This article highlights some of the best and worst matchups for wide receivers and tight ends each week. Using player tracking data from various sources (NFL.com, Pro Football Focus, ESPN, etc.) and reviews of recent trends, I look for situations to exploit or avoid when setting your weekly lineups. Given that this article is intended to help across all sites (both DFS and season-long), variations in pricing and scoring systems are not considered, so obviously, the values could shift depending on where you are playing. The main intent of this article is simply to call out some players who could be significantly helped or hurt by their situations each week.
Favorable Matchups
WR Malik Nabers (NYG vs ATL) vs A.J. Terrell Jr.
Atlanta has not played well over the past two months in almost every aspect of the game. Their secondary has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing receivers overall, the most to perimeter receivers, 20 touchdowns, and a 72% completion rate. Even with Drew Lock expected to start this week, the high volume for Nabers puts him as a top-tier receiver this week. Terrell is currently allowing 0.30 fantasy points per coverage snap and is being targeted 16% of the time. He is prone to giving up the big play this season, and Nabers has the ability to break one at any time.
WR Mike Evans (TB vs DAL) vs Amani Oruwariye
Evans is on pace to have another 1,000-yard season and has the chance to knock out a good chunk of the remaining 251 yards he needs this week against Dallas. Oruwariye has been targeted early and often since becoming a starter and is currently allowing 0.65 fantasy points per coverage snap and is being targeted 24% of the time. Evans lines up all over the field and will likely see a good amount of DaRon Bland as well. However, the Buccaneers will likely move him around to get the best matchups, and that should come against Oruwariye. Put Evans in your top tier of receivers this week with a top 10 finish very possible.
WR Drake London (ATL vs NYG) vs Deonte Banks
Both teams are making a change at quarterback going into this week, but both star receivers should still be started with confidence due to the great matchup. Banks has been poor in coverage all season and has even been benched earlier in the year. He currently allows 0.47 fantasy points per coverage snaps and is being targeted 22% of the time. Quarterbacks are not afraid to throw his way, and he has given up several big plays. Start London with confidence, even with Michael Penix Jr. getting his first career start this week.
WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARZ vs CAR) vs Jaycee Horn
This is another projected shadow matchup that should benefit the receiver instead of the defense this week. Horn traveled with DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans in recent weeks and allowed touchdowns to both receivers. He currently allows 0.36 fantasy points per coverage snap and is being targeted 20% of the time. The projected shadow matchup should slightly upgrade Harrison this week, even when he moves to the slot and faces Chau Smith-Wade.
WR DK Metcalf (SEA vs MIN) vs Stephon Gilmore
Minnesota may be 12-2 and playing some of their best football in years, but the defense still allows fantasy points to opposing receivers at an alarming rate. The defense has made a living getting the critical turnover each week but also allows a lot of yards and touchdowns through the air. Gilmore currently allows 0.33 fantasy points per coverage snap and is being targeted 22% of the time. Metcalf has struggled at times this season, but he should be upgraded against the Vikings secondary.
WR Romeo Doubs (GB vs NO) vs Alontae Taylor
Green Bay is playing very good football down the stretch and still has an outside chance to win the division. This week, they take on a New Orleans' secondary that has allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. Taylor is currently allowing 0.37 fantasy points per coverage snap and is being targeted 20% of the time. It can be tough to predict who will get the ball out of the Green Bay receivers, but Doubs projects with the best matchup and should be the favorite target for Jordan Love.
TE Sam LaPorta (DET vs CHI)
It has been a down season for LaPorta, but he is starting to play well at the right time for fantasy managers in the playoffs. He has scored double-digit points in his past three games and four out of the last five. He has a plus matchup against the Bears, who have allowed the 9th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and who he beat for 15.6 points in week 13. If you have been patient this long, it is time to cash in during the 2nd round of the fantasy playoffs.
TE Brenton Strange (JAX vs LV)
Strange has stepped in and done everything we thought Evan Engram was going to do this season. He had a career-high 18.3 fantasy points last week and was targeted 12 times. Mac Jones is clearly very confident about throwing the ball his way, and Strange has a plus matchup against the Raiders this week. Las Vegas has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends over the past 8 weeks. Strange is a solid option with a top-12 finish very possible this week.
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