamin could be the #2 are worth monitoring throughout training camp and the preseason.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Alec Pierce is a size/speed baller who was drafted in the second round by a receiver-needy Colts franchise. Pierce should earn playing time immediately and with Matt Ryan now in town, should produce immediately as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: For now, I have Burkhead and Marlon Mack on relatively even footing. But the Texans likely want Mack to win the job outright in camp, in which case Burkhead could be a late summer release.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Rex Burkhead is the forgotten man of the Houston backfield. Marlon Mack and Dameon Pierce are expected to be the main competition for starting roles. Mack had an Achilles tear in 2020 that is usually difficult for running backs to recover from. Pierce is a fourth-round rookie. These players both carry historical risk. Burkhead is 32, but against the Chargers in December he recorded 149 yards and two touchdowns.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Burkhead showed well late in 2021 but has typically had the underrated backup role more than starter or true injury-away status in his career. Marlon Mack and Dameon Pierce added to the depth cloud Burkhead's status, at least to start the season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The 49ers are one of the tougher to project depth charts in the NFL. Upside abounds if getting it right any particular week. Davis-Price is the latest Day 2 investment in the position after Trey Sermon showed little in 2021.
Ben Cummins on Jun 2: Kyle Shanahan drafted Tyrion Davis-Price in the third round this year and Davis-Price immediately projects as the RB2 behind Elijah Mitchell. Jeff Wilson is worth mentioning but until we see/hear otherwise, Trey Sermon is not even worth discussing at this point. Davis-Price is worth the gamble for the upside if he hits.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Hayden Hurst will be Joe Burrow's main tight end in 2022 and that puts him on the map to have some spike weeks.
Ben Cummins on Aug 5: The loss of Tim Patrick is big for K.J. Hamler, who reported he believes he's going to be 100% healthy by week 1. Even if he's not, I'd still be drafting Hamler very aggressively. Hamler will be the recipient of numerous perfectly accurate downfield rainbow balls from Russell Wilson this season.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: David Bell was a production monster at Purdue. He averaged 101.6 receiving yards per game and scored 22 total touchdowns in 29 career collegiate contests. The Browns selected him in the third round and shortly after the draft head coach Kevin Stefanski is on video telling Bell, "You were the first guy I watched and right away I was like we need to get this guy." Bell is Stefanski's new Jarvis Landry. Draft him.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: An Achilles tear is hard to recover from even for elite talent, and Mack isn't elite. But the Texans are taking a flier on him and seemingly want him to disprove the doubters and earn the starting role.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: While many are anointing Dameon Pierce as the earmarked starter in Houston, it is Mack with the best production profile, and it is not particularly close, on the depth chart. Mack is still a bit of a wildcard health-wise after his Achilles injury but is the probability bet over Rex Burkhead and a Day 3 Pierce, especially for the cost.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: I have no idea to make of this backfield and need more information before drafting either Marlon Mack or Dameon Pierce.
Ben Cummins on Jul 22: Jerick McKinnon was the starting RB in the playoffs and performed well for the Chiefs. McKinnon is a good pass-catcher and fits well in the Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes offense. With questions surrounding the talent of Clyde Edwards-Helaire, McKinnon is one of the most fun late-round RB selections. There is upside here.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: You would never guess Bourne was a top-30 receiver last year, but his 55-catch, 800-yard, 5 touchdown season was rock solid. D. Parker's addition casts a cloud on a repeat, but at Bourne's ADP, there are worse bets.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Mac Jones is going to take a step forward in year two and Kendrick Bourne could do the same right along with him. In Bourne's first season with the Patriots, he caught 55 of 70 targets for 800 yards and 5 touchdowns. He then added 7 catches on 8 targets for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns in New England's only playoff game. Bourne's ADP is ridiculous. Draft him.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Samuel is a gadget player with elite speed and will be a key cog in Washington's offensive arsenal. Yet, he's not the best receiver, or the biggest red-zone threat, and could be the 4th option in most game scripts.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Curtis Samuel is viable as Washington's WR3.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mills was an afterthought this time a year ago, but the Texans committed to him early and his rookie season panned out well. We don't yet know if he can elevate a team to playoff contention, but he's certainly unlikely to be a total whiff, either.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Davis Mills looked awful to start the 2021 season, but after being benched came back strong and looked good enough for the Texans not to seek a challenger to his starting role in 2022. The receiving and rushing group leaves a lot to be desired, but Mills made something out if nothing in his rookie year. Further improvement and he could very well be fantasy useful this year. Not the worst dynasty prospect to latch into either.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mills was given the vote of confidence by Houston in the offseason not notably adding to the position. The weapons are largely the same with coming-off-of-injury rookie John Metchie as one addition. Brevin Jordan being a potential breakout tight end would be another reason for optimism. Mills adds next to nothing as runner, making his top-12 probabilities low.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Davis Mills was only QB37 in fantasy points per game last season but showed awesome growth as the season went on. I'm happy with this ranking expecting garbage time to boost Mills up the rankings a bit more in 2022.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: White will be in competition with Kenyan Drake for the primary backup role behind Josh Jacobs in Las Vegas. Health is a major question mark with White after multiple significant knee injuries in college.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Zamir White was drafted by Josh McDaniels and his past history as head coach of the Broncos shows he has no problem trying to bring in his own guys. There is a chance White leads the Raiders' backfield in touches.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Thomas is on the wrong side of 30 years old and only has one strong season under his belt, but Carson Wentz loves throwing to the tight end across the middle and in the red zone. Consider Thomas a high variance option as your starter.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: I'm lower on Logan Thomas because he tore his ACL in December and even if healthy, he doesn't excite me.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: Watkins is well into the veteran stage of his career but has only just turned 29. The loss of Davante Adams will be hard to replace, but expecting Allen Lazard or Christian Watson to be preferred at this stage is speculation. Aaron Rodgers will throw to his best receiver and that may very well be Sammy Watkins. Of course, there is a risk with Watkins. He may not even make the final roster. At his current price, he carries little risk and the upside is much higher if he catches the eye of Rodgers.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Even if Sammy Watkins does make the team, I'm still not bullish on his ability to produce with Aaron Rodgers. Allen Lazard, Christian Watson, Randall Cobb, Amari Rodgers, and possibly even Romeo Doubs should all earn playing time this season. And Green Bay is the favorite to sign Julio Jones as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The acquisition of Amari Cooper and third-round draft selection of David Bell position Peoples-Jones as a peripheral contributor regardless of who's under center.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Donovan Peoples-Jones has the size and speed to be an exciting WR3 (Behind Amari Cooper and David Bell) for the Browns, especially if/when Deshaun Watson gets on the field. He'll have to fend off Anthony Schwartz though.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: If Rob Gronkowski retires, Brate will be a steal for anyone who rostered him early in draft season. If Gronk plays, Brate is an easy avoid.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The retirement announcement of Rob Gronkowski opens the door for Brate to be a fantasy factor. However, Tampa Bay has ample time to address the position, if desired, in free agency (think Jared Cook) before Week 1. Plus, it has been years since Brate's career peak usage and production.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Cameron Brate has touchdown upside as a red zone threat for Tom Brady but there is too much uncertainty currently for me to be bullish on Brate, although that could change later in the summer. I'm not convinced Rob Gronkowski will stay retired and there is hype building around rookie Cade Otten as well.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Damien Williams has the opportunity to step into the role vacated by Mike Davis.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mike Davis' release aids Williams' chances to be the RB2, or even the starter if Cordarrelle Patterson transitions back to wide receiver, for the Falcons.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Devin Duvernay played on 603 offensive snaps last season, way more than both James Proche (212 snaps) and Tylan Wallace (84 snaps). Marquise Brown and Sammy Watkins are both gone. Duvernay is Baltimore's new WR2 and Lamar Jackson's new Willie Snead with more upside and likely more opportunity. I love solidifying my best ball WR corps with Duvernay late.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Byron Pringle was productive for Patrick Mahomes last season and then was signed by the Bears in free agency. Pringle projects as Justin Fields' WR2 and, at worst, the WR3 if Velus Jones is able to overtake him.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Rookie tight ends rarely put up big numbers, but Jordan has the pedigree, skill set, and opportunity to break out for a young Texans offense desperate for playmakers.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Brevin Jordan's playing time increased in the second half of his rookie season and now Joran Akins is no longer on the team. Jordan offers upside on a team that will have to throw a lot with a quarterback in Davis Mills capable of getting the ball into the hands of his playmakers.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mayfield is always going to be volatile because his instincts are to be a gunslinger, but objectively he's been much better than Sam Darnold in every way. He's a high variance QB2 and worth starting in superflex leagues.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mayfield's early July trade to Carolina boosts his chances to start a significant number of games in 2022. The weapons are strong in Carolina with notably D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey capable of aiding the low-upside-to-date Mayfield, who offers little as a rusher for fantasy purposes.
Ben Cummins on Jul 6: Baker Mayfield projects as the starter for the Panthers for the entire season and all of a sudden looks like a solid late-round quarterback option paired with Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore, and Robbie Anderson.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Edwards was going to be edged out in Las Vegas once Davante Adams came aboard, so a trade to Atlanta re-opens the door for a high-volume role. But much of his value lies with whether the Falcons can support three receiving options on a regular basis. That's a hard bet to make.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: It's only a matter of time before Desmond Ridder starts and when he does, he'll confidently give Bryan Edwards jump ball chances just as he did with Alec Pierce in college at Cincinnati.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The converted basketball player will have his moments but lacks the regular targets to factor into 12-team leagues.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Jack Doyle retired, leaving the door open for both Mo Alie-Cox and Kylen Granson to take a step forward in 2022. Alie-Cox scored 4 touchdowns on only 45 targets last season. He projects as the #1 tight end and his huge frame could allow for more touchdowns on more targets this year.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Foreman joins the Carolina depth chart where Chuba Hubbard had and largely lost the injury-away role in 2021. Foreman showed well in Tennessee and projects as the leading rusher if Christian McCaffrey were to miss time.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: DOnta Foreman projects as Christian McCaffrey's direct backup after putting solid play on tape with the Titans last season. Things would get extremely interesting should McCaffrey go down again, especially with Baker Mayfield providing more stability at the quarterback position in Carolina.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Offseason reports are positive for Parris Campbell. He's currently healthy, has been running exclusively with the first-team offense, and pairs well with his new quarterback, Matt Ryan. Look for Ryan to utilize Campbell as his new Russell Gage.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Perine has avoided additional competition for the RB2 role in Cincinnati this offseason. Chris Evans could steal receiving work if Joe Mixon is out and Perine projects as a lower upside fantasy streamer.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Samaje Perine was the Bengals' #2 running back in 2021 but reportedly will have to battle Chris Evans to keep that role in 2022.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The job to replace A.J. Brown in Tennessee isnâ€™t going to be left to one man. Treylon Burks turns up out of shape and Robert Woods is coming off an ACL tear. The forgotten man is Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. The undrafted third-year man impressed in his first real season in 2021, played in all three receiving positions and his versatility will be crucial to Ryan Tannehill. If Burks and Woods are fully fit, they are likely to see the targets, but that is a big assumption. If Westbrook-Ikhine plays a high percentage of snaps, his fantasy production will surprise fantasy managers.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Laviska Shenault saw 100 targets last season but those opportunities are sure to decrease with Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Evan Engram, and Travis Etienne in the picture this year.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Shepard has the route discipline, precision, hands, and experience to thrive in a featured role. But his injury history is impossible to ignore.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Sterling Shepard suffered a torn Achilles in December. If healthy, I would be bullish on him in Brian Daboll's offense. But we need to hear numerous positive reports of Shepard practicing first.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hilliard is the veteran of note behind Derrick Henry. Holding off rookie Hassan Haskins will be key to being an injury away from a prominent role.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Haskins is not a younger version of Derrick Henry, but he is a hard-nosed, smart, power runner. If Henry gets hurt again, Haskins is the best bet to be the 1a in a multi-back committee.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Haskins has an opportunity to win the RB2 job in Tennessee as a Day 3 rookie.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: A.J. Green put up 848 receiving yards last season and will benefit from DeAndre Hopkins' six-game suspension to begin the season.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Cole Beasley's 112 targets from last season are up for grabs. Jamison Crowder is the favorite to start the season in the slot but Isaiah McKenzie could step up this year as he's shown flashes in the past. McKenzie is worth a flyer late in drafts and I don't even have a problem drafting both Crowder and McKenzie together at their affordable costs.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Fell well short of expectations last year, and was handily outplayed by Hunter Henry. Expect more of the same in 2022.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Jonnu Smith is going to have a better year in 2022 than he did in his first season in New England. The Patriots project to be moving away from utilizing a traditional fullback and if so, Smith could see additional opportunities in two tight end sets and out of the backfield.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Cedrick Wilson is viable as Miami's WR3. I like stacking Wilson on Tua Tagovailoa teams.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Scott has limited upside with Kenneth Gainwell a receiving-centric option also behind Miles Sanders in Philadelphia.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Evans is more of a PPR thorn in the side of Samaje Perine should Joe Mixon miss time rather than a standalone upside value.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: In year two, Chris Evans could provide more juice in the passing game out of the backfield tied to Joe Burrow. We already know the Bengals don't utilize Joe Mixon in the receiving game a ton, especially on third downs. There is room for growth for Evans here.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Zay Jones projects to play in three-receiver sets alongside Christian Kirk and Marvin Jones. That's exciting. Trevor Lawrence is going to take a step forward in his second year and the Jaguars will have to throw a ton in a tough AFC Conference.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Despite Aaron Rodgers demanding Cobb's return to Green Bay, he stepped back into a complementary role and lacked the dynamism we saw from a young Cobb before injuries piled up.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Randall Cobb is old reliable for Aaron Rodgers, which means he'll likely produce at least a few startable weeks for you.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Marshall's rookie season was forgettable (17/138/0), but if the Panthers bring in a better quarterback, particularly Jimmy Garoppolo, he's worth watching for signs of early-season success.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Terrace Marshall projects as Carolina's WR3 and could take a step forward this season but the Panthers also have Rashard Higgins on the roster and new quarterback Baker Mayfield has chemistry with Higgins going back to the Cleveland days.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Breida is one of the underrated injury-away situations post-NFL Draft. Breida lacks ideal size but is the leader in the clubhouse behind Saquon Barkley.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mariota bided his time as the Raiders backup and looks to be an unexpected beneficiary of the quarterback carousel. When the dust settled, he was the best-available option for Arthur Smith and the Falcons. But Desmond Ridder will almost certainly be given a chance to win the job as the season progresses.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Mariota is a plus rushing option but has a concerning 32 passing touchdowns against 26 interceptions over the past five seasons. Mariota should have a longer leash considering Desmond Ridder was a Round 3 selection in this year's draft, but Atlanta is unlikely to go anywhere in the standings. Turning the page to 2023 may come earlier in Atlanta than any other NFL city.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Marcus Mariota was a disaster the last time we saw him as a full-time starter in Tennessee. Count me as a non-believer the Mariota experiment lasts longer than eight games.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Patriots' depth chart is cloudy with five quality options to begin training camp. Strong is on the older side but has a good combination of size and two-way producer from college should the early Day 3 rookie see an opportunity.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Johnson showed well in 2021 with spot duty as the Browns starter. This year is more ambiguous with Kareem Hunt still on the roster (for now) and Jerome Ford a notable Day 3 draft addition.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: DErnest Johnson is interesting right now because there are rumors out there Kareem Hunt could be traded. If so, Johnson would step into that Hunt role in Cleveland. Johnson looked great with the playing time he received in 2021.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Velus Jones has a chance to be Justin Fields' Wr2 or WR3.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Is Mitch Trubisky the latest Matt Flynn? After backing up Josh Allen, Trubisky seemed to have won a new lease on life as the Steelers new starter. But then the team drafted Kenny Pickett and now Trubisky realistically has a few months to prove he can start elsewhere in 2023.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: After a reset season as Josh Allen's backup in Buffalo, Trubisky is projected as the Week 1 starter for the Steelers. The clock is ticking, however, with Kenny Pickett waiting for any falter by Trubisky to turn the page to the hometown rookie. Trubisky has quality weapons and rushing upside, but is more of an early-season play than one projected for a full season of starting opportunity, healthy or not.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Mitchell Trubisky is the favorite to open the year as the Steelers' starting quarterback. How long he can hold onto the job and whether he can find success while on the field remain major question marks in a stacked AFC Conference.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Romeo Doubs totaled 2,111 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns in his final two seasons at Nevada and I liked what I saw when watching his film. Doubs is worth a flyer late, especially on teams with Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay's wide receiver corps is wide open and there's a chance Doubs could rise to the top, especially if Christian Watson isn't as NFL ready as most think.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Davis left an RB2 (or better) role in Atlanta as a surprise post-NFL Draft release to find the Baltimore depth chart dealing with returns from injury with J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. Davis' addition points to some level of concern for Dobbins and/or Edwards. There's a non-zero chance Davis is the Week 1 starter for Baltimore.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: White is an all-time Belichick favorite, and he re-signed again. But the days of marginal fantasy value are long gone.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: White is returning from injury and the Patriots splashed the depth chart with multiple Day 3 running backs with quality profiles (Pierre Strong, Kevin Harris). The five-back depth chart could have a tough cut by Week 1.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: An alarming injury history, but probably gets the first crack at the starting role unless Tyler Conklin balls out this summer.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: James Washington was an elite producer in college so there could be life here for Washington now that he's on a new team, especially since he's paired with Dak Prescott. Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson are gone and Michael Gallup is recovering from a January ACL tear. Washington will be needed and could be, at worst, the WR3 if he can hold off rookie Jalen Tolbert.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: D'Onta Foreman signed this offseason, and stands a good shot at displacing Hubbard as Christian McCaffrey's backup.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hubbard was the clear RB2 early in Christian McCaffrey's extended absence last season. However, Ameer Abdullah siphoned plenty of touches and eroded Hubbard's viability. This offseason D'Onta Foreman has been added to cloud Hubbard yet again.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Conklin is one of several options in New York, but can he earn the starting role? Any chance of fantasy relevance hinges on a monstrous training camp.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Tyler Conklin projects as more of the receiving tight end for the Jets over C.J. Uzomah.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: A rocky start at mini-camp bodes ill for Howard doing much in Buffalo.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Watkins was the star of Eagles camp last summer, but with D. Smith and A.J. Brown in town, Watkins is little more than a complementary piece on a run-heavy offense.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Quez Watkins is viable as Philadelphia's WR3. Watkins has elite speed and Jalen Hurts' #1 strength as a passer is his deep ball. Stack these two together and they could help you take down a best ball tournament should they connect on a long one or two during the best ball playoffs.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Braxton Berrios has shown promise over the past two seasons and likely won't be relegated to the bench this year despite Elijah Moore, Garrett Wilson, and Corey Davis all being ahead of him on the depth chart.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Austin Hooper is gone which makes Harrison Bryant the new #2 tight end in Cleveland. Bryant is talented and has more upside than most realize should something happen to David Njoku or should Njoku simply not take the next step most are predicting.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Didn't emerge in Jared Cook's absence, although the quarterback situation was partially to blame. Can Winston unlock Trautman's value? Don't draft him counting on it, but be open to the possibility.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Benjamin did not separate himself as the clear RB3 last season in Arizona and the only competition for the injury-away role behind James Conner is Day 3 rookie Keaontay Ingram.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Reports are Eno Benjamin has a chance to win the #2 running back job behind James Conner. That's huge news as the Cardinals' starting running back is one of the most desirable positions in all of fantasy football tied to Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury. This is a situation to monitor throughout training camp and the preseason.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Wilson is the lost name in the 49ers backfield where Elijah Mitchell is returning from knee surgery, Trey Sermon was in the doghouse last year, and Tyrion Davis-Price is an incoming rookie. Wilson is worth a dart throw who has shown well in the past.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Tyquan Thornton was drafted in the second round by New England, who clearly made an emphasis to increase their speed on offense with the selection. Thornton ran a 4.28 40-yard dash so it would be shocking to not see Thornton on the field at least situationally. And Mac Jones is going to take a step forward in his second season. The Jones/Thornton late stack is one of my favorite in all of best ball.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: The Broncos selected Greg Dulcich in the third round of this year's draft so it's important to monitor all summer how the playing time is going to shake out between him and Albert Okwuegbunam. Dulcich profiles as a receiving tight end, which would be great for fantasy should the dominos fall his way.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jauan Jennings is viable as the 49ers' WR3. Jennings is San Francisco's new Kendrick Bourne.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: An athlete capable of the occasional big play, but not a cornerstone piece of the Chargers offense.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Best ball drafters shouldn't forget about Donald Parham. Prior to Parham's scary late-season concussion, he was playing on close to half the offensive snaps per game in one of the best passing offenses in football. He's a red-zone target as well. Stack last round Parham with Justin Herbert on some teams.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The 49ers splashed the depth chart again in 2022 with a Day 2 draft pick on Tyrion Davis-Price. Sermon was a Day 2 selection as well in 2021, but landed in the doghouse early and often as Elijah Mitchell surged to the starting role. Investing the backfield requires a risk-taking attitude and, ideally, seeking the cheaper options.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Jalen Guyton is the speedster for Justin Herbert, one of the most exciting fantasy quarterbacks in part because of his cannon for a right arm. Guyton makes sense late in best ball, especially stacked with Herbert because he has the potential to earn startable weeks with just one play on a weekly basis.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Vaughn has the upside to be the RB2 in Tampa Bay, but Rachaad White's drafting throws a wrench into those plans. Vaughn has shown little through two seasons and remains a project as to his fantasy upside.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Is he a quarterback or a tight end? And does it really matter for fantasy purposes?
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Taysom Hill probably won't play quarterback this season but he'll likely still be used as a utility player in short-yardage and goal-line situations. That provides value, especially at tight end where touchdowns matter a lot.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Williams started the NFL Draft process with some discussion of being a Day 2 prospect. Ultimately Williams slipped to mid-Day 3 and landed on a blocked Rams depth chart. Williams will compete with previous Day 3 selection Jake Funk for the RB3 role.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Signing with the Colts in mid-May, Lindsay offers a veteran presence for carries instead of the rookie competition for carries behind Jonathan Taylor outside of change-of-pace Nyheim Hines.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: I'm pretty low on Will Fuller. We haven't heard anything at all regarding his desire to play football this season. Still, I understand the bull case if Fuller does sign with a team.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Could be in line for a starting role in New York, but rookie Daniel Bellinger is already pushing for snaps.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Amari Rodgers is worth a flyer late on some Aaron Rodgers teams. He was a third round pick just one year ago.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Snell is the projected RB2 for the Steelers, one of the least inspiring injury-away running backs for fantasy upside.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Bernard's role as a third-down specialist is on the downslope, which leaves him with almost no fantasy value.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Moss has faded from relevance on the Bills depth chart with Devin Singletary's usage dwarfing Moss' in 2021. Add in Round 2 rookie James Cook and Moss is multiple injuries from being fantasy viable.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The former Dolphins starter has been buried in an avalanche of additions by Miami in Chase Edmonds, Sony Michel, and Raheem Mostert. Gaskin is now yet another Day 3 running back searching for a clarified opportunity.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Mitch Trubisky is more than capable of starting, too, so the Steelers have the luxury of keeping Pickett on the bench until he's ready. Whether that's Week 1, Week 10, or 2023 remains to be seen.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Pickett's selection in Round 1 means the clock is ticking on expected Pittsburgh starter Mitchell Trubisky for his first bad game or a slow start to the season. Pickett does not project as a strong rushing option and the typical fantasy result for a rookie quarterback is already in the QB20-40 range historically.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Kenny Pickett does not project to be a starting quarterback at the beginning of the season so this is more of a projection but in an extremely tough AFC Conference, I see Pickett starting at least half the season for Pittsburgh.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Jack Doyle retired, leaving the door open for both Mo Alie-Cox and Kylen Granson to take a step forward in 2022. Granson profiles as the more athletic of the two between the 20s although Alie-Cox will likely receive the majority of the red zone looks.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The coaches said Geno Smith had the early edge on Drew Lock in minicamp. If the young signal-caller can't look better than Geno Smith in non-contact drills, he has almost no hope for fantasy relevance.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Lock is not even a lock to be the Seattle starter for 2022. Expect a battle with Geno Smith. Lock has 18 touchdowns and 17 interceptions spanning the past two seasons.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Ridder is raw and there are no guarantees he'll evolve into a long-term starter. But the Falcons have no incentive not to give him a try later this season because Marcus Mariota certainly isn't the answer beyond a one-year stopgap.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: The Falcons are projected to be one of the weakest teams in the NFL. Ridder should see time under center to evaluate the rookie ahead of the 2023 offseason. Marcus Mariota is one of least secure starters in the NFL to see 17 starts.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Desmond Ridder ranks higher than Marcus Mariota for me because I'm projecting Ridder to take over sometime in the middle of the season. If so, he'll play the most important half of the best ball season.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Ingram has prototypical size, good enough athleticism, and a quality receiving profile. Securing Day 3 pedigree, Ingram will compete with Eno Benjamin for the RB2 role in Arizona.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Brissett is an experienced backup and capable of at least keeping the Browns afloat in a run-heavy approach if Deshaun Watson is given a lengthy suspension.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Brissett's appeal took a hit with Deshaun Watson's announcement of a six-game suspension. Brissett does have the benefit of a softer schedule in the early weeks of the season, but is a lower-upside option more suited for premium formats rather than stock start-one appeal.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Jacoby Brissett projects as the Browns' starter for the games that Deshaun Watson misses but that's not a guarantee. Should Watson be suspended for the entire season the Browns could make a move for Jimmy Garoppolo. Still, Brissett could start eight-plus games in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Another season ended prematurely by injury, but Beckham's talent when healthy is too enticing for GMs to ignore.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Odell Beckham tore his ACL in mid-February. His realistic time frame for a return in 2022 is likely December.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: At best Coleman would be in a committee with Michael Carter should Breece Hall miss time and clarify the Jets' packed depth chart.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Slayton may be on the outside looking in once final roster cutdowns unfold.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: The Seahawks may still be in the market for another veteran, but veteran Smith has the edge on the Week 1 starting job heading into training camp.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Smith has a quality shot to be the Week 1 starter in Seattle, plus some rushing upside. The key question is if the Seahawks add a veteran via trade or being released from another team.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Patrick's career isn't going to leave a mark when historians look back, but it's not for lack of talent. Circumstances left the veteran receiver out of a starting opportunity in a great offense. But this year with Russell Wilson arriving, Patrick could have fantasy value as the No. 3, and we can't count him out as the No. 2 if Jerry Jeudy flops in the coming months.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Tim Patrick played on more offensive snaps than Jerry Jeudy in all nine games both were active after Jeudy returned from his ankle injury. Patrick signed a 3-year, $34,000,000 contract this offseason. Russell Wilson is now the quarterback.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Boone was in line to be the RB2 in Denver, but Melvin Gordon's return pushes Boone back to needing multiple injuries for a prominent role.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Reagor is on the outside looking in with the addition of A.J. Brown. At best, Reagor earns the No. 4 role on a run-heavy offense. Hard pass.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Johnson has athleticism and receiving upside, but is buried on the Jets depth chart with the addition of Breece Hall plus Tevin Coleman returning in 2022.
Equanimeous St. Brown
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Huntley showed dynamic rushing and good enough passing in spot starts for an injury Lamar Jackson last season to be one of the most appealing backup quarterbacks in the NFL for fantasy.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Taylor is an experienced, steady presence and excellent locker room influence. Giants fans hope upon hope he won't see the field this year because that means Brian Daboll has given up on Daniel Jones.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Landing with the Giants offers a shot to see starts in 2022 for Taylor, whether by poor play or injury to Daniel Jones. The collection of wide receiver talent (plus Saquon Barkley) would make Taylor QB2 viable in premium formats.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: Justyn Ross is an exciting last-round flyer to take every once in a while. He probably doesn't make the team but if he does, his ADP will spike.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Garoppolo was expected to have a new home by now, but an injury clouded his market. There's no indication the 49ers are backing off plans to make Trey Lance the starter, but Jimmy G could still be the answer for a handful of needy teams in the coming months.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Garoppolo still resides in San Francisco and the options abound for the veteran quarterback, who could still be the 49ers starter this season, or off to another team as a starter or backup (for now). Garoppolo, fantasy-wise, does not have strong upside unless the situation is perfect around him.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: Jimmy Garoppolo likely would have been traded already if he didn't have offseason surgery. Once healthy, I expect Garoppolo to be traded and likely starting for another team in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Andy Dalton is making a career out of being the guy looking over someone else's shoulder. Jameis Winston is hardly secure in his job, so don't be shocked if Dalton takes the field for New Orleans in 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Gronkowski announced his retirement, and since he was a free agent we shouldn't view this as a ploy to avoid training camp. He may return mid-season, particularly if the Buccaneers are on another playoff push, but he shouldn't be drafted in any league that goes less than 24 tight ends on draft day.
Andy Hicks on Aug 7: The retirement announcement by Rob Gronkowski appears fairly strong. That said if Tampa Bay is high in playoff considerations and they need help at Tight End, I can see a situation where he plays down the stretch. A full season, not so much.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Gronkowski announced his retirement, but there's still a chance he plays in some capacity in 2022. In deeper leagues, Gronkowski still may be worth a late flyer selection considering the per-game upside Gronkowski offers at a position with a substantial drop-off after 20-25 options.
Ben Cummins on Jul 1: Last round Rob Gronkowski is enticing to at least have some shares of. I'm not convinced Gronkowski will stay retired. He could be doing this just to "get back" at Tom Brady for briefly retiring as well.
Anthony Amico on Jun 28: Gronk has retired for now, but the upside of a return is still worth a stab late in drafts. He was a top-5 TE in 2021.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Sam Darnold has done little with Carolina to instill confidence of a successful season of starts in 2022. Corral has rushing upside but his Round 3 pedigree and fading in the draft are worrisome from a longer-term projection perspective.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Minshew has a clarified backup role behind Jalen Hurts in a critical year considering the Eagles' added investment in A.J. Brown on offense. Minshew has one of the best backup quarterback profiles in the NFL for fantasy purposes if he gets under center.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: After years of holding a clipboard, we caught a glimpse of Rush's ability to manage the Cowboys offense last year, and he looked terrific.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Baker Mayfield's acquisition ends another sad chapter in Sam Darnold's starting career.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Carolina passed on quarterback at No.6 overall in the draft, a boost to Darnold's chances to see starts, and plenty of them, in 2022. Darnold has been woeful, however, with 18 touchdowns and 24 interceptions over the past two seasons. Outside of Darnold's torrid start to 2021 with rushing touchdowns, Darnold has been forgettable.
Ben Cummins on Jun 30: I don't expect Sam Darnold to be a week 1 starter. Look for the Panthers to make a move.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Willis is a longer shot to see significant time as a rookie outside of a Ryan Tannehill injury. Tennessee is in a win now window and Willis' passing floor is low.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Phillip Lindsay signing with the Colts hurts Jackson's chances for the RB3 role, or the most carries if Jonathan Taylor misses time, at the outset of 2022.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: It's uncertain we'll ever see Carson on an NFL field again.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Carson has one of the highest range of outcomes of NFL backs. Carson may not play again with his neck injury and recovery process. Also in play is Carson being Seattle's starter if healthy as Rashaad Penny has rarely been healthy in his career and Kenneth Walker is an incoming rookie with pass protection work to do.
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Hyde is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.
Jason Wood on Aug 8: Love is still one Aaron Rodgers injury away from piloting a contender. But with Davante Adams gone, it's hard to imagine Love being fantasy relevant even if his number is called.
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Chargers
San Francisco 49ers
New England Patriots
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Booker is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.
Ben Cummins on Jul 7: John Metchie will likely begin the season on the PUP list but when he is able to take the field, he'll join a Texans offense forced to throw each and every week with a quarterback in Davis Mills capable of getting the ball to his pass-catchers.
Green Bay Packers
Chad Parsons on Aug 1: Johnson is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.