Favorite Games
- Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers - Over/Under 49
- Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys - Over/Under 55
- Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers - Over/Under 53
- Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots - Over/Under 45
Favorite Additional Spots
- Colts at home vs. the Jaguars - Implied Team Total 29
- Bills on the road against the Jets - Implied Team Total 30.3
- Buccaneers on the road against Washington - Implied Team Total 30.3
- Steelers at home vs. the Lions - Implied Team Total 25.5
- Titans at home vs. the Saints - Implied Team Total 23.8
- Cardinals at home vs. the Panthers - Implied Team Total 27.5
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Carson Wentz | vs. Jaguars | $5,900 |
| 2 | Tom Brady | at Washington | $7,600 |
| 3 | Teddy Bridgewater | vs. Eagles | $5,500 |
After a slow start on a new team, while dealing with injuries to both of his ankles, Carson Wentz has now thrown at least two touchdown passes in every game since Week 4 and has thrown three scores in back-to-back contests. The Wentz and Frank Reich combination has been getting it done and now Wentz gets to play at home against a Jaguars defense that ranks 27th in overall DVOA and dead last in pass DVOA.
Tom Brady is literally unbelievable. At age 44, he appears to be in the driver's seat for the MVP award as he currently leads a Buccaneers offense that ranks first in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. Even though he'll be operating without playmakers Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski, and potentially Chris Godwin in this one, the matchup is still sweet against a Washington defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 31st in pass DVOA.
Teddy Bridgewater is a competent Quarterback. He's not going to wow you but he can get it done in the right situation and priced at only $5,500, this appears to be one of those times. Bridgwater gets to play at home against an Eagles defense that ranks 24th in overall DVOA and 21st in pass DVOA. And per ESPN's Field Yates, the Eagles are allowing opposing Quarterbacks to complete 75.7% of their passes, which would be an NFL record for a full season. Plus, Bridgewater has Denver's offense ranked 14th in overall DVOA and 12th in pass DVOA on the season and ranks third out of all qualifying Quarterbacks in completion percentage (70.2%).
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Najee Harris | vs. Lions | $7,900 |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | vs. Jaguars | $8,100 |
| 3 | DErnest Johnson | at Patriots | $4,700 |
| 4 | James Conner | vs. Panthers | $6,300 |
| 5 | Mark Ingram | at Titans | $4,500 |
| 6 | Cordarrelle Patterson | at Cowboys | $6,600 |
Najee Harris ranks second in opportunities per game (25.3) and the Steelers are 7.5 point favorites at home against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 25th in run DVOA. And with recent injuries to Chase Claypool and JuJu Smith-Schuster, Harris, who already has 52 targets and 40 catches on the season, projects to be funneled targets in the passing game.
Jonathan Taylor ranks eighth in opportunities per game (18.6) and the Colts are 10.5 point favorites at home against a Jaguars defense that ranks 27th in overall DVOA. It's important to note the Jaguars are a pass funnel as they rank dead last in pass DVOA but eighth in run DVOA. Still, Taylor is matchup proof and this isn't even a matchup to worry about.
With Kareem Hunt out due to injury and Nick Chubb, Demetric Felton, and John Kelly all out on the COVID list, DErnest Johnson is the last man standing. Johnson was incredible in his one outing as the starter this year, rushing for 146 yards and a touchdown on 22 attempts while adding two catches for 22 yards against the Broncos. Johnson's matchup this week works out in his favor as the Patriots rank much better against the pass (sixth in DVOA) than they do against the run (17th in DVOA). And the offense Johnson plays in sells itself as the Browns rank first in rush DVOA behind one of the best offensive lines in the league.
Chase Edmonds has averaged 12.6 opportunities per game this season and those chances are now up for grabs with Edmonds out due to injury. James Conner has been in a timeshare with Edmonds all season and went nuclear last Sunday once Edmonds left the game, turning 26 total opportunities into 173 total yards and three touchdowns. But Conner had also been producing all year despite the timeshare thanks to touchdowns. In fact, Conner currently leads the league in touchdowns with 11. The Cardinals are ten-point home favorites against a Panthers defense that ranks 19th in run DVOA and Carolina will be starting their backup Quarterback P.J. Walker as well.
Alvin Kamara has been ruled out leaving Mark Ingram as the guy at Running Back for the Saints just a few weeks after they traded for him. Ingram has only played on 29% and 34% of the offensive snaps in his two weeks with the team but he's received 8 and 14 opportunities in those two games. Ingram was with the Saints for years so there's very little concern about him learning the offense. He projects to see 20+ opportunities against a Titans defense that ranks 24th in run DVOA and he's priced at only $4,500.
Cordarrelle Patterson continues to have an awesome season averaging 15 opportunities per game as a dual-threat option in a functional offense led by Matt Ryan. Calvin Ridley's absence is huge for Patterson since Atlanta is starving for playmakers outside of Kyle Pitts and Patterson fits the bill. Playing in one of the best fantasy games with the highest Over/Under (55) of the week, Patterson is a solid play against the Cowboys' average defense.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Diontae Johnson | vs. Lions | $6,800 |
| 2 | Mike Evans | at Washington | $6,900 |
| 3 | Michael Pittman | vs. Jaguars | $6,300 |
| 4 | A.J. Brown | vs. Saints | $7,800 |
| 5 | Jerry Jeudy | vs. Eagles | $5,300 |
Diontae Johnson ranks seventh in targets per game (9.9) and has a phenomenal matchup at home against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA. With JuJu Smith-Schuster already out of the lineup and Chase Claypool now joining him on the sideline, Johnson is a lock in cash.
Mike Evans isn't typically thought of as a cash receiver but with Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski out and Chris Godwin a Game Time Decision, Evans, who ranks tied for second in receiving touchdowns (8), looks to be in a fantastic spot against a Washington defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 31st in pass DVOA.
Michael Pittman has put it all together in his second season. He's caught four touchdowns over his past three games and has 21 more targets and 20 more receptions than anyone else on Indianapolis. Pittman is in a great spot to keep his positive momentum going at home against a Jaguars defense that ranks 27th in overall DVOA and dead last in pass DVOA.
A.J. Brown has only seen double-digit targets four times in his entire career. Two of those instances have come in the past two games and of course, that means Brown saw double-digit targets in Tennessee's first game without Derrick Henry. No Henry means this offense now runs through A.J. Brown. It's that simple. And once again, Julio Jones is questionable after getting injured in practice this week. This isn't a great matchup for Brown as the Saints ranks 13th in pass DVOA but volume is king in fantasy football, especially in cash, and Brown should once again flirt with 10+ targets here.
Teddy Bridgewater ranks third out of all qualifying Quarterbacks in completion percentage (70.2%) and per ESPN's Field Yates, the Eagles are allowing opposing Quarterbacks to complete 75.7% of their passes, which would be an NFL record for a full season. Jerry Jeudy is an elite talent that gets open at will and projects to rack up the catches in this one thanks to the aforementioned favorable matchup. And Jeudy saw eight targets in just his second game back from injury in a blowout win a week ago. Just wait until we see how nice the volume is when the Broncos are in a competitive game.
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Kyle Pitts | at Cowboys | $5,800 |
| 2 | Dalton Schultz | vs. Falcons | $5,000 |
| 3 | Pat Freiermuth | vs. Lions | $3,900 |
Kyle Pitts gets to play in one of the best fantasy games with the highest Over/Under of the week (55) and projects to be the Falcons' number one offensive weapon with Calvin Ridley still out.
Blake Jarwin's absence is a big deal for Dalton Schultz. Without Jarwin last week, Schultz played on a season-high 95% of the offensive snaps. Schultz has seen at least five targets in seven of eight games on the year and now gets to play in a contest with the highest Over/Under of the week (55) at home against a Falcons defense that ranks 31st in overall DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA.
Pat Freiermuth is balling right now and has played on 78% and 71% of the offensive snaps over the past two weeks. Eric Ebron missed both of those games but will return on Sunday. Still, Chase Claypool won't play this week so Freiermuth's projection is actually looking up despite Ebron's return. Freiermuth is only priced at $3,900 and has a destroyable matchup against a Lions defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Tennessee Titans | vs. Saints | $2,600 |
| 2 | Arizona Cardinals | vs. Panthers | $3,700 |
The Titans somehow are only priced at $2,600. They're the best D/ST play of the week and it's not close. Jameis Winston and Alvin Kamara both won't play leaving Trevor Siemian and Mark Ingram to headline the Saints offense on the road against a Titans defense that ranks tenth best in overall DVOA.
Sam Darnold has been awful this season so it remains to be seen whether P.J Walker getting the start for the Panthers this week will be an upgrade or downgrade for Carolina's offense. Still, Walker has very little NFL experience and knows his own team doesn't believe in him since they signed Cam Newton this week to be the team's starting Quarterback as soon as he's ready. And the Cardinals defense has been fantastic all season as they rank second in overall DVOA, second in pass DVOA, and seventh in run DVOA.
GPPs
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Dak Prescott | vs. Falcons | $6,900 |
| 2 | Josh Allen | at Jets | $7,900 |
| 3 | Russell Wilson | at Packers | $6,700 |
| 4 | Aaron Rodgers | vs. Seahawks | $7,100 |
Dak Prescott played terribly last week on the road against the Broncos but we love to see that from a tournament perspective since recency bias will creep in for many. Prescott still ranks tied for second in p
