Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less . Since each combination (two or more players) are playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week. With the Holiday week, we are going to do things just a little bit differently. We are going to give our two favorite Thanksgiving Day props on Thursday morning and then add the top three weekend plays on Friday.
Week 17 Review
Last Week: +2
Season Total: +8.6
We managed another winning week, hitting a 3X and a 4X.
Week 17 Picks
5: Chiefs-Bengals TDs (+3):
Darrel Williams scored a pair of touchdowns and Travis Kelce found the end zone, as well. Even with Mixon getting shutout, we still hit the over of 2.5 from our trio.
4: Rams-Ravens TDs: (-1)
We came up just short here. Both Sony Michel and Cooper Kupp got into the end zone but Mark Andrews was held without a score, leaving us 0.5 short.
3: Defensive Battle in Dallas: (+2)
We hit both of the passing under in this game, Kyler Murray just narrowly and Dak Prescott with a lot of room to spare.
2: MNF Stars: (-1)
We only hit one side of this one. Diontae Johnson had 17.1 fantasy points but Nick Chubb came up way short of the 14.5 fantasy points we needed. The Browns giving their best player just 12 touches was baffling.
1: Vikings-Packers TDs (-1)
We take the loss here, though in reality this one would not have been played once it was announced that Sean Mannion would be one of the starting quarterbacks.
5: Saturday Night Sleeper
Dak Prescott LESS than 250.5 passing yards
Jalen Hurts LESS than 195.5 passing yards
- Week 18 is all about finding edges in terms of how motivated teams are. This feels like a spot where we might be able to find some value due to motivation.
- The Eagles have clinched a Wild Card spot already. While a win would push them up to the 6th seed, it would likely mean a matchup against the Buccaneers (who would move up to the 3rd seed with a Cowboys loss). A loss would put the Eagles in the 7th seed, but the matchup would again likely be against Tampa Bay in this scenario.
- The Cowboys currently hold the fourth seed and would need help to move up. While they have some motivation to go out and get the win, they have already locked up the division and are going to face a major test in the first round, likely against the AFC West runner-up.
To correct this, the Cowboys getting the 2 seed would require:
— Jimmy Kempski (@JimmyKempski) January 4, 2022
- The Cowboys beating the Eagles
- The Panthers beating the Bucs
- The 49ers beating the Rams
- The Seahawks beating the Cardinals
I didn't have that last one in there in the original tweet.
- From a bigger picture perspective, both of these passing numbers are fair if we knew for sure both teams would play starters the whole game. If there is even a 10% chance that the starters are not out there in the second half, we are getting real value on the unders here. If one team jumps out to an early lead, do not be surprised to see the other pull some starters.
4: Bills-Jets Yards
Photos provided by USA TODAY Sports
