The Dynasty staff gathered to work through multiple quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are the biggest risers or fallers in rankings through five weeks of action. For more Dynasty content, check out the Footballguys Dynasty Football show with Jagger May and myself. We do three episodes weekly, discussing a variety of relevant Dynasty trends.
Dynasty Movement at Quarterback
Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay
Ryan Weisse - As the season kicked off, I needed more time to put much faith in Mayfield, even after a great 2023. The loss of Dave Canales and yet another new offense worried me that he might regress. Instead, he is the overall QB3 after five weeks and looks like the Buccaneers franchise quarterback for the next three or four seasons. I moved him up to the Top 16, but at 29, there is little room for growth. He is the ideal QB2 in Superflex.
Bo Nix, Denver
Zareh Kantzabedian - In Week 5, Bo Nix had his best game of the season, and it came on a win against division rivals, Las Vegas Raiders. Statistically, Nix has been steadily improving. In week 5, he averaged 7.6 yards per attempt (season-high), was top nine in completion percentage (70 percent), and was a top 10 passer versus the blitz.
For fantasy purposes, Nix was the QB8 in Week 5 despite being 24th in pass attempts. Nix has been active as a runner, averaging six rush attempts per game. In week 5, he had five attempts for 35 yards and one touchdown. He has three rushing touchdowns so far. He has one less than Jayden Daniels on 26 fewer rush attempts. His rushing volume should persist as he develops, shaping him as a viable QB2.
Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis
Corey Spala - Anthony Richardson’s struggles as a passer are a concern. Joe Flacco has succeeded in the last two weeks in Richardson’s absence, completing 70% of passing attempts. Richardson has the second-worst passer rating this season (Flacco has the best). We fall in love with the Konami code quarterbacks but need a realistic outlook on their potential for years to come. It will need to be noted when a quarterback struggles as a passer. I was surprised to see Richardson currently ranked as our QB14; the adjustment seems ongoing.
Patrick Mahomes II, Kansas City
Matt Montgomery - This may sound like a broken record, but we can almost universally agree that Mahomes may be the most talented quarterback we have ever seen. I think we are seeing people struggle to trust him mainly because the Chiefs don’t take September seriously enough for him to lock in. I believe he is beginning to do so. HE has faced back-to-0back top 5 defenses against fantasy quarterbacks and has 576 yards passing, 34 yards rushing, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Yes, the TD/INT rate is concerning, but I don’t believe this is a long-term issue, and we will see this corrected after the team’s week six bye.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati
Dan Hindery - Joe Burrow is known for being a slow starter, which makes his hot start this season (currently QB5) even more impressive. He’s far ahead of his usual pace from previous years. Over the past three weeks, Burrow has reached a new level, averaging 25.1 fantasy PPG. During this stretch, he’s completing 75% of his passes, averaging 316 yards and 3.3 touchdowns per game. Given the talent of the Bengals' offense and the likely game scripts they'll face—due to one of the league's worst defenses—this level of performance (or close to it) feels sustainable for the rest of the season.
Deshaun Watson, Cleveland
Dan Hindery - Deshaun Watson may have only one or two more weeks as the starting quarterback in Cleveland, and it's unlikely he'll get another starting opportunity elsewhere anytime soon. His advanced stats are historically bad, averaging around -0.3 EPA per dropback and a success rate well below 40%, the worst in the NFL. Watson’s EPA per pass play (-0.302) ranks 618th out of 621 quarterbacks who started the first five games of a season since 2000. I didn’t think his value could drop any lower, but I was wrong.
Andy Dalton, Carolina
Hutchinson Brown - Andy Dalton had a miraculous first week against the Las Vegas Raiders in week three with 319 passing yards and three touchdowns. His team scored 36 points and won, and Dalton also gave Diontae Johnson a massive breakout game with 122 yards and a score. He seemed to breathe life into the Carolina Panthers offense, and fantasy managers were excited about him.
However, since then, it has been different. His completion rate has gone down almost eight percent, he’s thrown for 220 and 136 passing yards, and the Panthers are now sitting at 0-2 over the last two games. Based on what we've seen, it doesn't look like things will improve for Dalton but only stay poor and potentially worsen.
Most dynasty managers view Dalton as a solid starting quarterback who could help a quarterback-needy team, especially after what he did in his first game. Based on what I've seen, you could get a starting lineup-caliber asset. If the Panthers continue to lose and Dalton continues to struggle more and more like he has as of late, Bryce Young is still an option Carolina could turn to. At this point, it feels like Dalton is a fragile and descending dynasty asset. Get the value for him while you still can.
Justin Fields, Pittsburgh
Hutchinson Brown - Fields have been fun in fantasy football, finishing in the top twelve at the position in two of the last three weeks. However, his job is very at risk, and it doesn’t seem like too many fantasy managers are paying attention.
Fields has lots of potential as a player, but the Steelers want to win now. The Steelers started 3-0 but have lost their last two games and have only hit 21 points in one game this year. Their next two games with the Jets and the Raiders could go either way.
Russell Wilson has finally participated in a full practice; his calf is fully healed and ready for action. He is breathing down Fields’ neck weekly, waiting for another loss or a big mistake.
Fields still has a lot of value to fantasy managers due to his rushing upside; I would sell that hard and see what you can get.
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