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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 10

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 10
By Will Grant, November 9, 2017

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 10
Photo: Imagn Images

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 19 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Scoring was depressed this week due to so many teams being on a bye week but Alex Miglio survived a big hit with the Houston upset to finish at the top of the charts this week. Although he lost his top score with Houston, his other 3 losses were pretty minor and he finished 3 points ahead of Feery despite losing the Sunday night and Monday games. 

Staffer BUF BAL CIN ATL DEN IND TB LAR WAS ARI KC OAK DET MNF TOT
  NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB TOT Pts
Miglio NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL MIA GB 48 66
  5 11 10 6 12 13 8 7 9 4 3 2 1    
Feery BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 45 63
  3 7 13 6 12 11 10 2 9 4 5 8 1    
Mamula BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL OAK GB 42 59
  6 5 11 7 10 12 8 9 13 3 2 4 1    
Hicks NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI DAL MIA GB 47 57
  1 8 12 6 10 13 9 5 7 2 4 3 11    
Grant BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA ARI KC OAK GB 44 56
  5 9 8 3 12 13 11 1 10 7 2 6 4    
Bitonti BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 52 56
  10 1 7 3 11 8 13 6 12 9 5 4 2    
Brimacombe BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 46 55
  2 9 8 3 10 13 12 4 11 7 6 5 1    
Garda BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK DET 45 54
  6 8 10 5 4 13 3 11 12 2 1 9 7    
Larkin NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF DAL MIA GB 44 54
  1 8 11 7 9 12 10 6 13 5 2 4 3    
Roberts BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 44 54
  6 5 7 3 11 13 12 9 10 1 4 8 2    
Wood BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 42 52
  7 11 10 4 12 13 9 3 8 1 6 5 2    
Heiser BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF KC OAK DET 48 52
  11 10 9 8 13 7 12 5 4 3 6 2 1    
Pasquino BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 43 51
  5 8 13 2 10 11 9 4 12 1 7 6 3    
Haseley BUF TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA ARI KC MIA GB 43 50
  7 8 9 5 11 10 13 1 12 4 6 3 2    
Holloway BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA SF DAL MIA GB 47 49
  7 6 9 5 12 13 11 8 10 2 3 1 4    
Knotts BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 44 48
  8 6 9 5 10 12 13 7 11 1 3 2 4    
Wimer BUF TEN JAC ATL PHI HOU NO LAR SEA ARI KC OAK GB 63 48
  7 6 11 5 13 12 4 3 10 2 1 9 8    
Tuccitto NYJ BAL JAC ATL PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB 49 43
  8 6 11 7 10 13 12 3 9 4 2 5 1    
Away BUF BAL CIN ATL DEN IND TB LAR WAS ARI KC OAK DET    
Total Pts 90 6 0 47 0 0 0 89 0 46 52 68 15    
Home NYJ TEN JAC CAR PHI HOU NO NYG SEA SF DAL MIA GB    
Total Pts 15 126 178 43 192 212 179 5 182 16 16 18 43    
Tot Conf Pts 105 132 178 90 192 212 179 94 182 62 68 86 58    

Everyone missed at least 4 games, including the Houston and Seattle, so in general, it was a down week. Only 23 points separated first and last place, so scoring was pretty tight overall.  With six teams on a bye week and 394 confidence points up in smoke due to the Indianapolis and Washington upsets, it was a down week overall for everyone. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

The top of the overall leaderboard was unchanged as the top five teams were all within a couple points of each other. Brimacombe's lead is now 21 points as we head into the second half of the season. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Brimacombe 85 112 77 79 81 56 108 84 55                 737
Roberts 90 112 67 86 69 47 110 81 54                 716
Grant 88 117 80 81 70 42 94 87 56                 715
Haseley 85 111 86 89 55 48 92 86 50                 702
Mamula 81 113 66 80 64 53 96 81 59                 693
Knotts 88 110 70 75 67 50 100 83 48                 691
Holloway 93 112 55 80 64 45 103 81 49                 682
Bitonti 78 105 73 85 56 41 94 87 56                 675
Miglio 72 99 67 84 62 43 100 82 66                 675
Tuccitto 86 104 74 83 66 44 96 78 43                 674
Feery 79 111 58 87 57 51 80 84 63                 670
Larkin 82 100 65 74 49 50 94 85 54                 653
Wood 102 90 81 65 49 27 96 84 52                 646
Hicks 71 97 85 87 28 48 94 77 57                 644
Pasquino 66 100 77 88 59 36 85 79 51                 641
Garda 85 111 67 73 65 32 79 75 54                 641
Wimer 78 101 63 80 80 45 66 76 48                 637
Heiser 42 89 81 79 54 42 93 75 52                 607

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer SEA NO PIT CLE LAC GB NYJ MIN CIN HOU NYG DAL NE MIA MNF TOT
  ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR TOT Pts
Miglio SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 45 105
  9 7 13 12 6 5 4 2 10 11 3 1 14 8    
Garda SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 45 105
  7 12 11 14 8 6 5 4 13 10 1 3 9 2    
Hicks ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR 41 105
  1 4 3 14 13 12 2 5 10 11 7 6 8 9    
Heiser SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 38 105
  12 9 13 14 8 7 11 5 6 10 3 4 2 1    
Feery SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 41 105
  7 3 14 13 10 4 6 5 8 12 2 1 11 9    
Tuccitto SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 49 105
  9 5 11 14 12 1 2 7 6 13 3 4 8 10    
Larkin SEA BUF PIT DET LAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 44 105
  10 3 13 14 5 4 6 8 1 11 9 2 12 7    
Knotts SEA BUF PIT DET JAC GB NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 44 105
  13 7 14 8 9 6 4 3 5 10 2 1 11 12    
Brimacombe SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 43 105
  8 7 12 14 6 5 2 3 9 13 1 4 10 11    
Wood SEA NO PIT DET JAC GB NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 42 105
  12 5 13 9 2 1 6 7 3 4 14 11 10 8    
Haseley SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 42 105
  6 4 10 14 9 2 3 1 7 13 8 5 11 12    
Pasquino SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI TB MIN TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 44 105
  6 9 11 4 10 1 7 12 3 14 2 5 13 8    
Mamula SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 41 105
  11 10 12 13 5 9 8 6 7 14 4 1 2 3    
Roberts SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 49 105
  9 1 11 14 10 8 5 4 7 12 3 2 13 6    
Wimer SEA BUF PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 44 105
  8 7 11 14 9 6 5 4 3 13 2 1 10 12    
Bitonti SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 46 105
  5 3 10 14 9 6 7 2 12 13 1 4 11 8    
Holloway SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ WAS TEN LAR NYG DAL NE MIA 39 105
  8 6 12 1 9 5 7 2 10 13 3 4 11 14    
Grant SEA NO PIT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN TEN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 40 105
  9 5 12 13 8 4 3 2 7 14 1 6 11 10    
Away SEA NO PIT CLE LAC GB NYJ MIN CIN HOU NYG DAL NE MIA    
Total Pts 149 82 203 0 5 7 72 45 0 0 32 34 169 14    
Home ARI BUF IND DET JAC CHI TB WAS TEN LAR SF ATL DEN CAR    
Total Pts 1 25 3 213 143 85 21 37 127 211 37 31 8 136    
Tot Conf Pts 150 107 206 213 148 92 93 82 127 211 69 65 177 150    

HEAVY FAVORITES

Seattle is the clear favorite for tonight's game, with just one staffer picking Arizona for the upset. Pittsburgh, Detroit, Jacksonville, Chicago, Tennessee, New England, and the Raiders are all heavy favorites in their respective contests this week. Pittsburgh, Detroit and the Raiders are all near the top of everyone's boards with over 200 confidence points on each of them. 

DUAL SUPPORT

At the time that the picks were due, and this article was written, Ezekiel Elliott was still eligible to play on Sunday, so the Dallas - Atlanta game has a lot of uncertainty around it. No surprise that it's the closest contest this week with the lowest total confidence points. Minnesota at Washington is another game that's most folks have only put a couple points on with Minnesota being a slight favorite. Finally, the Giants at San Francisco has only 69 total confidence points with the 49ers having the slight edge for being at home

ODDS AND ENDS

A couple games have uncertainty due to key players being question marks at the time that these picks were due. As always, watch for key news on Elliot, Jimmy Garoppolo and any other key information that could factor into the final outcome of a game and adjust your lineups accordingly. 

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
Tags Analysis Player Articles Fun Rankings Social Tiers Ezekiel Elliott Jimmy Garoppolo

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