Favorite Games
- Cardinals at Rams - Over/Under 54
- Seahawks at 49ers - Over/Under 52
- Panthers at Cowboys - Over/Under 51.5
- Browns at Vikings - Over Under 51.5
Favorite Additional Spots
- Bills at home against the Texans - Implied Team Total 32
- Chiefs on the road against the Eagles - Implied Team Total 30.5
- Saints at home against the Giants - Implied Team Total 24.25
- Packers at home against the Steelers - Implied Team Total 26.25
- Titans on the road against the Jets - Implied Team Total 25.5
- Washington on the road against the Falcons - Implied Team Total 24.5
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Josh Allen | vs. Texans | $8,000 |
| 2 | Matthew Stafford | vs. Cardinals | $7,000 |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | vs. Steelers | $6,800 |
| 4 | Baker Mayfield | at Vikings | $6,200 |
Josh Allen reminded us all what he's capable of last week throwing for 358 yards and four touchdowns while adding a rushing touchdown as well. He has shaken off the rust at the perfect time as he now gets to play at home against an awful Texans team and defense this week. Buffalo has the highest Implied Team Total of the entire week (32) and they're favored to win by 17 points. In order to dominate as projected, they'll need to score points and the Bills revolve around Allen. Have no fear a blowout could reduce Allen's role. In fact, odds are it would increase it. This is a spot where Allen could blow up big time.
Matthew Stafford is making the most of his career renaissance with Sean McVay. He ranks fifth in passing yards (940) and tied for second in pass touchdowns (9) and currently leads the #1 offense according to DVOA rankings. He now gets to play at home in my favorite fantasy game of the week with the second-highest Over/Under (54). We love games where both offenses have the ability to score points in bunches and with Kyler Murray on the other side, expect Stafford to stay hot by keeping his foot on the gas.
The vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers defense hasn't performed up to standards so far this season and they have injuries and Ben Roethlisberger to blame. Roethlisberger looks completely done and his incompetence is putting his defense in tough spots. The Steelers currently rank 18th in overall DVOA and 23rd in pass DVOA. These developments bode well for Aaron Rodgers, who gets to play at home in Lambeau Field and is priced at a relatively affordable cost.
This Browns at Vikings game is tied for the fourth-highest Over/Under (51.5) of the entire week and Baker Mayfield has a favorable matchup against a Vikings defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and 24th in pass DVOA. Meanwhile, Mayfield leads a Browns offense currently ranked fourth in DVOA that just gained their valuable #1 Wide Receiver, Odell Beckham, back in Week 3. Beckham caught five of nine targets for 77 yards last Sunday and provides an added dimension to this offense that was previously lacking. That increases Mayfield's floor and ceiling combination and makes him a palatable cash game Quarterback priced at only $6,200.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Derrick Henry | at Jets | $8,800 |
| 2 | Alvin Kamara | vs. Giants | $8,400 |
| 3 | Najee Harris | at Packers | $6,800 |
| 4 | Ezekiel Elliott | vs. Panthers | $6,500 |
| 5 | D'Andre Swift | at Bears | $6,200 |
Derrick Henry leads the league in total opportunities (93) and total yards (458) and projects to see a ton of work once again in Week 4 now that both A.J. Brown and Julio Jones have been ruled out. The Titans are 5.5 point favorites, which should aid in game flow, but Henry is also excitingly catching passes this year as well. Henry's season-long high in receptions is 19 and he's on pace to shatter that record this year as he already has 12 through three games. This dual-threat usage should help since the Jets, despite how bad of a team they are, are actually somewhat competent defending the run.
Alvin Kamara ranks sixth in opportunities per game (22) and gets to plat at home against a Giants defense that ranks 23rd in both overall DVOA and run DVOA. New York will be without their starting Line Backer, Blake Martinez, as well. The Saints are seven-point favorites, setting Kamara up for a gigantic performance.
Najee Harris ranks fifth in opportunities per game (22.2) and just caught 14 of 19 targets for 102 yards last Sunday. Harris is the dual-threat centerpiece of the Steelers offense and has a favorable matchup against a Packers defense that ranks 18th in overall DVOA and 25th in run DVOA.
It's surprising to see Ezekiel Elliott priced at only $6,500, especially after he posted 116 total yards and two touchdowns on Monday Night Football in Week 3. Led by Dak Prescott, the Cowboys offense is rolling right now as they currently rank sixth in DVOA. Elliott is averaging a respectable 17 opportunities per contest and Dallas is at home in one of the best fantasy games of the week with a 51.5 Over/Under. And while Carolina's defense has looked great to begin 2021, I'm not ready to crown them just yet as they've played the Jets, Saints, and Texans. Prescott, Elliott, and this Cowboys attack is a different beast.
D'Andre Swift ranks ninth in opportunities per game (18.7) and is seeing a ton of high-value touches (targets and goal-line carries). Swift already has 19 catches on 23 targets for 166 receiving yards on the year to go along with 33 carries. Although the Lions are road underdogs against a decent Bears defense, Chicago's team as a whole clearly doesn't have it all together evident by their 20 point loss at the hands of the Browns last Sunday. There is a decent chance the Lions win this game and even if they don't, Swift is a player whose role can keep him on the field, no matter the game situation.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cooper Kupp | vs. Cardinals | $7,800 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | vs. Panthers | $6,700 |
| 3 | Amari Cooper | vs. Panthers | $6,000 |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | vs. Browns | $7,300 |
| 5 | Adam Thielen | vs. Browns | $6,800 |
| 6 | Emmanuel Sanders | vs. Texans | $4,900 |
| 7 | A.J. Green | at Rams | $4,500 |
| 8 | Corey Davis | vs. Titans | $5,000 |
| 9 | Tim Patrick | vs. Ravens | $4,900 |
Cooper Kupp is on absolute fire. He ranks tied for second in targets (32), tied for first in receptions (25), first in receiving yards (367), and first in receiving touchdowns (5). He gets to play at home in my favorite fantasy game of the week with the second-highest Over/Under (54).
Led by Dak Prescott, the Cowboys offense is rolling right now as they currently rank sixth in DVOA. Surprisingly, the Panthers rank best in defensive DVOA overall, pass DVOA, and run DVOA. I'm not ready to crown them just yet though as they've played the Jets, Saints, and Texans. This Dallas passing attack is a different beast and they have a more favorable projected matchup now that first-round pick, cornerback Jaycee Horn, is out with an injury. The Cowboys get to play at home in one of the best fantasy games of the week with a 51.5 Over/Under. CeeDee Lamb (27 targets) and Amari Cooper (26 targets) lead the offense in target share by a wide margin and both make for great plays on Sunday.
Kirk Cousins is on an absolute tear to being 2021. He ranks seventh in passing yards (918), fourth in pass touchdowns (8), and he hasn't thrown an interception yet. This Browns at Vikings game is tied for the fourth-highest Over/Under (51.5) of the entire week, the Vikings get to play at home, and Browns cornerback Greg Newsome is out. This is a favorable spot for two of the league's best Wide Receivers, Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen.
The Bills get to play at home against an awful Texans team and defense this week. Buffalo has the highest Implied Team Total of the entire week (32) and they're favored to win by 17 points. Emmanuel Sanders only costs $4,900 yet he's played on 93%, 77%, and 80% of the offensive snaps through three weeks, respectively, and is coming off a brilliant performance catching five of six passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns a week ago.
A.J. Green has played on 80%, 84%, and 79% of the offensive snaps through three weeks, respectively, and is coming off a solid outing catching five of six targets for 112 yards. Jalen Ramsey projects to see plenty of DeAndre Hopkins, meaning a few extra targets could be coming Green's way in this one. And the fantasy environment should be solid in my favorite game of the week with the second-highest Over/Under (54).
Elijah Moore won't play in Week 4 due to a concussion which leaves Corey Davis as the main target on the outside for the Jets. Davis has played on 89%, 73%, and 94% of the offensive snaps through three weeks, respectively. After a rough patch of early matchups, things are looking up for Davis in this one against a Titans defense that ranks 28th in overall DVOA and 22nd in pass DVOA.
Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler will both miss this game, which vaults Tim Patrick into the clear-cut WR2 role for Denver. In fact, Patrick was already operating as such. Patrick has played on 70%, 74%, and 76% of the offensive snaps through three weeks, respectively, and has posted 174 receiving yards and two touchdowns on only 13 total targets. Patrick's role projects to continuing growing and the matchup is more favorable than expected against a Ravens defense that ranks 20th in overall DVOA and 21st in pass DVOA.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Tyler Higbee | vs. Cardinals | $4,600 |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | vs. Washington | $5,000 |
| 3 | Logan Thomas | at Falcons | $4,900 |
| 4 | Dawson Knox | vs. Texans | $3,600 |
| 5 | Evan Engram | at Saints | $3,000 |
Tyler Higbee played on 100% of the snaps in Weeks 1 and 2 and likely would've done so again last week had he not left briefly with an injury. Higbee still caught all five of his targets for 40 yards and a touchdown and now gets to play at home in my favorite fantasy game of the week with the second-highest Over/Under (54). Higbee remaind underpriced at only $4,600.
We must not get impatient with Kyle Pitts. Despite his incredible production and athletic profile, it's important to remember Pitts is still a rookie Tight End. Matt Ryan performing poorly isn't helping either but unlike Ben Roethlisberger, I remain hopeful Ryan isn't completely done and has some decent football left in him. And this week the Falcons get to play at home against a Washington defense struggling mightily to begin the 2021 season. Washington ranks 29th in overall defensive DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA. Meanwhile, Pitts played on 52 of 62 snaps last week and only ran four fewer routes than Calvin Ridley.
Logan Thomas was notorious for never coming off the field last season and nothing has changed to begin 2021. In fact, dating back to last season, Thomas has played on 100% of Washington's offensive snaps in seven consecutive games (including postseason). He's played on 90%+ in 13 straight and 97%+ in 12 of the last 13. Clearly, Thomas is an integral part of Washington's offense and he has a favorable matchup in this one against a Falcons defense that ranks 30th in overall DVOA and 26th in pass DVOA.
Dawson Knox has played on 83% and 78% of the offensive snaps over the past two weeks, respectively, and scored a touchdown in both games. He now gets to play in an incredible spot where Josh Allen projects to go nuclear. Buffalo has the highest Implied Team Total of the entire week (32) and they're favored to win by 17 points.
Evan Engram returned from injury last week to play on only 56% of the snaps yet he still ran 29 pass routes (one less than Kenny Golladay) according to Pro Football Focus. With Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton both out and Engram another week removed from injury, expect Engram's playing time and target share to increase on Sunday. New Orleans is a tough matchup but Engram projects to see a decent amount of targets and is priced at only $3,000.
