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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 11

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 11
By Will Grant, November 9, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 11
Photo: Imagn Images

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

A good week for most of the board, and for the second time in three weeks, the weekly winner came down to a tie. Both Pasquino and Brimacombe has 12 correct picks and both only missed six total confidence points. But Pasquino had 44 for his tiebreaker while Brimacombe had 33. The Monday Night Football final score was Carolina 45 - Miami 21 for a total of 66 points, giving Pasquino his first win this season.  You can see from the top scores that most staffers missed only 2 or 3 games, but the confidence point allocation really made the difference. 

Staffer SEA NO PIT CLE LAC GB NYJ MIN CIN HOU NYG DAL NE MIA MNF TOT
  ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR TOT Pts
Pasquino SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB MIN TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 44 99
  6 9 11 4 10 1 7 12 3 14 2 5 13 8    
Brimacombe SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 43 99
  8 7 12 14 6 5 2 3 9 13 1 4 10 11    
Miglio SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR   98
  9 7 13 12 6 5 4 2 10 11 3 1 14 8    
Grant SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR   97
  9 5 12 13 8 4 3 2 7 14 1 6 11 10    
Tuccitto SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR   95
  9 5 11 14 12 1 2 7 6 13 3 4 8 10    
Knotts SEA BUF PIT DET JAC GB NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR   94
  13 7 14 8 9 6 4 3 5 10 2 1 11 12    
Haseley SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR   91
  6 4 10 14 9 2 3 1 7 13 8 5 11 12    
Garda SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR   90
  7 12 11 14 8 6 5 4 13 10 1 3 9 2    
Wood SEA NO PIT DET JAC GB NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR   88
  12 5 13 9 2 1 6 7 3 4 14 11 10 8    
Roberts SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR   88
  9 1 11 14 10 8 5 4 7 12 3 2 13 6    
Wimer SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR   87
  8 7 11 14 9 6 5 4 3 13 2 1 10 12    
Bitonti SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR   86
  5 3 10 14 9 6 7 2 12 13 1 4 11 8    
Feery SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR   85
  7 3 14 13 10 4 6 5 8 12 2 1 11 9    
Mamula SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR   83
  11 10 12 13 5 9 8 6 7 14 4 1 2 3    
Heiser SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR   78
  12 9 13 14 8 7 11 5 6 10 3 4 2 1    
Larkin SEA BUF PIT DET LAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR   74
  10 3 13 14 5 4 6 8 1 11 9 2 12 7    
Hicks ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR   72
  1 4 3 14 13 12 2 5 10 11 7 6 8 9    
Holloway SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG DAL NE MIA   70
  8 6 12 1 9 5 7 2 10 13 3 4 11 14    
Away SEA NO PIT CLE LAC GB NYJ MIN CIN HOU NYG DAL NE MIA    
Total Pts 149 82 203 0 5 7 72 45 0 0 32 34 169 14    
Home ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR    
Total Pts 1 25 3 213 143 85 21 37 127 211 37 31 8 136    
Tot Conf Pts 150 107 206 213 148 92 93 82 127 211 69 65 177 150    

Chicago was the only 'big' upset of the week, with most of the board losing a few points on the game. Only Wood and Knotts correctly picked the Packers to upset Chicago, but no one really lost or won a ton of points here. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Although Brimacombe narrowly missed his third weekly win of the season, his tie for the top spot allowed him to extend his overall lead. He now has a comfortable 24 point lead on the rest of the leaderboard. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79 81 56 108 84 55 99               836
Grant 88 117 80 81 70 42 94 87 56 97               812
Roberts 90 112 67 86 69 47 110 81 54 88               804
Haseley 85 111 86 89 55 48 92 86 50 91               793
Knotts 88 110 70 75 67 50 100 83 48 94               785
Mamula 81 113 66 80 64 53 96 81 59 83               776
Miglio 72 99 67 84 62 43 100 82 66 98               773
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83 66 44 96 78 43 95               769
Bitonti 78 105 73 85 56 41 94 87 56 86               761
Feery 79 111 58 87 57 51 80 84 63 85               755
Holloway 93 112 55 80 64 45 103 81 49 70               752
Pasquino 66 100 77 88 59 36 85 79 51 99               740
Wood 102 90 81 65 49 27 96 84 52 88               734
Garda 85 111 67 73 65 32 79 75 54 90               731
Larkin 82 100 65 74 49 50 94 85 54 74               727
Wimer 78 101 63 80 80 45 66 76 48 87               724
Hicks 71 97 85 87 28 48 94 77 57 72               716
Heiser 42 89 81 79 54 42 93 75 52 78               685

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer TEN JAC TB ARI WAS KC LAR BAL DET BUF CIN NE PHI ATL MNF
  PIT CLE MIA HOU NO NYG MIN GB CHI LAC DEN OAK DAL SEA TOT
Miglio PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN GB CHI LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 51
  14 12 6 2 11 13 4 3 1 7 5 10 9 8  
Garda PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC MIN GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 45
  11 14 8 7 6 13 4 3 5 10 2 9 12 1  
Hicks PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN GB CHI LAC DEN OAK DAL SEA 51
  11 13 8 4 14 12 6 7 1 9 10 2 3 5  
Heiser PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC MIN GB DET LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 54
  13 11 9 8 7 14 6 4 12 3 2 10 5 1  
Feery PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI ATL 48
  11 14 2 1 10 12 5 8 6 4 7 9 13 3  
Tuccitto PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN BAL DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 49
  12 14 6 1 13 11 5 2 4 8 3 10 7 9  
Larkin PIT JAC TB ARI NO KC MIN BAL CHI LAC CIN NE DAL SEA 41
  10 12 5 3 13 14 9 7 4 6 2 11 1 8  
Knotts PIT JAC TB ARI NO KC MIN BAL DET LAC CIN NE PHI ATL 44
  12 14 4 5 9 13 6 3 7 11 2 10 8 1  
Brimacombe PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC MIN GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 44
  13 12 6 2 11 14 5 1 4 10 9 8 7 3  
Wood PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC LAR BAL DET BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 47
  6 11 2 4 12 14 8 1 7 3 5 13 9 10  
Haseley PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 46
  11 12 3 1 14 10 9 4 8 2 7 13 5 6  
Pasquino PIT JAC TB ARI NO KC LAR GB DET BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 47
  8 13 5 1 11 12 6 3 7 2 4 14 10 9  
Mamula PIT JAC MIA HOU NO KC MIN BAL DET BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 47
  9 13 6 5 12 14 8 4 7 3 2 11 10 1  
Roberts                              
  .                            
Wimer PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC MIN BAL DET LAC CIN OAK PHI ATL 51
  11 10 7 6 9 5 4 13 3 14 2 1 8 12  
Bitonti PIT JAC TB HOU NO KC LAR BAL DET BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 55
  5 10 6 1 14 13 7 2 12 8 4 11 9 3  
Holloway PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC LAR GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 51
  11 12 5 2 13 14 1 3 10 4 7 8 9 6  
Grant PIT JAC MIA ARI NO KC MIN GB DET LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 46
  12 11 2 3 13 14 1 4 6 8 7 10 9 5  
Away TEN JAC TB ARI WAS KC LAR BAL DET BUF CIN NE PHI ATL  
Total Pts 0 208 20 41 0 212 22 32 98 16 12 157 130 16  
Home PIT CLE MIA HOU NO NYG MIN GB CHI LAC DEN OAK DAL SEA  
Total Pts 180 0 70 15 192 0 72 40 6 96 68 3 4 75  
Tot Conf Pts 180 208 90 56 192 212 94 72 104 112 80 160 134 91  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Pittsburgh may not have the most confidence points this week, but they still are a unanimous choice to beat the Titans this evening. Jacksonville, New Orleans, and Kansas City were also picked by the entire staff. Detroit, New England and Philadelphia are also strong favorites to win their respective games this weekend. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Arizona is a slight favorite to beat the Texans this weekend, but with just 56 total confidence points on the game, it is easily one of the least confident games we’ve had all season. Baltimore at Green Bay is almost even, there are a few more points on the game overall. Miami, Minnesota, Denver and Seattle all have at least 68 confidence points on them, but all four games have less than 100 total confidence points. If your office pool allows you to weight the contests as our does, you may want to move these games toward the bottom of your board. 

ODDS AND ENDS

Keith Roberts missed the deadline for the article, but his picks will be included in the results next week.

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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