Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania V tournament, excitement has been growing each day ever since. Each week, I want to break down what has changed from the previous week regarding NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week, I will use the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 3 risers and top 3 fallers at ADP in the early, mid, and late rounds. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Let's look at the last two weeks worth of data (8/13-8/20) and find the top 3 Risers and Fallers in the following:
- Early Rounds (1-5)
- Mid Rounds (6-12)
- Late Rounds (13-20)
Underdog Best Ball Risers
Top 3 Risers - Early Rounds
- Isiah Pacheco RB KC +2.9 ADP
- Rashee Rice WR KC +2.2 ADP
- Josh Jacobs RB GB +1.9 ADP
Top 3 Risers - Mid Rounds
- Caleb Williams QB CHI +5.0
- Rico Dowdle RB DAL +4.0
- Jerome Ford RB CLE +3.0
Top 3 Risers - Late Rounds
- Ben Sinnott TE WAS +11.6
- Braelon Allen RB NYJ +7.4
- Bo Nix QB DEN +6.1
The Risers Takeaways: Preseason games are helping us get a better gauge of players and opportunities. Strong performances from Rashee Rice, Caleb Williams, Ben Sinnott, and Bo Nix have given them a rise in ADP this week. It is important to see the rookies in game situations and how they mesh with first-team opportunities as they look to solidify their spots up the depth chart.
We have five running backs on the risers list this week, which is typically a rare occurrence for Underdog drafts. However, as we get closer to kickoff, we are seeing the positions start to level out more. Isiah Pacheco, Josh Jacobs, Rico Dowdle, Jerome Ford, and Braelon Allen are the backs who have risen in ADP this week, as they have all had strong training camps and look to have valuable roles on their teams locked up.
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