Underdog Pick Em: Week 12

How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points, and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

This article highlights a few of my favorite player props for Week 12. We are going with a trio of Pick 'Em overs this week, all three of which are correlated plays. Let's try to stay hot for the third week in a row.

Ground Game in Lions-Colts (3X)

Anthony Richardson Higher than 40.5 Rushing Yards

• Richardson appeared healthy after his time off, and there was a clear shift in strategy to utilize him more as a runner. Last week, he had 10 designed runs, resulting in 32 yards and two rushing touchdowns. While the yardage was modest, it was the second-most carries he’s had this season, emphasizing a greater focus on his legs in the game plan.

• In his six full games this season, his median rushing output is 41.0 yards, aligning closely with this prop.

• Detroit’s heavy use of man coverage creates opportunities for quarterbacks to scramble. They’ve allowed 29 or more rushing yards to five different quarterbacks this season, including Mason Rudolph, Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield, and Geno Smith—decent athletes but not on Richardson’s level.

So, I watched every single snap of Anthony Richardson’s performance today. Here are my notes:

1. Shane Steichen finally let him play HIS game, which includes physical downhill rushing and DESIGNED running plays for AR

2. Richardson’s poise on intermediate throws has improved… pic.twitter.com/5wtgvvLwiE

— John Frascella (Football) (@NFLFrascella) November 17, 2024

David Montgomery Higher than 54.5 Rushing Yards

• Montgomery has rushed for at least 73 yards in half of his games this season, showcasing consistent productivity.

• He excels against defenses vulnerable to the run, a description that fits the Colts perfectly. Indianapolis has faced the second-most rushing attempts per game (32.2) and allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game (143.1).