Underdog Pick Em: Week 18

How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

This article highlights a few of my favorite player props for Week 18. Last week, we easily hit on the Bengals-Broncos shootout props while just missing on the others. It's just more fun to root for overs, and we are looking to have fun here. This week's article will focus on my favorite receiving overs. 

Saturday WR1s (3x)

We begin our Week 18 picks with a correlated play featuring two wide receivers just selected for their first Pro Bowl. With reasonably low receiving yardage props and strong indications that both teams could lean pass-heavy in this matchup, the odds are in our favor for both props to finish in the same direction. The smart money is on both hitting the higher mark.

Zay Flowers Higher than 57.5 Receiving Yards

• Flowers has at least 74 receiving yards in six of his last 12 games, averaging 74.1 yards per game over that span.
• The Browns have allowed at least 58 receiving yards to 19 different opposing wide receivers this season, including Flowers, who had seven catches for 115 yards on 12 targets in their Week 8 matchup.
• With Justice Hill sidelined and the Ravens unlikely to give Derrick Henry a heavy workload, expect a pass-heavy game plan early as Baltimore looks to put the game out of reach quickly.

Franchise first ? @ZayFlowers pic.twitter.com/hBfeozmy5m

— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) January 2, 2025

Jerry Jeudy Higher than 53.5 Receiving Yards

• Since Week 8, Jerry Jeudy has averaged 7.0 catches and 100.0 receiving yards on exactly 10 targets per game.
• Over that stretch, he has surpassed 60 receiving yards in eight of nine games.
• With David Njoku and Cedric Tillman out, Jeudy has become the focal point of the Browns' passing offense, earning 18 targets last week.
• In the Week 8 matchup between Cleveland and Baltimore, all three Browns wide receivers (Jeudy, Tillman, and Elijah Moore) each recorded at least 79 receiving yards.