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Volume 22, #64 -- Saturday Night, June 20th, 2020
Happy Fathers Day From Footballguys

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Howdy Folks,

Happy Father's Day. If you're fortunate enough to be a Dad or have a Dad around, I hope you're able to have a great day.

We've got the News and Notes you need and don't forget about the Early Bird discount that ENDS TONIGHT.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Early Bird Discount ENDS SUNDAY 6/21 - Get The Footballguys Game Plan
These Email Updates are great. We've been doing them for twenty years and our pledge to you is we'll bring a ton of value each day to you.

But these are just the tip of the iceberg. If you're serious about Fantasy Football, you have to check out our Premium Game Plan Subscriptions. Our Season Long Pro gives you everything from now till the Super Bowl you need to crush your Season Long League. And just in time for Father's Day.

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They're always a great value but right now, they're still available at the Early Bird Discount so it's even better. And as always, we have our Money Back Guarantee so there's zero risk.

Jump on board and let's crush this season.

B. Quality Starts: Tight Ends (PPR)
"Quality Starts" is a term pioneered from the Fantasy Baseball gurus. It's a statistic that represents how often a starting pitcher will put up a good (not great, just good) performance in a given game. Jeff Pasquino brings it to Football and in this one, applies it to tight ends.

C. 2020 Injury Bounceback Players
Chad Parsons with a look at the key fantasy football players returning from injury in 2020.

D. 26 Undervalued Running Backs
Winning Fantasy Football means finding the players who'll outperform their draft position. The players who the other GMs in your league are undervaluing. We polled the Footballguys Staff for who they see in this role and this is what they said.


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1. SEA - QB Russell Wilson tops in PFF metric

Source: Pro Football Focus

Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson led the league in 2019 with 40 big-time throws (Pro Football Focus' highest-graded throws on precise downfield passes).

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Wilson should rank high on the big-time throw list in 2020 as well. It's his touch when throwing down the field coupled with the fact that he does such a great job of extending plays. There are many reasons why Wilson is one of the best in the game and this piece of advanced data is just another point.

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2. DEN - WR Courtland Sutton a PI magnet

Source: Pro Football Focus

Denver Broncos WR Courtland Sutton has drawn 12 pass-interference penalties in coverage since 2018 -- the second most in the league over that span according to Pro Football Focus data.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Sutton has a big body, long arms and leaping ability which makes him difficult to get around. Defenders have no choice but to get physical with the young wideout who has just shown us the tip of the iceberg in the NFL. Sutton was able to go over 1,000 yards receiving with three QBs last year (Joe Flacco, Brandon Allen, Drew Lock), something only Kenny Golladay also did in 2019. With Lock entrenched as the starter and Sutton his most experienced target, we could see career-best numbers from the third-year player.

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3. CHI - WR Allen Robinson tops in drawing PI

Source: Pro Football Focus

Chicago Bears WR Allen Robinson has drawn a league-high 14 pass-interference penalties in coverage since 2018, according to Pro Football Focus data.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Too bad you don't get fantasy points for that. Robinson was able to turn in a WR1 season last year with Mitchell Trubisky tossing him the rock. We'll see if Nick Foles can beat out Trubisky for the starting job in training camp and how that would impact guys like Robinson. Due to his large role and natural talent, Fantasy GMs are wise to consider Robinson a low-end WR1 again in 2020.

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4. LAR - WR Robert Woods No. 1 in screen yards

Source: Pro Football Focus

Los Angeles Rams WR Robert Woods led all wide receivers in 2019 with 146 yards on screen passes, according to Pro Football Focus data.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Woods is going to continue as a high-value target for the Rams in 2020. He's a high-floor WR2 for Fantasy GMs this season and could bump to a top-15 wideout if he increases his number of touchdown catches this year.

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5. LAR - RB Malcolm Brown may have smaller role

Source: RamsWire - Cameron DaSilva

Los Angeles Rams RB Malcolm Brown may be limited to goal line and short yardage work this upcoming season depending on how RBs Cam Akers and Darrell Henderson perform, in the opinion of RamsWire's Cameron DaSilva.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

This running back situation could prove to be quite problematic for Fantasy GMs in 2020. Akers is the talented, no-nonsense rookie while Henderson provides some big-play ability to the backfield. Brown has some power to his game but might be third in the pecking order. We'll see how this competition shapes up in training camp but we could be headed for a three-headed RBBC with the Rams.

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6. ARI - WR Larry Fitzgerald excelled on screens

Source: Pro Football Focus

Arizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald finished second among wide receivers in 2019 with 121 yards on screen passes, according to Pro Football Focus data.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Fitzgerald may not be the player he used to be but he can still post strong numbers on the football field. With screen passes being his forte, the Cardinals offense should be able to set up a ton of deep looks for WR DeAndre Hopkins. This offense is going to be fun to watch in 2020 and one that Fantasy GMs want to invest in.

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7. DAL - QB Dak Prescott successful in no huddle

Source: ProFootballFocus.com

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott threw for 809 yards when the team was using the no-huddle offense during the 2019 season.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Prescott has no worries when in the no-huddle offense. He's got great weapons around him and a superstar running back Ezekiel Elliott to hand the ball to. The team also added a potential Pro Bowl WR in rookie CeeDee Lamb with their first-round pick in the 2020 NFL draft. Expect these numbers to continue for Prescott.

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8. ARI - QB Kyler Murray outstanding in no huddle

Source: ProFootballFocus.com

Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray threw for 1,441 yards when the team was using the no-huddle offense during the 2019 season.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Murray can run a fast-break offense like Kliff Kingsbury implemented in Arizona last year. He should be even better this season as he is more experienced and the team secured the services of superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins via trade earlier this offseason. Murray is a QB1 for Fantasy GMs and a no-brainer starter each week.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J