Underdog Pick Em: Conference Championships

How It Works

Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.

Payouts

Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:

• Two picks: 3x your entry
• Three picks: 6x your entry
• Four picks: 10x your entry
• Five picks: 20x your entry

This article highlights four of my favorite player props for the Championship round.

We are plus six units in the playoffs so far. Last week, we hit on two of our three Pick Ems. 

• We hit on Jayden Daniels higher than 236.5 passing yards (299 passing yards) and Jahmyr Gibbs higher than 24.5 receiving yards (70 receiving yards) for 3X.
• We also hit on James Cook higher than 52.5 rushing yards (67 rushing yards) and Mark Andrews higher than 38.5 receiving yards (61 receiving yards) for 3X.
• We missed on our 6X Eagles-Rams Pick Em.

Supporting Cast in Commanders-Eagles 3X

DeVonta Smith Higher than 47.5 Receiving Yards

• Smith has recorded 50+ receiving yards in 10 of 15 games this season.
• In eight career matchups against the Commanders, he has averaged 69.9 receiving yards per game.
• The Commanders have leaned heavily into zone coverage during the playoffs, playing the second-highest percentage of zone snaps among all playoff teams. While A.J. Brown dominates against man coverage, Smith leads the team in target rate against zone.
• Smith's matchup against Noah Igbinoghene is arguably the most favorable among the Commanders' cornerbacks, who have played well down the stretch.

Brian Robinson Jr. Higher than 9.5 Rushing Attempts

• Robinson has logged double-digit carries in 14 of 17 games this season (82.4%).
• The three exceptions occurred due to extenuating circumstances: a mid-game injury in Week 5, limited snaps in Week 12 against Dallas, and a reduced workload in the season finale.
• In two games against the Eagles this season, Robinson totaled 26 carries, with at least 10 in each contest.
• Robinson has averaged 15.1 carries per game in the 10 contests where he played at least half the snaps, a threshold he has hit in both playoff games.

Will Washington be able to run the ball against the Eagles?

Brian Robinson Jr. stepped up big time against Detroit, he's ready to do it again versus Philly.

BRob told me, "perfect time to catch some momentum...continue to fuel that fire." pic.twitter.com/bGFY13vIXQ

— Scott Abraham (@Scott7news) January 22, 2025

Star Quarterbacks in Bills-Chiefs 3X

Patrick Mahomes II Higher than 24.5 Completions

• Mahomes has consistently hit this mark in games against the Bills at Arrowhead, recording 25+ completions in all five career home matchups.
• In his last three home games against Buffalo, Mahomes attempted 40+ passes in each contest.
• Expect Buffalo's defense to focus on eliminating big plays, forcing Mahomes to rely on shorter passes to Travis Kelce and the running backs, increasing his completion totals.

Josh Allen Higher than 12.5 Yards Longest Rush

• Allen thrives in high-stakes games, often using his legs to make key plays.
• He has a strong history of breaking off long runs against the Chiefs, having done so multiple times in recent matchups.

4th-and-2, two point game vs. the Chiefs. And Josh Allen does that. 26-yard TD run. Incredible play. pic.twitter.com/Xx7Jrbm6J8

— Alaina Getzenberg (@agetzenberg) November 18, 2024