DraftKings GPP Domination Week 6

Slate Overview- Week 6 Thoughts

Week 6 is an interesting one because you’re going to have to make some key decisions about some offenses that are objectively terrible. What to do with teams such as the Chargers, Giants, Panthers, Patriots, Raiders, Browns, Titans, and Saints with Spencer Rattler starting?

The first question that you’re going to have to ask yourself heading into this game is whether or not to stack the Commanders/Ravens or Lions/Cowboys games. These players are going to have an increased ownership as these are the two high-scoring potential games of the week. The problem with stacking this game is that it’s going to be incredibly popular. By stacking these players, it limits your ability to build a roster that is different from most of the field given there are so few strong value plays this week.

Every week, we see a surprise team in the NFL that puts up a strong performance that is seemingly out of nowhere. Last week, it was the Giants who put up 29 points on the road to beat the Seahawks while they were without Malik Nabers and Devin Singletary. By targeting one of these teams, you could very easily get yourself an advantage over the field instead of just following the pack. For example, Andy Dalton has thrown for multiple touchdowns in two of his three starts this season, and while he had an abysmal game last week against Chicago, it was on the road in a very windy environment. While the Atlanta side of Kirk Cousins, Drake London, and Diontae Johnson is going to be popular, you can get extremely unique if you go the opposite way and replace Cousins with Dalton as Dalton is projected to be rostered in 1-2% of rosters this week.

Injuries Create Opportunity:

• Derek Carr is out this week. Spencer Rattler will get the start. Rattler at minimum price is going to be a key decision point for a lot of people. Rattler has upside, as he has amongst the best arm talent in this draft class, but his decision-making at times has been questionable dating back to his time at South Carolina and Oklahoma. Expect a lot of check-downs to Alvin Kamara and him staring down Chris Olave this week.
• Davante Adams is once again out this week. The Raiders will start Aidan O’Connell as well as they’re making a change away from Gardner Minshew II. Last week in relief we saw O’Connell lock on to Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers. No other player in Las Vegas should be in consideration, as Meyers/Bowers should get 70% of the targets this week.
• Anthony Richardson looks like he is going to return this week. While Richardson has an upside and is affordable, it’s hard to know whether he’s 100% and will be running at his normal pace. If you want to take a chance on the player, he’s a high-upside GPP-type guy who could pay off. However, from a receiver standpoint, this kills any of the receiver's value that is on the Colts even with Michael Pittman Jr out. It’s just difficult to trust the passing upside of Richardson.
• Malik Nabers will miss this week once again with a concussion. Both Darius Slayton and Wan’Dale Robinson are strong cash consideration plays this week. Slayton saw a significant uptick in usage last week catching 8 passes for 122 yards and a touchdown.
• Rachaad White is doubtful this week. With White being out, this will be Bucky Irving’s opportunity for the rookie to show he can be a primary running back.
• Rhamondre Stevenson is unlikely to play this week. Antonio Gibson will get the start, but how much of an increase in volume he will see remains to be seen. His price is a great one this week and could be a high-risk value play.
• Zamir White hasn’t practiced this week and looks like he will miss it. The matchup is a difficult one for Alexander Mattison this week but could be a nice pivot away from Antonio Gibson as Mattison should have a more guaranteed role.
• Brian Robinson Jr is out this week. In a game where the Commanders will need to throw the ball, Austin Ekeler should be a strong play this week.
• Jakobi Meyers is out this week. This elevates Tre Tucker up to one of the top value plays on this slate at $4,200. Brock Bowers is still too expensive at $6,000, although he should see a significant amount of volume this week.

Stacks

Jayden Daniels, Derrick Henry, Terry McLaurin

This is a difficult one to fit all of the pieces in, but it’s doable. Starting a running back with an opposing quarterback normally is not that great of a strategy as it typically has a negative correlation. The more teams run the ball, the fewer plays on both sides of the ball, and this typically means a blowout situation. However, in this game, the blowout situation is exactly what we’re targeting. If Baltimore can get out to an early lead with multiple Derrick Henry touchdowns, this could be a premiere spot for Jayden Daniels to lead Washington to a comeback. Baltimore is allowing the most passing yards in the NFL this season, and while they have faced a very difficult schedule, Daniels presents an opportunity at just 4% rostered for this game to be a shootout and have garbage time points. Cincinnati’s offense facing Baltimore was a team we targeted last week as one of the top stacks, and it paid off immensely with this exact same stack.