Favorite Games
- Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs - Over/Under 56.5
- Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills - Over/Under 49.5
- Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings - Over/Under 47.5
Favorite Additional Spots
- Titans at home vs. the Texans - Implied Team Total 27.3
- Browns at home vs. the Lions - Implied Team Total 27.5
- 49ers on the road against the Jaguars - Implied Team Total 25.8
- Bengals on the road against the Raiders - Implied Team Total 25.8
- Ravens on the road against the Bears - Implied Team Total 25.3
- Dolphins on the road against the Jets - Implied Team Total 24
- Panthers at home vs. Washington - Implied Team Total 23
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Dak Prescott | at Chiefs | $7,200 |
| 2 | Patrick Mahomes II | vs. Cowboys | $7,600 |
| 3 | Tua Tagovailoa | at Jets | $5,500 |
| 4 | Cam Newton | vs. Washington | $5,100 |
Clearly, all analysis of this slate should begin with the eye-popping 56.5 total between the Cowboys and the Chiefs. Dallas ranks fourth in offensive DVOA and Dak Prescott has the Cowboys ranked second in offensive pass DVOA. Meanwhile, Kansas City ranks fifth in offensive DVOA and Patrick Mahomes II has the Chiefs ranked eighth in offensive pass DVOA. Both Quarterbacks are tied for second in the league in pass touchdowns per game (2.5). This contest is very likely to be awesome yet both Quarterbacks find themselves in the Cash Game section simply because everyone else knows we're headed for a likely shootout as well. Still, Prescott and Mahomes are incredible tournament linchpins as well, we just know we'll need to make sure our lineup as a whole ends up with some contrarian pieces so we still have a chance to take down a tournament in solo first place. Mahomes gets to play at home while Prescott has the better matchup against a Chiefs defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 27th in pass DVOA.
It's been very strange how the Dolphins have handled Tua Tagovailoa for two years straight. Tagovailoa apparently wasn't healthy enough to start last week but he was able to take the place of a cleared to return Jacoby Brissett to lead the Dolphins to a victory over the Ravens while throwing for 158 yards and adding a rush touchdown. Forgetting all of that for just this week since this is Daily Fantasy we're playing, Tagovailoa has an incredible matchup against a horrendous Jets defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. And he has proven he can produce in favorable matchups when making it through games healthy as he's put up 25.4 and 28.5 DraftKings points against the Jaguars and Falcons already this season.
Head Coach Matt Rhule reported Cam Newton will start for the Panthers this week. However, he also stated P.J. Walker will "probably" play some as well. This is a thin recommendation since there's a chance Walker could annoy us. Still, Newton is only $5,100 and gets to play at home against a Washington defense that just lost Chase Young to injury and that ranks 27th in overall DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA. Newton's upside as a dual-threat is always on display when he's on the field and just in case anyone forgot he reminded us last week rushing in a score and throwing for another in very limited work.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Christian McCaffrey | vs. Washington | $8,900 |
| 2 | Nick Chubb | vs. Lions | $7,800 |
| 3 | Ezekiel Elliott | at Chiefs | $7,700 |
| 4 | A.J. Dillon | at Vikings | $6,200 |
| 5 | Mark Ingram | at Eagles | $5,400 |
Christian McCaffrey was tackled near the goal-line multiple times and vultured by Cam Newton and Chuba Hubbard last week. He still put up 26.1 DraftKings points. McCaffrey is all the way back to being the clear #1 option in fantasy, he ranks fifth in opportunities per game (22.2), and gets to play at home against a Washington defense that just lost Chase Young and that ranks 27th in overall DVOA. Lock him in.
Nick Chubb has been activated from the COVID-19 list and will play at home against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 29th in run DVOA. Chubb ranks 11th in opportunities per game (18.3) and plays on the Browns who rank first in offensive run DVOA. The Browns are 12.5 point favorites against a Lions team that reportedly will be starting Tim Boyle.
This Cowboys at Chiefs game has an eye-popping 56.5 total and Ezekiel Elliott has a favorable matchup against a Chiefs defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 26th in run DVOA. Elliott ranks ninth in the league in opportunities per game (19.3) and offers multi-touchdown upside just like he produced last week in a game that should produce plenty of points.
Aaron Jones' absence means it's go time for the beast that is A.J. Dillon. Dillon turned 23 opportunities into 128 total yards and two touchdowns against the Seahawks last week and now gets a Vikings defense that ranks 28th in run DVOA. At $6,200, Dillon is underpriced by at least $1,000.
Alvin Kamara will miss his second-straight game, meaning Mark Ingram projects for heavy usage once again after he turned 21 opportunities into 108 total yards and a touchdown last week against the Titans. Like A.J. Dillon, Ingram is also severely underpriced in a decent matchup against an Eagles defense that ranks 19th in overall DVOA and 20th in run DVOA.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Tyreek Hill | vs. Cowboys | $8,200 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | at Chiefs | $7,600 |
| 3 | Stefon Diggs | vs. Colts | $7,900 |
| 4 | Deebo Samuel | at Jaguars | $7,800 |
| 5 | Michael Gallup | at Chiefs | $4,200 |
| 6 | D.J. Moore | vs. Washington | $5,900 |
| 7 | Hunter Renfrow | vs. Bengals | $5,800 |
| 8 | Darnell Mooney | vs. Ravens | $5,200 |
Tyreek Hill ranks second in targets per game (11.1) and gets to play at home in by far the best fantasy game of the week. Many points are projected to be scored in this one and Hill, who has eight touchdowns already on the year is one of the best bets to find the end zone.
With Amari Cooper out, CeeDee Lamb becomes almost as good of a bet as Tyreek Hill in this incredible fantasy game. Lamb already ranks tied for 21st in targets per game (8.1) and that number projects to grow on Sunday against a Chiefs defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 27th in pass DVOA. And Michael Gallup, priced at only $4,200, is now an awesome play with Cooper out. Gallup only played on 53% of the offensive snaps last week yet still caught three of five targets for 42 yards. Look for Gallup's playing time and usage to spike drastically.
Stefon Diggs ranks tied for seventh in targets per game (9.6) and just caught eight of 13 targets for 162 yards and a touchdown last week against the Jets. Playing at home against a Colts defense that ranks 23rd in pass DVOA, Diggs looks to be in another great spot on Sunday.
Deebo Samuel has been incredible this season. He leads all Wide Receivers on this slate in DraftKings points per game (23.3), ranks tied for seventh in the league in targets per game (9.6), and has found pay dirt a total of seven times. Samuel projects to keep it going this week in an awesome matchup against a Jaguars defense that ranks 28th in overall DVOA and 31st in pass DVOA.
It sounds silly to say but Cam Newton's presence projects to stabilize D.J. Moore's fantasy value a bit since Sam Darnold was simply just not getting it done prior to injury. Moore ranks ninth in the league in targets per game (9.5) and gets to play at home against a Washington defense that just lost Chase Young to injury and that ranks 27th in overall DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA. He's priced at only $5,900.
In the last two games without Henry Ruggs, Hunter Renfrow has caught 14 of 18 targets for 95 yards and two touchdowns. Renfrow has become a very solid option and now gets to play at home against a Bengals defense that ranks 20th in overall DVOA and 21st in pass DVOA.
Allen Robinson is listed as Doubtful and if he sits, Darnell Mooney will become the clear-cut #1 passing option for Chicago on Sunday. Mooney already leads the Bears in targets (59), catches (36), receiving yards (45), and receiving touchdowns (2) on the season and he gets to play at home against a Ravens defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 24th in pass DVOA.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Travis Kelce | vs. Cowboys | $7,100 |
| 2 | Mark Andrews | at Bears | $6,000 |
| 3 | Dan Arnold | vs. 49ers | $4,100 |
| 4 | Cole Kmet | vs. Ravens | $3,400 |
Travis Kelce ranks tied for 13th in the entire league in targets per game (8.9) and gets to play in this Cowboys at Chiefs game with an eye-popping 56.5 total. He's the best Tight End play of the week.
Marquise Brown is listed as Questionable although it doesn't appear he's in much danger to miss this game. Still, Brown's presence on the injury report projects favorably for Mark Andrews' prospects in this game against a Bears defense missing Khalil Mack that only ranks 22nd in overall DVOA and 19th in pass DVOA. And after starting the season with back-to-back five target outings, Andrews has only seen fewer than seven targets once in his past seven games.
Dan Arnold's $4,100 price tag still doesn't match his production. Arnold has hit double-digit DraftKings points in four of five games with the Jaguars excluding the Thursday Night Game where he had only been with the team for a few days. He has seen at least seven targets in four of his last five games as well. Arnold gets to play at home in this one against a 49ers defense that ranks 20th in pass DVOA.
Allen Robinson is listed as Doubtful and if he sits, Cole Kmet will be needed on Sunday. Kmet ranks third on the Bears in targets (44), receptions (28), and receiving yards (284) and would project to step right in as the #2 option behind Darnell Mooney if Robinson is out. Playing at home against a Ravens defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 24th in pass DVOA, Kmet offers a low owned, affordable option at the Tight End position where we like to look for just that recipe in tournaments.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cleveland Browns | vs. Lions | $3,100 |
| 2 | Tennessee Titans | vs. Texans | $3,900 |
The Lions rank 31st in offensive DVOA and with Jared Goff listed as Doubtful, project to turn to Tim Boyle at Quarterback. Boyle will be making his first career NFL start. The Lions have the lowest Implied Team Total (15) of the entire week.
The Texans rank dead last in offensive DVOA and the Titans rank 12th best in defensive DVOA. The Titans are 10 point home favorites and the Texans have the second lowest Implied Team Total (17.3) of the entire week.
