Join the Footballguys Daily Update
Start your morning with our roundup of the most important stories in football - with the fantasy insight you need to make league-winning decisions. Delivered straight to your inbox, 100% free.
Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Eighteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:
- Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
- Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last-minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
- Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.
RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK
This week we had an impressive performance from new staffer Andrew Davenport. Despite everyone on staff missing the Thursday Night Football upset by Tampa Bay over Carolina, Drew missed just three other games and finished with a respectable 101 confidence points. He narrowly beat out Will Grant who had more points on Cleveland for Monday Night Football, but it wasn't enough to catch Drew this week. Welcome to the pool and Congrats!
Away Team
|
TB
|
LAC
|
IND
|
JAC
|
SF
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
ARI
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
MNF
|
TOT
|
Home Team
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
NYG
|
MIA
|
WAS
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
OAK
|
DEN
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
TOTAL
|
Pts
|
Staffer
|
The Picks
|
MNF
|
LW
|
|||||||||||||||
Davenport
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
CLE
|
57
|
101
|
11
|
4
|
10
|
13
|
8
|
7
|
16
|
12
|
3
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
9
|
5
|
2
|
1
|
|||
Grant
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
44
|
100
|
12
|
8
|
10
|
14
|
1
|
4
|
16
|
11
|
7
|
2
|
15
|
13
|
6
|
9
|
3
|
5
|
|||
Buzzard
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
42
|
98
|
12
|
3
|
9
|
14
|
1
|
5
|
16
|
10
|
8
|
11
|
15
|
13
|
6
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
|||
Miglio
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
NYG
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
46
|
97
|
11
|
2
|
9
|
12
|
8
|
4
|
16
|
13
|
7
|
6
|
15
|
14
|
10
|
5
|
3
|
1
|
|||
Gray
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
41
|
97
|
12
|
10
|
6
|
14
|
5
|
7
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
4
|
15
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
2
|
|||
Wimer
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
ATL
|
CLE
|
72
|
95
|
10
|
5
|
9
|
12
|
4
|
8
|
15
|
11
|
3
|
2
|
14
|
13
|
7
|
16
|
6
|
1
|
|||
Brimacombe
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
IND
|
HOU
|
SF
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
47
|
95
|
13
|
12
|
1
|
11
|
2
|
6
|
16
|
14
|
5
|
9
|
15
|
10
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
|||
Haseley
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
NYJ
|
44
|
94
|
10
|
7
|
12
|
13
|
9
|
8
|
16
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
14
|
15
|
11
|
5
|
2
|
1
|
|||
Garda
|
CAR
|
DET
|
IND
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
DEN
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
45
|
94
|
14
|
1
|
9
|
11
|
7
|
10
|
16
|
13
|
4
|
12
|
8
|
15
|
3
|
2
|
6
|
5
|
|||
Larkin
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
DEN
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
CLE
|
43
|
93
|
12
|
5
|
11
|
13
|
7
|
6
|
16
|
14
|
10
|
9
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
|||
Knotts
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
IND
|
HOU
|
SF
|
NYG
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
45
|
93
|
13
|
15
|
1
|
14
|
2
|
7
|
16
|
12
|
8
|
3
|
11
|
10
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
9
|
|||
Settle
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
44
|
92
|
9
|
10
|
5
|
12
|
4
|
2
|
16
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
15
|
14
|
11
|
7
|
8
|
3
|
|||
Pasquino
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
45
|
92
|
14
|
8
|
10
|
13
|
1
|
3
|
16
|
11
|
5
|
4
|
15
|
12
|
9
|
2
|
7
|
6
|
|||
Roberts
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
NYJ
|
47
|
90
|
11
|
10
|
6
|
15
|
9
|
5
|
16
|
13
|
1
|
4
|
14
|
12
|
8
|
3
|
7
|
2
|
|||
Tuccitto
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
SF
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
DEN
|
NO
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
49
|
87
|
12
|
1
|
11
|
14
|
7
|
8
|
16
|
10
|
6
|
9
|
15
|
13
|
2
|
5
|
3
|
4
|
|||
Bitonti
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
LAR
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
54
|
87
|
13
|
11
|
10
|
14
|
9
|
3
|
15
|
12
|
1
|
2
|
16
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
|||
Wood
|
CAR
|
LAC
|
IND
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
NYJ
|
47
|
82
|
13
|
10
|
6
|
12
|
8
|
5
|
16
|
15
|
7
|
4
|
14
|
11
|
3
|
2
|
9
|
1
|
|||
Hicks
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
NYG
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
KC
|
DEN
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
41
|
78
|
14
|
1
|
13
|
12
|
2
|
5
|
16
|
10
|
7
|
6
|
15
|
11
|
8
|
9
|
4
|
3
|
|||
Away
|
TB
|
LAC
|
IND
|
JAC
|
SF
|
BUF
|
NE
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
SEA
|
ARI
|
KC
|
CHI
|
NO
|
PHI
|
CLE
|
||
Total Pts
|
0
|
97
|
17
|
0
|
11
|
87
|
286
|
211
|
23
|
12
|
0
|
220
|
108
|
39
|
57
|
46
|
||
Home
|
CAR
|
DET
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
CIN
|
NYG
|
MIA
|
WAS
|
GB
|
PIT
|
BAL
|
OAK
|
DEN
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
NYJ
|
||
Total Pts
|
216
|
26
|
131
|
233
|
83
|
16
|
0
|
0
|
72
|
90
|
255
|
0
|
17
|
60
|
21
|
14
|
||
Tot Conf Pts
|
216
|
123
|
148
|
233
|
94
|
103
|
286
|
211
|
95
|
102
|
255
|
220
|
125
|
99
|
78
|
60
|
The big upsets came early this week - with Tampa's big win taking down over 200 confidence points to open the week. Early losses by the kicking-challenged Chargers and the Titans took out almost 230 more confidence points to open Sunday morning.
OVERALL RANKINGS
The overall leaderboard starts to take shape. Miglio beat Garda this week so he pulls into the early lead, but only nine points separate the overall leader from the middle of the pack so there is plenty of time to move.
Staff Member
|
Wk01
|
Wk02
|
Wk03
|
Wk04
|
Wk05
|
Wk06
|
Wk07
|
Wk08
|
Wk09
|
Wk10
|
Wk11
|
Wk12
|
Wk13
|
Wk14
|
Wk15
|
Wk16
|
Wk17
|
Total
|
Miglio
|
115
|
97
|
212
|
|||||||||||||||
Garda
|
115
|
94
|
209
|
|||||||||||||||
Davenport
|
108
|
101
|
209
|
|||||||||||||||
Knotts
|
113
|
93
|
206
|
|||||||||||||||
Pasquino
|
113
|
92
|
205
|
|||||||||||||||
Settle
|
112
|
92
|
204
|
|||||||||||||||
Larkin
|
111
|
93
|
204
|
|||||||||||||||
Brimacombe
|
109
|
95
|
204
|
|||||||||||||||
Roberts
|
113
|
90
|
203
|
|||||||||||||||
Buzzard
|
105
|
98
|
203
|
|||||||||||||||
Grant
|
103
|
100
|
203
|
|||||||||||||||
Haseley
|
104
|
94
|
198
|
|||||||||||||||
Gray
|
100
|
97
|
197
|
|||||||||||||||
Tuccitto
|
105
|
87
|
192
|
|||||||||||||||
Bitonti
|
101
|
87
|
188
|
|||||||||||||||
Wimer
|
91
|
95
|
186
|
|||||||||||||||
Wood
|
103
|
82
|
185
|
|||||||||||||||
Hicks
|
81
|
78
|
159
|
THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Here are the picks for this week.
Away Team
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
DET
|
MIA
|
OAK
|
CIN
|
NYJ
|
DEN
|
BAL
|
CAR
|
NYG
|
NO
|
HOU
|
PIT
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
|
Home Team
|
JAC
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
CLE
|
WAS
|
|
Staffer
|
The Picks
|
MNF
|
|||||||||||||||
Miglio
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
47
|
4
|
2
|
14
|
15
|
11
|
10
|
16
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
6
|
12
|
1
|
8
|
7
|
5
|
||
Davenport
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
38
|
8
|
1
|
9
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
16
|
11
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
12
|
3
|
10
|
4
|
2
|
||
Garda
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
40
|
10
|
9
|
5
|
16
|
14
|
6
|
15
|
13
|
11
|
1
|
4
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
12
|
8
|
||
Hicks
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
CAR
|
NYG
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
PIT
|
CLE
|
CHI
|
41
|
2
|
7
|
12
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
15
|
13
|
14
|
6
|
5
|
10
|
9
|
1
|
4
|
3
|
||
Gray
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
NYG
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
38
|
3
|
4
|
8
|
16
|
9
|
14
|
15
|
10
|
11
|
7
|
1
|
13
|
2
|
12
|
6
|
5
|
||
Tuccitto
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
49
|
10
|
6
|
4
|
15
|
5
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
3
|
8
|
2
|
11
|
9
|
14
|
7
|
1
|
||
Larkin
|
JAC
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
CAR
|
NYG
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
WAS
|
31
|
8
|
7
|
14
|
15
|
10
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
4
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
5
|
6
|
1
|
||
Knotts
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
45
|
1
|
7
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
8
|
15
|
14
|
9
|
2
|
6
|
10
|
5
|
11
|
3
|
4
|
||
Brimacombe
|
JAC
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
40
|
6
|
5
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
15
|
14
|
10
|
4
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
8
|
2
|
7
|
||
Wood
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
CIN
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
CAR
|
NYG
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
45
|
9
|
10
|
13
|
16
|
11
|
1
|
15
|
8
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
12
|
4
|
6
|
14
|
5
|
||
Haseley
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
NYG
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
40
|
6
|
10
|
11
|
15
|
12
|
9
|
16
|
3
|
8
|
14
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
7
|
1
|
13
|
||
Pasquino
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
CAR
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
44
|
9
|
3
|
11
|
16
|
13
|
10
|
15
|
14
|
8
|
1
|
12
|
7
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
6
|
||
Roberts
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
DET
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
WAS
|
39
|
6
|
4
|
1
|
15
|
7
|
12
|
16
|
14
|
9
|
5
|
11
|
13
|
3
|
10
|
8
|
2
|
||
Wimer
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
42
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
15
|
13
|
16
|
14
|
12
|
11
|
3
|
10
|
2
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
1
|
||
Bitonti
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
48
|
2
|
1
|
16
|
15
|
10
|
9
|
14
|
13
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
12
|
3
|
11
|
5
|
4
|
||
Settle
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
CIN
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
CAR
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
32
|
7
|
10
|
13
|
16
|
11
|
12
|
15
|
6
|
9
|
1
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
5
|
14
|
2
|
||
Buzzard
|
TEN
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
40
|
1
|
2
|
10
|
15
|
14
|
8
|
16
|
13
|
12
|
5
|
11
|
6
|
4
|
9
|
3
|
7
|
||
Grant
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
HOU
|
SF
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
36
|
3
|
8
|
13
|
15
|
12
|
9
|
16
|
14
|
10
|
1
|
6
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
11
|
5
|
||
Away
|
TEN
|
ATL
|
DET
|
MIA
|
OAK
|
CIN
|
NYJ
|
DEN
|
BAL
|
CAR
|
NYG
|
NO
|
HOU
|
PIT
|
LAR
|
CHI
|
|
Total Pts
|
68
|
65
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
13
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
15
|
14
|
0
|
42
|
1
|
112
|
78
|
|
Home
|
JAC
|
IND
|
PHI
|
DAL
|
MIN
|
BUF
|
NE
|
GB
|
KC
|
ARI
|
TB
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
SF
|
CLE
|
WAS
|
|
Total Pts
|
33
|
36
|
181
|
278
|
203
|
167
|
276
|
211
|
163
|
66
|
100
|
153
|
30
|
135
|
4
|
3
|
|
Tot Conf Pts
|
101
|
101
|
182
|
278
|
203
|
180
|
276
|
211
|
163
|
81
|
114
|
153
|
72
|
136
|
116
|
81
|
HEAVY FAVORITES
Lots of strong favorites this week with New England rolling and Dallas playing Miami. Minnesota, Green Bay, Kansas City, and Seattle are all unanimous favorites this week. The Eagles, Rams, 49ers, and Bears all have strong confidence on them with their opponents all receiving less than 10 confidence points. The Bengals and Giants received a little love this week, but Tampa Bay and Buffalo are also heavy favorites.
DUAL SUPPORT
There are just a couple games where the staff was split on which team to pick. Tonight's game between the Titans and the Jaguars was one of them - as both teams have question marks. Jacksonville's struggles do have them as the underdog, even though they are at home. Atlanta and Indy are two other teams who are difficult to figure out and they too have support on both sides, with the visiting Falcons getting the nod when it comes to confidence points. Houston has struggled this season, but the Chargers have underperformed as well - and they come in at the lowest total confidence points this week with just 72. Carolina is a giant question mark as Cam Newton may not play, and therefore Arizona is a staff favorite by almost 4 to 1.
ODDS AND ENDS
You can see just how hard it is to move up on the overall leaderboard in a format like this - Miglio and Garda were several points off the winner and both still remain #1 and #2 in the standings. Solid, Consistent performance is the best way to reach and maintain a shot at the overall winner by the end of the season.
NOTE: At the time this article published - Cam Newton's status is in question. If your league allows for late swaps, keep an eye on if Newton will play and adjust your winner of the CAR-ARI game as necessary.
Good luck this weekend!