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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9
By Will Grant, November 1, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9
Photo: Imagn Images

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Two weeks ago, a score of 56 was good enough for first place. This week, it would have been 20 points behind the last place team. In a week were 91 points was the best possible score, we had some teams that posted nearly a perfect week. Grant and Bitonti tied for first, but Grant managed the victory because of the tiebreaker. The Chiefs won the game 29-19, for a total of 48 points. Grant's 44 was closer than Bitonti's 42 giving Grant the tie-breaker win. Grant only missed the Thursday night game as well, narrowly missing a perfect week. 

Staffer MIA MIN CAR CHI ATL SF IND OAK LAC HOU DAL PIT DEN MNF TOT
  BAL CLE TB NO NYJ PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC TOT Pts
Grant MIA MIN CAR NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA DAL PIT KC 44 87
  4 11 3 8 6 13 12 2 9 7 1 5 10    
Bitonti MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA DAL PIT KC 42 87
  1 10 3 6 8 13 12 2 11 4 5 7 9    
Haseley BAL MIN CAR NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC   86
  1 10 4 12 5 13 9 7 11 6 2 3 8    
Larkin BAL MIN CAR NO NYJ PHI CIN OAK NE SEA WAS PIT KC   85
  9 13 4 11 3 12 10 2 7 6 1 5 8    
Brimacombe MIA MIN CAR NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL DET KC   84
  2 10 3 12 7 13 11 4 9 8 5 1 6    
Wood BAL MIN CAR NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL DET KC   84
  1 10 2 5 9 13 6 3 12 7 11 4 8    
Feery BAL MIN CAR NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS PIT KC   84
  2 11 1 3 4 13 10 5 9 8 7 6 12    
Knotts MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL PIT KC   83
  5 13 1 12 6 11 10 2 9 7 4 3 8    
Miglio BAL MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC   82
  2 11 5 9 7 13 10 4 12 8 3 1 6    
Holloway MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC   81
  3 9 4 10 6 13 8 5 12 7 2 1 11    
Mamula MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE SEA DAL PIT KC   81
  4 12 6 11 7 13 10 3 9 1 5 8 2    
Roberts MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL PIT KC   81
  1 12 7 9 6 13 11 2 8 4 3 5 10    
Pasquino BAL MIN CAR NO NYJ PHI CIN BUF NE SEA DAL PIT KC   79
  11 7 1 5 12 10 2 13 6 8 4 3 9    
Tuccitto MIA MIN CAR NO NYJ PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC   78
  3 10 2 12 4 13 11 6 8 7 5 1 9    
Hicks BAL MIN TB NO NYJ PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC   77
  3 4 5 9 6 12 13 7 11 10 2 1 8    
Wimer MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL DET KC   76
  6 7 5 4 11 13 10 3 12 9 2 1 8    
Heiser MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN BUF NE HOU DAL PIT KC   75
  3 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 2 4 1 13    
Garda MIA MIN TB NO ATL PHI CIN OAK NE SEA DAL PIT KC   75
  6 13 2 3 11 12 5 8 10 1 9 4 7    
Away MIA MIN CAR CHI ATL SF IND OAK LAC HOU DAL PIT DEN    
Total Pts 38 185 20 0 102 0 0 24 0 2 53 47 0    
Home BAL CLE TB NO NYJ PHI CIN BUF NE SEA WAS DET KC    
Total Pts 29 0 49 151 25 221 167 60 170 108 22 13 152    
Tot Conf Pts 67 185 69 151 127 221 167 84 170 110 75 60 152    

Confidence point allocation was a big factor in how teams finished this week. While Grant missed only 1 game, Bitonti tied him even though he missed two because of the point allocations on those games. Feery only missed the Washington game, but because he had 7 points on the game, he finished tied for 5th. Pasquino only missed one game as well, picking the Jets to upset the Falcons. But because he put 12 points on the game, he finished 13th in the weekly standings. Both Garda and Heiser only missed three games this week, but 75 points was good enough for last place in a week when everyone did well. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

The top five spots did not change, but Grant and Haseley closed the gap a bit on the overall leaders. Brimacombe extended his lead to 20 points on Roberts though, making it a good week for him overall. The top four teams on the leaderboard have won at least one weekly contest and three of them have won two. Knotts isn't too far behind that group, despite not winning any individual week. These top five are starting to pull away from the pack though, with 6th place Mamula being almost 50 points off the lead. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79 81 56 108 84                   682
Roberts 90 112 67 86 69 47 110 81                   662
Grant 88 117 80 81 70 42 94 87                   659
Haseley 85 111 86 89 55 48 92 86                   652
Knotts 88 110 70 75 67 50 100 83                   643
Mamula 81 113 66 80 64 53 96 81                   634
Holloway 93 112 55 80 64 45 103 81                   633
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83 66 44 96 78                   631
Bitonti 78 105 73 85 56 41 94 87                   619
Miglio 72 99 67 84 62 43 100 82                   609
Feery 79 111 58 87 57 51 80 84                   607
Larkin 82 100 65 74 49 50 94 85                   599
Wood 102 90 81 65 49 27 96 84                   594
Pasquino 66 100 77 88 59 36 85 79                   590
Wimer 78 101 63 80 80 45 66 76                   589
Garda 85 111 67 73 65 32 79 75                   587
Hicks 71 97 85 87 28 48 94 77                   587
Heiser 42 89 81 79 54 42 93 75                   555

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer BUF BAL CIN ATL DEN IND TB LAR WAS ARI KC OAK DET MNF TOT
  NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB TOT Pts
Miglio NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL MIA GB 48 91
  5 11 10 6 12 13 8 7 9 4 3 2 1    
Garda BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 45 91
  6 8 10 5 4 13 3 11 12 2 1 9 7    
Hicks NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL MIA GB 47 91
  1 8 12 6 10 13 9 5 7 2 4 3 11    
Heiser BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 48 91
  11 10 9 8 13 7 12 5 4 3 6 2 1    
Feery BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 45 91
  3 7 13 6 12 11 10 2 9 4 5 8 1    
Tuccitto NYJ BAL JAC ATL PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB 49 91
  8 6 11 7 10 13 12 3 9 4 2 5 1    
Larkin NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF DAL MIA GB 44 91
  1 8 11 7 9 12 10 6 13 5 2 4 3    
Knotts BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 44 91
  8 6 9 5 10 12 13 7 11 1 3 2 4    
Brimacombe BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 46 91
  2 9 8 3 10 13 12 4 11 7 6 5 1    
Wood BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 42 91
  7 11 10 4 12 13 9 3 8 1 6 5 2    
Haseley BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA ARI KC MIA GB 43 91
  7 8 9 5 11 10 13 1 12 4 6 3 2    
Pasquino BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 43 91
  5 8 13 2 10 11 9 4 12 1 7 6 3    
Mamula BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL OAK GB 42 91
  6 5 11 7 10 12 8 9 13 3 2 4 1    
Roberts BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 44 91
  6 5 7 3 11 13 12 9 10 1 4 8 2    
Wimer BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 63 91
  7 6 11 5 13 12 4 3 10 2 1 9 8    
Bitonti BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 52 91
  10 1 7 3 11 8 13 6 12 9 5 4 2    
Holloway BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF DAL MIA GB 47 91
  7 6 9 5 12 13 11 8 10 2 3 1 4    
Grant BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA ARI KC OAK GB 44 91
  5 9 8 3 12 13 11 1 10 7 2 6 4    
Away BUF BAL CIN ATL DEN IND TB LAR WAS ARI KC OAK DET    
Total Pts 90 6 0 47 0 0 0 89 0 46 52 68 15    
Home NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB    
Total Pts 15 126 178 43 192 212 179 5 182 16 16 18 43    
Tot Conf Pts 105 132 178 90 192 212 179 94 182 62 68 86 58    

HEAVY FAVORITES

Another top-heavy week despite six NFL teams being on a bye. Jacksonville, Philadelphia, Houston, New Orleans and Seattle were all unanimous choices this week with the Texans being the strongest pick with 212 points. Tennessee and the LA Rams are also heavy favorites to win their respecitve contests. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Atlanta at Carolina is the closest game on the week in our contest, with the visiting Falcons having just a 4 point edge in confidence points. Arizona, KC and Green Bay are favored to win their matches this weekend, but all three games have less than 70 total confidence points each, meaning whoever you pick in those games may be worth moving to the bottom of your board. 

ODDS AND ENDS

91 is the best that anyone can do this week, with six more NFL teams on a bye. This week marks the half-way point in the season, but there are still plenty of games left to play. If you're not in the top five of your office pool, it's not time to panic yet but you need to be careful that you don't fall too far off the top spot or you won't have enough time to catch up. As always, avoid locking your picks in as long as you can, and gather as much info as possible before you do. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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