Dynasty, in Theory: Concentrate

Adam Harstad's Dynasty, in Theory: Concentrate Adam Harstad Published 11/04/2023

There's a lot of really strong dynasty analysis out there, especially when compared to five or ten years ago. But most of it is so dang practical-- Player X is undervalued, Player Y's workload is troubling, the market at this position is irrational, and take this specific action to win your league. Dynasty, in Theory is meant as a corrective, offering insights and takeaways into the strategic and structural nature of the game that might not lead to an immediate benefit but which should help us become better players over time.

Pop Quiz Time

Team A averages 105 points per game. Team B averages 105 points per game. Which team is better?

Alright, alright, we're going to need a bit more information to answer this one. Team A averages 20 points per game at quarterback, 30 points per game at running back, 45 points per game at wide receiver, and 10 points per game at tight end; Team B likewise averages 20 / 30 / 45 / 10. Which team is better?

It seems we need to drill down a little bit deeper, still. Let's say that Team A features two running backs who both average 15 points per game, while Team B starts one running back who averages 20 points per game and a second running back who averages just 10 points per game. Now we finally have enough information to answer. Which team is better? Think about it for a minute and form a hypothesis. Then scroll down for the answer.

No, really, this bit is interactive. Go ahead and think about it for a second, take a guess. I'll wait.

Ready for the answer? Good!

I've asked enough trick questions in the past that regular readers might now suspect me of another bit of legerdemain. On its face, the easy answer would be to say it's a trick question, and both teams are equally good because they score the same number of points.

But this was not a trick question. (Or, I suppose, it was a trick question whose trick was tricking you into thinking there was a trick when there was no trick.) Assuming all else is equal (and since this is my hypothetical, all else is equal), Team B is better than Team A.

The reason for this is simple. Although both teams produce the same amount of output, Team B's production is concentrated in fewer roster spots.

Already a subscriber?

Continue reading this content with a ELITE subscription.

An ELITE subscription is required to access content for Dynasty leagues. If this league is not a Dynasty league, you can edit your leagues here.

Photos provided by Imagn Images
Share This Article

More by Adam Harstad

 

Rent-a-Kicker: Week 3

Adam Harstad

Finding startable kicker production on your fantasy waiver wire.

09/16/25 Read More
 

Dynasty, in Theory: Fantasy is Weird

Adam Harstad

Some weird stuff happened last week. That's perfectly normal.

09/13/25 Read More
 

Odds and Ends: Week 2

Adam Harstad

The secret to (marginally improving your chances of) winning your pick pool

09/11/25 Read More
 

Regression Alert: Week 2

Adam Harstad

What is Regression to the Mean and how can it help us win in fantasy?

09/11/25 Read More
 

Rent-a-Kicker: Week 2

Adam Harstad

Finding startable kicker production on your fantasy waiver wire.

09/09/25 Read More