Favorite Games
- Patriots at Chargers - Over/Under 49.5
- Titans at Colts - Over/Under 51
- Panthers at Falcons - Over/Under 47
- Eagles at Lions - Over/Under 48.5
Favorite Additional Spots
- Rams on the road against the Texans - Implied Team Total 30.5
- Bengals on the road against the Jets - Implied Team Total 26.75
- Bills at home vs. the Dolphins - Implied Team Total 31.5
- Buccaneers on the road against the Saints - Implied Team Total 26.5
- Jaguars on the road against the Seahawks - Implied Team Total 20.75
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | at Texans | $7,600 |
| 2 | Tom Brady | at Saints | $7,400 |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | at Jets | $7,100 |
| 4 | Carson Wentz | vs. Titans | $5,700 |
Matthew Stafford continues to dominate. He ranks third in passing yards (2,170) and second in touchdown passes (19) while leading a Rams offense that ranks second in overall DVOA and first in pass DVOA. He quite literally is one of the front runners for MVP and now gets to tee off on a horrible Texans team that ranks 18th in overall defensive DVOA and whose offense, led by Davis Mills, won't be doing the Texans defense any favors either.
Tom Brady just doesn't make sense. At age 44, Brady continues to destroy the league and has even gotten better with age. Brady leads the NFL in both passing yards (2,279) and passing touchdowns (21) and leads a Buccaneers offense that ranks first in overall DVOA and second in pass DVOA. His matchup this week against the Saints isn't an ideal one as New Orleans ranks third in overall defensive DVOA and sixth in pass DVOA yet we're taking Brady in this matchup every time.
The Bengals have been increasing their passing frequency on offense as of late, culminating in Joe Burrow's best game of the season last week where he threw for 416 yards and three touchdowns against the Ravens. Burrow now has an incredibly spicy matchup on tap against a Jets defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA.
Carson Wentz and Frank Reich make for a pretty solid duo. They're no Jim and Pam Beesly but hey, they're still getting the job done. Wentz has thrown for two touchdowns in four straight games and added his first rushing touchdown of the season last week in the rain as well. Wentz is priced at only $5,700 and gets to play at home in one of the best fantasy games of the week. In fact, the 51 point Over/Under is the highest on the main slate. And Tennessee's defense is vulnerable as they rank 22nd in overall DVOA and 18th in pass DVOA.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Derrick Henry | at Colts | $8,900 |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | vs. Titans | $7,200 |
| 3 | Darrell Henderson | at Texans | $6,500 |
| 4 | Joe Mixon | at Jets | $6,900 |
| 5 | Zack Moss | vs. Dolphins | $5,200 |
All hail King Henry. Derrick Henry is completely and utterly dominating the league in opportunities per game (30.1), total yards (1,023), and total touchdowns (10). That's what we care about in fantasy obviously, especially in cash games. And Henry gets to play in the best fantasy game of the week as well.
Jonathan Taylor is $1,700 cheaper than Derrick Henry, gets to play in the same great fantasy game, is playing at home, and has the better matchup against a Titans defense that ranks 22nd in overall DVOA and 25th in run DVOA. He's one of the best talents at the position we have in the NFL and ranks 13th in the entire league in opportunities per game (18).
Darrell Henderson ranks eighth in the NFL in opportunities per game (19.7), plays in a Rams offense that ranks second in overall DVOA, and has a beautiful matchup against a Texans defense that ranks 18th in overall DVOA and 30th in run DVOA. The Rams are 15 point favorites as well.
Joe Mixon ranks seventh in opportunities per game (19.9) and looks to be in a position to post a great stat line against a Jets defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 27th in run DVOA. Incredibly, the Bengals sit at 5-2 right now and are 10.5 point favorites on Sunday.
Zack Moss is a thinner play but his price reflects that at $5,200. Moss has seen double-digit opportunities in every game he's been active for and is in a good spot this week at home against a Dolphins defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 18th in run DVOA. The Bills are 14 point favorites, which projects favorably for Moss.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cooper Kupp | at Texans | $9,000 |
| 2 | Stefon Diggs | vs. Dolphins | $8,100 |
| 3 | JaMarr Chase | at Jets | $7,500 |
| 4 | Chris Godwin | at Saints | $6,400 |
| 5 | Mike Evans | at Saints | $7,000 |
| 6 | Diontae Johnson | at Browns | $6,700 |
| 7 | D.J. Moore | at Falcons | $7,200 |
| 8 | Jaylen Waddle | at Bills | $5,600 |
This is the Cooper Kupp career year. Kupp leads the league in targets per game (11.6), receptions (56), receiving yards (809), and receiving touchdowns (9). He's a great play against *checks notes* the Texans.
Stefon Diggs ranks tied for tenth in targets per game (9.7) and has WR1 overall of the week upside in a great matchup home against a Dolphins defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA.
It's safe to say JaMarr Chase is in fact, that dude. Chase ranks second in the league in receiving yards (754) and should only benefit more now that the Bengals have started to pass more frequently. And this is another spot where Chase could just melt faces. The Jets defense only ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA. Good luck New York!
Rob Gronkowski is listed as Questionable but does project to return this week. However, Antonio Brown won't play and that's extremely significant since he was receiving significant volume while looking like the same player that previously dominated the league for nearly a decade. Tom Brady leads the NFL in both passing yards (2,279) and passing touchdowns (21) so naturally, his top two receivers are going to benefit, especially when the target tree gets more narrow thanks to Brown's absence. Take your pick, Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are both fine plays.
Diontae Johnson ranks seventh in the league in targets per game (10) and this after he ranked tied for fourth in the NFL in targets per game (10) in 2020. Johnson's role as Pittsburgh's WR1 is locked in, especially with JuJu Smith-Schuster on season-ending Injured Reserve. And he has a solid matchup against a Browns defense that ranks 15th in overall DVOA and 23rd in pass DVOA.
D.J. Moore ranks tied for third in targets per game (10.4), fourth in receptions (46), sixth in receiving yards (586), and has scored three touchdowns. Without Christian McCaffrey, he's not only the Panthers' WR1 but their best offensive player period. Moore is a very solid play in a fun fantasy game against a Falcons defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 24th in pass DVOA.
Will Fuller will miss another game and DeVante Parker is listed as Questionable. Jaylen Waddle is priced at only $5,600, he's seen 27 targets over the past three weeks, has two games of 13 targets already on the year, and the Dolphins will likely be throwing a lot while playing catch-up against the Bills.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Kyle Pitts | vs. Panthers | $6,300 |
| 2 | Mike Gesicki | at Bills | $5,000 |
| 3 | Dallas Goedert | at Lions | $4,700 |
| 4 | Ricky Seals-Jones | at Broncos | $3,800 |
I'm channeling my inner Dennis Green when I type Kyle Pitts is who we thought he was! Pitts is an athletic freak Wide Receiver who is being labeled as a Tight End and we should take advantage. Pitts has seen 18 targets over his past two games and turned them into 16 catches for 282 yards and a touchdown. This is just the beginning and he now gets to play at home in an intriguing fantasy game against the Panthers.
Mike Gesicki is another glorified Wide Receiver being labeled as a Tight End. He has lined up in the slot on 67.6% of his snaps this season and is being used voluminously thanks in part to injuries to Will Fuller and DeVante Parker. Gesicki has turned 17 targets over the past two weeks into 16 receptions for 200 yards and touchdown. He'll be needed if the Dolphins hope to keep pace with the Bills in this division showdown.
Without Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert played a season-high 93% of the offensive snaps in Week 7. That increased usage projects to pay off in this great matchup against a Lions defense that ranks 27th in both overall DVOA and passing DVOA.
Logan Thomas remains out and Ricky Seals-Jones continues playing 100% of the offensive snaps in his place. Priced at only $3,800, Seals-Jones is a solid play against a Broncos defense that ranks 26th in overall DVOA and 24th in pass DVOA.
Team Defenses
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | at Texans | $5,100 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | at Jets | $3,600 |
The Rams are costly but they are the best defense of the entire week. The Rams are 15 point favorites and the Texans have the lowest Implies Team Total (15.5) of the entire week.
The Bengals are 10.5 point favorites and get to face a Jets team that will be without their starting Quarterback. Corey Davis is Doubtful as well. The Jets have the second-lowest Implied Team Total (16.25) of the entire week.
