It's early May, but DraftKings sportsbook has already released preseason player prop bets. The downside of these bets is your money will be locked up until the season completes, but the upside is some of these lines are extremely soft.
Link to DraftKings Player Props
To find value, I compared the DraftKings line to projections done by Bob Henry, Jason Wood, and myself. I know I personally have 70+ hours into my early projections and suspect both Jason and Bob have a similar commitment as we have been through multiple iterations already. I only looked at -110 bets (which was the majority of bets).
I looked for situations where all three of us agree on the bet and our consensus projection is at least 4+% better than the line. The table at the end of this article outlines all of the bets that satisfy these criteria (sorted by percentage).
Best Bets
- Rookie WR Jalen Reagor, PHI - UNDER 750.5 receiving yards
- Rookie WR Justin Jefferson, MIN - UNDER 775.5 receiving yards
- Rookie WR Henry Ruggs III, OAK - UNDER 800.5 receiving yards
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