A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. This article specifically targets deep sleeper value (players that can be found very late in a fantasy draft). In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look deeper than the Top 150 and identify players that should significantly outperform their late draft position. These players should be your targets after the 12th round of your draft.
They gave us 30 names. That's a lot.
If you want all of the players, keep on reading. If you just want the top guys, here are the four players who received the most votes:
- Breshad Perriman - 6 votes
- Steven Sims Jr. - 6 votes
- Allen Lazard - 5 votes
- Parris Campbell - 4 votes
NOTE: We know all these different opinions can be a lot. And certainly, not everyone agrees on everything.
If you want to cut straight to the chase and get our "Bottom Line" for where we project every player right down to the last yard, you can see that here. That's our Bottom Line and where we plant the Footballguys Flag for all these players.
If you'd like to see more detail about how the staff sees different players, here is every wide receiver who was mentioned and the reasons why.
Players Receiving 6 Votes
Breshad Perriman, NY Jets
Phil Alexander: Who's to say Perriman hasn't always been this good? His raw athleticism never translated in Baltimore, where injuries caused him to fall out of favor. But he helped people believe in Baker Mayfield down the stretch in 2018 and looked like one of the league's better outside receivers in Tampa Bay after injuries sidelined Mike Evans and Chris Godwin last year. At the very least, Perriman (4.3 speed coming out of college) can approximate Robby Anderson's role as a deep-threat, and he brings more after-the-catch. As long as he can gel with the live-armed Sam Darnold, Perriman will have plenty of opportunities to blow past the value his current ADP implies. There isn't much standing between him and a 20% share of New York's targets.
James Brimacombe: Perriman came on strong for the Buccaneers to close out the 2019 season and as a result was offered a contract by the NY Jets and is now flirting with Jamison Crowder as the top receiver on the depth chart. The current cost on Perriman in drafts is too good to ignore for a player that will see plenty of opportunities to be the guy in New York with Sam Darnold throwing him the ball and the fact that he is coming off a career year with a 36/645/6 stat line. Darnold has his deep threat guy and if the Jets are a good, bad, or middle of the road football team it all seems to equal positives for Perriman to produce some quality numbers.
David Dodds: In the five games to close the NFL season, Perriman caught 25 passes for 506 yards and 5 touchdowns. He set career highs in targets, yards, and touchdowns in 2019. Perriman was able to use that late-season success to secure a 1-year free-agent contract with the Jets for $6.5M. He slides into the deep role (recently vacated by Robby Anderson) but will need an explosive 2020 to secure a future multi-year contract.
Andy Hicks: It has taken a while for the former first-round pick in 2015 to find his feet in the NFL, but Breshad Perriman was on fire for the last five weeks of the 2019 season. 25 receptions, 506 yards, and five touchdowns. That doesn’t translate to production on his new team, but the opportunity is there for Perriman to become a reliable fantasy producer in 2020. How he clicks with Sam Darnold and the Jets offense will be key, but it’s not like Jets have better depth at the position than the Bucs team he left after 2019. At his current draft price, it’s almost certain he is good value and his upside is as good as his final five games of last season
Dan Hindery: Perriman should be considered the favorite to be the Jets' top outside receiver and go-to deep ball option. He is an elite athlete who battled injuries and a lack of confidence early in his career but has started to put it all together in recent years. He was a bona fide fantasy star down the stretch for Tampa Bay last season (the overall WR3 over the final five games). Sam Darnold just turned 23-years old, so there is some added upside for Perriman if Darnold takes a step forward in his progression.
Jason Wood: Perriman's career has been forgettable, and his low ADP is entirely logical based on a summative analysis of his 4-year career. He's never finished at a top-40 fantasy receiver and will suit up for his fourth team in five seasons this year after signing a 1-year, $8 million contract with the Jets. He's not guaranteed a significant role, but the loss of Robby Anderson leaves Perriman in the pole position to be Sam Darnold's lead target on the outside. Drafting Perriman at the end of a draft isn't completely aspirational; he was dynamic for Tampa Bay last year after becoming a starter in the final month. Over those four games, Perriman caught 20 passes for 429 yards and 5 touchdowns. That equates to 80 catches, 1,716 yards, and 20 touchdowns of a 16-game schedule.
Steven Sims Jr., Washington
James Brimacombe: The undrafted rookie played in 13 games in 2019 and scored five total touchdowns. In the last three games on the season, Sims had 29 targets for 16 receptions, 190 yards, and four touchdowns. He has also been receiving high praise all offseason from teammates and coaches and looks to be locked in as the teams WR2. He is the perfect type of dart play to take a chance on at the end of your drafts in 2020.
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