The Dynasty staff gathered to work through multiple quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are the biggest risers or fallers in rankings through four weeks of action. For more Dynasty content, check out the Footballguys Dynasty Football show with Jagger May and myself. We do three episodes weekly, discussing a variety of relevant Dynasty trends.

Dynasty Movement at Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes II, Kansas City

Ryan Weisse - While I have been struggling with Mahomes on my actual dynasty rosters, I had, to this point, refused to move him from my top spot. That needed to change. Mahomes is still a great quarterback but is fighting to be average for fantasy purposes. His turnovers have hurt over the last few seasons, but in 2021 and 2022, his touchdowns made up for that flaw. Last year and through four games of 2024, he's not hitting those two touchdowns per game we were used to, and he does not feel like a difference-maker. He didn't fall far, but I had to move him to QB6.

Dan Hindery - Mahomes is currently the QB18, averaging just 14.1 fantasy points per game after four weeks. This continues a trend of declining fantasy production, as he finished QB12  last season (17.9 PPG). Passing production is down across the NFL. It is hard to get excited about any quarterback not putting up numbers with their legs – even a passer as gifted as Mahomes. With injuries to Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown, hopes of a monster fantasy season for Mahomes are likely dashed. More importantly, the Kansas City offense has shifted away from its explosive early years, as the defense now dominates, allowing fewer than 18 points per game over the last 20+ games. As a result, the Chiefs' blueprint now includes a more balanced and conservative offensive approach. While Mahomes remains a top dynasty asset for long-term fantasy usefulness, we have entered a phase where his elite, week-winning upside is less frequently seen.

Justin Fields, Chicago

Dan Hindery - Justin Fields is the fantasy QB6 and seems poised to remain the Steelers' starting quarterback. Among quarterbacks with 50-plus pass attempts this season, he ranks 7th in completion percentage (70.6%) and boasts one of the NFL's lowest interception rates (0.98%). Fields is playing winning football in an offensive system tailored to his strengths, setting him up for continued success.

Corey Spala - A change of scenery may be what it takes for a talent to flourish. Justin Fields has had six total touchdowns (two turnovers) in four games in Pittsburgh. He is seventh in completion percentage and 12th in passer rating. Fields is currently ranked as our QB20 and should be moving up. I would take Fields over Trevor Lawrence (QB15).

Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville

Corey Spala - Jacksonville is the only undefeated team in the NFL. Trevor Lawrence has the second-worst completion percentage and third-highest bad throw percentage. It is time for the conversation regarding his dynasty outlook, which may be overdue. Lawrence is our current dynasty QB15. I would comfortably take Baker Mayfield (QB18) and Justin Fields (QB20) over Lawrence; Drake Maye (QB16) is a feasible pivot, too.

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati

Matt Montgomery - It is easy to forget just how dominant a player Joe Burrow has been in the games and fantasy football. The injuries will always concern him, but this gives him unique value. Due to the hesitancy, we will have to draft or acquire him, and he will never have the expensive value that players of his caliber will have. Burrow is a buy-now player. You must live with the results of his health, but you can't be scared to go all in for him. 

Kyler Murray, Arizona

Matt Montgomery - We all knew the type of player Kyler was pre-injuries, but just like with Burrow, it's about stomaching the risk associated with him. He was a #1 pick in two sports for crying out loud! The talent is showing through the screen, and as this young core around him grows and develops, we will also see the stats and his gameplay reflect that same growth. Rushing upside is an edge at QB, and because of this, he will always have standalone value regardless of the weapons around him, which is effective.

Jayden Daniels, Washington

Jason Wood - Daniels moves into my top 10 and surpasses Caleb Williams among rookie quarterbacks. While overreacting to a few weeks can be risky, Daniels is off to such a strong start that, similar to C.J. Stroud last year, the more significant risk would be undervaluing him while there's still a slim chance of acquiring him before he becomes a long-term roster lock. We expected Daniels' rushing ability to make him an immediate fantasy asset. Still, no one predicted an 82% completion rate in the first month, especially considering the team's top receivers are Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz. Daniels' 82% completion rate over his first four games is an NFL record for any four-game streak by any quarterback. Let that sink in—he did it as a rookie.

Andy Hicks - I typically rank first-round rookie quarterbacks cautiously. Only one-third of them over the last ten years are true franchise changers. One-third would be gap fillers who do enough to have a career in the NFL. One-third are total busts that cost people their jobs and set franchises back for half a decade. Then we have someone like Jayden Daniels, who has exceeded the performance of any rookie quarterback to date. Cam Newton and Robert Griffin III are the measuring sticks for fantasy success for a rookie quarterback, and Daniels is on pace to smash their performances. Guys like Andrew Luck and C.J. Stroud are a class above, but fantasy success was moderate in the first season. Daniels deserves to move up to near the top. This isn’t a fluke. He looks like Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen but ahead of their developments. 

Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis

Andy Hicks - Unlike Jayden Daniels, who is all that was promised and more, Anthony Richardson doesn’t finish games as often as he does. He is careless with his body, and development is still an ongoing issue. Everything has been put in place for him to succeed in the NFL, unlike many high first-round quarterbacks. Colts fans are starting to feel uneasy, and fantasy managers cannot trust him. Neither can I.

Jason Wood - We tend to be more reactive with players we weren't initially confident in, so I'm moving Richardson down from the top 10 to the lower end of the QB2 tier. His potential is undeniable, but it's hard to envision it coming to fruition based on what we've seen. He's completing just 50% of his passes in an era when nearly every starting quarterback is completing at least 65%. Additionally, it seems he gets injured almost every time he runs with the ball. Watching the Colts' offense thrive under Joe Flacco says it all—Richardson needs significant improvement to justify his consensus ranking.

Dynasty Movement at Tight End

Jake Ferguson, Dallas

Jason Wood - Jake Ferguson is not only one of the most productive tight ends in the NFL but also the de facto No. 2 receiver behind CeeDee Lamb in the Cowboys' prolific passing attack. Given his age, the salary cap situation in Dallas, and the team's offensive structure, Ferguson should be an every-week fantasy starter for years to come.

T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota

Dan Hindery - Hockenson is back in my Top 5 at the position, with a real shot to re-emerge as a top-3 dynasty option if he proves he’s fully healthy. Interestingly, he's rising in the rankings without even taking the field, largely because players like Kyle Pitts and Mark Andrews, who were ranked above him, have struggled this season. The tight end position has been a fantasy wasteland this year—only George Kittle and Dallas Goedert are averaging more than 11 fantasy points per game, and the TE12 is scoring 7.5 PPG. Hockenson averaged 14.7 fantasy PPG last season. If he can produce at a similar level in 2024, he will provide a gigantic weekly edge in the position. Moreover, the concern that Sam Darnold would limit the Vikings' offensive upside has proven false. Darnold currently leads the NFL in touchdown passes, and the Vikings' passing attack is among the league’s best, setting Hockenson up to be a difference-maker by the time the fantasy playoffs kick off.

Erick All Jr., Cincinnati Bengals

Corey Spala - A young tight end flourishing on limited opportunities. Despite playing 43% of snaps, All ranks first in targets per route run and fourth in yards per route run among tight ends. The future appears bright for Cincinnati’s rookie. All is our current TE35, and his start to the season should propel him up the rankings. I would comfortably have him over Luke Musgrave (TE24), Ja'Tavion Sanders (TE22), and Ben Sinnott (TE19).

Jason Wood - Erick All Jr. wasn't on my radar during the pre-draft and post-draft processes. However, less than a year has passed since a torn ACL. All is already making plays with limited opportunities for the Bengals. If he continues progressing, Mike Gesicki will hardly be a long-term threat to his playing time.

Brock Bowers, Las Vegas

Matt Montgomery - Bowers may be the best tight end in fantasy football. We thought he had the talent to do so coming out of college, but with the positional apocalypse we are seeing from the tight end, it may have happened in just four games. He has everything you want from a tight end. He's a top-two option for his team, a receiving specialist with minimal blocking assignments, and he’s shown us that he also may be quarterback-proof, seeing as how he hasn’t ever played with a superstar quarterback. 

Mark Andrews, Baltimore

Matt Montgomery - This is the worst-case scenario for managers who invest in high draft or trade capital. There isn’t any way to spin this positively. He’s not getting targeted, he’s barely running routes, and the Ravens aren’t playing bad football, leading me to believe this isn’t exactly something that will change. The vibes are low here, and dare I say; they could even get lower…

Cade Otton, Tampa Bay

Andy Hicks - After a dismal start to the 2024 season with a combined one catch for five yards over his first two games, Cade Otton has rebounded with 13 receptions in his next two. Otton's opportunities are limited, with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin as excellent red-zone receivers. At his best, though, he projects as a bottom-end TE1. About to enter his career peak, you can do worse than stash him away on your roster for that progression in his development. He is unchallenged as the starter in Tampa and can only improve as Baker Mayfield looks to him more often. 

Luke Musgrave, Green Bay

Ryan Weisse - After four weeks, it's clear that Musgrave is behind Tucker Kraft in the tight end pecking order. Both were rookies last year, and while Musgrave had better volume, Kraft was more efficient. Clearly, the coaches took notice, and now Kraft is seeing the volume to go along with his better play. While I only moved Kraft to TE15, I moved Musgrave down to TE27, which makes him droppable in all but the deepest dynasty leagues.