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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 4

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 4
By Will Grant, September 25, 2014

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 4
Photo: Imagn Images

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 20 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

RESULTS From last week

Jeff Haseley went into the Monday Night game, rooting for the Jets even though he picked the Bears to win the game. Because Jeff only wagered 1 confidence point on Chicago, when they beat the Jets, it allowed Heath Cummings to sneak into the weekly winning spot by 1 point. Cummings posted the top score for the season so far with an impressive 121 points, and only missed two games this week. Haseley was just one point and one game behind him, and he would have won this week if he had not put 11 points on the Panthers on Sunday night.  Nice job to both of them.

Staffer TB TEN IND SD WAS OAK HOU MIN GB BAL DAL SF DEN KC PIT CHI TOT
ATL CIN JAX BUF PHI NE NYG NO DET CLE STL ARI SEA MIA CAR NYJ Pts
Cummings ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL ARI SEA KC CAR CHI 121
15 13 16 9 10 14 11 12 7 5 8 2 6 1 4 3
Haseley ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE NYG NO DET BAL STL ARI SEA MIA CAR CHI 120
6 14 12 4 15 16 5 9 8 7 2 10 13 3 11 1
Hindery ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL SF SEA KC CAR CHI 115
10 12 15 3 13 16 8 14 2 6 11 4 7 1 9 5
Brimacombe ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO DET CLE DAL SF SEA MIA PIT CHI 111
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Larkin ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL STL SF SEA KC CAR NYJ 110
11 14 12 6 13 16 9 15 3 8 1 7 10 2 5 4
Gray ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE NYG NO DET CLE DAL ARI SEA MIA CAR NYJ 108
14 15 11 4 12 16 2 13 3 7 8 5 9 10 6 1
Lee ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE NYG NO DET BAL DAL SF SEA MIA CAR CHI 108
14 11 15 4 10 16 1 12 3 8 5 2 6 9 13 7
Holloway ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO GB BAL DAL ARI SEA MIA CAR CHI 107
13 14 12 2 11 16 7 15 3 5 8 1 4 9 10 6
Bitonti ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL SF DEN MIA CAR NYJ 104
14 15 12 2 10 16 8 13 7 6 11 5 1 4 9 3
Miglio ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL ARI SEA MIA CAR NYJ 102
13 11 15 10 14 16 12 7 4 8 9 3 2 5 6 1
Garda ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE HOU NO GB BAL DAL SF SEA MIA CAR NYJ 102
15 14 16 10 13 12 9 11 7 5 4 8 2 3 6 1
Pasquino ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE NYG NO GB BAL DAL SF DEN KC CAR CHI 100
10 7 15 4 12 16 2 14 13 8 1 11 3 6 9 5
Heiser ATL CIN IND SD PHI NE NYG NO GB CLE DAL ARI DEN MIA CAR CHI 99
3 12 13 6 7 15 10 16 11 1 8 4 2 14 9 5
Hicks ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO GB CLE STL ARI SEA KC CAR NYJ 98
13 14 12 1 4 15 3 16 5 7 2 6 10 8 11 9
Rudnicki ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO GB BAL DAL SF SEA MIA CAR CHI 97
14 12 13 10 11 16 7 15 1 2 6 4 5 9 8 3
Buzzard ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL SF SEA MIA CAR NYJ 95
12 11 14 4 13 16 6 15 1 3 2 7 8 10 9 5
Grant ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL SF DEN MIA CAR NYJ 95
14 12 11 1 13 16 10 15 3 6 5 9 2 8 4 7
Wood TB CIN IND SD PHI NE NYG NO GB BAL DAL SF DEN MIA CAR NYJ 94
2 13 12 4 14 16 1 15 7 11 8 6 5 10 9 3
Wimer ATL CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO GB CLE DAL SF SEA MIA CAR NYJ 91
12 15 11 10 13 16 9 14 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Tremblay TB CIN IND BUF PHI NE HOU NO DET BAL DAL ARI SEA MIA PIT NYJ 77
8 12 5 11 4 14 15 6 13 7 3 1 10 16 2 9
Away TB TEN IND SD WAS OAK HOU MIN GB BAL DAL SF DEN KC PIT CHI  
Total Pts 10 0 256 61 0 0 124 0 55 95 109 73 13 18 4 36  
Home ATL CIN JAX BUF PHI NE NYG NO DET CLE STL ARI SEA MIA CAR NYJ  
Total Pts 219 256 0 57 224 305 21 256 62 29 5 32 100 116 140 44  

Last week’s contest started off with a bang. Aside from the Houston loss to the Giants, the team with the most confidence points won all of the early weekend contests. But San Francisco started hammering the field with tough losses and four of the last five games of the weekend were won by the underdog, including the Bears on Monday Night. The Panthers and the Dolphins took down 256 points between the two of them. Tremblay was hurt the worst, losing 16 points on Miami. That, combined with the 26 points on Houston and Buffalo, landed Tremblay at the bottom of this week’s contest. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Hindery extended his overall lead to 11 points, despite three weeks without having the top weekly score. Haseley powered into second place overall with his 120 point performance and Larkin slid back into third. Wood won last week with 91 points, but his 94 points this week caused him to drop three slots to #6. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Hindery 95 85 115                             295
Haseley 81 83 120                             284
Larkin 91 82 110                             283
Gray 80 87 108                             275
Cummings 75 75 121                             271
Wood 82 91 94                             267
Bitonti 87 69 104                             260
Miglio 91 66 102                             259
Hicks 77 82 98                             257
Buzzard 87 74 95                             256
Grant 94 65 95                             254
Rudnicki 86 70 97                             253
Pasquino 85 68 100                             253
Heiser 98 55 99                             252
Holloway 78 62 107                             247
Brimacombe 76 60 111                             247
Lee 87 51 108                             246
Garda 73 57 102                             232
Wimer 78 45 91                             214
Tremblay 68 60 77                             205

Wimer’s 91 points might not have been great for the week, but it was good enough to lift him out of last place on the overall board. Tremblay’s big bets on the Texans and Dolphins cost him and he finds himself at the bottom of the overall leaderboard as well. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer NYG TEN CAR BUF GB TB MIA DET JAX ATL PHI NO NE MNF
WAS IND BAL HOU CHI PIT OAK NYJ SD MIN SF DAL KC TOTAL
Rudnicki WAS IND BAL BUF GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 44
10 11 5 1 4 12 6 7 13 9 3 2 8
Miglio WAS IND BAL HOU GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 44
5 12 2 9 6 10 3 4 13 11 1 7 8
Garda NYG IND CAR HOU CHI PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 60
6 11 7 9 4 8 3 5 13 2 1 12 10
Hicks WAS IND CAR HOU GB PIT OAK NYJ SD ATL SF DAL KC 43
12 4 3 11 6 10 1 8 13 9 2 7 5
Heiser WAS IND CAR BUF CHI PIT MIA DET SD ATL PHI NO NE 48
3 12 2 6 1 11 8 9 13 10 4 7 5
Gray WAS IND BAL HOU GB PIT OAK NYJ SD ATL PHI NO NE 51
8 12 7 6 2 11 1 3 13 10 4 9 5
Hindery NYG IND BAL HOU CHI PIT MIA NYJ SD ATL PHI NO NE 42
2 12 6 5 4 11 9 1 13 10 3 7 8
Larkin WAS IND BAL HOU GB PIT MIA NYJ SD MIN SF NO KC 38
10 11 9 8 7 13 6 5 12 1 4 3 2
Cummings NYG IND BAL HOU CHI PIT OAK DET SD ATL PHI NO KC 41
7 12 6 5 4 11 2 9 13 10 3 8 1
Brimacombe WAS IND CAR BUF GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL PHI NO KC 42
9 10 1 2 3 11 4 5 12 8 7 13 6
Wood WAS IND CAR HOU GB PIT MIA NYJ SD ATL PHI NO KC 39
13 11 6 1 5 10 9 2 8 12 4 7 3
Haseley WAS IND BAL BUF CHI PIT MIA DET SD MIN SF NO NE 47
10 11 5 8 9 13 7 6 12 4 3 2 1
Pasquino WAS IND BAL BUF CHI PIT OAK DET SD ATL PHI NO KC 47
3 11 10 2 1 12 5 8 13 6 4 9 7
Lee WAS IND BAL BUF CHI PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 44
2 12 8 3 5 11 4 6 13 10 7 9 1
Wimer n/a                          
n/a                        
Bitonti NYG IND BAL HOU GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF DAL NE 45
1 11 9 7 2 12 8 3 13 10 6 4 5
Tremblay WAS IND CAR BUF GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL PHI NO NE 43
13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Holloway WAS IND CAR HOU CHI PIT MIA DET SD ATL PHI NO NE 41
5 11 1 4 3 12 7 9 13 10 2 6 8
Buzzard WAS IND BAL HOU GB PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 40
9 11 4 5 1 12 8 2 13 7 10 3 6
Grant WAS IND BAL HOU CHI PIT MIA DET SD ATL SF NO NE 37
2 11 9 8 1 12 7 6 13 10 4 3 5
Away NYG TEN CAR BUF GB TB MIA DET JAX ATL PHI NO NE  
Total Pts 16 0 31 32 45 0 96 85 0 148 34 109 71  
Home WAS IND BAL HOU CHI PIT OAK NYJ SD MIN SF DAL KC  
Total Pts 114 208 80 78 32 210 9 19 231 5 41 11 24  

HEAVY FAVORITES

No surprise that San Diego was a unanimous this week since Vegas has them as nearly a two touchdown favorite. Pittsburgh and Indianapolis also landed votes from the entire field to come out on top this week. Washington, Atlanta, Miami and New Orleans were all heavy favorites this week as well. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Staffers were the least confidence in the Green Bay – Chicago game this week. Division rivals always play tough and both the Bears and Packers have a lot of question marks after three weeks. Philadelphia and San Francisco could be a shoot-out on Sunday afternoon, but neither is a clear favorite with the staffers this week. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With six teams off this week, a perfect score will only land you 91 points this week. That’s going to make it much harder to move up or down in the overall leaderboard. It also means that your top rated games really need to be correct, or you will have almost no chance of winning. Based on this week’s contest, it looks like San Diego, Pittsburgh and Indianapolis should be very high on your weekly contest. 

Note: Wimer didn't get his picks in before the deadline, but they will be included in the results next week. 

Good luck this weekend! 

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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