Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Black font = Saturday games; Blue font = Sunday games]
| Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
| Kansas City | Buffalo | -2.5 | 54.5 | 28.5 | «« | «« | |
| Green Bay | San Francisco | -6 | 47.5 | 26.75 | « | « | |
| Buffalo | Kansas City | 2.5 | 54.5 | 26 | «« | « | |
| Tampa Bay | LA Rams | -3 | 48.5 | 25.75 | |||
| Tennessee | Cincinnati | -3.5 | 47 | 25.25 | |||
| LA Rams | Tampa Bay | 3 | 48.5 | 22.75 | |||
| Cincinnati | Tennessee | 3.5 | 47 | 21.75 | |||
| San Francisco | Green Bay | 6 | 47.5 | 20.75 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: None
- Running Back: None
- Receivers: None
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs), Josh Allen (Bills)
- Running Back: Darrel Williams/Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)
- Receivers: Tyreek Hill/Byron Pringle/Travis Kelce (Chiefs), Stefon Diggs/Emmanuel Sanders/Gabriel Davis/Cole Beasley/Dawson Knox (Bills)
- Defense: None
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
- Running Back: Aaron Jones/A.J. Dillon (Packers), Devin Singletary (Bills)
- Receivers: Davante Adams/Allen Lazard/Josiah Deguara (Packers)
- Defense: None
