Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 19.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 18 Recap
At this point there is not much to say. I hope that some of you are just fading these picks as this season is not my year. There's still time to end on a positive note, so trying to get hot throughout the playoffs.
Andy Dalton Over 218.5 Passing Yards- Win
Jonathan Taylor Over 115.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Tyler Lockett Under 55.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Jake Fromm Under 166.5 Passing Yards- Win
Josh Allen Over 248.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Wk1 |
Wk2 |
Wk3 |
Wk4 |
Wk5 |
Wk6 |
Wk7 |
Wk8 |
Wk9 |
Wk10 |
Wk11 |
Wk12 |
Wk13 |
Wk14 |
Wk15 |
Wk16 |
Wk17 |
Wk18 |
Total |
3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
1-4 |
0-5 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
3-4 |
3-2 |
0-5 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
40-52 |
Week 19 Plays- 5 Plays this week
Damien Harris Over 56.5 Rushing Yards
The Patriots have taken a run-heavy approach in their two meetings against Buffalo. The weather is supposed to be incredibly cold which could play out very similarly to the first time these teams met which was very windy. The Patriots ran the ball 38 times in that game for 217 yards. Harris has topped 100 yards in each of the team’s two matchups this season. With Josh Allen admitting that he struggles in cold weather this is likely going to be a low scoring game this week.
Ja’Marr Chase Under 71.5 Receiving Yards
Ja’Marr Chase was shut down earlier this season by Casey Hayward as he was held to just 32 yards back in Week 11. Chase has topped 70 yards just three times over his last ten games, and those three opponents were Kansas City, Baltimore, and San Francisco. The San Francisco result was impressive, but Baltimore and Kansas City are two of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. With all of the options in Cincinnati, expect the Bengals to go to Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, or other options this week
Leonard Fournette Over 31.5 Receiving Yards
With the Buccaneers limited in terms of pass catchers as Chris Godwin is out, Antonio Brown is no longer with the team, and Cyril Grayson is out, Fournette is going to have to take on a bigger role in the passing game this week. Fournette has developed into a solid receiving back as he has 7.5 targets per game over his last six weeks. At just 6.6 yards per catch, Fournette should only need 5 receptions to top 31.5 yards this week.
Kyler Murray Over 253.5 Passing Yards
The Rams pass defense is incredibly banged up as they signed Eric Weddle who had been retired for two seasons this week to play safety to fill in for Jordan Fuller. Making matters worse is that safety Taylor Rapp is also questionable with a concussion this week and if he is unable to go, the Rams are going to be highly susceptible at the safety position. Kyler Murray since coming back from injury has topped 253.5 in just 3 of his 6 games, but was able to throw for 383 yards against the Rams. Earlier this season, Murray also threw for 268 yards against this Rams defense and with them more injured than they were in either of those two games, it makes sense to like Murray this week.
Rob Gronkowski Over 58.5 Receiving Yards
This one is a bit curious as it is one of the larger discrepancies between Footballguys projections and the prop market as Footballguys has Gronkowski at 70 yards this week. Gronkowski has been a volume workhorse as outside of a blowout game against the Panthers in which Tampa Bay won 32-6, Gronkowski has had 8 or more targets in every game since coming back from injury. Without Chris Godwin, Gronkowski has developed into the top target in this Buccaneers offense as he has averaged 126 yards receiving per game over his last two weeks. The Eagles are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and seventh-most yards on the year.