Footballguys.com

Volume 22, #53 -- Tuesday Night, June 9th, 2020
What if Alexander Mattison Is The Vikings Starting RB?

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Howdy Folks,

Good Wednesday to you. We've got a ton of new content for you today including a deep dive into what things might look like for Alexander Mattison if Dalvin Cook were to hold out. That's a huge "if" right now but it's never too early to start thinking about how the dominoes might fall.

Plus brand new Projections. Plus the Tight Ends to target. Plus Auction content and Beginner features. And more.

And I also threw in a cool feature from ESPN you should check out.

Let's do this.

J

SITE NEWS

A. What to Expect from Alexander Mattison If He Starts in Week 1
What should we expect from Alexander Mattison if Dalvin Cook's holdout extends into the regular season? Sigmund Bloom and Matt Waldman dive in.

B. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For QBs
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project QBs for the season.

C. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For RBs
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project RBs for the season.

D. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For WRs
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project WRs for the season.

E. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For TEs
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project TEs for the season.

F. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For Kickers
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project Kickers for the season.

G. Updated Detailed Stat Projections For Team Defenses
David Dodds has updated his projections once again. Here are his numbers for non-PPR scoring leagues. You can get to every other scoring system from these links as well. In this one, we project Team Defenses for the season.

H. 14 Undervalued Tight Ends
We polled the Footballguys Staff for the TEs they felt were undervalued. These are the players they said to target.

I. Mastering the Auction, Part 1: Beginner Mistakes
Drew Davenport with Part 1 of his Mastering The Auction series. In this one, he explores earning the basic skills of auction drafting by avoiding beginner mistakes.

J. Beginner's Guide to Fantasy Football, Part 9: Managing Your Team
Alessandro Miglio continues the Beginner Series. In this one, he looks into how to manage your team.

K. Not Footballguys, But Super Rad: Redrafting 4 Rounds For All 32 Teams
One of the things we'll be doing this year is calling out cool content we see outside of Footballguys. This is one of those things. ESPN ran a great feature with a "what if" scenario letting all 32 teams draft 4 rounds to start building a real team drafting any position with no salary cap.

The results were interesting. And entirely relevant to the Dalvin Cook situation. Colin Cowherd talked on his show today about the value of different positions. And where running back sits on the list.

If I'm an NFL GM, I put nine to ten positions above running back when it comes to building a roster. We'll see if Minnesota GM Rick Spielman does the same.

Let us know if you like seeing this kind of content and what types of features you'd like to see here.


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1. MIN - RB Dalvin Cook would accept $13 million per year

Source: ESPN.com - Courtney Cronin

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook could receive a contract offer in the range of $13 million per year from the team, according to Courtney Cronin of ESPN. Sources said it's an offer Cook 'would gladly take.'

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He is on the books for $2 million in the final year of his rookie contract and is looking for an extension. The $13 million per year number is lower than what Christian McCaffrey signed for, but Cook has a long injury history that needs to be taken into account. Deals get done at deadlines, so we'll see if the Vikings budge when training camp rolls around.

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2. ATL - RB Todd Gurley endorsed by OC

Source: AtlantaFalcons.com

Atlanta Falcons RB Todd Gurley can be argued to be 'the best back in the game,' according to offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter Tuesday, June 9.

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That's a pretty bold claim, but Gurley has been in that echelon before. Can he regain his pre-injury form? That's the largest question for Gurley and the Falcons this year.

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3. ATL - RB Todd Gurley passes physical

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Atlanta Falcons RB Todd Gurley flew to Atlanta and passed his physical Monday, June 8.

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Gurley could be a steal for the Falcons if he's able to recapture his old form. He's the lead back for the Falcons in 2020 but Ito Smith is going to get some work behind him. There's RB2 value there for Gurley with upside this season.

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4. NYJ - QB Sam Darnold organizing workouts for skill positions

Source: ESPN.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets QB Sam Darnold is organizing an informal three-day passing camp for key skill position players expected to include RBs Le'Veon Bell and Frank Gore, WRs Breshad Perriman, Jamison Crowder and Denzel Mims, and TE Chris Herndon. The workouts will start Thursday, June 11, at Bommarito Performance System in Aventura, Fla.

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It's always news when a quarterback gets together with his weapons. This is something many quarterbacks do in July between the end of OTAs and the start of training camp. This year in the virtual offseason, more and more quarterbacks are getting together with their receivers to build chemistry. The Jets have put better weapons around Darnold this year and he needs to start playing up to his potential in 2020.

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5. DEN - KJ Hamler has to clean up drops

Source: ESPN.com - Jeff Legwold

Denver Broncos second-round pick WR KJ Hamler had nine drops last season at Penn State. 'That was something that we looked at,' said Broncos president of football operations/general manager John Elway. 'I think that when you looked at his ability to catch the ball, it's not because he doesn't have good ball skills. Obviously, he's got just the concentration drops, which are the easy drops that you don't concentrate looking in. ... We felt like we could coach him through that.'

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Hamler had more drops than anyone else in the FBS in 2019. He's got a small catch radius, so passes have to be on the mark and in stride for Hamler to gather them cleanly. We'll see the rookie compete as the no.3/slot receiver for the Broncos behind Courtland Sutton and fellow rookie Jerry Jeudy. Hamler's speed and big-play ability make him a player we love to watch in dynasty formats.

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6. ATL - TE Hayden Hurst impressing new QB

Source: AtlantaFalcons.com - Will McFadden

Atlanta Falcons TE Hayden Hurst was called the 'fastest and most athletic tight end' QB Matt Ryan has 'ever played with.'

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Hurst was a first-round pick with the Ravens a couple of years ago but he was outplayed by Mark Andrews and shipped off to the Falcons earlier this year. He's an athletic tight end who can get open down the deep middle seam. From an athletic profile, he's an improvement from last year's starter Austin Hooper. With Hooper moving on in free agency, the Falcons were prompted to add Hurst. He could be a top-10 fantasy tight end in 2020. His current ADP is TE10 (9.03) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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7. PHI - Jalen Hurts unlikely for packages

Source: NJ.com - Mike Kaye

Philadelphia Eagles second-round pick QB Jalen Hurts is unlikely to be thrown into packages, at least early on, in the 2020 season, in the opinion of beat writer Mike Kaye.

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That doesn't make a lot of sense. Hurts is a quarterback but his athleticism makes him an intriguing gadget player, similar to the way the Saints use Taysom Hill. According to this report, the Eagles view Hurts as a genuine quarterback, and they are likely to take the conservative approach with his development at the position.

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8. NO - QB Jameis Winston staying confident

Source: Bleacher Report - Tyler Dunne

New Orleans Saints QB Jameis Winston said he still believes in himself after going from a starter in 2019 to competing for a backup job with the Saints in 2020. 'I know what I'm worth,' Winston said. 'And I know day in and day out, without publicly coming in and saying it, that historically I'm one of the best quarterbacks to play the game.' Winston went on to say he's eager to work his way back up to a starting role.

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Winston is not clearly the backup to Drew Brees. The former no.1 overall pick will have to compete in training camp with Taysom Hill to be the backup. Winston had over 5,000 yards passing last year but shouldn't see the field too much this year unless Brees gets banged up.

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9. PHI - RB Miles Sanders to be true workhorse

Source: Inside the Birds - Geoff Mosher

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders is expected to carry the load in the backfield in 2020, with the team's decision to not address the position in free agency being a sign of head coach Doug Pederson getting away from his usual running back by committee approach, according to Geoff Mosher of Inside the Birds.

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Sanders has a three-down skill set and doesn't need to come off the field. He looked great as a rookie in 2019. He's now the lead back with Jordan Howard moving on. The team may add a veteran backup like LeSean McCoy before the start of the season, but that shouldn't take away from Sanders workhorse role.

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10. BUF - WR John Brown saved QB Josh Allen on deep throws

Source: NFL Research

Buffalo Bills WR John Brown caught 10-of-26 deep targets from QB Josh Allen in 2019, resulting in a 38.5 completion percentage and 109.5 passer rating on those throws. All the other Bills combined to catch four of Allen's 37 deep pass attempts, greatly contributing to Allen's league-worst 22.2 percent completion rate on deep passes last season.

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Allen did not look good throwing deep last year...but he did look better when targeting Brown. That should continue in 2020 and hopefully things improve when Allen is not going after the speedy veteran. The Bills went out and traded for Stefon Diggs, and he should help Allen look better this season...not only on long passes but all across the field.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J