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Volume 22, #88 -- Tuesday Night, July 14th, 2020
Running Backs To Buy Low and Sell High

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SITE NEWS

A. Buy Low, Sell High: Running Backs
Sigmund Bloom with a look at which running backs are at forks in the road in short and long term value.

B. 17 League-Changing Players in 2020
Chad Parsons outlines the players to shift fantasy team outlooks, for better or worse in 2020

C. FBG Predicts: The AFC North
Footballguys staffers predict how the AFC East will shake out this year.

D. Eyes of the Guru IDP Info, Part 4: NFC South
John Norton with an overview of defenses in the NFC South with an emphasis on individual defensive players and their fantasy value.

E. Top 300 List Updated For PPR
David Dodds with the Top 300 Players in PPR scoring formats.

F. Top 300 List Updated For Non-PPR
David Dodds with the Top 300 Players in Non-PPR scoring formats.

G. Draft List Updated For PPR
David Dodds takes the Top 300 list and factors it against Average Draft Position to get a list more like we'd draft with. This one is for PPR scoring.

H. Draft List Updated For Non-PPR
David Dodds takes the Top 300 list and factors it against Average Draft Position to get a list more like we'd draft with. This one is for Non-PPR scoring.

I. Mid-July Best Ball ADP for FFPC Drafts
David Dodds with a roundup of the Average Draft Positions from the FFPC Best Ball drafts.

J. Mid-July ADP for Footballguys Players Championship Drafts
David Dodds with a roundup of the Average Draft Positions from the Footballguys Players Championship drafts.

K. Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Kickers
Clayton Gray with an in-depth look at the strength of schedule for kickers.


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1. DAL - No more talks planned with QB Dak Prescott

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has no further negotiations planned with the team ahead of Wednesday, July 15's deadline for franchise-tagged players to sign a long-term contract. Prescott will play the 2020 season on the $31.4 million tag if no deal is struck.

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Prescott will cost about 38 million next year if the Cowboys want to tag him again. He played above expectations last year and increased his cost after the Cowboys decided to not sign him to a long-term deal before the season. They lose the opportunity to open cap room for acquisitions in a Super Bowl push, but might gain a little relief in the eventual contract if the cap stays flat next year. Recent extensions for Chris Jones, Myles Garrett, and Patrick Mahomes suggest that the Cowboys might not get a discount even if the cap stays flat in 2021.

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2. KC - Chris Jones lands monster extension

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating an ongoing story, Kansas City Chiefs DT Chris D. Jones has agreed to sign a four-year, $85 million extension, per his agency. The deal includes $60 million guaranteed at signing.

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The Chiefs keep arguably their best defensive player for the long haul in a move that continues the momentum created by the Patrick Mahomes 10-year deal. Jones is as valuable as defensive tackle in IDP leagues and securing his services for multiple years enhances Frank Clark's outlook.

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3. WAS - WR Kelvin Harmon tears ACL

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Washington Redskins WR Kelvin Harmon (knee) tore an anterior cruciate ligament while working out prior to the start of training camp, sources say. He is expected to miss the entire 2020 season.

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Harmon was outperforming his sixth-round draft slot after many draft analysts had him rated higher than the NFL. Fourth-round pick Antonio Gandy-Golden gets a valuable opportunity to make an immediate impact, with competition from Cam Sims and Cody Latimer. Antonio Brown has worked out with Dwayne Haskins this offseason, and there's always the possibility that Washington signs him or another veteran, like Josh Gordon.

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4. PHI - Jason Peters returns to Eagles

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Free-agent OG Jason Peters (Eagles) agreed to a one-year deal with the Philadelphia Eagles Tuesday, July 14. The deal includes $3 million in guarantees with the potential for $6 million after incentives.

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Andre Dillard will stay at left tackle and the team will try Peters at right guard to replace Brandon Brooks. Matt Pryor will compete with Peters for the starting job. Peters chemistry with Jason Kelce and Lane Johnson on either side of him gives the veteran the edge.

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5. CLE - DE Myles Garrett nearing mega-deal

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett is closing in on a five-year extension worth $125 million, according to sources Tuesday, July 14.

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The Browns are standing behind Garrett after he was suspended for the remainder of the season following a helmet-swinging incident with Mason Rudolph where the two players disagreed about whether Rudolph had said some racially insensitive to provoke the attack. Cleveland is also betting that the price of elite players will continue to go up even in the face of less, if any cap growth next year and possibly beyond because of coronavirus.

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6. PHI - WR Alshon Jeffery likely to land on PUP

Source: PhillyVoice.com - Jimmy Kempski

Philadelphia Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery (foot) 'is almost certain to start training camp' on the Physically Unable to Perform list, according to Jimmy Kempski of PhillyVoice.com. Kempski also notes it's still possible, but unlikely, Jeffery is traded.

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No one is going to want to pay nearly 10 million dollars for Jeffery when it's not even certain if he can avoid the PUP list to start the season. He has also criticized Carson Wentz through media backchannels, but the team is stuck with him after they converted his 2020 salary to guaranteed money in exchange for a small pay cut last year. Jeffery could be of help in deep best ball leagues and might be a midseason waiver wire pickup but that's about it.

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7. TEN - RB Derrick Henry unlikely to strike deal

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry is unlikely to strike a long-term deal by the franchise tag deadline Wednesday, July 15, according to a source. He's scheduled to make $10.27 million and become a free agent next offseason.

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Darrynton Evans dynasty value will take a leap on this news. The Titans probably won't sign Henry to a long term deal next year as a 27 year old, but they could tag him again for a little over 12 million dollars. It's cruel, but riding running backs into the ground and not signing them to second deals looks smart in light of how backs have been performing on second market-setting contracts.

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8. NE - WR Mohamed Sanu working with Jarrett Stidham

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Michael David Smith

New England Patriots WR Mohamed Sanu shared a video of himself working out with QB Jarrett Stidham Monday, July 13.

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Sanu should be a bigger part of the Patriots pass offense after having an ankle issue that hampered him last year surgically repaired this offseason. He'll probably hurt the ceiling of Julian Edelman more than he'll establish fantasy relevance for himself.

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9. HOU - Chris Landrum let go

Source: NFLCommunications.com

Houston Texans LB Chris Landrum was cut Tuesday, July 14, according to the league's official transaction report.

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Landrum spent last year on injured reserve with a hip injury that has been an issue since 2018. It's possible that is still the problem for reserve outside linebacker.

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10. DEN - S Justin Simmons signs tag

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Updating previous stories, Denver Broncos S Justin Simmons officially signed his one-year franchise tag tender Tuesday, July 14, according to a source.

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It sounds like a long term deal was never close. Simmons will get 11.441 million for 2020 and the team will try to sign him to a long term contract next year. His negotiations might have been affected by the uncertainty about 2020 league revenues and the future cap growth or lack thereof.

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11. TB - OLB Shaquil Barrett expected to sign tender

Source: NFL Network - Andrew Siciliano

Updating an ongoing story, Tampa Bay Buccaneers LB Shaquil Barrett told NFL Network he intends to sign his franchise tender Tuesday, July 14. The two sides haven't made much progress toward a long-term deal.

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Barrett had already said he understood that the nature of these times made an extension more difficult. The Bucs have kept the defensive line together in an attempt to maximize the Super Bowl window with Tom Brady and Barrett is a big part of that.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J