Underdog Pick Em: Divisional Round

How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

This article highlights a few of my favorite player props for the Divisional Round. We are plus one unit in the playoffs so far, hitting on a Gus Edwards-Nico Collins Pick Em but missing on the two others. 

Commanders-Lions Hot Hands (3X)

The Commanders-Lions game features a sky-high total of 55.5 points, setting the stage for a potential shootout. Jahmyr Gibbs has been red-hot as a receiver, averaging nearly 50 receiving yards per game over his last five outings. He also draws the most favorable matchup among Detroit's top pass catchers. On the other side, Jayden Daniels has shown he can post big passing numbers when the game script demands it. With Detroit's massive implied team total of 32.5 points, this matchup should call for another strong outing from Daniels through the air.

Jayden Daniels Higher than 236.5 Passing Yards

• Daniels has surpassed 236.5 passing yards in eight of his 16 full games this season, including a 268-yard performance last week.
• In four of the five games where Washington’s opponent scored 30+ points, Daniels threw for over 250 yards. With Detroit boasting an implied team total of 32.5, a high-scoring game increases the likelihood of a big passing day for Daniels.
• Three of Detroit’s last four opponents have thrown for 330+ yards against their defense. Recent examples include Josh Allen (362 yards in Week 15), Caleb Williams (334 yards in Week 16), and the combination of Brock Purdy and Joshua Dobbs (412 yards in Week 17).
• Daniels has been especially effective in hurry-up situations and when the Commanders are trailing. 

“They have played more no huddle snaps and they've put (Jayden) Daniels in empty formations far more than any team in the league.”@GregCosell with an interesting note about the Commanders offense: pic.twitter.com/3rVeAS43UL

— Ross Tucker Podcast (@RossTuckerPod) January 17, 2025

Jahmyr Gibbs Higher than 24.5 Receiving Yards

• Gibbs has recorded at least 30 receiving yards in five consecutive games.
• Since Week 14, he has averaged 4.8 catches for 47 yards on 5.4 targets per game, showcasing consistent involvement in the passing attack.
• With Mikey Sainristil likely creating challenges for Amon-Ra St. Brown in the slot and Marshon Lattimore providing tough coverage on Jameson Williams outside, the Lions may lean heavily on Gibbs in the passing game.