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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17
By Will Grant, December 26, 2014

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 17
Photo: Imagn Images

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 20 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

For the second week in a row, Wimer finished at the top of the weekly leaderboard. Although most of the staffers picked the Broncos to win on Monday night, even Larkin’s pick of the Bengals wasn’t enough to catch Wimer again. Wimer only missed four games this week and only lost a point on Buffalo’s loss to the Raiders. With only 96 points though, it was an weak overall for the entire board.  

Staffer TEN PHI SD NE MIN DET ATL BAL GB KC CLE NYG IND BUF SEA DEN TOT
JAX WAS SF NYJ MIA CHI NO HOU TB PIT CAR STL DAL OAK ARI CIN Pts
Wimer JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR NYG DAL BUF SEA DEN 96
  8 14 7 13 6 12 9 5 15 4 16 3 2 1 10 11  
Miglio JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 90
  13 15 5 14 3 11 9 6 16 8 7 2 1 4 12 10  
Haseley JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 89
  14 15 8 13 12 11 10 7 16 9 3 5 1 6 2 4  
Larkin JAX PHI SD NE MIN DET NO BAL GB PIT CLE STL DAL OAK SEA CIN 88
  11 13 7 16 6 12 10 9 15 14 2 8 5 1 4 3  
Lee JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 86
  5 11 1 8 14 13 6 9 16 3 10 12 2 7 15 4  
Rudnicki JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 86
  11 14 10 16 6 12 5 13 15 4 3 2 1 7 9 8  
Holloway JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO HOU GB PIT CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 85
  4 15 2 16 11 13 9 1 14 10 6 5 3 12 7 8  
Brimacombe JAX PHI SD NE MIA CHI ATL HOU GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 85
  9 16 2 10 11 1 8 7 12 6 5 4 13 14 15 3  
Buzzard JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 82
  4 13 2 16 11 14 8 9 15 3 6 7 1 10 12 5  
Bitonti JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR NYG IND BUF SEA DEN 81
  4 11 2 9 15 13 14 12 16 5 6 3 1 8 10 7  
Garda JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 80
  10 5 2 8 11 16 9 6 15 4 1 7 3 14 13 12  
Cummings JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 79
  2 14 8 16 10 13 9 1 15 12 5 4 7 3 6 11  
Hindery JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 79
  8 13 1 16 9 10 7 6 15 4 2 12 3 11 14 5  
Grant JAX PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 78
  6 11 4 16 10 14 13 9 15 3 2 8 7 1 12 5  
Wood JAX PHI SD NE MIN DET NO BAL GB KC CAR NYG IND BUF SEA DEN 73
  2 16 8 15 3 13 11 9 14 1 4 5 6 7 12 10  
Heiser JAX PHI SF NE MIA CHI ATL BAL GB PIT CLE NYG IND BUF SEA DEN 72
  14 13 12 11 10 16 15 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Pasquino JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 72
  12 9 4 13 1 3 6 16 14 8 2 10 11 5 15 7  
Gray JAX PHI SD NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CAR STL IND BUF SEA DEN 69
  4 13 1 16 12 11 10 7 15 2 5 8 6 14 3 9  
Tremblay TEN PHI SF NE MIA DET NO BAL GB PIT CLE STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 65
  7 3 6 8 9 16 10 2 14 1 4 13 5 15 12 11  
Hicks JAX PHI SF NE MIN DET ATL BAL GB KC CAR STL DAL BUF SEA DEN 65
  9 3 13 2 14 4 16 6 1 15 11 8 12 5 10 7  
Away TEN PHI SD NE MIN DET ATL BAL GB KC CLE NYG IND BUF SEA DEN  
Total Pts 7 237 55 252 23 211 39 141 276 16 12 16 62 147 195 138  
Home JAX WAS SF NYJ MIA CHI NO HOU TB PIT CAR STL DAL OAK ARI CIN  
Total Pts 150 0 50 0 161 17 155 8 0 107 94 115 32 1 0 3  

New Orleans, Baltimore, St. Louis, Buffalo and Denver all took big junks of potential points from the field this week.  Hicks and Tremblay took it the hardest, finishing with just 65 points each. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

It’s getting pretty interesting at the top of the leaderboard. Miglio might be in 3rd place, but his 90 point finish this week has pulled him within striking distance of the top spot. Hindery only posted 79 points this week and Buzzard’s 82 narrowed Hindery’s lead to just 2 points. Only 9 points separate the top three spots, and all three really have a shot a victory given their picks this week.

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Hindery 95 85 115 47 103 87 92 71 68 70 56 106 104 94 114 79   1386
Buzzard 87 74 95 54 105 87 94 93 71 74 57 103 97 97 114 82   1384
Miglio 91 66 102 50 108 79 79 83 73 74 63 98 111 100 110 90   1377
Bitonti 87 69 104 65 94 82 82 83 69 67 53 100 97 104 119 81   1356
Haseley 81 83 120 48 92 98 86 81 60 74 55 98 94 91 105 89   1355
Cummings 75 75 121 53 93 91 71 77 62 67 58 111 95 113 109 79   1350
Larkin 91 82 110 60 100 79 84 86 63 63 50 96 97 101 99 88   1349
Holloway 78 62 107 44 106 89 85 85 74 71 56 102 90 101 112 85   1347
Rudnicki 86 70 97 49 100 85 88 77 69 67 50 101 112 104 103 86   1344
Gray 80 87 108 40 101 88 89 79 61 76 52 101 102 94 107 69   1334
Grant 94 65 95 58 102 90 77 87 69 66 60 94 102 100 95 78   1332
Pasquino 85 68 100 49 96 96 76 77 73 75 64 89 95 100 100 72   1315
Lee 87 51 108 50 105 88 81 87 57 68 60 105 82 93 104 86   1312
Garda 73 57 102 48 110 95 73 88 78 71 52 85 80 116 102 80   1310
Wood 82 91 94 37 72 91 70 88 70 72 62 86 105 102 111 73   1306
Brimacombe 76 60 111 39 93 97 68 78 69 75 49 102 91 79 95 85   1267
Wimer 78 45 91 44 103 91 78 82 68 65 41 85 82 94 120 96   1263
Hicks 77 82 98 48 82 75 69 74 66 37 45 81 97 101 104 65   1201
Tremblay 68 60 77 39 66 54 81 107 57 66 38 104 103 70 96 65   1151
Heiser 98 55 99 42 97 96 76 60 51 72 57 69 46 88 72 72   1150

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer PHI JAX NYJ CHI BUF SD NO CLE IND DAL STL ARI DET OAK CAR CIN MNF
NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC TB BAL TEN WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT TOTAL
Rudnicki PHI HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 50
  5 13 12 9 11 3 8 7 14 1 15 2 10 16 6 4  
Miglio NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 49
  5 16 10 9 11 6 8 13 12 4 15 7 3 14 2 1  
Garda PHI HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 50
  8 14 3 13 12 11 10 6 9 4 16 2 7 15 5 1  
Hicks PHI HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL CIN 45
  14 1 7 11 10 15 9 5 6 2 3 13 8 4 12 16  
Heiser NYG HOU NYJ CHI NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 52
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Gray NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 49
  1 15 14 7 10 4 3 11 12 8 13 5 9 16 6 2  
Hindery NYG HOU MIA MIN BUF SD NO BAL TEN WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 39
  4 14 9 10 5 1 11 12 6 3 15 8 13 16 7 2  
Larkin PHI HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN CAR CIN 51
  8 11 10 9 12 3 7 16 5 6 14 4 15 13 2 1  
Cummings PHI HOU MIA CHI NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 48
  11 13 7 4 8 9 10 6 16 12 14 5 3 15 2 1  
Brimacombe PHI HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 48
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Wood PHI HOU MIA MIN BUF SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN CAR CIN 43
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1  
Haseley NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 48
  3 5 2 8 13 11 10 16 12 6 14 1 9 15 7 4  
Pasquino NYG HOU MIA CHI BUF SD NO BAL IND WAS SEA ARI GB DEN CAR CIN 61
  7 11 2 10 8 6 4 5 1 9 13 15 3 12 16 14  
Lee NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL CIN 50
  5 15 13 11 10 7 4 12 9 2 16 8 6 14 3 1  
Wimer NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA ARI GB DEN ATL PIT 49
  10 9 8 7 6 5 12 4 11 3 14 2 16 15 13 1  
Bitonti NYG HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA ARI GB DEN ATL PIT 58
  8 11 1 7 9 10 12 16 15 3 13 4 14 2 5 6  
Tremblay PHI HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL TEN DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 50
  8 14 11 12 6 10 3 9 1 4 15 13 7 16 5 2  
Holloway NYG HOU MIA MIN NE SD TB BAL IND DAL SEA ARI GB DEN ATL PIT 54
  3 11 8 5 10 4 1 16 12 13 15 2 9 14 6 7  
Buzzard NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 41
  6 14 10 9 2 5 7 13 3 4 15 11 12 16 8 1  
Grant PHI HOU MIA MIN NE SD NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 51
  1 9 7 2 10 6 13 8 12 11 15 5 16 14 3 4  
Away PHI JAX NYJ CHI BUF SD NO CLE IND DAL STL ARI DET OAK CAR CIN  
Total Pts 87 0 14 27 25 86 161 0 173 101 0 23 0 0 20 33  
Home NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC TB BAL TEN WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT  
Total Pts 68 241 162 155 164 63 1 202 7 15 253 99 172 236 94 38  

HEAVY FAVORITES

For the final week of the season, since half the teams are just trying to get through the last week because their playoff hopes are lost, many of this week’s games are expected to be one sided. Houston, New Orleans, Baltimore, Indianapolis, Seattle, Green Bay and Denver are all strong favorites this week. Miami, Dallas, San Francisco and Atlanta are all strong favorites as well. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Philadelphia and the Giants start the week off with a close contest. Philadelphia is a narrow favorite, but the Giants have their support as well. San Diego and Kansas City is also expected to be a close contest, but San Diego has a slight edge. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati is the toughest game to call this week though, with only 71 total confidence points wagered on the contest and the Steelers gaining a narrow edge for their home field advantage.  

ODDS AND ENDS

 It’s too close to call for the top three teams.  Here are the games that will probably decide the overall contest:

Staffer PHI JAX NYJ CHI BUF SD NO CLE IND DAL STL ARI DET OAK CAR CIN MNF
NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC TB BAL TEN WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT TOTAL
Hindery NYG HOU MIA MIN BUF SD NO BAL TEN WAS SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 39
  4 14 9 10 5 1 11 12 6 3 15 8 13 16 7 2  
Buzzard NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 41
  6 14 10 9 2 5 7 13 3 4 15 11 12 16 8 1  
Miglio NYG HOU MIA MIN NE KC NO BAL IND DAL SEA SF GB DEN ATL PIT 49
  5 16 10 9 11 6 8 13 12 4 15 7 3 14 2 1  

Hindery has risked a lot this week, taking Buffalo, San Diego, Tennessee and Washington while Buzzard and Miglio took the Patriots, Chiefs, Colts and Cowboys.  Miglio’s risked big points on the Colts and Patriots as well, so if those games go his way, he’s going to gain a ton of ground on Hindery for the overall victory.

Miglio only risked 3 points on the Packers as well, meaning he’ll probably be pulling for the Lions to win, even though he picked the Packers to win.

Hard to believe that with over 500 games this season, the overall leaderboard winner will probably be decided by just four games in the final week.  

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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