Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania V tournament, excitement has been growing each day ever since. Each week, I want to break down what has changed from the previous week regarding NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week, I will use the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 3 risers and top 3 fallers at ADP in the early, mid, and late rounds. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Let's look at the last two weeks worth of data (07/30-8/6) and find the top 3 Risers and Fallers in the following:
- Early Rounds (1-5)
- Mid Rounds (6-12)
- Late Rounds (13-20)
Underdog Best Ball Risers
Top 3 Risers - Early Rounds
- Calvin Ridley WR TEN +1.9 ADP
- Rashee Rice WR KC +1.2 ADP
- De'Von Achane RB MIA +1.1 ADP
Top 3 Risers - Mid Rounds
- Ja'Lynn Polk WR NE +2.8
- T.J. Hockenson TE MIN +2.3
- Romeo Doubs WR GB +1.7
Top 3 Risers - Late Rounds
- Greg Dortch WR ARI +4.9
- Tyler Allgeier RB ATL +4.3
- Justin Fields QB PIT +4.2
The Risers Takeaways: This week, we are seeing the effects of DeAndre Hopkins's injury as he has fallen down in ADP due to his injury, and his teammate Calvin Ridley is on the rise. We are seeing the same with Marquise Brown falling as we get a little more clarity on the Rashee Rice legal battle, and he continues to rise in ADP.
Some other newsworthy risers this week are T.J. Hockenson, who is solely rising because there is a quote out there that he is ahead of schedule on his recovery. I am still skeptical of his recovery and buying in at his current ADP but there definitely is a risk-reward scenario with drafting any injured players. Romeo Doubs is getting high praise at Packers camp and standing out in a loaded wide receiver room. Justin Fields is gaining buzz as Russell Wilson continues to battle an injury in camp. We are seeing a big rise from Tyler Allgeier based on coach speak saying he will have a big role in the offense. Lastly, we have Ja'Lynn Polk in New England, who has been gaining positive camp buzz as drafters are desperate for a Patriots wide receiver to stand out. Greg Dortch is also slated as a starting wide receiver in Arizona, and his ADP is rising as drafters look to add a starting WR to their rosters.
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