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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14
By Will Grant, December 7, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14
Photo: Imagn Images

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Another big week with some great scores all around. Alex Miglio held the lead going into the Monday night game and when Pittsburgh finally won, so did Miglio. He and Holloway only missed three games each, but Miglio edged him out by a point to retain the top spot. This week's contest was very close, and the top five finishers were just five points apart. A point or two here or there was all that was needed to win. 

Staffer WAS SF MIN HOU TB DEN NE DET IND KC CLE NYG LAR CAR PHI PIT MNF TOT
  DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA BUF BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK ARI NO SEA CIN TOT Pts
Miglio DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO SEA PIT 51 120
  2 7 4 12 8 6 16 3 14 5 15 13 11 9 1 10    
Holloway WAS CHI MIN TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 47 119
  4 6 2 10 8 5 13 3 15 1 16 14 11 9 7 12    
Larkin DAL SF ATL TEN GB DEN NE DET JAC NYJ LAC OAK ARI NO SEA PIT 44 117
  11 5 8 7 16 4 15 6 14 2 13 12 1 10 3 9    
Tuccitto DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 49 116
  4 3 2 6 8 1 14 7 15 10 16 11 12 13 5 9    
Mamula WAS CHI MIN TEN GB MIA NE DET JAC NYJ LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 50 115
  4 7 2 13 12 6 16 1 14 3 15 11 8 5 9 10    
Garda WAS CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 50 113
  7 6 5 14 10 9 13 3 12 4 16 15 8 2 1 11    
Wimer WAS CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 38 113
  6 11 5 10 4 3 14 9 8 7 15 16 13 2 1 12    
Heiser WAS SF ATL TEN GB MIA NE DET JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 44 110
  7 15 11 10 8 5 16 4 9 3 13 6 14 2 1 12    
Pasquino WAS SF MIN TEN GB MIA NE DET JAC NYJ LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 43 109
  7 2 9 10 5 3 15 12 11 1 16 4 13 6 8 14    
Haseley WAS CHI MIN TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 43 108
  6 12 5 8 3 2 14 4 15 1 16 11 7 13 10 9    
Hicks DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA BUF BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK ARI NO SEA CIN 51 108
  7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 15 13 16 14 4 3 5 6    
Knotts WAS CHI ATL TEN GB DEN NE DET JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 44 106
  4 9 3 10 11 2 13 1 12 5 14 16 15 7 6 8    
Feery WAS SF ATL TEN GB DEN BUF BAL JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 41 105
  10 6 3 14 7 1 4 2 15 5 16 13 9 12 8 11    
Roberts WAS CHI MIN TEN GB DEN NE DET JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 50 105
  4 8 1 11 6 3 14 2 15 5 16 7 13 12 9 10    
Grant DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE DET JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 44 104
  1 8 9 13 2 6 12 7 15 3 16 10 14 11 5 4    
Bitonti WAS CHI ATL TEN GB MIA NE BAL JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 48 103
  7 3 4 11 2 6 13 5 14 9 15 16 12 1 10 8    
Wood WAS SF MIN TEN GB DEN NE DET JAC KC LAC NYG LAR NO PHI PIT 43 98
  6 2 14 9 3 4 16 5 12 15 13 1 11 8 7 10    
Brimacombe DAL CHI ATL TEN GB DEN NE DET JAC KC LAC OAK LAR NO PHI PIT 44 97
  1 6 5 14 2 3 15 4 13 12 16 11 10 7 9 8    
Away WAS SF MIN HOU TB DEN NE DET IND KC CLE NYG LAR CAR PHI PIT    
Total Pts 72 30 33 0 0 17 229 42 0 76 0 1 181 0 96 167    
Home DAL CHI ATL TEN GB MIA BUF BAL JAC NYJ LAC OAK ARI NO SEA CIN    
Total Pts 26 94 68 192 126 64 5 38 238 28 273 200 5 132 9 6    
Tot Conf Pts 98 124 101 192 126 81 234 80 238 104 273 201 186 132 105 173    

In a crazy twist this week, the top teams from the overall board are on the bottom of the weekly board. Going against the grain with a few of the games was the key to victory this week, and although there were no huge upsets, a few favorites hurt the board. Washington kicked off the trend with the upset loss to the Cowboys on Thursday night. Then Sunday followed with Chicago, Atlanta, Detroit, KC, and Philadelphia all falling to the underdogs. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

With Brimacombe's stumble this week, the top of the leaderboard just got interesting. He still maintains a 10 point lead on everyone, but the top five teams are only separated by 28 points. With four weeks to go, there is still plenty of time to make a move. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79 81 56 108 84 55 99 70 115 97         1118
Grant 88 117 80 81 70 42 94 87 56 97 70 122 104         1108
Knotts 88 110 70 75 67 50 100 83 48 94 87 118 106         1096
Roberts 90 112 67 86 69 47 110 81 54 88 68 117 105         1094
Mamula 81 113 66 80 64 53 96 81 59 83 79 120 115         1090
Haseley 85 111 86 89 55 48 92 86 50 91 75 104 108         1080
Miglio 72 99 67 84 62 43 100 82 66 98 69 113 120         1075
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83 66 44 96 78 43 95 76 99 116         1060
Holloway 93 112 55 80 64 45 103 81 49 70 67 117 119         1055
Feery 79 111 58 87 57 51 80 84 63 85 76 112 105         1048
Bitonti 78 105 73 85 56 41 94 87 56 86 70 113 103         1047
Wimer 78 101 63 80 80 45 66 76 48 87 86 117 113         1040
Garda 85 111 67 73 65 32 79 75 54 90 71 116 113         1031
Larkin 82 100 65 74 49 50 94 85 54 74 75 107 117         1026
Pasquino 66 100 77 88 59 36 85 79 51 99 72 103 109         1024
Hicks 71 97 85 87 28 48 94 77 57 72 57 121 108         1002
Wood 102 90 81 65 49 27 96 84 52 88 59 104 98         995
Heiser 42 89 81 79 54 42 93 75 52 78 69 97 110         961

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer NO MIN CHI GB SF DAL DET OAK IND NYJ TEN WAS SEA PHI BAL NE MNF TOT
  ATL CAR CIN CLE HOU NYG TB KC BUF DEN ARI LAC JAC LAR PIT MIA TOTAL Pts
Miglio ATL CAR CIN GB HOU DAL TB KC BUF DEN ARI LAC JAC LAR PIT NE 53 136
  7 6 15 14 9 13 2 5 10 3 1 11 4 8 12 16    
Garda NO MIN CIN GB HOU DAL TB KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC JAC LAR PIT NE 50 136
  3 13 12 14 11 9 4 6 8 7 5 10 1 2 15 16    
Hicks ATL CAR CIN GB HOU NYG TB KC BUF DEN ARI LAC JAC LAR PIT NE 49 136
  14 6 13 1 2 8 3 4 11 5 7 16 15 12 10 9    
Heiser NO CAR CIN GB SF DAL DET KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 48 136
  3 1 15 11 10 13 6 12 9 4 8 7 5 2 14 16    
Feery NO MIN CIN GB SF NYG DET OAK BUF NYJ TEN LAC SEA PHI PIT NE 49 136
  9 13 3 8 5 12 4 1 11 10 6 14 7 2 15 16    
Tuccitto ATL MIN CIN GB HOU DAL TB KC BUF DEN TEN LAC JAC LAR PIT NE 49 136
  1 3 11 13 16 7 4 14 15 8 5 12 6 2 10 9    
Larkin NO CAR CIN GB SF NYG TB KC IND NYJ ARI LAC JAC PHI BAL NE 45 136
  12 10 14 13 9 3 8 6 7 5 4 16 11 2 1 15    
Knotts NO MIN CIN CLE SF DAL DET OAK BUF NYJ TEN LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 51 136
  10 5 16 3 4 15 9 8 14 7 6 11 2 1 12 13    
Brimacombe ATL CAR CIN GB SF DAL DET KC BUF DEN ARI LAC JAC PHI PIT NE 46 136
  5 4 15 12 6 9 1 11 8 3 2 14 10 7 13 16    
Wood NO CAR CHI GB SF B TB KC IND NYJ TEN LAC SEA PHI PIT NE 51 136
  13 5 2 12 3 11 4 9 1 6 7 8 14 16 10 15    
Haseley NO MIN CHI GB SF DAL DET KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC JAC PHI PIT NE 49 136
  15 14 12 13 10 11 5 9 4 3 2 7 1 6 8 16    
Pasquino NO MIN CHI CLE HOU NYG DET OAK BUF NYJ ARI LAC SEA PHI PIT NE 48 136
  5 8 3 1 10 12 7 2 9 11 6 15 13 4 14 16    
Mamula NO MIN CIN GB SF NYG DET KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC JAC PHI PIT NE 47 136
  11 6 12 13 1 2 10 4 14 3 7 15 5 9 8 16    
Roberts NO MIN CIN GB SF DAL DET KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 46 136
  7 11 15 4 1 12 5 8 6 9 10 14 2 3 13 16    
Wimer ATL MIN CIN GB HOU DAL DET KC BUF NYJ ARI LAC JAC LAR PIT NE 42 136
  15 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 14 3 13 2 1 16    
Bitonti NO MIN CIN GB SF DAL TB KC BUF NYJ TEN LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 46 136
  7 8 12 16 3 15 4 6 5 10 9 13 2 1 11 14    
Holloway NO MIN CIN GB HOU DAL DET KC BUF NYJ ARI LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 44 136
  5 7 15 12 11 8 4 6 16 9 1 13 3 2 10 14    
Grant ATL MIN CIN GB HOU DAL DET KC BUF DEN TEN LAC SEA LAR PIT NE 53 136
  2 8 15 14 12 10 5 7 11 1 6 13 4 3 9 16    
Away NO MIN CHI GB SF DAL DET OAK IND NYJ TEN WAS SEA PHI BAL NE    
Total Pts 100 108 17 180 52 130 63 11 8 88 71 0 52 46 1 265    
Home ATL CAR CIN CLE HOU NYG TB KC BUF DEN ARI LAC JAC LAR PIT MIA    
Total Pts 44 32 194 4 80 37 29 113 156 20 35 212 66 38 185 0    
Tot Conf Pts 144 140 211 184 132 167 92 124 164 108 106 212 118 84 186 265    

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week is tougher, with only a couple teams being the clear choice to win. Only New England and the Chargers were unanimous selections to win this week. Green Bay, Buffalo and Pittsburgh are also strong favorites this week, and the Bengals and Chiefs also have a majority of staffers picking them to win. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Sunday afternoon is tough to call this week, with the Eagles being a slight favorite over the Rams and the Jaguars have a couple more confidence points over the visiting Seahawks. The 49ers travel to Houston this week, but they received a few more points this week after their win over the Bears. The Lions have a few more confidence points than Tampa Bay despite the Bucs being at home, but the overall game has less than 100 confidence points total. 

ODDS AND ENDS

Four weeks to go and the games are starting to get tougher to call. Between injuries, playoff teams and non-playoff teams trying out younger players, things are going to be interesting these next couple weeks. 136 is the max from now to the end, 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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