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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 7

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 7
By Will Grant, October 19, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 7
Photo: Imagn Images

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Brutal. Just brutal. Big upsets meant terrible scores this week. But that was good news for Brimacombe as he cruised to his second consecutive weekly victory with just 56 total points. James had 7 correct picks this week, which was one less than Mamula. However, Brimacombe had 14 points on Houston and he hit 3 of his top 5 picks. Mamula missed fewer games, but lost his top two picks with Denver and Atlanta. It was a tough week for everyone. 

Staffer PHI GB CLE MIA SF CHI DET NE LAR TB LAC PIT NYG IND MNF TOT
  CAR MIN HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NYJ JAC ARI OAK KC DEN TEN TOT Pts
Brimacombe PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC TB LAC KC DEN TEN 44 56
  2 7 14 12 11 9 8 13 1 4 5 6 10 3    
Mamula PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC ARI LAC KC DEN TEN 40 53
  6 9 12 13 10 4 3 11 5 1 2 7 14 8    
Feery PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NYJ LAR TB OAK KC DEN TEN 39 51
  6 4 11 14 12 2 9 3 5 7 1 10 13 8    
Larkin CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE LAR ARI LAC KC DEN TEN 48 50
  5 7 13 14 9 12 8 10 4 3 2 6 11 1    
Knotts PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE LAR TB LAC KC DEN TEN 45 50
  6 14 13 12 11 10 5 8 4 3 2 7 9 1    
Hicks CAR MIN HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NYJ JAC ARI OAK KC DEN TEN 41 48
  3 1 13 14 12 8 9 2 4 6 5 10 11 7    
Haseley CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC ARI OAK KC DEN TEN 48 48
  1 2 13 12 14 6 3 9 10 4 11 8 7 5    
Roberts PHI GB HOU ATL WAS CHI NO NE JAC TB OAK KC DEN TEN 40 47
  4 10 11 14 9 1 8 12 5 6 7 3 13 2    
Holloway CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE LAR ARI OAK KC DEN TEN 44 45
  4 9 11 13 10 8 3 12 1 2 5 7 14 6    
Wimer PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC TB OAK KC DEN TEN 37 45
  8 7 10 14 11 12 6 9 5 4 3 2 13 1    
Tuccitto CAR MIN HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC TB OAK KC DEN TEN 49 44
  5 1 14 8 13 11 6 7 9 4 2 12 10 3    
Miglio CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC ARI OAK KC DEN TEN 44 43
  4 12 7 11 10 5 3 14 6 1 2 9 13 8    
Heiser CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE JAC TB LAC KC DEN TEN 38 42
  2 11 13 12 9 7 6 10 5 4 3 8 14 1    
Grant PHI GB HOU ATL WAS BAL DET NE LAR TB OAK KC DEN TEN 37 42
  3 7 10 14 13 9 5 11 4 2 6 8 12 1    
Bitonti CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NE LAR TB OAK KC DEN TEN 52 41
  3 9 11 14 12 10 2 7 4 1 6 8 13 5    
Pasquino CAR GB HOU ATL SF BAL NO NE LAR TB LAC KC DEN IND 43 36
  7 10 13 12 1 6 4 11 5 8 3 9 14 2    
Garda CAR GB HOU ATL WAS BAL DET NE JAC TB OAK KC DEN TEN 55 32
  10 12 14 13 8 1 5 4 7 3 2 9 11 6    
Wood PHI GB HOU ATL SF BAL DET NE JAC TB OAK KC DEN IND 37 27
  2 10 14 12 3 7 4 11 8 5 6 9 13 1    
Away PHI GB CLE MIA SF CHI DET NE LAR TB LAC PIT NYG IND    
Total Pts 37 140 0 0 4 1 14 159 27 51 17 0 0 3    
Home CAR MIN HOU ATL WAS BAL NO NYJ JAC ARI OAK KC DEN TEN    
Total Pts 44 2 217 228 174 127 83 5 65 17 56 138 215 66    
Tot Conf Pts 81 142 217 228 178 128 97 164 92 68 73 138 215 69    

Everyone missed Atlanta, Kansas City, and Denver last week, accounting for 581 total confidence points down the drain. Green Bay and Baltimore accounted for another 267 points, bringing the total confidence points lost to 848 out of a possible 851 based on how each staffer weighted them.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Brimacombe's back to back wins moved him into first place by a solid margin given this point in the season. Grant slid down to second with just 42 points and Haseley closed the gap on with 48. There's still just 30 points separating the top five spots. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79 81 56                       490
Grant 88 117 80 81 70 42                       478
Haseley 85 111 86 89 55 48                       474
Roberts 90 112 67 86 69 47                       471
Knotts 88 110 70 75 67 50                       460
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83 66 44                       457
Mamula 81 113 66 80 64 53                       457
Holloway 93 112 55 80 64 45                       449
Wimer 78 101 63 80 80 45                       447
Feery 79 111 58 87 57 51                       443
Bitonti 78 105 73 85 56 41                       438
Garda 85 111 67 73 65 32                       433
Miglio 72 99 67 84 62 43                       427
Pasquino 66 100 77 88 59 36                       426
Larkin 82 100 65 74 49 50                       420
Hicks 71 97 85 87 28 48                       416
Wood 102 90 81 65 49 27                       414
Heiser 42 89 81 79 54 42                       387

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer KC TB TEN CAR NYJ ARI BAL NO JAC DAL SEA DEN CIN ATL WAS MNF
  OAK BUF CLE CHI MIA LAR MIN GB IND SF NYG LAC PIT NE PHI TOT
Miglio OAK BUF CLE CAR MIA LAR MIN NO IND DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 48
  4 9 1 12 11 8 15 10 7 14 13 5 3 2 6  
Garda KC BUF TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN NO JAC DAL NYG DEN PIT NE PHI 50
  13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 14 15 5 4 3 2 1  
Hicks OAK BUF TEN CHI MIA LAR MIN GB IND SF NYG LAC PIT NE PHI 56
  3 2 14 1 4 11 15 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13  
Heiser KC BUF TEN CAR MIA ARI MIN NO JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 56
  15 13 10 9 8 3 6 14 5 4 12 2 11 7 1  
Feery KC BUF TEN CHI NYJ LAR MIN GB JAC DAL NYG DEN PIT NE WAS 51
  14 13 10 1 9 6 15 2 7 5 4 8 12 11 3  
Tuccitto KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN GB JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 49
  10 3 4 9 12 6 15 5 11 7 1 2 14 13 8  
Larkin OAK TB TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN GB JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 51
  7 3 14 13 6 12 5 4 2 15 10 1 11 8 9  
Knotts KC TB TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN NO JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 44
  11 2 15 4 3 6 5 10 9 8 7 1 13 12 14  
Brimacombe KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN NO JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 49
  7 6 12 5 8 4 15 11 3 13 10 1 14 2 9  
Wood KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR BAL NO JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 47
  12 3 13 11 2 6 1 9 8 15 14 5 4 7 10  
Haseley KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN GB IND DAL SEA DEN PIT NE PHI 47
  11 8 10 5 7 1 13 6 2 15 3 4 14 9 12  
Pasquino KC TB TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN NO JAC DAL SEA LAC PIT NE PHI 47
  4 7 10 9 15 3 12 2 8 13 6 5 11 1 14  
Mamula KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN NO JAC DAL SEA DEN PIT NE PHI 50
  12 1 15 4 3 2 13 7 11 14 10 8 9 5 6  
Roberts KC BUF TEN CHI MIA LAR MIN NO JAC DAL NYG LAC PIT NE PHI 46
  8 7 15 1 5 6 14 12 11 10 2 3 13 4 9  
Wimer KC BUF TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN GB JAC DAL NYG DEN PIT ATL PHI 48
  12 7 11 10 6 5 4 3 9 14 2 8 1 13 15  
Bitonti KC BUF TEN CAR NYJ LAR MIN NO JAC DAL NYG LAC PIT ATL PHI 52
  13 8 15 7 3 6 11 12 4 14 1 5 10 2 9  
Holloway OAK BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN GB IND DAL SEA DEN PIT NE PHI 41
  2 11 13 8 6 7 12 3 1 15 9 5 14 4 10  
Grant KC BUF TEN CAR MIA LAR MIN GB JAC DAL SEA DEN PIT NE PHI 51
  12 9 7 8 11 13 14 2 5 10 3 4 6 1 15  
Away KC TB TEN CAR NYJ ARI BAL NO JAC DAL SEA DEN CIN ATL WAS  
Total Pts 154 12 199 124 51 3 1 93 107 201 98 41 0 15 3  
Home OAK BUF CLE CHI MIA LAR MIN GB IND SF NYG LAC PIT NE PHI  
Total Pts 16 112 1 3 77 110 191 30 16 7 22 39 173 100 161  
Tot Conf Pts 170 124 200 127 128 113 192 123 123 208 120 80 173 115 164  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Pittsburgh firing up on the undefeated Chiefs last week have everyone back on the Pittsburgh bandwagon this week.  The Steelers were the only team that the entire staff picked to win this week. That being said, the Titans, Cowboys, and Vikings all had more confidence points wagered on them this week than the Steelers. The Panthers, Rams and Eagles were are also heavy favorites in each of their games.  Kansas City, New England, and Buffalo also have a decent chunk of confidence points wagered on them this week. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Denver's loss to the winless Giants at home have everyone afraid to pick them. They have just two more confidence points than the Chargers, and the game has the lowest total confidence points for the week. Miami is a slight favorite over the visiting Jets this week as well, but Miami's upset of Atlanta and the Jets #whatfumble loss to the Patriots have this game being one of the tougher ones to pick this week as well. A few staffers still support Green Bay despite missing Aaron Rodgers, but the Saints are still the favorite to win on the road. 

ODDS AND ENDS

We're back to 120 points being the maximum this week as there are only two teams on a bye week. Las Vegas has not set any spread at more than six points this week, meaning the potential for upsets is a lot stronger this week. Given the tough week that most people had last week, it may be prudent to be a bit more conservative this week, trying to make up some ground. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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