Contrarian means opposing or rejecting popular opinion; going against the current practice. Being a contrarian in fantasy football is difficult because you’re taking a risk, but it can be a winning strategy. Contrarian is where the big money is made within DFS, especially in large tournaments because you’ll submit more unique lineups than your competitors.
Mix one or two of these players within a lineup to maximize individuality.
Do not create your entire lineup based on the contrarian picks below.
The key for charts:
Player = recommended contrarian play
Opponent = Home or away and the opponent
FD Roster % = This week's FanDuel roster percentages
FD Salary = FanDuel salary to roster the player
DK Roster % = This week's DraftKings roster percentages
DK Salary = DraftKings salary to roster the player
Contrarian Quarterbacks
Tua Tagovailoa has seen an increase in production the last three games throwing nine TDs with zero INTs and averaging 323 passing yards per game. He produced six TDs with four INTs in his other five games this season and averaged 231 passing yards per game. Tagovailoa will face a Jets defense without C.J. Mosley on Sunday and Sauce Gardner is doubtful to play.
Jameis Winston has averaged over 43 pass attempts per game in his five starts in Cleveland. That number increases to just under 48 pass attempts per game if you take out the snowstorm game against the Steelers. Winston is averaging 336 passing yards and 2 TDs per game in his last five games. The Steelers have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but Winston should still produce if he gets anywhere near the same amount of pass attempts in his last five games.
Are the Steelers letting Russ cook? Last week, Russell Wilson threw for 414 yards and 3 TDs. He’s posted a QB passer rating of over 108 in four of his six starts this season. Wilson faces a Browns defense that he threw for 270 yards and 1 TD with a completion percentage of 75 just three weeks ago on the road. This DFS play is a bit of a heat check. Wilson has averaged over 9.5 yards per pass in his last two starts as well. If you think Russ is going to keep cooking, then add him to a lineup or two.
Kirk Cousins hasn’t thrown a TD pass since week nine but has thrown six INTs in his last three games. This information explains why his roster percentage is low and he’s available as a contrarian play. Cousins is very comfortable playing at Minnesota as he did it for six years. He’s also familiar with some of the personnel on the Vikings and defensive coordinator Brian Flores. The revenge factor is in play here and Cousins would like nothing more than to remind his former team of his level of play and knock down this Vikings team a peg. The Vikings have allowed an average of 278 passing yards over their last three games and CB Stephon Gilmore won’t play on Sunday.
Continue reading this content with a HALL OF FAME subscription.
"Footballguys is the best premium
fantasy football
only site on the planet."
Matthew Berry, NBC Sports EDGE