NFL insider Adam Schefter speculated Daniel Jones' career as the Giants' starter is over.
What matters most to us is how this impacts the Giants' fantasy options. The Giants gave Tommy DeVito the starting nod. Who should we buy, sell, and hold in this offense?
Welcome to Week 12 of the 2024 Footballguys Roundtable. Our intrepid panel of fantasy pundits discusses and debates four topics every week. We split the conversation into separate features.
This week's roundtable features these four topics:
- Rebound or Regroup? Declining Performers
- Tommy DeVito's Potential (see below)
- Performers on the Rise? Or False Alarm?
- Would You Rather...
Let's roll.
Andy Hicks:
Tommy DeVito's Potential
Matt Waldman: Last week, we explored how Lock could potentially be starting for his respective NFC Least team within the next week or two. DeVito gets the call. So...
- What could he offer to generate a positive outcome as a starter?
- Who could be the greatest beneficiary in the offense?
- What starter could his presence hurt the most?
- Evaluate his schedule and the best two matchups remaining for him to succeed.
Give us the rundown.
Andy Hicks: Would the Giants consider it a positive outcome if they got a better draft pick with DeVito starting?
Waldman: That's a legitimate question many Giants fans believe.
Hicks: On a serious note, If he can locate Malik Nabers and throw him the ball often, that is a positive start. It makes Malik Nabers, Malik Nabers, and Malik Nabers the greatest beneficiary.
Nabers hasn’t had a touchdown since Week 3, and despite getting open on most plays, Daniel Jones hasn’t seen him. Nabers can return to the scintillating form of the first three weeks without too much difficulty.
I would be concerned for continued success if I managed Tyrone Tracy Jr. He has averaged 18 carries a game over the last 3 weeks and Devin Singletary will continue to eat into his share of the run game.
I still think they have to turn to Drew Lock before the season is out, but assuming DeVito plays out the season, he gets the Ravens and Falcons in weeks 15 and 16. Two bottom-five pass defenses should make his numbers come alive.
Jeff Haseley: DeVito had some success last season, and perhaps the Giants staff sees something in him that leads them to believe he can be a difference-maker over Drew Lock. For a brief period, DeVito was the toast of the town in New York.
It didn't last long, but maybe they are hoping for a rebirth, and he's the one who can get them there. Other than that, I agree that maybe the Giants' front office is making this move to ensure a higher draft pick.
Malik Nabers is the obvious choice as the beneficiary with the greatest value, but Wan'Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton both worked well with DeVito in his brief appearances in 2023. If I had to suggest one, other than Nabers, it would be Robinson due to DeVito's tendency to look to his slot receiver more often in the past.
It's not exactly what you asked, but I think the presence of Drew Lock hurts DeVito the most. If he comes out with a costly turnover against Tampa Bay this week, we could see Lock enter the game and see if he can do any better. DeVito needs to show an improvement on offense or he'll be sitting on the bench.
The Giants have a favorable schedule the rest of the way so there should be plenty of opportunities to make a difference and find sustained success in the passing game. The three home games in the next four weeks (vs Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Baltimore) are going to be the games that ultimately decide how the Giants will finish the season and how the quarterback position unfolds.
Ryan Weisse: The best thing DeVito has going for him is that he is not Daniel Jones. That alone should energize the offense. Last season, he threw 8 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions on just 178 attempts. Jones has 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 341 attempts in 2024.
The greatest beneficiary has to be Malik Nabers. Jones was unable to keep him involved. DeVito should recognize this mistake and come in and feed the rookie. If DeVito feeds Nabers, it comes at the cost of Wan'Dale Robinson losing volume. Robinson should benefit from hopefully better quarterback play, but the loss of volume will hurt him in the long run, considering he was averaging over eight targets per game.
Starting things off against Tampa Bay is just about perfect for DeVito. They have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season and have to come to New York. The Giants get to follow that game up with a division matchup against a struggling Dallas team in Week 13. These will be the best two games for DeVito. After that, the defenses get tougher and will have more film to pick him apart.
Joseph Haggan: DeVito is a competent quarterback but not overly impressive. He can make a positive impact with the Giants by not turning the ball over, as he did last season. The good thing for DeVito is that there are limited expectations. At this point, the season is over. The Giants would welcome a higher draft pick, so they would likely welcome Devito to take chances and push the ball.
Malik Nabers should benefit the most from DeVito. There is no argument that Nabers was peppered with targets, but they were timid targets. Daniel Jones was so worried about losing his job this year that he made it a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Jones was 35th in the NFL in yards per pass thrown this season. Even when he "targeted" Nabers, many were not catchable. Jones was timid. He was afraid to turn the ball over. DeVito can go in knowing all well that he does not need to be scared. He will force-feed his top option, allowing Nabers to make plays on 50-50 balls.
Darius Slayton will be hurt the most. He is a big play waiting to happen, but his hands have proven unreliable. The Giants are likely to become a more run-heavy team, with Nabers being the focal point in the passing game and Theo Johnson being the check-down and safety blanket. The big plays to Slayton will disappear.
DeVito could attack the matchup against division rival and spiraling Dallas Cowboys. Devito is a fan favorite, and what better team to attack than the most hated team in the division? The Cowboys have not given up less than 27 points on defense since Week 5. It would be an excellent story for Devito to go to Dallas on a Thursday night game to light them up.
I also like the matchup against the Buccaneers this week. The Buccaneers' secondary has not been lights out by any means. They have allowed the fourth most passing yards in the NFL and the fifth most touchdowns. DeVito is at home in what will be his first start against one of the league's worst secondaries.
Sam Wagman: I don't know if DeVito will generate anything that positive for the Giants. His 2023 left a lot to be desired, outside of one great game against a very poor Commanders' secondary that may very well have been the worst in the NFL. There also remains the fact that positive outcomes for the Giants may very well be losing most of their remaining games to lock in a top draft pick.
In situations like this, quarterbacks lock in a safety blanket that sees the vast majority of the target share. We should assume that that'll be Malik Nabers, as he has been for most of the season, and that most or all of the auxiliary weapons (Darius Slayton and Wan'Dale Robinson) are touchdown-dependent options.
I worry about Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s ability to score touchdowns, given that we could project that this offense won't be very good. Tracy has created on his own at times, but DeVito wasn't very good at moving the ball last year. That could rear its head once again.
The best two remaining matchups, fantasy-wise, would be this week against the Buccaneers and potentially Week 17 against the Falcons.
Jeff Bell: At this point, almost all of us want two things out of this Giants offense: Malik Nabers and Tyrone Tracy Jr. If DeVito can extend plays or allow Nabers to work deeper downfield to regain his early-season elite fantasy production, this change is a win for fantasy.
Nabers could be the greatest beneficiary. The absence of Andrew Thomas is the jumping-off point of when Nabers shifted towards a lower adjusted depth of target. The team has to figure out a way to allow Nabers to attack at all field depths.
DeVito and Jones share a play style, which should still allow Tracy to find creases. Saying he is going to hurt someone would suggest Jones was helping someone. For all but Tracy, the bottom can not get lower.
Week 12, against the Buccaneers, who have struggled against the pass. We have often seen backup quarterbacks experience immediate success.
Week 13, going to Dallas. The Cowboys are fringing on an effort concern. Thanksgiving may be a spot to get up and play better, but given what they have put on the field recently, they are a good spot.
Waldman: Thanks for reading. For a detailed look at DeVito from last year, here's my Gut Check feature on DeVito from December.
Check out the links below for all of this week's roundtable topics:
- Rebound or Regroup? Declining Performers
- Tommy DeVito's Potential
- Performers on the Rise? Or False Alarm?
- Would You Rather...
Good luck!
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