Thanksgiving week is upon us and the fantasy playoffs are nearly here. I have no issue admitting the season hasn’t turned out as expected, but learning more about actual and fantasy football is part of the excitement. I’m thankful for Joe Bryant, Sigmund Bloom, and the rest of the staff at Football Guys for bringing me into the FBG family and giving me the opportunity to learn with you all each week. I hope each of you have a safe and happy holiday with family, food, fellowship, and football on Thursday. Now, with rosters to set, let’s dive into the lessons after Week 11 and what we can takeaway prior to the start of Week 12.
Quarterback: Baker Mayfield, Browns
Week 11 Results: 17.5 (Projected), 7.1 (Actual)
The Browns are in the Bottom 5 for both neutral passing rate and red zone passing rate through Week 11. Our offseason priors that Kevin Stefanski would bring a run-heavy, 12-personnel offensive scheme to Cleveland were quickly confirmed and that’s been the case for the majority of the season. However, even Kirk Cousins wasn’t this useless for fantasy purposes in 2019. Baker Mayfield has been the QB26, QB28, and the QB26 since Week 8 kicked off in high winds. His Week 7 result (29.8 points, QB6) was something of an outlier, but the drop-off in production has been so steep it’s rendered any of his pass-catchers also unusable on our starting rosters. I took a closer look at his recent set of games to see if there’s an underlying issue and if we can roster any of the Browns’ passing attack moving forward.
Advice Moving Forward:
Mayfield’s past few games should be discounted and is a viable streamer throughout the fantasy playoffs. The last three games played in Cleveland have featured the worst weather conditions in any three-game stretch during the 2020 season. As a result, Mayfield’s been a disappointment.
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