Footballguys staff got together to play a game of Buy, Hold, or Sell. They grouped and examined three similarly valued Dynasty players and placed them into each category.
The team looked at veteran tight ends in Superflex Dynasty formats. The tight ends: Evan Engram, David Njoku, and Jake Ferguson.
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The Results (number of votes in parentheses)
- Buy: Jake Ferguson (3), Evan Engram (3), David Njoku (1)
- Hold: Jake Ferguson (1), Evan Engram (2), David Njoku (4)
- Sell: Jake Ferguson (3), Evan Engram (2), David Njoku (2)
Each Staffer's Responses
Ryan Weisse
- Buy: Jake Ferguson
- Hold: David Njoku
- Sell: Evan Engram
This year might be the last to land Ferguson at a reasonable price. He finished in the Top 10 last year and should be the second or third option in the Dallas offense yet again. Selling Engram after his 2023 is an easy choice. Teams that don't currently have a top-5 tight end should pay well for a guy with back-to-back top-5 seasons. With all the unknowns surrounding Njoku, you have to hold. Nobody knows what he'll be with Deshaun Watson full-time. If he's as good as last year, you don't want to sell cheap now.
Hutchinson Brown
- Buy: Jake Ferguson
- Hold: Evan Engram
- Sell: David Njoku
I want to buy Evan Engram due to his involvement in the Jaguars offense and the potential upside he has specifically for this season. Last year, Trevor Lawrence got extremely unlucky with passing touchdowns. His receivers had many drops or missed opportunities that would have resulted in touchdowns if the receiver had just made the play. As a result, Engram struggled in the touchdown department, scoring four times on 114 receptions. Engram is a downfield threat that wasn't used that way enough last year. Engram had his all-time low by a wide margin when looking at the percentage of his targets that traveled ten or more air yards this past season. His speed is an asset that allows him to work downfield, and given the rumors and reports going around Jacksonville, Engram could get that going more this season. So, if regression swings his way this season, Engram could score more touchdowns and elevate his deep ball involvement in the offense, and that would likely give us a significant improvement from his already stellar 2023 season.
I want to sell David Njoku because I fear what Deshaun Watson will do to him for fantasy. Not only has this new era of Deshaun Watson proven not to give us good quarterback play, but throughout his entire career, he has never given us greatness at the tight end position for fantasy. The same David Njoku that finished this past season with four straight games as a top-three tight end hasn't even broken 60 yards in any of his games with Watson as the starter for the Browns since he took over in 2022. These numbers make me extremely hesitant to value Njoku as a great tight end option, as many dynasty managers do.
I want to hold Jake Ferguson in Dynasty because his athleticism at the tight end position is relatively undervalued. Most don't think of him as an athlete, but Ferguson was in the top five in both yards after contact per reception and in missed tackles forced among all tight ends, with 40 or more targets last year, per PFF Metrics. The Cowboys have CeeDee Lamb as their number-one target this year, and we all know that, but Jake Ferguson is the next man up in terms of targets, just like last year. I expect him to continue to get opportunities and do well with them, and as a result, continue to be a solid fantasy football presence at the tight end position.
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