Me? I love the silly season.
This time right now, between the NFL Combine and the NFL Draft, is particularly invigorating. We get some real, actionable information as the new league year kicks off in mid-March, and the cascade of player movement upends our dynasty rosters in ways we see coming and in ways we don't.
But other than that? It's pure, wild, drunken, speculation time, Bubba. NFL mock drafts are rolling out daily, and until the real thing hits in April, we dynasty managers are left to speculate on other people's speculation.
But it isn't all empty calories, my friends. Sure, the landing spots here are imaginary, and so is the impact on NFL and fantasy rosters, but the effect the speculation has on our abilities as dynasty players is real.
Advantages can be had in dynasty leagues by managers who are most ready to react to real-life roster changes. You need experience to be prepared, and practice is the best way to gain that experience.
So why not feed our brains that mock draft candy and sharpen our dynasty skills at the same time? We'll pick a recent mock draft and examine its dynasty fallout each week.
This week, we'll change it up a bit and consider a two-round mock draft from the good folks at fantasypros.com. Since some teams will have more than one player, we'll break it down by NFL team.
Fantasy Relevant Picks
Tennessee Titans
1.01 QB Cam Ward, Miami (FL)
2.03 WR Emeka Egbuka, Ohio State
Ward to the Titans seems like a rubber-stamped first pick in just about every mock draft out there these days. You can see our analysis of that potential landing spot here and here.
The thing I love about this draft for Ward and the Titans is the smarts to add Egbuka near the top of the second round. If they take Ward, the Titans should RUN this pick to the podium on Day 2. Egbuka would be a plug-and-play option for the Titans and fantasy managers alike. I can't say it much better than our Jeff Blaylock did here when he selected Egbuka in an early staff rookie mock draft. Egbuka's combination of size, speed, skill, and production would make a dynamic pairing with Ward. Tennessee has not traditionally been a hotbed of wide receiver fantasy production, but don't let that color your opinion of the potential for these two rookies to put up immediate numbers in an offense that might finally be shifting away from the Derrick Henry era.
Cleveland Browns
1.02 QB Shedeur Sanders, Colorado
Not much has changed in my analysis of this landing spot from Mock Draft Reactions Week 1. The best thing Sanders would have going for him in this spot is Kevin Stefanski, but even the two-time AP Coach of the Year might not be immune to the ineptitude on Lake Erie. If Stefanski is swept out in another regime change, things could get rocky for the young quarterback.
New York Giants
1.03 WR/CB Travis Hunter, Colorado
We have no idea how Travis Hunter will be used by whatever team drafts him. I have zero expectations that whatever team it is will tell us the truth about their intentions. As a wide receiver, he is right there with Tetairoa McMillan, Luther Burden, and Egbuka at the top of the list. If you believe the Giants will make him a full-time running mate to Malik Nabers, Hunter should be a priority in your rookie drafts. If you believe he'll play more on defense and dabble on offense, he shouldn't be. If we assume he plays predominantly on offense for the Giants, then we have to like that he goes to a place with Nabers to draw attention from defenses. However, like Cleveland, we have a somewhat volatile situation in the Big Apple. If the Giants take Hunter here that means they likely go into the season with the duct-tape-and-bubble-gum solution of Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston at quarterback. That could make for some short-term production for Nabers and Hunter, but the quarterback situation will still need to be resolved, and an entirely new coaching staff and front office could be brought in to do it.
Las Vegas Raiders
1.06 WR Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona
McMillan lands in the same place as our Week 1 breakdown here.
Chicago Bears
1.10 RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State
Ohboyohboyohboy, this one makes the draftniks' socks roll up and down like a cartoon.
We've reached the point in draft season where we start hearing things like "Jeanty can literally run across water," or "Jeanty can literally teleport," or "Jeanty can literally turn invisible!" because there just isn't much more to say about him. Instead, consider that Ben Johnson has taken over in Chicago, that his first point of emphasis was to build up the offensive line to help Caleb Williams and...wait for it...the running game, and that in Detroit, he helped orchestrate the fantasy success of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Yes, D'Andre Swift is there. No, I don't think that matters. Take Jeanty and, well, run.
Dallas Cowboys
1.12 WR Matthew Golden, Texas
2.12 RB Kaleb Johnson, Iowa
One of the things I most look forward to about Matt Waldman's Rookie Scouting Portfolio each year is the chance to see where my spreadsheets are belied by the film. I've been lower than most people on these two players over the past couple of months, and when the RSP came out this week, I was interested in seeing where Waldman landed. I won't give it away here; you'll have to click that link above and get it for yourself, buddy. But Waldman's scores and comps for these two players will force me to re-evaluate my initial take.
While I think the players themselves are probably better than I have given them credit for so far, I am not a huge fan of this landing spot for either one of them. The Cowboys can use the help on offense, but the offensive line and, to be frank, Jerry Jones's decision-making have diminished over the past few years. I'm not sure the situation will remain solid enough for these two to pay off on their value in their first window of dynasty opportunity. That could lead to a couple of assets not worth what you paid for them within a couple of short years.
Indianapolis Colts
1.14 TE Tyler Warren, Penn State
Warren is another player who lands in the same spot as in one of our earlier exercises. Click here for last week's Mock Draft Reactions.
Denver Broncos
1.20 RB Omarion Hampton, UNC
2.19 WR Tre Harris, Ole Miss
I am going to have to admit a bias here. I took a shot on Bo Nix last year, and it might have panned out. Adding a couple of weapons like this to the Denver offense has me giddy for my Nix shares.
But this isn't about me, is it?
Like Jeanty landing here in previous mock drafts, Hampton should step in and be the day one workhorse running back for Sean Payton, Nix, and the Broncos. They will likely mix in Audric Estime and Jaleel McLaughlin but that should not impact Hampton's potential for immediate, meaningful production for both the Broncos and your fantasy teams.
Troy Franklin didn't quite rise to the occasion as a rookie last year. Harris would still have to contend with the presence of Courtland Sutton and (maybe?) the emergence of Marvin Mims Jr., but there is an opportunity here for him to work his way into the second option for Nix, and there are fantasy points to be had in that role.
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.21 QB Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss
It seems like Derek Brown of FantasyPros and I are on the same page regarding Dart. He was not a first-round pick in many early NFL mock drafts, but it seemed inevitable he would end up there before it's all said and done. This isn't a great quarterback class, but it seemed likely that someone would take Dart in the first round - if only to hold the team option for a fifth year as Dart develops. Brown puts Dart with the Steelers, and, in general, l like the landing spot. Pittsburgh is a good franchise with a good head coach and the infrastructure to let a young quarterback develop.
However.
As I write this on a rainy Wednesday morning, the footage of a certain ex-Packer, ex-Jet quarterback playing catch with DK Metcalf is airing on Good Morning Football. The drumbeat seems that the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers likely have some unofficial agreement for Rodgers to join the team. If he does, I do not like the landing spot for Dart nearly as much. His short-term value takes a hit, although I'm not convinced he's ready to step in and start on day one anyway. I'm more concerned that with Rodgers in town, Dart won't get the reps or environment that would be best for his long-term development.
Los Angeles Chargers
1.22 TE Colston Loveland, Michigan
Loveland is our last player this week with a repeat landing spot. See our analysis here.
New York Jets
2.10 WR Jayden Higgins, Iowa State
Higgins is going to be a starting-quality fantasy asset for dynasty managers. I believe that's true. I also believe there will likely be some bumps in the road as the Jets and Aaron Glenn get settled. They signed Justin Fields to play quarterback, at least for this year, a move that doesn't exactly scream to move your Jet wide receivers up your ranks. I think the Jet offense can get there, but it could be a year before they're firing on all cylinders. I think Higgins will benefit from the coaching staff in New York. He will walk into a position where he doesn't have to do anything but improve and contribute. Garrett Wilson leads the receiving game and Breece Hall heads a trio of young running backs to carry the load. If the Jets can get it together, Higgins offers the chance to be a highly productive second option in the passing game. The downside? As long as Fields is at the controls, the passing game promises to be inefficient and low-volume.
Arizona Cardinals
2.15 WR Jaylin Noel, Iowa State
Noel is slightly undersized, a little low on the early college production, and broke out at age 20, which is slightly older than I prefer to see. He is also blazing fast and able to command the ball. In Arizona, he would provide some instant relief for Marvin Harrison Jr. and the Cardinal passing offense. Harrison was better as a rookie in the middle of the field than on the boundaries. Noel's speed could help open up the middle part of the field so that Harrison and Tre McBride can operate more effectively. Michael Wilson and Zay Jones shouldn't provide too much resistance in Noel's pursuit of snaps and opportunities in the desert.
Green Bay Packers
2.22 WR Elic Ayomanor, Stanford
Does Green Bay really need another middling wide receiver to throw into the mix? Ayomanor would land in a wide receiver room that is crowded but maybe not that talented. He would add to the bodies, but I'm not sure he's an instant upgrade over any of the top three wide receivers on the Packer roster. He does have going for him that Christian Watson can't stay healthy, Jayden Reed sometimes gets the dropsies, and everyone else is just kind of meh. Ayomanor is a player with a nice combination of size and speed but a lower-than-optimal college production profile. In that regard, he seems a lot like a Packer receiver. Whether he can carve out a role might depend more on how long it takes players in front of him to use up their chances than on anything Ayomanor can do himself.
Detroit Lions
2.28 WR Jack Bech, LSU/TCU
Bech is another player who my spreadsheet doesn't like that much, but who I might have to adjust my thoughts on based on the opinions of film-watchers I respect. Many smart folks in the fantasy industry see Bech as a starting wide receiver in both NFL and fantasy contexts. I'm guessing that's partly because they see on film a tough player with good size and decent speed capable of demanding targets.
Detroit is a high-powered offense and, on the surface, seems like a good landing spot. The problem is that they are a high-powered offense partly because their pieces are already in place. Bech isn't going to take touches away from Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, Jameson Williams, Jahmyr Gibbs, or David Montgomery. He could have a role in Detroit, but it won't be high in volume or opportunity. This pairing feels like a player who will be more valuable to his NFL team than he will to your fantasy teams.
Washington Commanders
2.29 WR Luther Burden, Missouri
Unlike Ayomanor above, Burden IS a player who will step in and increase the talent level in whatever wide receiver room he ends up in. In this draft, the Commanders take him one pick after the Lions draft Bech, which makes me, a lifelong Lions fan, concerned that Matt Millen has returned to the Motor City. Burden goes to a team with Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel Sr., and the Ghost of Zach Ertz as its top receiving options. I currently have Burden and Egbuka tied at the very top of my rookie receiver scores. I didn't set out to fall in love with Burden when draft season started, but it looks like that's where I've ended up.
Jayden Daniels proved himself to be a top-flight NFL quarterback, and Burden's arrival would only increase his output and efficiency. Size, speed, production, the rookie from Missouri offers it all, and in this draft he gets to go to a team ready to maximize his abilities. A home-run pick for the Commanders and a home run pick for your fantasy teams.
Kansas City Chiefs
2.31 RB Treveyon Henderson, Ohio State
People love it when running backs go to Kansas City. They loooooove it. This pick could result in Henderson's value surpassing Hampton's, who, to this point, has largely been the consensus running back two in the class. The Chiefs are rumored to be ready to move on from Isiah Pacheco when his contract expires. At the very least, Henderson would provide Pacheco with some help and possibly stand ready to take over when Pacheco moves on. Whether or not Henderson is a three-down back in the NFL doesn't matter to this landing spot. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes II will figure out the best ways to use him to allow him to produce immediately. There is a drumbeat out there for Henderson, and this landing spot would make it tough to ignore.
Philadelphia Eagles
2.32 TE Elijah Arroyo, Miami
Speaking of drumbeats...
It sounds more and more likely that Dallas Goedert will not be on the roster when the Eagles report to training camp this summer. The rumors swirling seem to be that he is destined to be traded or cut as a cap casualty. This kind of draft capital would signal that the Philadelphia brain trust thinks Arroyo could be a factor in replacing Goedert's production at tight end. He'd still have to contend with multiple offensive weapons in Philadephia, and I generally don't want any part of a tight end who isn't at least competing to be the second option in his team's passing attack. That said, Howie Roseman hasn't done much wrong lately, so this pick would likely mean Arroyo is bound for the Hall of Fame.
Check back next week for another installment of Mock Draft Reactions. In the meantime, check out our Player Movement Tracker to keep you updated on the comings and goings as free agency rolls toward the draft.