All Reception Percepiton statistics were cited from the 2016 NFL Draft prospect reuslts page posted on Backyard Banter. Several of the prospects also have individual evaluation write-ups also avialable at the bottom of this page of the site.
Round 1
Corey Coleman, Round 1 - 15th overall, Cleveland Browns
The Browns made Corey Coleman the first receiver drafted, and all in all, it was a wise choice. Coleman’s elite athleticism brings an element they simply did not enjoy the last several season, outside of Josh Gordon’s occasional moments. He was the best player charted “in space” for Reception Perception and posted positive Success Rate Vs. Coverage (SRVC) scores against man, press and zone coverage.
The biggest deficiency from a projection standpoint is his small route portfolio. In the six games sampled for his Reception Perception evaluation, the screen, slant, curl and nine routes accounted for 82.6 percent of Coleman’s 121 charted routes. He will require time and seasoning in learning to run the full route tree, especially dig and out-breaking routes. However, ability to “run the full route tree” is an overblown criticism recycled year after year by the scouting community. Coleman shows the traits to project him as a plus route runner, in time and was already deadly proficient at executing the routes assigned to him in college.
The positives far outweigh any negatives in Corey Coleman’s evaluation. Right from the word “go”, he will be a vertical playmaker and dangerous after the catch playmaker. With proper seasoning, the Browns have a true No. 1 receiver on their hands. His rookie year should entail plenty of targets headed his way, as well. If Robert Griffin and the quarterback carousel cooperates, Coleman will be fantasy relevant right away.
Will Fuller, Round 1 - 21st overall, Houston Texans
Reception Perception revealed there were more problems in Will Fuller’s game than just drops, which if you follow my work you know I don’t like to emphasize as a critique. More troubling for me were Fuller’s class-worst SRVC against press coverage (42.4 percent), and below-average contest catch conversion rate (57.1 percent). His deep speed afforded him strong scores on nine routes, “in space” and against zone coverage, but those two previously observed marks give major pause to projecting him as a full-time wideout.
Without a doubt, if I was making the pick for Houston, I would have taken Laquon Treadwell or Josh Doctson here without hesitation. However, I get what they were aiming for here with Fuller. Their No. 2 wide receiver position is not a pivotal piece of Bill O’Brien’s offense. They are a conservative team by nature, ranking 1st and 5th in the NFL in rush attempts the last two seasons. The duo of Cecil Shorts and Nate Washington collectively garnered just 169 targets in 25 combined games. Shorts is back this season, and will still command targets.
The Texans won’t ask much more of Fuller than to handle an 80 to 90-target workload. They’ll use him on a small inventory of routes, and only require him as a throat-cutting advantage when teams sell out to stop DeAndre Hopkins and Lamar Miller. With his deep speed, he can handle that assignment while helping to dictate coverage. Just make sure you value him accordingly in dynasty drafts.
Josh Doctson, Round 1 - 22nd overall, Washington
For a minute there after the draft it seemed there was some hand-wringing over Josh Doctson’s landing spot. Frankly, Washington is a slam-dunk for the talented TCU product. All three of Washington’s top pass-catching options have question marks. Pierre Garcon comes with an easy-to-cut contract, DeSean Jackson is still not a true No. 1, and Jordan Reed is an elite tight end talent but the health concerns will always linger.
In Doctson, Washington has a player that can be the true passing game carrier and target hog. Doctson was the only player in the class with an above average SRVC score on every single route on the route tree and posted the top contested catch conversion rate. His ability to play above the rim is a clear trump card trait and gives him a safe career-long and rookie year floor. The other positive marks in his Reception Perception evaluation illuminate the ceiling he comes with.
The case for Doctson as a prospect is easy to make. However, don’t rule out that he ends up leading Washington in targets this season. With the other players on some shaky ground, it might simply be through attrition. Even if they all stay healthy, Doctson is the clear best, and most well-rounded talent. If Kirk Cousins plays anywhere close to what he put out from Weeks 10 to 17 last season, this pairing is set for big numbers.
Laquon Treadwell, Round 1 - 23rd overall, Minnesota Vikings
Reception Perception revealed that the rumored flaws in Laquon Treadwell’s game are either completely unfounded on a route-to-route basis, or at least overblown. He’s a talented receiver who separates well at all levels of the field with technique and physical play—4th best SRVC against man (74.6 percent). His ability after the catch almost never gets discussed enough, but he was out “in space” on 12.8 percent of his routes, breaking a single tackle on 51.9 percent of those attempts and multiple tackles on 14.8 percent. We know about his ability to play the ball in the air and trailed only Josh Doctson in contest catch conversion rate with 75 percent.
The final wide receiver pick in the first round was my favorite marriage. Teddy Bridgewater did not produce a consistent fantasy receiver in either of his first two seasons. However, there is a certainly a ”chicken or the egg” discussion to have there when his best option was Stefon Diggs. Bridgewater still demonstrates the strong short to intermediate accuracy and anticipatory passing that made him a first-round draft pick out of college. Treadwell’s best route scores come on the patterns those quarterbacks succeed in throwing to. He’s a more proficient, detailed route runner than most analysts note.
Treadwell has the bully mentality and projectable game of a strong X-receiver in the NFL. I fully expect him to assert himself as the alpha receiver of that offense before too long, and perhaps right away. This is the type of receiver who will pile up targets for years to come and finds himself coming to Minnesota at the end of the run-heavy Adrian Peterson era. Laquon Treadwell is the only rookie receiver who will threaten my top 20 wide receiver dynasty rankings.
Round 2
Sterling Shepard, Round 2 - 40th overall, New York Giants
The Reception Perception love affair with Sterling Shepard goes back some time. He immediately pops off the tape as a player with an elite route-running ability for a college prospect. At the end of his charting, he came away with an 82.8 SRVC against man and a 91.1 against press, both easily the best in the 2016 class and frankly, unprecedentedly good marks.
There is no conversation to have; Sterling Shepard is the best route runner in this class. Question his size, or a future as “just” a slot receiver, but that is a rare ability to get open. Over a full Reception Perception sample, Shepard posted SRVC numbers akin to that of some of the best wide receivers in the NFL. His advanced and nuanced route-running combined with tangible athletic gifts should make him a lock for a top-four ranking at his position.
His landing spot now decided, Shepard should firmly be entrenched in the top-half of first rounds in rookie drafts. The Giants have nothing but holes and question marks behind Odell Beckham on their depth chart. Beckham was able to immediately earn a role with the Giants and tear through secondaries despite not seeing a lick of practice time because he was the best route runner in the 2014 NFL Draft class. A ready-made polished professional in the nuanced craftsmen portions of the position before even entering the league. While he's not the prospect Beckham is from an athletic standpoint, Shepard is right in that mold.
Shepard will need to improve at winning contest catches (55 percent conversion rate) in order to approach his new teammate’s level of freakish play, but being not far behind is not too shabby. The Giants run a west coast offense based on quick timing passes under Ben McAdoo. Many of the routes assigned in that system are precisely those that Sterling Shepard was most successful on in college. He could steal a starting job in training camp and approach 100-plus targets in his rookie season. The production to follow in what really is a perfect marriage should only improve year after year.
Yes, I’m full-on swooning.
Michael Thomas, Round 2 - 47th overall, New Orleans Saints
It looks like Michael Thomas will step right into the role vacated by Marques Colston this offseason. The big Ohio State product scored out in Reception Perception like a small receiver would, oddly enough. His SRVC against man and zone demonstrate his disciplined and proficient route-running while his “in space” metrics were also solid. The trouble is that he came out under the average in winning contested catches.
With those rates in mind, perhaps a position as a big slot receiver is just what Thomas needed all along. The fit with Drew Brees and the Saints is quite strong. While not in love with Thomas’ pure talent, the landing spot is a perfect marriage with what he does well. Willie Snead and Brandin Cooks should not lose too much luster of their shine, but Thomas is a legitimate threat to finish right behind them in targets as a rookie.
Tyler Boyd, Round 2 - 55th overall, Cincinnati Bengals
Most know by now that Reception Perception was not too kind to Tyler Boyd. Frankly, he didn't score well at really anything. His SRVC against man and press were both the second lowest among the 21 charted prospects. Boyd’s inability to separate is undeniable and will hinder him from ever owning a high ceiling as an NFL player.
Many like to stump for his ability to play the ball in the air, but at a 50 percent contested catch conversion rate, it’s a strong but not trump card-level trait that erases his separation issues. If you would like to buy into the fallacy that his 2015 tape was such an outlier that it cannot be judged as a clear indicator of his game, please just look at his route percentages chart. His rates fall right in line with any tradition receiver. Careful study reveals plenty of reps where Boyd runs traditional routes.
All that negativity aside, Boyd actually landed in a picture perfect landing spot for what he brings to the table. Coincidently, all offseason I was saying that Boyd’s NFL team should view him as no more than a third option in their passing game, much like the Bengals did with Marvin Jones in 2015. That role is firmly behind tow studs at receiver and tight end, and could even fall behind their receiving or power running back on a week-to-week basis. Simply, just not a player you’re counting on, but one you are happy to have around. From a fantasy sense, there’s not much to get excited about, however. Boyd needs to beat out Brandon LaFell first, but even if/when he does, his own ability matched with a crowded situation makes him a tough sell.
Round 3
Braxton Miller, Round 3 - 85th overall, Houston Texans
I won’t be shocked either way the Braxton Miller conversion story turns out. He posted some positive Reception Perception results but ran more routes from the backfield and slot combined more than any other player in the class. He still has a long way to go. Houston is a fine spot long term, with a down-the-line opening at slot receiver between Fuller and Hopkins. I just wouldn't want to be the one waiting on it in my dynasty league. Expect plenty of exciting plays from Miller, though, as his “in space” metrics underscore his sweet agility.
Leonte Carroo, Round 3 - 86th overall, Miami Dolphins
It’s tough to come away with anything but negative feelings about Leonte Carroo’s landing spot. His ability is real and has not changed. He was one of the best in Reception Perception at defeating press coverage and winning contested catches. Those traits alone point to future as an NFL regular at the receiver position, even if his class-average SRVC against man reminds us his squatty frame will limit him to a complementary level.
The trouble for Carroo is that at best he’s shooting for the third option in this passing game behind Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker. There is a scenario where he leapfrogs Parker, who charted out with the worst SRVC against press in the methodology’s history. However, that would be a disaster-level situation for Miami, and not a likely outcome either way. Feel free to just laugh off anyone that suggests Carroo could jump Landry, as they are just holding on to some weird hangup or another with the Dolphins slot receiver.
Carroo is a talented player and we know things change quickly in the NFL, so don’t ding him too much. However, with third option ceiling in an offense run by the mediocre Ryan Tannehill, there’s much less juice in his dynasty stock now.
Round 4
Chris Moore, Round 4 - 107th overall, Baltimore Ravens
The evidence on film doesn't look great for Chris Moore ever becoming too much more than a shot player at the NFL level. However, he certainly landed with the best team to make use of this skills even if that’s all he ever brings. If Moore shows strong deep ability in training camp, he could even crack the rotation early. That ascension might even come at the expense of Mike Wallace.
Malcolm Mitchell, Round 4 - 112th overall, New England Patriots
If you were following Reception Perception this spring, you know Malcolm Mitchell is the series’ top sleeper. He posted top scores in SRVC against all forms of coverage and was above average at winning contested catches. Mitchell flashes some great nuances in his routes and had plus ball skills. At worst, he’s the type of receiver that always holds some spot in a passing rotation.
Landing with New England is about as good as it could get for Mitchell. The Patriots need a reliable outside target to complement Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman, and Dion Lewis’ work in the middle of the field. However, they don’t truly need a burner, as Tom Brady’s deep game took more than a fair share of steps back the last two seasons. That job description fits right in with Mitchell’s resume.
I’m going to recommend putting the full court press on acquiring Malcolm Mitchell in rookie drafts, even if that makes him a priority around the first and second round turn. He was just too good to ignore in Reception Perception, and he underscored that with a strong combine workout that perfectly aligned with his skill set. Playing in New England is just the gravy we needed to make a meal.
Ricardo Louis, Round 4 - 114th overall, Cleveland Browns
Selecting this workout phenom was an interesting move for the Cleveland Browns, but was my least favorite of their wide receiver picks. Ricardo Louis clearly showed on film he has the most work to do in transitioning to the pros of any of the four wideouts Cleveland drafted. However, the athletic gifts and the fact he went before both Jordan Payton and Rashard Higgins make him worth monitoring.
Pharoh Cooper, Round 4 - 117th overall, Los Angeles Rams
Well, perhaps Jeff Fisher and the Rams were just looking for a backup to Tavon Austin. In Pharaoh Cooper, they now have a player who can do everything their former 8th overall pick does, just not as well. In all seriousness, this was the proper range to select Cooper, so it was a fine pick for the Rams. He will likely only ever end up being a rotational gadget, and splash player in the NFL. Clearly Los Angeles already utilizes that role in their offense, so Cooper has a direct path to playing time on the team if Austin were to get hurt. He recorded the lowest Success Rate Vs. Coverage when facing man defense in the 2016 Reception Perception prospect evaluation, so there is a ton of work to do in becoming a regular NFL contributing receiver.
However, because the Rams are not the most high-powered offense, nor known for their creativity, it’s hard to get excited from a fantasy perspective. Both from an individual development and environmental standpoint, the road is long and arduous for Cooper to climb to statistical relevance.
Demarcus Robinson, Round 4 - 126th overall, Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs did not have a need for immediate impact at the wide receiver position. With almost no available targets turning over from last year, and intriguing youngsters like Albert Wilson and Chris Conley coming along, there was just no room. However, it never hurts to take upside fliers at the position on Day 3. Kansas City did just that by selecting Florida’s Demarcus Robinson.
Robinson was a promising breakout candidate last season after recording 810 yards and seven touchdowns in just 11 games during 2014. However, his failure to come through under new coach Jim McElwain and four collegiate suspensions saw him drop in the draft. His combine workout was also underwhelming. From a route running perspective, he is still mostly a mess.
Nevertheless, Robinson has some raw on-field ability, recording positive Reception Perception results after the catch. Andy Reid is well-known for his track record guiding the wayward souls among NFL players. Perhaps Reid will be his next reclamation project. His ceiling might be as a third receiver in a conservative offense, but he’s a flier worth taking in the final rounds of dynasty drafts.
Round 5
Tajae Sharpe, Round 5, 140th overall, Tennessee Titans
Tajae Sharpe scored right around average overall in Reception Perception but did chart out well underneath and against press coverage. His results strongly suggest a future as a complementary, possession receiver type. Highly productive, but only moderately athletic, his metric profile suggests the same projection. There’s good reason for believing he carves out some sort of role in the league.
While that’s all well and good, this landing spot isn’t tremendous, at least not for immediate contributions. 2015 wide receiver target leader Harry Douglas is back, as is Kendall Wright and Dorial Green-Beckham, and the team signed Richard Matthews in free agency. All are behind tight end Delanie Walker in the pecking order.
Sharpe’s dynasty owners will have to look to 2017 and beyond for return on their mid-round rookie pick investment. By that time, Kendall Wright’s contract will expire and Harry Douglas will likely be cut. The team hopefully will have Dorian Green-Beckham established as the No. 1 receiver, but Matthews and Sharpe could be fine compliments rotating between flanker and slot. If Marcus Mariota turns out to be one of the better young passers in the AFC, there’s plenty of value in that. However, this is the Titans, so that may be an awful lot of wishful thinking.
Jordan Payton, Round 5 - 154th overall, Cleveland Browns
The UCLA career catches record holder is a fine mid-round addition for Cleveland. Especially in conjunction with their other picks, he brings the stability and consistency the team could use as a possession receiver. Payton is physical and uses good craft to get off press coverage. The Browns made excellent moves to remake their receiving corps and don’t be surprised if Payton ends up being a big part of that.
Trevor Davis Round 5 - 163rd overall, Green Bay Packers
One of the many interesting weapons on Jared Goff’s Cal offense, Davis brings speed and open field instincts to the table. Davis popped off a 4.42 40-yard dash and tested in the 96th percentile in the 3-cone drill and 83rd in the vertical jump. At worst, Green Bay looks like they acquired a strong kick return prospect, but there are intriguing athletic measurements here. At least let's hope the Davis pick lets the Packers take Jeff Janis off special teams duty, and place him into a regular role on offense.
Tyreek Hill, Round 5 - 165th overall, Kansas City Chiefs
A decorated track athlete and return man prospect, Tyreek Hill is intriguing. The Chiefs went out of their way to pick someone with a domestic violence rap sheet. Undersized and coming from a small school to a suddenly crowded wide receiver roster, Hill’s best bet is to stick as a dynamic kick returner.
Rashard Higgins, Round 5 - 172nd overall, Cleveland Browns
“Never tell me the odds.” Those were the words that Rashard Higgins’ Reception Perception evaluation kept screaming after the Colorado State product turned in workout numbers akin to players that don’t make it at the NFL level. With metrics like the second best SRVC against man (75.3 percent), a top-five score against press, and a balanced route results chart on his side, it’s hard to not endorse Higgins’ on-field play.
While his career results will say a ton abut Reception Perception’s ability, or lack thereof, to account for college level of competition, the methodology firmly stands behind him as of now. Frankly, in a receiving group lacking for reliable options, the silky smooth routes of Higgins could find favor from Hue Jackson and the coaching staff sooner than later.
The areas where Higgins wins are somewhat similar to the work Pierre Garcon did with Robert Griffin during their heyday together. Perhaps Griffin finds this rookie receiver is a player he can jive with when he needs a reliable presence.
Round 6
Moritz Boehringer, Round 6 - 180th overall, Minnesota Vikings
The media ran wild with the Moritz Boehringer story after he blew away a Pro-Day style workout for NFL Scouts. My friends at NFL Network may have been the biggest culprits of driving more attention than needed to a prospect who faces some long odds. I’m stoked that Boehringer got drafted, especially by what he told us was his favorite NFL team for years. However, while his athletic profile is undeniably impressive, the German product has zero college football experience and was not even the most productive receiver on his own team while playing vastly inferior defenders. Odds are he ends up on a practice squad early on, but he’s a player to monitor.
Keenan Reynolds, Round 6 - 182nd - Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens will try and help Navy’s triple-option quarterback undergo a position change in the NFL. These type of makeovers generally take years to work, if they even do.
Jakeem Grant, Round 6 - 186th overall, Miami Dolphins
The RotoViz favorite has some analysts firmly in his corner. Jakeem Grant’s size at 5’6 and 165 pounds is a major concern, but his 4.38 40-yard dash speed shows right up on tape. He also has great open field instincts and is slippery with the ball in his hands. Grant also showed some understanding of route concepts and how to separate at the college level. Perhaps he carves out a role with the Dolphins as a playmaker on offense. More likely, he ends up as a dynamite kick and punt returner.
Kolby Listenbee, Round 6 - 192nd overall, Buffalo Bills
The TCU speedster ripped off a 4.35 40-yard dash when recovering from a hernia injury. Kory Listenbee brings legitimate speed to the Bills, who could use more playmakers at receiver outside of Sammy Watkins. HE’s a long shot, but what he has is a rare quality.
Cody Core, Round 6 - 199th overall, Cincinnati Bengals
The complementary receiver to Laquon Treadwell at Ole Miss, Cody Cole plays well in traffic and overall has good hands. However, there’s little flash to him. He likely ends up as a long term roster hanger-on, but never a full-time player. The Bengals needed bodies at receiver badly, and Core has some positives.
Mike Thomas, Round 6 - 206th overall, Los Angeles Rams
With so many other analysts aboard Southern Mississippi Mike Thomas’ hype train, I did not see the reason to talk him up much more this offseason. However, make no mistake, Thomas is Reception Perception approved. He posted above average SRVC scores against man, zone and press. Thomas also finished with the third-best contested catch conversion rate and posted strong marks on both underneath and vertical routes.
My personal theory is that scouts missed on the dynamic ability Thomas comes with because he had some drops in his game. His 11.3 drop rate led the prospects charted for Reception Perception. If that got him nixed from the combine, it is just another classic case of the danger in over-emphasizing drops to a foolish degree.
Some of Thomas games—Washington and Louisiana Tech come to mind—were simply just a player putting on a clinic. That sort of dynamic ability deserves better than a sixth-round grade, but here we are. The Rams also drafted another receiver on Day 3, and brought in a talented UDFA, to compete with a seemingly established top-three veteran group. It’s a numbers game, and there;s a chance Thomas might not make this team. However, this is clearly a player to track wherever he goes.
Aaron Burbridge, Round 6 - 213th overall, San Francisco 49ers
The Michigan State receiver had some nightmarish Reception Perception marks, failing to record above average SRVC scores or contested catch conversion rate. Perhaps that was the reason Aaron Burbidge failed to make much of an impact prior to his senior season at Michigan State. With already a lack of on-field plays or metric results to get excited about, this landing spot doesn't do much for us. Bruce Ellington and DeAndre Smelter intrigue me more as sleepers on this roster.
Round 7
Devin Lucien, Round 7 - 225th overall, New England Patriots
Not much happened in the early stages of Devin Lucien’s college career before he transferred to Arizona State as a graduate student. Even then, he was mostly quiet until he ripped off 534 yards and five touchdowns over the last three games of this season. You can’t be any more of a late-bloomer than that. If I’m being honest, I don’t have a ton of thoughts on this pick.
Demarcus Ayers, Round 7 - 229th overall, Pittsburgh Steelers
The Houston product caught 97 passes in his final season after nabbing just 44 in his first two, but put up a dreadful combine performance:
A receiver with that extreme lack of athleticism, size and inconsistent tape falling to the seventh round has a tough hill to climb to being relevant in any fantasy sense.
Daniel Braverman, Round 7 - 230th overall, Chicago Bears
The scouting community fell in love with Daniel Braverman late in the process, and for good reason. He runs all the routes you want out of a traditional slot receiver with excellent precision. However, given his lack of a combine invite, unheralded college program, and small build, it was not shocking to see him fall to the seventh round. Players of Braverman’s archetype have specific roles that a coaching staff can craft for them to slide right into. There’s room for that player on the inside for Chicago between the two trees of Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White. Braverman’s low draft stock should not eliminate him from consideration in rookie drafts at all.
Devin Fuller, Round 7 - 238th overall, Atlanta Falcons
The former UCLA kick returner will look to reprise that role in the NFL. He clocked a 4.39 40-yard dash time at his Pro Day, but that long speed almost exclusively shows up as a return man.
Charone Peake, Round 7 - 241st overall, New York Jets
Of all the slides in the 2016 NFL Draft, Charone Peake’s was the one that shocked me the most. He made sense as a third or fourth round selection with some intriguing tape and workout metrics but slid all the way to the Jets in Round 7. It looks like an injury history a lackluster college production profile were enough to sink his stock.
Peake was a bit miscast in this year’s version of the Clemson offense. In his Reception Perception sample, his most frequently run route was the “nine” at 31 percent, but all of his positive success rates came on short to intermediate patterns. Combined with his solid contested catch conversion rate of 66.7 percent, leads to a projection as a boundary possession receiver. If he stays healthy for the long haul, he could end up a better pro than college player.
The Jets want to spread the field with multiple receivers, but don’t have the horses to do so unless Devin Smith heals quickly this offseason. Peake could end up cracking the rotation sooner than later if he impresses early.
Kenny Lawler, Round 7 - 243rd overall, Seattle Seahawks
The final wide receiver pick in the draft was quietly one of my favorites. Kenny Lawler grabbed my attention during his Reception Perception charting process. Lawler scored at the class average in Success Rate Vs. Coverage against press (64.1) and zone (74.7), and above the average facing man (67.2). He also showed up in a positive fashion in several of the periphery metrics. Lawler’s 72.7 percent contested catch conversion rate tied for fourth best in the class. He routinely made the first defender miss, breaking a single tackle on 66.7 percent of his in space attempts, good for the top mark in the class.
The Seahawks struggled to find a true jump ball threat for Russell Wilson the last few years before settling on Jimmy Graham. With the tight end’s status in doubt, don’t rule out that Lawler works into that role with some seasoning. It is clearly his best trait, but as Reception Perception reveals, there is more to him than just that. Lawler is a long shot to ever make serious NFL noise, but he has the ability to be that big-time surprise.
Major Undrafted Free Agent Signings
De’Runnya Wilson, UDFA, New England Patriots
The 4.85 40-yard dash was enough to send De’Runnya Wilson tumbling out of the draft, it seems. He failed to make much of an impact in Reception Perception, and his abysmal 27.3 percent contested catch conversion rate was the worst in the class despite his hulking size. Frankly, I just don't know what to do with Wilson at this point.
Geronimo Allison, UDFA, Green Bay Packers
A receiver with size on the Packers is worth monitoring, but nothing about his profile truly wowed me. Geronimo Allison is worth watching out for, but I have to think his odds to make this team aren’t good.
Roger Lewis, UDFA, New York Giants
Some analysts love Roger Lewis as a sleeper. Don’t count me among them. He essential ran two routes in college, with 66.5 percent of his sample Reception Perception patterns being a curl or nine. He posted an average SRVC score on nines and below average on curls. What he’s supposed to be good at isn't even all that impressive on a route to route basis.
Keyarris Garrett, UDFA, Carolina Panthers
This was clearly my favorite UDFA signing. I called Keyarris Garrett the unicorn in this draft class, as he was one of the few sleeper prospects who fit the mold of an athletic X-receiver. His Reception Perception was an overall positive for him, and he scored out well as a deep threat. Not only could he make the Panthers, but Garrett could end up on the field sooner than later. Dave Gettleman had some luck recently with unheralded moves, and this player fits right into what the team looks for at wideout. I still don’t mind taking him in the third round of rookie drafts, despite his UDFA status.
Devon Cajuste, UDFA, San Francisco 49ers
Odds are that Devin Cajuste plays tight end, and he probably has a better chance to stick there. His athletic profile makes him a player worth keeping an eye on, but only if he moves away from wide receiver.
Marquez North, UDFA, Tennessee
No, there is no Reception Perception data on Marquez North. It’s hard to form a real sample of games to chart from a season where a player caught six passes. However, his combine workout reminded us that there is a some real physical ability to mine with North. Even if he doesn't stick with Los Angeles, his youth, and athletic testing marks should be enough for another team to take a chance on him. Much like Garrett, he’s worth taking near the end of rookie drafts as a stash.
