Volume 22, #86 -- Sunday Night, July 12th, 2020
Don't Let These First Round Busts Sink Your Draft

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Howdy Folks,

Welcome to Monday. We've got one of the more important features of the year ready for you today as we dive into the first round players we're avoiding. Every winning fantasy player knows you may not win your league in the first round, but you can surely make things tougher for you with a bad decision.

Plus Strength of Schedule plus a super cool feature from Adam Harstad as he uses past history to help predict future performance.

And as always, the News and Notes you need from our Cecil Lammey and Sigmund Bloom.

Let's do this.



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B. First-Round Busts to Avoid
First round picks can be the most dangerous as these players have to perform. We asked the Footballguys Staff who they're avoiding in the first round and this is what they said.

C. Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Wide Receivers
Clayton Gray with an in-depth look at the strength of schedule for wide receivers.

D. Learning from History: Darren Waller
Adam Harstad asks the question: What can the past tell us about how Darren Waller's career is likely to turn out?

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1. DAL - DAL still hopeful QB Dak Prescott will agree to extension

Source: - Jeremy Fowler

The Dallas Cowboys remain optimistic that QB Dak Prescott will accept their best contract extension offer before the NFL deadline Wednesday, July 15, at 4 p.m. ET. However, multiple league sources believe that no long-term deal will be completed by the deadline because he has already signed his franchise tag tender.

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The whole league has been thrown into limbo with regard to contract extensions and negotiations because revenue is sure to be down this year and no one knows how the loss of cap growth will affect next year's cap and subsequent years. Prescott would likely have to take less than he would have gotten in January, but he could still get more than he would next year if the league is underestimating how much damage there will be to revenues. Also if the Cowboys sign Prescott and lower his cap number this year, they could open up room to make a move for a title run. This one is tough to predict.

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2. CIN - CIN uncertain if WR A.J. Green will agree to extension

Source: - Jeremy Fowler

It remains unknown if Cincinnati Bengals WR A.J. Green will sign his franchise tag or agree to a long-term deal before the NFL deadline for contract extensions Wednesday, July 15, at 4 p.m. ET, according to multiple sources.

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The Bengals haven't seemed too interested to give Green more than a year commitment unless he is willing to take a discount from his previous earnings level. Perhaps his body is too beat up to get back to form, but Green was one of the best in the game before his injury, so it's understandable if he feels he deserves a long term deal from the only team he has played for in the NFL.

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3. NE - RB Sony Michel out of boot

Source: - Mike Reiss

New England Patriots RB Sony Michel (foot) is no longer wearing a walking boot on his surgically repaired foot.

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Michel is getting healthy in time to have the best chance of holding off Damien Harris, but the reality is that he is likely to yield at least some work to Harris. Michel isn't going to be an everyweek fantasy starter this year and has nowhere to go but down.

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4. NFL - WR Terrelle Pryor looking to play again

Source: - Josh Alper

Free-agent WR Terrelle Pryor (Jaguars) said he is looking to play in 2020 and has talked with five teams this offseason. He said he would like to play for the New England Patriots or Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Pryor had one year where he looked like one of the best size/speed threats in the league, but since then he hasn't been able to stay healthy or be productive. He could get into a camp and might be worth a spot in very deep dynasty leagues until we see where this is headed.

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5. CLE - Jacob Phillips agrees to terms

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Cleveland Browns third-round draft choice LB Jacob Phillips agreed to terms on a four-year contract with the Browns Sunday, July 12. Financial terms were not disclosed.

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Phillips has a chance to get significant playing time as a rookie. He'll battle 2019 picks Sione Takitaki and Mack Wilson and free agent pickup BJ Goodson for snaps.

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6. SF - CB Jamar Taylor could make roster

Source: NinersWire - Kyle Madson

San Francisco 49ers CB Jamar Taylor has a chance to make the final roster because he has experience at outside cornerback as well as slot cornerback and plays on special teams, in the opinion of NinersWire's Kyle Madson.

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DJ Reed's torn pec could also help Taylor make the roster. If Jason Verrett can stay healthy, he'll be an ideal backup outside corner, but history says to bet against that happening. Emmanuel Moseley and Ahkello Witherspoon are competing for the starting spot opposite Richard Sherman.

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7. NYJ - NYJ unlikely to pursue top DE free agents

Source: New York Post - Brian Costello

Free-agent DEs Jadeveon Clowney (Seahawks), Everson Griffen (Vikings) and DE Markus Golden (Giants) likely will not receive interest from the New York Jets because the team wants to move their unspent salary cap space to next season, in the opinion of the New York Post's Brian Costello.

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The Jets are still looking to the future and don't want to invest to upgrade the leagues' most underwhelming edge rush group. Golden is likely to return to the Giants, Clowney could still end up with the Seahawks, but Griffen is almost certainly not coming back to the Vikings.

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8. LAR - John Wolford may top option for backup job

Source: RamsWire - Cameron DaSilva

Los Angeles Rams QB John Wolford may have an edge over QBs Bryce Perkins and Josh Love for the No. 2 quarterback job since he was with the team last season.

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Knowing Sean McVay's offense is key as he wants the quarterback to be an extension of him on the field. The Rams could also bring back Blake Bortles, who was with the team last year.

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9. JAX - Laviska Shenault Jr. has chance to start

Source: The Denver Post - Ryan O'Halloran

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Laviska Shenault Jr. will compete with veteran WR Chris Conley during training camp to be the team's No. 2 receiver behind WR DJ Chark.

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Dede Westbrook and Keelan Cole will also play roles in the Jaguars passing game. Only DJ Chark is sure to be fantasy relevant this year, but Shenault is the only other receiver out of the top four that will be under contract next year. Shenault could also line up in the backfield and other spots in the formation to get the ball in his hands in space.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.