Introduction
Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) is playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week. With the Holiday week, we are going to do things just a little bit differently. We are going to give our two favorite Thanksgiving Day props on Thursday morning and then add the top three weekend plays on Friday.
Week 11 Review
Last Week: -1
Season Total: +5
The 4X touchdown props again treated us well. On our other three picks, we were only able to hit on one of the two sides.
Week 11 Picks
5: Split Thursday Ticket: (-1) We were right on Matt Ryan, who went way under his passing projection but shouldn’t have split the ticket. Mac Jones came up a bit short of hitting his over since this game was not competitive enough to force him to throw.
4: KC-Dallas Shootout: (-1) We needed this game to be higher scoring than expected to hit our 4X. Instead, it was an outlier game in the other direction. It is tough to pick three players to combine for more than 2.5 touchdowns if only two touchdowns are scored total in the game.
3: LV-Cin Mismatches: (-1) We only hit half of this one. JaMarr Chase scored 13.0 points so he did not get there (needed 17.5). Darren Waller’s 18.6 were enough (only needed 15.5).
2: GB-Min Concentration: (+3) This one worked out roughly as expected between two division rivals who have had a tough time stopping each other’s offense in recent meetings. It helps that both teams' touchdowns are concentrated heavily amongst a few star players. Davante Adams scored twice (his third-straight game against the Vikings with multiple touchdowns). Dalvin Cook also scored.
1: MNF More (-1) We again hit just half on this one. Brady threw for more than his 299.5 yard total. Despite a perfect game script for some garbage time yardage accumulation and 38 passing attempts, Daniel Jones came up well short of his 230.5 total.
5: Zeke Eats