Favorite Games
- Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers - Over/Under 47
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts - Over/Under 53
- Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers - Over/Under 49
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals - Over/Under 44.5
- Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars - Over/Under 46
Favorite Additional Spots
- Chargers on the road against the Broncos - Implied Team Total 25.25
- Patriots at home vs. the Titans - Implied Team Total 25.25
- Texans at home vs. the Jets - Implied Team Total 23.5
- Panthers on the road against the Dolphins - Implied Team Total 22
- Eagles on the road against the Giants - Implied Team Total 24.5
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Aaron Rodgers | vs. Rams | $6,900 |
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | at Giants | $7,300 |
| 3 | Cam Newton | at Dolphins | $5,600 |
| 4 | Justin Herbert | at Broncos | $6,600 |
Aaron Rodgers is fighting through a toe injury and just lost his starting Center, Elgton Jenkins, for the season so he's not a bulletproof cash play by any means but only ten games on the main slate will create some interesting decisions. Rodgers torched the Vikings last Sunday, throwing for 385 yards and four touchdowns, and now gets to play at home in one of the best fantasy games of the week. He leads a Green Bay offense that ranks fifth in overall DVOA and eighth in pass DVOA.
Jalen Hurts ranks third in DraftKings' points per game out of all Quarterbacks on the main slate this week. He just keeps getting it done week after week and offers the dual-threat floor and ceiling combination we love. Hurts ranks ninth in the entire league in rush yards (618) and fifth in rush touchdowns (8) and currently leads an Eagles offense that ranks seventh in overall DVOA and 11th in pass DVOA.
Cam Newton is arbitrage Jalen Hurts and $1,700 cheaper. In his first start of the season last week, Newton threw for 189 yards and two touchdowns and added 46 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Newton should be able to stay hot out of the gate as he has a favorable matchup this week against a Dolphins defense that ranks 20th in overall DVOA and 21st in pass DVOA.
Justin Herbert ranks fourth in the league in both pass touchdowns per game (2.2) and pass yards (292.7). Last Sunday night, Herbert put on a clinic throwing for 382 yards and three touchdowns while adding 90 yards on the ground. His dual-threat upside while leading a Chargers offense that ranks third in overall DVOA and sixth in pass DVOA is scintillating. The matchup this week is decent as the Broncos defense ranks 26th in overall DVOA and 17th in pass DVOA.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Christian McCaffrey | at Dolphins | $9,000 |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | vs. Buccaneers | $9,100 |
| 3 | Austin Ekeler | at Broncos | $8,400 |
| 4 | A.J. Dillon | vs. Rams | $5,900 |
Christian Mccaffrey ranks fifth in the league in opportunities per game (21.5) and in his third game back from injury, played on 90% of the offensive snaps last Sunday. McCaffrey is all the way back and has a favorable matchup against a Dolphins defense that ranks 20th in overall DVOA.
Jonathan Taylor had a fantasy game for the ages last week rushing 32 times for 185 yards and four touchdowns while adding three receptions for 19 yards and a touchdown in the receiving game. Taylor ranks sixth in the league in opportunities per game (21), first in rush yards (1,122), and first in rush touchdowns (13). Taylor has a tough matchup against Tamp Bay's front-seven but he's full-on matchup-proof at this point.
Austin Ekeler ranks 11th in opportunities per game (18.1) and is tied for second in the entire league in total touchdowns (13) thanks to his dual-threat skillset. Ekeler has a favorable matchup on tap this week against a Broncos defense that ranks 26th in overall DVOA and 28th in run DVOA.
Aaron Jones reportedly has a chance to return this week but even so, look for A.J. Dillon to lead Green Bay's backfield in a fun fantasy game against the Rams. Dillon has seen 40 opportunities and caught all eight of his targets over the past two weeks. He's still priced at only $5,900.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cooper Kupp | at Packers | $9,600 |
| 2 | Davante Adams | vs. Rams | $8,600 |
| 3 | Deebo Samuel | vs. Vikings | $7,900 |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | at 49ers | $8,300 |
| 5 | Keenan Allen | at Broncos | $7,400 |
| 6 | Diontae Johnson | at Bengals | $6,600 |
| 7 | Brandon Aiyuk | vs. Vikings | $5,300 |
You know the deal with Cooper Kupp. He leads the league in targets per game (11.6), receptions (85), receiving yards (1141), and is tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns (10) with Mike Evans.
Davante Adams ranks tied for third in targets per game (10.6), fourth in receptions (72), third in receiving yards (979), and has scored five times. He gets to play in one of the best fantasy games of the week.
Deebo Samuel only caught one pass last week and still put up 16.4 DraftKings points thanks to eight rush attempts for 79 yards and a touchdown on the ground. With Elijah Mitchell operating at less than 100% even if he plays and JaMycal Hasty missing another game, look for Samuel to continue seeing opportunities out of the backfield in addition to his massive receiving upside. Samuel ranks tied for 12th in targets per game (8.8) and second in receiving yards (994).
Justin Jefferson ranks 11th in targets per game (8.9), tied for seventh in receptions (63), fourth in receiving yards (944), and has scored six times. The 5-5 Vikings are fighting for their playoff lives and wisely have funneled Jefferson 21 targets over the past two weeks, which resulted in two victories. Look for Jefferson's increased volume to continue in this one against a 49ers defense that ranks 22nd in pass DVOA.
Keenan Allen ranks tied for third in targets per game (10.6), third in receptions (74), eighth in receiving yards (810), and has scored twice. Allen is quietly producing another incredible fantasy season playing in a Chargers offense that ranks third in overall DVOA and sixth in pass DVOA. And he has a solid matchup this week against a Broncos defense that ranks 26th in overall DVOA and 17th in pass DVOA.
Diontae Johnson ranks tied for third in targets per game (10.6), tied for 11th in receptions (59), 17th in receiving yards (714), and has scored four times. JuJu Smith-Schuster was lost for the season earlier in the year, Eric Ebron will miss extended time, and Chase Claypool is reportedly playing through a "bad" case of turf toe. Johnson will continue to consistently produce and will be needed this week in a competitive Division battle against a Bengals defense that ranks 19th in pass DVOA.
Brandon Aiyuk is completely back. Here are his offensive snap percentages over the past four weeks: 88%, 93%, 90%, and 93%. Aiyuk has seen at least seven targets in three of those four games and now will play at home in a competitive matchup between two 5-5 teams fighting for their playoff lives. Aiyuk will be needed and is priced at only $5,300.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | George Kittle | at Vikings | $6,400 |
| 2 | Pat Freiermuth | at Bengals | $4,300 |
George Kittle has scored in three straight games since returning from injury and has seen 21 total targets over that span. Look for the 49ers to continue featuring Kittle as they fight for their playoff lives.
Eric Ebron scored a touchdown last week but got injured and will now miss extended time. That's significant since Pat Freiermuth's playing time has slipped upon Ebron's return. Freiermuth now projects to return to around a 75% offensive snap share against a Bengals defense that ranks 19th in pass DVOA.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | New England Patriots | vs. Titans | $3,900 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles | at Giants | $3,200 |
Tennessee's offense is decimated with injuries. They'll likely be without A.J. Brown and Jeremy McNichols as neither has practiced all week. They're already without Derrick Henry, Julio Jones, and Marcus Johnson. They recently cut Adrian Peterson and Josh Reynolds. They just barely anything left. And now they have to play on the road against a Patriots defense that ranks second in overall DVOA. The Titans have the lowest Implied Team Total (18.75) of the entire week.
Daniel Jones has only thrown nine touchdown passes all season, which is likely a big reason why the Giants just fired their offensive coordinator, Jason Garrett. The Giants' offense is currently in shambles and they have the sixth-lowest Implied Team Total (21) of the week.
GPPs
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Tyrod Taylor | vs. Jets | $5,300 |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | vs. Steelers | $6,200 |
| 3 | Tom Brady | at Colts | $7,600 |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | at Packers | $7,100 |
Tyrod Taylor has now been back in the lineup following an early-season injury for two games and he reminded us of his dual-threat upside last Sunday, rushing for 28 yards and two touchdowns. Priced at only $5,300, Taylor is in one of the best spots imaginable playing at home against a Jets defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA.
Joe Mixon has been performing very well and the rhetoric out there now is the Bengals have become a running team. We want to attack these narratives in tournaments since getting to the top of the leaderboard is all that matters. Joe Burrow still has JaMarr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd at his disposal and gets to play at home against a Steelers defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA. This isn't the Steel Curtain defense of old. They can be had and Burrow has the talent and weapons around him to make it happen.
Ho-hum. Tom Brady leads the league in both pass yards per game (317.7) and pass touchdowns per game (2.9) and has the Buccaneers offense ranked first in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. And he's now playing in the game with the highest Over/Under of the entire week against a Colts defense that only ranks 20th in pass DVOA.
Matthew Stafford had a few poor performances prior to the Rams' Week 11 bye. Yet, he still ranks third in pass yards per game (301.4) and second in pass touchdowns per game (2.4) on the season. Recency bias will cause many to fade Stafford, making him a solid tournament option in one of the best fantasy games of the week. Green Bay's defense has been solid this season but they by no means are impenetrable. Kirk Cousins proved that last week throwing for 341 yards and three touchdowns on the Packers.
