Sunday Morning Update:
No updates to the lineup this morning. The only relevant news that has changed is that Christian Kirk will also miss this week making DeAndre Hopkins a better play than he previously was, but at $8,200, is not a must play and I still prefer Adams/Ridley to him.
SAMPLE ROSTER 1 ($60K) – PRIMARY CASH- (DD PROJECTED POINTS = 129.3)
- QB Deshaun Watson, HOU, $8,700
- RB Ty Montgomery, NO, $4,500
- RB Alexander Mattison, MIN, $5,000
- WR Russell Gage, ATL, $5,700
- WR Davante Adams, GB, $9,300
- WR Curtis Samuel, CAR, $6,100
- TE George Kittle, SF, $6,800
- Flex RB Derrick Henry, TEN, $10,200
- TD Los Angeles Chargers, $3,500
SITUATIONS THAT STAND OUT TO THIS WEEK ON THE MAIN SLATE.
- Tennessee (vs HOU) – 32 points
- Indianapolis (vs JAC) – 31.75 points
- Minnesota (at DET)– 30.25 points
- Tampa Bay (vs ATL) – 28.5 points
- Baltimore (at CIN) – 28 points
CASH GAME STRATEGY WEEK 17-
Week 17 is always a weird week. The key to this week is to find teams that are still motivated to be playing. Below is a general principle that I have when heading into Week 17, it isn’t a hard rule if there are circumstances where a team that is on the avoid list is resting enough players that it creates value, but it is a general idea as we head into this weird slate.
Situations to Target:
- Teams that have something to play for. This is the obvious one where teams are still trying to get into the playoffs, or teams that are looking to improve their playoff seeding. This year is a little bit different however in that Pittsburgh and Buffalo both with a win could lock up the #2 seed, but there is no bye for the #2 seed, and the #3 seed is likely to face Cleveland in the first round if they get in, which they are by far the weakest playoff team so there is not as much motivation to obtain the #2 seed and potentially have to play Tennessee or Indianapolis.
- Teams that have been eliminated several weeks ago. These players and teams are going to finish out the season just as they have in Weeks 14, 15, 16, where all they are playing for is pride and to get more game film out there after what was a disappointing season. The Jets for example are a prime example here. There season has been over since about Week 7, but they have continued to fight and continued to battle and have won their last two games.
Situations to Avoid:
- The team that has nothing to play for. This would be the Kansas City Chiefs this week who have locked up the #1 overall seed and are resting their players. There have been scenarios in which players from these teams had breakout performances, but they are generally better as GPP plays than as cash game plays. We are going to count Pittsburgh and Buffalo in this group as well based on both teams largely not caring whether they will have the #2 or #3 seed. Buffalo is going to start their starters, but it remains to be seen how long they play in this one.
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Buffalo Bills
- Be careful on Tampa Bay. They have said all the right things that they will start their starters, and play to win, but it remains to be seen whether that will be true for the entire game.
- Teams that have recently been eliminated from the playoffs. These are teams that had a big push to the end to potentially get into the playoffs, and fell just short. The good news here is that the teams on this list are small this year as with the extra playoff spot, there is still a significant number of teams in contention.
- Philadelphia Eagles
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