It’s hard to believe we’re a week away from the NFL regular season. After spending more than four months focusing on every bit of minutiae, every tidbit, every coach’s quote, and adjusting our rankings and projections, accordingly, a lot can change from our original expectations. Here’s a quick look at some of the most significant changes from my initial thoughts back in early May.
On Second Thought…
Dan Arnold (ARI) is the deepest sleeper worth knowing
Don’t misconstrue what I’m saying; Dan Arnold shouldn’t be drafted in most 10- and 12-team redraft leagues. But if your rosters go deeper than most, Arnold is worth knowing. No one other than DeAndre Hopkins elicited more praise in Cardinals camp, and if he’s the giant red-zone target he seems to be, it won’t take many touchdown grabs to become fantasy relevant.
Mark Andrews (BAL) is the riskiest of the top-5 tight ends
Mark Andrews and Darren Waller were league-winning draft picks last year because both were available late and yet delivered top-5 seasons. Both could maintain that form, but Andrews has much more risk than his top-5 counterparts. He played less than 45% of the Ravens snaps last season and scored ten times on 98 targets. History isn’t kind to players who rely on that kind of touchdown conversion rate, and it’s unclear whether Andrews’ target share can and will increase. As a Type-1 Diabetic, he’s also at higher risk of Covid-19 related complications.
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