Well that was fun! While our minds are still boggled by the draft comings and goings, I’ve put together a combined offense/IDP draft top 100 with rookie drafts under way. These rankings will change as more news comes in, and as always, adjust for your scoring, lineups, needs, and player evaluation.
The Bloom 100 is ranked with the following type of dynasty fantasy football league in mind:
- Full IDP lineups, including DT and CB
- PPR, start 3 WRs
- Deep lineups and rosters
(Pre-Draft Ranking in parenthesis)
1(1).Bijan Robinson (RB-Atlanta) - Top 10 draft capital on a run-first team with a good offensive line that was gelling a run-blocking unit last year. You can’t ask for much more if you were holding the 1.1.
2(2). Jahmyr Gibbs (RB-Detroit) - The Lions clearly have a plan for Gibbs. He can eventually become an RB1 in PPR leagues without Alvin Kamara/Austin Ekeler usage in the running game because of his big play ability, Detroit’s offensive and run game efficiency, and that fast track.
3(6). Anthony Richardson (QB-Indianapolis) - Landing with Shane Steichen and Top 5 draft capital was a best-case scenario for Richardson. Taking him at 1.1 in a Superflex is not a reach.
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4(3). Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR-Seattle) - Smith-Njigba ups Geno Smith’s value this year as former Rams passing game coordinator Shane Waldron is running this offense and knows about creating good play design with three-wide sets. Tyler Lockett is due 15+ million next year, so Smith-Njigba could be starting in 2024.
5(5). Zay Flowers (WR-Baltimore) - Don’t assume Baltimore is where fantasy wide receiver value goes to die with Todd Monken coordinating the offense and Lamar Jackson locked up long-term. Odell Beckham is just a one-year replacement, and Rashod Bateman hasn’t hit his stride yet. This could be a good landing spot for Flowers.
6(7). Quentin Johnston (WR-LA Chargers) - Johnston has room to grow as an outside receiver and bully at the catch point, but he’ll be a good run-after-catch threat for now and a potential Keenan Allen replacement as a big slot as early as next year. Being paired with Justin Herbert certainly doesn’t hurt.
7(4). Jordan Addison (WR- Minnesota) - Addison will make hay in the short and intermediate ranges with defenses focused on Justin Jefferson. It’s hard to know what the future holds for Minnesota at quarterback after Kirk Cousins, but Addison only has to overcome K.J. Osborn to start. This pick brought down the ceiling for T.J. Hockenson.
8(12). Jack Campbell (LB-Detroit) - The Lions went out and got their “green-dot linebacker at #18. Campbell becomes the #1 IDP in this class for fantasy with the plum role in the middle of this defense.
9(10). Dalton Kincaid (TE-Buffalo) - The Bills wanted Kincaid enough to trade up in the first round. He is a receiving tight end first and foremost and could become the #2 target in this offense by the end of year two of his career. Top-five fantasy tight end value is within reach for him.
10(8). Will Anderson Jr. (EDGE-Houston) - The Texans gave up franchise quarterback draft capital to get Anderson, so the pressure is on for him to produce like Nick Bosa in Demeco Ryans' defense.
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11(36). Jonathan Mingo (WR - Carolina) - Mingo was one of the big winners among rookies for dynasty value, getting early second-round draft capital and being selected as Bryce Young’s eventual #1 receiver.
12(23). Devon Achane (RB-Miami) - Achane was another one of the biggest winners of the draft in dynasty fantasy terms. He can become a home-run-hitting starter before the end of this season in a running game tailor-made for his skillset.
13(9). Drew Sanders (LB-Denver) - Sanders fell out of the LB1 spot in the draft and the Bloom 100, but he should have no problem becoming a starter inside for the Broncos as soon as he’s ready, and he can also have a Micah Parsons fantasy profile with edge rush opportunity on third down with only Randy Gregory established as an edge rusher on the roster.
14(15). Bryce Young (QB-Carolina) - Young got his potential future #1 in Jonathan Mingo in round two, and he gets to work with Frank Reich. I won’t talk people out of taking him in the top three of Superflex rookie drafts.
15(13). Tyjae Spears (RB-Tennessee) - Ian Rapoport reported that Spears has knee cartilage loss after two ACL tears and that some don’t expect him to get a second contract in the NFL because of medical issues. He can still take over as the lead back in a committee next year, and the Titans liked him enough to take him in the third despite the warnings.
16(25). Kendre Miller (RB-New Orleans) - Miller will probably get to share touches with Jamaal Williams during the impending Alvin Kamara suspension, and he’s good enough to overtake Williams before his guaranteed money runs out in year three. This was a good combination of landing spot and draft capital for Miller.
17(53). Rashee Rice (WR-Kansas City) - Rice was maybe the biggest winner for dynasty value this weekend. The Chiefs moved up for him in the second round, and with the vacuum at wide receiver for experience and production, he will have every chance to become a core piece of this offense if he’s up to the task.
18(39). Sam LaPorta (TE-Detroit) - LaPorta was the surprise TE2 to the Lions, who traded away an Iowa tight end last year. This offense has a ton of weapons, so it will be hard for LaPorta to stand out, but you have to like the commitment from the team and efficiency of the offense.
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19(33). Daiyan Henley (LB-LA Chargers) - Henley was actually the third off-ball linebacker taken in this class, one pick ahead of Trenton Simpson. The Chargers didn’t pick up Kenneth Murray’s fifth-year option, so Henley has a path to start next year.
20(19). Trenton Simpson (LB-Baltimore) - Simpson fell to the third round, and his landing spot looks bad at first glance. Put Patrick Queen tweeted out “Sheesh” after the pick, and the Ravens aren’t picking up his fifth-year option, so Simpson could be starting next to Roquan Smith sooner than later.
21(11). Cedric Tillman (WR-Cleveland) - Tillman fell farther than expected, lasting until the mid-third, where Cleveland scooped him up. Donovan Peoples-Jones is a free agent next year, and Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore in two years, so there’s a long-term opportunity for Tillman and his modest ceiling as an outside receiver.
22(45). Jayden Reed (WR-Green Bay) - Reed projects as the starter opposite Christian Watson if the Packers were right to take him in the second round. This offense isn’t going to create a lot of fantasy stars in the passing game, but Reed was still a draft weekend dynasty winner as the sixth wide receiver off of the board.
23(17). Zach Charbonnet (RB-Seattle) - Charbonnet gives the Seahawks a strong, physical 1-2 punch in the running game. It’s hard to see him outplaying what Kenneth Walker did last year, so he could languish for fantasy as A.J. Dillon has in Green Bay, although some of that could be chalked up to Dillon not living up to his draft capital. Charbonnet becomes a value pick if he falls to the third round of rookie drafts.
24(16). Josh Downs (WR-Indianapolis) - Downs was in the first in some mocks, but he fell to the third in a pick that should help Anthony Richardson's long-term fantasy outlook more than give Downs a path to lasting value. Downs projects as a playmaker from the slot in an offense with two good big outside receivers, but his short-term ceiling is limited by his landing spot.
25(29). Tyree Wilson (EDGE-Las Vegas) - Wilson will get to line up opposite Maxx Crosby and maybe even get some pass rush opportunities lined up inside next to Crosby. Plus, he can learn from Chandler Jones, a similar size/strength/athleticism defensive lineman. His predraft value is intact with premium draft capital.
26(20). Jalin Hyatt (WR-NY Giants) - Hyatt fell to the third round, but the Giants probably had him as a second-round value after giving up a third and fourth for the right to take him. He’ll be the top deep threat in a wide receiver group with no long-term established starters, although Wan’Dale Robinson may block his path to maximum slot snaps.
27(22). Marvin Mims (WR-Denver) - The Broncos picking up Jerry Jeudy’s fifth-year option isn’t great news for Mims' opportunity before year three, barring injuries to the Broncos' top three wideouts. He’ll require some patience and who knows who his quarterback will be if and when he does earn a starting spot.
28(35). Nathaniel Dell (WR - Houston) - It’s great to hear encouraging news about 2022 second-round pick John Metchie’s recovery from cancer. He and Dell will compete for slot snaps, although Metchie can play outside too. This is a good landing spot for opportunity for Dell, and he gets to stay where he played his college ball. Monitor reports to see if he and C.J. Stroud are riffing early on.
29(31). Michael Mayer (TE - Las Vegas) - Mayer wasn’t the first tight end off of the board, but with early second-round draft capital, he’s ticketed to be a starter by year two and a productive, if unexciting, fantasy option.
30(32). Luke Schoonmaker (TE-Dallas) - Schoonmaker is good enough to overtake Jake Ferguson and Peyton Hendershot by 2024. This offense made Dalton Schultz a strong fantasy play, although that was under Kellen Moore.
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