Favorite Games
- Los Angeles Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles - Over/Under 50
- Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens - Over/Under 50
Favorite Additional Spots
- Bills on the road against the Jaguars - Implied Team Total 31.5
- Cowboys at home vs. the Broncos - Implied Team Total 29.75
- Chiefs at home vs. the Packers - Implied Team Total 27.75
- Dolphins at home vs. the Texans - Implied Team Total 26
- Bengals at home vs. the Browns - Implied Team Total 24.75
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Josh Allen | at Jaguars | $8,200 |
| 2 | Jalen Hurts | vs. Chargers | $6,700 |
| 3 | Tua Tagovailoa | vs. Texans | $5,800 |
| 4 | Jordan Love | at Chiefs | $4,400 |
The Bills have the highest Implied Team Total (31.5) of the entire week and get to play against an awful Jaguars defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. Meanwhile, Josh Allen is having another awesome season as he ranks eighth in pass yards per game (281.7) and fifth in pass touchdowns per game (2.4). Offering upside on the ground as well, Allen is the best Quarterback play of the week in both cash and tournaments.
Jalen Hurts ranks fifth in DraftKings' points per game (24.1) on this slate at the Quarterback position behind only Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes II, and Dak Prescott. His rushing production (432 yards and five touchdowns so far) provides Hurts with a solid floor and ceiling combination and unlike last week, Hurts projects to play in a competitive game against the Chargers.
Prior to last week's rough outing against the league's best pass defense (Buffalo), Tua Tagovailoa had strung two good games together against the Jaguars and the Falcons totaling 620 pass yards and six pass touchdowns. Like in those two games, Tagovailoa has another favorable matchup this week against a bad Texans defense that ranks 23rd in DVOA and 16th in pass DVOA. Miami hasn't produced a reliable rushing attack within their offense this season so when the Dolphins offense totals yards this week, the majority of the success should funnel through their second-year Quarterback. And he's affordable at only $5,800.
With Aaron Rodgers on the COVID-19 list, 2020 first-round pick, Jordan Love, will be making his first start in the NFL. Playing on the road in Kansas City is one of the worst draws Love could've had for his debut but at least the actual defense the Chiefs will put on the field is extremely exploitable. Kansas City's defense ranks 31st in overall DVOA and 30th in pass DVOA. Priced at only $4,400, Love makes sense in cash as he likely only has to get to 12-15 DraftKings points to pay off. He offers some rushing upside as well.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Ezekiel Elliott | vs. Broncos | $7,000 |
| 2 | Devontae Booker | vs. Raiders | $5,900 |
| 3 | Alvin Kamara | vs. Falcons | $8,200 |
| 4 | Dalvin Cook | at Ravens | $7,700 |
The Cowboys are ten-point home favorites against a Broncos defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 27th in run DVOA and that just traded away their franchise defensive player in Von Miller. Ezekiel Elliott ranks sixth in opportunities per game (20.6). Elliott is my RB1 in all DFS formats this week.
Saquon Barkley will miss yet another game paving the way for Devontae Booker to make at least one more start. Here are Booker's total opportunities over his past four games: 20, 16, 17, and 21. Like Barkley, Booker has been involved on the ground and as a receiver and has looked solid while producing. Booker is not game script-dependent, which helps since we're not sure how this game will play out. But Booker should be able to take advantage either way as the Raiders defense ranks middle of the pack in overall DVOA, run DVOA, and pass DVOA.
Mark Ingram will spell Alvin Kamara at times but that is not a concern at all since Kamara ranks third in the entire league in opportunities per game (24.3). Kamara's workload can be slightly reduced and he'll still be a top-ten weekly option. This week, he gets to play at home against a Falcons defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 25th in run DVOA. And the announcement Trevor Siemian projects to start at Quarterback and Taysom Hill will only be mixed in increases Kamara's target projection.
Dalvin Cook ranks fourth in opportunities per game (23.6) and has a matchup against the Ravens that looks beneficial on paper. Baltimore's defense ranks 24th in overall DVOA and 15th in run DVOA. And this favorable fantasy game has the second-highest Over/Under (50) of the entire week.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Stefon Diggs | at Jaguars | $7,700 |
| 2 | Amari Cooper | vs. Broncos | $5,700 |
| 3 | Tyreek Hill | vs. Packers | $7,900 |
| 4 | JaMarr Chase | vs. Browns | $7,600 |
| 5 | Jaylen Waddle | vs. Texans | $5,600 |
| 6 | Marquise Brown | vs. Vikings | $6,000 |
| 7 | Brandin Cooks | at Dolphins | $6,100 |
| 8 | Christian Kirk | at 49ers | $5,300 |
| 9 | Rondale Moore | at 49ers | $4,200 |
It's only a matter of time before Stefon Diggs has an eruption game and Week 9 looks to be the spot. Diggs ranks tenth in targets per game (9.3) and gets to attack an awful Jaguars defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA. Diggs is my WR1 in all DFS formats this week.
Coming off a huge performance last week where Amari Cooper caught eight of 13 targets for 122 yards and a touchdown, Cooper is priced at only $5,700. That price tag is egregious and should cause Cooper's ownership percentage to skyrocket. That would normally make him a bad tournament play because: #TrustTheProcess but with CeeDee Lamb suffering an ankle injury in practice on Wednesday and likely operating at less than 100% even if he's active, Cooper now looks like a great play in all formats against a Broncos defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 21st in pass DVOA.
Tyreek Hill was able to produce last week (12 catches on 18 targets for 94 yards and a touchdown) despite the offense's struggles in Kansas City. That's pretty solid evidence (Even though we didn't need more proof) that Hill is the most important player on the Chiefs' offense not named Patrick Mahomes II. And the matchup is one Hill should be able to dominate against a Packers defense that only ranks 22nd in overall DVOA and 18th in pass DVOA. And no Aaron Rodgers for Green Bay is significant as well. Jordan Love could struggle and if so, Mahomes and Hill will be given more opportunities to attack.
JaMarr Chase ranks second in the league in yards per target (13.1), third in receiving yards (786), and fourth in receiving touchdowns (7). He's in a favorable spot this week at home against a Browns defense that ranks 19th in overall DVOA and 25th in pass DVOA.
Will Fuller and DeVante Parker are out once again, which means Jaylen Waddle is the unquestioned WR1 on the Dolphins this week in a home matchup with the Houston Texans. This is one of the most exploitable matchups we have in 2021 as Houston's defense ranks 23rd in overall DVOA and 16th in pass DVOA.
Baltimore's shift to a more pass-happy offensive approach has benefited Marquise Brown in a big way. Brown ranks fifth on this slate in DraftKings' points per game at the Wide Receiver position despite only being priced at $6,000. Brown ranks a respectable 24th in targets per game (8.1) and offers big-play potential in one of the best fantasy contests of the week. Plus, the matchup is interesting as Minnesota's defense looks solid on paper but they haven't faced a tough schedule of Quarterbacks so far this season and they were just carved up by Cooper Rush a week ago.
Tyrod Taylor will start for Houston for the first time since Week 2. That's a significant development for Brandin Cooks, the clear-cut WR1 on the Texans. Cooks ranks tied for 13th in the league in targets per game (8.8) and gets to face a Dolphins defense that ranks 26th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA.
DeAndre Hopkins is a Game Time Decision and A.J. Green is on the COVID-19 list. Neither is expected to play. If so, Christian Kirk and Rondale Moore would project as the top two Wide Receivers for Arizona in a game against the 49ers in which they'll likely be without their starting Quarterback, Kyler Murray, due to injury as well. Kirk and Moore are unexciting options Colt McCoy is under center but they still have a favorable matchup against a 49ers defense that ranks 17th in overall DVOA and 22nd in pass DVOA. And both are affordable, especially Moore at only $4,200.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Albert Okwuegbunam | at Cowboys | $2,600 |
| 2 | Dalton Schultz | vs. Broncos | $4,800 |
Noah Fant projects to be out while on the COVID-19 list and if so, Albert Okwuegbunam (Questionable in his own right so pay attention Sunday morning) would be one of the best Tight End plays of the entire year priced at only $2,600. Okwuegbunam has played around 50% of the offensive snaps in every game he's stayed healthy in so far this season and projects to become a near-full time player as Fant's replacement. And there should be plenty of pass volume to go around for the Broncos as they're ten-point underdogs on the road playing against one of the best teams in football having just traded their franchise defensive player less than a week ago.
Staying with the Broncos at Cowboys, Blake Jarwin is out which means Dalton Schultz projects to handle a bigger workload at the Tight End position for the Cowboys this week. This is a significant development since Denver's Line Backers are banged up and Schultz ranks seventh at the Tight End position on this slate for all healthy Tight Ends in DraftKings' points per game (12.6). Schultz is a solid player getting it done in one of the best offenses in football and that should continue on Sunday with Dak Prescott back in the lineup.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | New England Patriots | at Panthers | $4,100 |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | at Jaguars | $4,000 |
| 3 | Dallas Cowboys | vs. Broncos | $3,300 |
Sam Darnold is dealing with multiple injuries and is legitimately Questionable to play. But he's been so bad lately it's a win for us rostering the Patriots defense whether Darnold plays or not. Bill Belichick is going to have a field day with his defense in this one. The Patriots are 3.5 point favorites despite playing on the road.
The Bills defense ranks first in overall DVOA, first in pass DVOA, and fifth in run DVOA and gets to face an Urban Meyer-coached offense that could be without James Robinson and that is choosing to feature Jamal Agnew and Dan Arnold as their top two passing weapons.
The Cowboys defense ranks sixth in overall DVOA, seventh in pass DVOA, and 11th in run DVOA and Dallas is a ten-point home favorite on Sunday against a Broncos offense led by a Quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater who scares absolutely no one.
