Go here for this week's Rushing Matchups.
Top 5 Passing Matchups
Chicago vs LA Rams
Caleb Williams' Week 3 performance could be seen as his breakout game, despite the Bears' loss and his three turnovers. Williams finally showcased his ceiling as a passer, providing a glimpse of his potential despite working behind one of the league’s weakest offensive lines and a struggling running game led by D’Andre Swift, who has averaged a dismal 1.8 yards per rush. The silver lining for Williams is that these struggles afford him more opportunities to shine through the air, as the Bears’ best path to success clearly lies in his connection with his top-tier weapons. Against the Colts, Williams spread the ball effectively, with primary targets D.J. Moore, Rome Odunze, and Cole Kmet receiving 32 of the team's 48 targets. This is a crucial shift from Williams’ earlier struggles, which involved relying too heavily on underperforming reserves like DeAndre Carter and Gerald Everett. With Keenan Allen expected back in action, there’s a significant ceiling for the offense if Williams can maintain this level of play. However, his ability to sustain this performance will be the key to determining whether Week 3 was truly a breakout or just a flash in the pan.
The Rams' pass defense, once one of the most formidable units in the league, has regressed significantly in 2024, currently ranking 28th against the pass. They’ve allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72% of their throws at an average of 9.8 yards per attempt, yielding seven touchdowns across three games. In the season opener, Detroit's Jameson Williams made plays at all levels of the field, even beating veteran cornerback Tre’Davious White with a double move for a long touchdown. Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr.. followed suit in Week 2, exploiting the Rams' secondary with several big downfield plays. The struggles continued last week when 49ers' backup Jauan Jennings caught 11 of 12 targets for 175 yards and three touchdowns, easily the best performance of his career. The Rams' secondary, particularly Tre’Davious White, appears to be a shell of its former self, struggling to provide consistent coverage or downfield support. Safeties Kamren Curl, Kamren Kitchens, and Quentin Lake have all taken turns giving up big plays, and the lack of a strong pass rush following Aaron Donald's retirement has forced the Rams into frequent blitzes, often exposing their coverage vulnerabilities.
Arizona vs Washington
Kyler Murray continues to show growth as a quarterback, but he’s still not a finished product. Inconsistencies remain, as seen in last week’s loss to Detroit, where he had moments of brilliance mixed with lapses in execution. However, Murray’s development as a passer is evident, and he's been particularly impressive in getting the ball downfield, ranking ninth in air yards per completion. The standout aspect of his game has been his connection with prized rookie Marvin Harrison Jr.., which is developing into one of the league’s most potent quarterback-receiver tandems. Over the past two weeks, Murray has targeted Harrison on 35% of his passes, throwing his way 19 times out of 55 total attempts. Harrison has responded in spectacular fashion, racking up 194 yards and three touchdowns on nine receptions during that span. Despite the Lions’ best efforts to contain him with double coverage, Harrison managed to score and repeatedly beat first-round cornerback Terrion Arnold. His dynamic play even forced the defense into situations where they could have been flagged for pass interference multiple times. Offensive coordinator Drew Letzing has been adept at scheming Harrison open, and Murray has consistently fed him the ball. With tight end Trey McBride questionable due to a concussion, Harrison’s target share could climb even higher, making his ceiling virtually limitless in this matchup.
The Washington Commanders are in a rebuilding phase, primarily focusing on the offensive side of the ball, but their pass defense remains a significant liability. Ranked among the league’s worst, the Commanders have been a fantasy-friendly matchup for opposing quarterbacks. Over the first three weeks, Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow combined to complete 78% of their passes against Washington, throwing for seven touchdowns. Even Daniel Jones managed a respectable outing against this struggling secondary. Washington’s once-formidable defensive line has been largely dismantled, leaving behind a unit that has struggled to pressure quarterbacks, ranking 30th in sack rate so far this season. This lack of a pass rush places tremendous pressure on an inexperienced secondary, including rookie cornerback Mike Sainristil, who has been exposed in coverage. Slot corner Benjamin St-Juste continues to struggle as one of the league’s weakest interior defenders, while safety Jeremy Chinn, a key offseason addition, is more effective near the line of scrimmage than in deep coverage. With such vulnerabilities, Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr.. are primed to exploit this matchup, making it one of the most favorable pairings of Week 4. There’s a chance starting cornerback Emmanuel Forbes Jr. returns this week, but that looks like subtraction by addition
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