Slate Overview- Week 12 Thoughts
There are a lot of key decision points that you’re going to need to make this week simply because of injuries. At the quarterback this week, there are two minimum-priced players: Tommy DeVito and Brandon Allen. As of Saturday, about 18% of lineups are projected to have either DeVito or Allen. This is an overreaction that will then raise the roster percentages of some of the high-end players like Christian McCaffrey (20%) and De’Von Achane (28%) and have a trickle-down effect to tight end as Travis Kelce will likely be around 20%.
In the case of McCaffrey and Kelce, these are not optimal situations for these two. Kansas City should be able to take a run-heavy approach and come out with a victory against the Panthers, while it is anyone’s guess how the 49ers will perform this week with Brandon Allen at quarterback. McCaffrey has been unable to take advantage of the Seattle last week, so it would seem difficult to picture a scenario where he has a massive game to justify the $8,500 price point.
Building a mid-range, correlated lineup seems to be the way to go this week, as there are a number of potential high-scoring games. Arizona vs Seattle and Indianapolis vs Detroit would be the prime targets, but you could also target the offenses of Washington, Miami, Houston, and even Tampa Bay this week.
Key Injuries for Week 12
- Brock Purdy will not play this week. This is a big downgrade to all players in the San Francisco offense, but likely also on the Green Bay passing offense, as it should ultimately lead to a slower-paced game. If Allen was going overlooked, he could be in consideration, but he’s going to be one of the top four highest rostered quarterbacks on this slate, which is likely a clear stay away, as in his nine starts in his career, he has only topped 250 yards and multiple touchdowns once.
- The Giants will be starting Tommy DeVito this week. While some people are convincing themselves that there is an upside here, you need to approach this with extreme caution. The story was fun, but it didn’t reflect reality. DeVito threw the ball over 200 yards just one-time last season, and while he showed a little bit of rushing upside, that was largely in games that he had no success passing the ball.
- Alexander Mattison and Zamir White will both miss this week. Ameer Abdullah is going underlooked at just 5% rostered. More on him in the running back section.
- Jake Ferguson is out this week. This could make the Dallas tight ends interesting, as they are very cheap punt plays, and Luke Schoonmaker showed some upside last week. It should also help CeeDee Lamb, as he’ll be the primary target for Cooper Rush and should get additional targets because of the injury.
Stacks
C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins, Calvin Ridley
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