Underdog Pick Em: Week 15

How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

This article highlights a few of my favorite player props for Week 15. We are going with a trio of Pick 'Em overs this week, all three of which are correlated plays.

Last week broke a long streak of winning weeks, as we merely broke even. Our Adam Thielen receiving and Saquon Barkley rushing Pick Em hit. We nearly hit on another of the three Pick Ems. Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit, and we had Marvin Harrison Jr.'s first-half receiving prop, but came up 3.5 yards short. He had a 16-yard first-half grab that was called back due to holding. Lastly, we only hit half of our Monday Night Football prop. Rico Dowdle Higher than 63.5 rushing yards was an easy win, but Joe Burrow did not make his rushing over on the other side.

Ravens in Runaway (5.4X)

The Ravens are massive 16-point favorites against the Giants, with cold and rainy conditions expected. This should result in a run-heavy script for Baltimore. Both Derrick Henry and Justice Hill are excellent picks to hit their overs in this scenario. For the third leg, we’re avoiding the Giants entirely and turning to Jayden Daniels, whose passing prop looks favorable given the matchup.

Derrick Henry Higher than 107.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards

• In Ravens wins, Henry averages 142.1 total yards per game (132.1 rushing and 10.0 receiving), with a median of 136.5 total yards.
• When the Ravens win by a touchdown or more, Henry has eclipsed 130+ total yards in every instance this season.
• Baltimore is fresh off a bye week and in the midst of a playoff push, while the Giants—decimated by injuries—are on track to pick second overall in the NFL draft.
• The Giants defense is especially weakened with the loss of star defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence II, making this a favorable matchup for one of the NFL’s best rushing attacks.

Justice Hill Higher than 13.5 Rushing Yards

• Hill’s median rushing yardage in Ravens wins is 17.5 yards.
• In the two games the Ravens won by multiple touchdowns, Hill tallied 96 and 58 total yards, showing his ability to produce in blowouts.

Jayden Daniels Higher than 211.5 Passing Yards

• Daniels’ median passing yardage in 12 full games this season is 229.5, with at least 184 yards in every outing.
• Over the past six weeks, the Saints have allowed a median of 253.0 passing yards per game.
• In their last four games against non-division opponents, New Orleans has given up at least 227 passing yards in each matchup.