Week 11 DFS Contrarian

Contrarian means opposing or rejecting popular opinion; going against the current practice. Being a contrarian in fantasy football is difficult because you’re taking a risk, but it can be a winning strategy. Contrarian is where the big money is made within DFS, especially in large tournaments because you’ll submit more unique lineups than your competitors.

Mix one or two of these players within a lineup to maximize individuality.

Do not create your entire lineup based on the contrarian picks below.

The key for charts:

Player = recommended contrarian play

Opponent = Home or away and the opponent

FD Roster % = This week's FanDuel roster percentages

FD Salary = FanDuel salary to roster the player

DK Roster % = This week's DraftKings roster percentages

DK Salary = DraftKings salary to roster the player

Jordan Love threw 13 TD passes in the four games following his recovery from an MCL injury. His play dipped in the last two games due to a groin injury which resulted in zero TDs. The Packers' bye week allowed Love time to recover from the groin injury. Chicago has one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, but they’ll be without the services of Jaquan Brisker in the secondary and Andrew Billings on the defensive line. The Packers consistently play well against the Bears and Love has averaged 281 passing yards and 2 TDs during his last two games against Chicago.

Jacksonville ranks 31st in the NFL against the pass and allows the most fantasy points to opposing QBs. They allowed their opponent 210 or more passing yards in eight straight games. Jared Goff is facing Jacksonville after his five-interception game last week, which is why he’s available for a contrarian lineup. Goff has thrown multiple TDs in six of his last seven games. The last time Goff faced a pass defense in the same range as Jacksonville was in week six against Dallas, and he threw for 315 yards and three TDs in that game.

Tua Tagovailoa has been solid in his three starts after returning from the concussion. He averaged 224 passing yards and totaled four TDs in those games. Tagovailoa isn’t played at the same level as the last year when he led the NFL in passing yards or in 2022 when he led the NFL in yards per attempt and TDs thrown per pass attempt. The Raiders rank 22nd against the pass and allow the eighth-most fantasy points to QBs. The opportunity is there for Tagovailoa to have a very productive day.

Last week against the second-best pass defense in the NFL, Will Levis completed 78% of his passes for 175 yards and two TDs with 41 rushing yards. The Vikings' pass defense is slightly behind the Chargers, but still a difficult task this week. Levis will have plenty of opportunities to make plays in a likely negative game script. He’s a cheap salary option for a contrarian play but just played his best game of the season. It is a play to consider for one of your lineups.